Barmes To The Buccos
Shortstop is one of the deepest positions on the market this winter. The Pittsburgh Pirates made an early splash in the free agent waters and signed shortstop Clint Barmes to a two-year, $10.5M deal.
Pittsburgh chose to explore other shortstop options outside of Ronny Cedeno this winter. While Cedeno was statistically the best defender on the team in 2011 (5.9 UZR), he has historically never produced much at the plate. His paltry .277 career wOBA and .271 wOBA in 2011 are both evidence of that.
Barmes is a natural fit with the Pirates because he replaces the sound defense that Cedeno provided last year, but also increases the production at the plate to a respectable level. The 31-year-old Barmes has double-digit home run power and posted a .308 wOBA — which may not be impressive, but it is just below league average (20 out of 34) amongst shortstops with at least 350 plate appearances in 2011 and is enough due to his glovework.
Cedeno also has never exactly been consistent defensively, according to UZR. He may have compiled one of the better UZRs of the 2011 season at shortstop, but he owns a career -5.1 UZR at the position. Barmes, on the other hand, has a 20.8 UZR at shortstop throughout his nine years in the big leagues.
The left side of the infield would be stellar defensively with Barmes at short and a combination of Josh Harrison and Brandon Wood at third, but it seems inevitable that the Pirates give top prospect Pedro Alvarez more time at third base prior to mulling a switch to first due to his defensive issues. Though if you’re prone to optimism, Barmes’ good range should limit the number of baseballs that Alvarez has to handle.
$5.25M per year is a bit much for a glove man with average (at best) offense at shortstop — especially for two years — but in an offseason that has seen Mark Ellis become a $4.5M commodity at second base, the Pirates didn’t overspend by much. After all, Barmes posted 3.1 WAR in 2011, which correlates to $14.1M on the open market.
Pittsburgh should obviously not expect Barmes to replicate his career-best season — as the ‘11 season was the first year he was worth more than 2.0 WAR — but he has been worth 7.4 WAR over the past four seasons. Pittsburgh likely had to guarantee a little more money than his competitors to get Barmes to overlook postseason contenders in Milwaukee and San Francisco, who were also reportedly involved in the mini-sweepstakes, but spending $5.25M per year on a two-win player is not exactly bad business.
Not to mention the Pirates’ starting rotation had the third-lowest strikeout rate in the majors last season and the seventh-highest ground ball rate (largely buoyed by Charlie Morton), so plus-defensive infielders will be even more valuable in terms of run prevention for the Pirates compared to the rest of the league.
Of course, the argument exists that the Pirates should avoid the free agent market and continue to develop the young talent in the organization. Chase D’Arnaud looked overmatched in his first cup of coffee in the majors, but perhaps the organization should see what they have in him before allocating $10.5M to a league-average shortstop on a team that is probably two or three years away from legitimate contention in the NL Central.
D’Arnaud, though, struggled defensively in 2011, and only hit .264/.328/.389 in Triple-A and .247/.331/.377 in Double-A over the past two seasons, respectively. He is a fringe major-league prospect and might stick as a utility infielder down the road, but is unlikely to be anything more. At the very least, he needs more seasoning at Triple-A.
Instead of giving the everyday job to D’Arnaud and watch him struggle, Pittsburgh opted to sign an underrated option at shortstop to solidify in infield defense and provide an offensive upgrade from Ronny Cedeno (which is not very difficult, to be fair). Barmes will not propel the Pirates to a postseason berth, but he will provide plus-defense and stability at shortstop without breaking the bank.
This is a nice little signing for Pittsburgh.
J.P. Breen is a graduate student at the University of Chicago. For analysis on the Brewers and fantasy baseball, you can follow him on Twitter (@JP_Breen).
I remember when the Rockies were trying to chose between Barmes and a rookie named Tulo-something
And none of these stats measure baseball IQ, which Ronny scores about negative 100. Its a pretty sizeable upgrade as long as his glove holds up to career norms.
In a vacuum I think the deal is alright. However, when they had a decent enough stop gap to their big prospect in Cedeno at 3M, giving Barmes more money and 2 years seems too much. D’Arnaud should be given a real shot at the latest to start in 2013 and that makes Barmes a utility guy. 5M isn’t bad for that role, but for a team like the Pirates it seems like an over payment if he ends up in that role half way thru the contract.
Of course it is an over pay. Bad teams nearly always overpay for free agents.
“$5.25M per year is a bit much for a glove man with average (at best) offense at shortstop — especially for two years”
I come to Fangraphs to avoid stupid generalizations based on skewed perceptions of what’s valuable in Baseball. This stands out especially because you refute yourself with the actual numbers just one sentence later:
“After all, Barmes posted 3.1 WAR in 2011, which correlates to $14.1M on the open market.”
I thought the same thing. They are paying him for just over 1 win per year, and he’s averaged 2 wins for the last four years. It may end up being a very good deal, assuming he plays at career norms.
You’re right. It’s the second coming of Tulo. Get your playoff tickets in now, Bucs fans!
Seriously, the stats belie an OK bat/good glove SS. And that’s a stupid generalization? Half of his WAR is due to his defense. His glove, and the fact that he doesn’t suck on defense…that’s his value. Did we really need to see 4 different advance metrics pointing this out to appease you?
And by ‘he doesn’t suck on defense’, I meant ‘he doesn’t suck on offense.’ The Onion regrets the error.
I’m not sure that you’re considering market value, which is what the author, Jim Breen (who?), was referring to.
FYI, Brandon Wood is now a member of the Rockies, not the Pirates. Signed a minor league deal a few days ago.
Noted. Thanks for the catch.
FYI: Brandon Wood is with Colorado. Pirates DFA’d him.
I’m worried about his power numbers.
http://www.hittrackeronline.com/detail.php?id=2011_3533&type=hitter
Pat from WHYGAVS tweeted this. Without the Crawford Boxes, PNC Park won’t be kind to Barmes. I see some major offensive struggles this year. If his defense blows up as well, we could be seeing another Matt Diaz/Lyle Overbay.
I’m not sure if I’m worried by this chart. He hit 5 at MMP. 5 at other NL Central parks (including 2 at PNC in 8 games played), 1 in Coors, and 1 in Petco. That looks like it should be fairly repeatable. Considering that charts like this don’t show doubles and triples that would have been HR’s in other parks, I wouldn’t expect too much of a power drop off.
As a Brewers fan this signing is frustrating… the Pirates will in all likelihood not contend for a couple more years as the article says. Overpaying for a league-average shortstop over 2 years where the team will not be a serious contender isn’t a terrible move. However, it does mean that a ‘right now’ contender like the Brewers or Giants were not able to get him at a more true value. This pushes the Giants and Brewers to either downgrade to a Yuni B or similar, or overspend on a player like Furcal or Reyes. Both the Giants and Brewers can’t afford to overpay a SS with so many other holes to fill.
As an Astros fan, I’ve been screaming that we needed to resign this guy in August for 2years/12M. If he plays 250 games over the next two seasons, this isn’t overpaying, it’s a steal. I don’t know how San Fancisco or Milwaukee couldn’t pony up a better deal.
If the Giants and Brewers have so many holes that they can’t afford to fill, maybe you’re being too generous calling them “right now” contenders? Your argument just sounds like you think the mediocre or bad teams shouldn’t attempt to make incremental improvements, but rather just stay out of the free agent pool to keep costs reasonable for the big boy teams.
“…sound like you think the mediocre or bad teams shouldn’t attempt to make incremental improvements, but rather just stay out of the free agent pool to keep costs reasonable for the big boy teams.”
Exactly. This is what the MLB’s problem is when you compare it to the NFL… the free agent market in baseball is controlled by the big boy teams. Making incremental improvements on a bad or mediocre team in MLB will get you nowhere. I call teams like the Giants or Brewers ‘right now’ teams because they are built to compete this year with only a few tweaks. These small tweaks become more expensive than they should be, is my argument.
As a Giants follower (not a fan until they get rid of Baer-Sabean-Bochy), I couldn’t agree more. The Giants will either break the bank for Reyes or Rollins (adding another $15M to their already wasted $41M for Rowand-Zito-Huff) or break the value of the team by signing someone like Betancourt.
If the Pirates could sign Barmes for $10.5, I can’t believe the Giants couldn’t have signed him for something similar, but apparently they never even considered him.
If the Bucs can add a 2+ WAR 1B they’re at least a .500 team in my opinion. streak is over baby
Good luck with that.
Very likely sub .500 next year, probably the year after next as well. 2014 looks like a good shot to break the streak (Brewers and Reds not as good then, Cubs better, Cards could go either way). Really depends on spending and aggressiveness of management.
Barnes will make more than Yunel Escobar will in any year of the contract he signed, and some of those years are club options. Amazing signing by AA.