Baseball Chat Transcript – Jason Collette
11:21 |
: Chat will begin at 11:30 ET — opening up now to get some questions in the queue
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11:30 |
Do you think Danny Duffy gets a spot in the Royals rotation anytime soon?
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11:31 |
Can you justify Josh Lueke’s roster spot for the Rays? Unless there is a compelling options-related reason or some explanation beyond that, I just can’t see it.
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11:32 |
I’m going to Progressive and PNC for the first time next week. Any suggestions?
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11:32 |
Reasonable ROY projections for Viciedo? 10-team mixed worthy?
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11:34 |
Anything to suggest Adam Dunn can keep it up this year?
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11:35 |
More concerning: Masterson’s disappearing velocity, or Salazar’s inability to adjust 2nd time thru the order?
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11:36 |
Will BJ Upton ever regain his Tampa Bay form?
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11:37 |
Jace Peterson getting the call? What are the chances he catches fire and steals a starting job of some kind in SD?
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11:39 |
Why isn’t ECab getting any steals? He’s hitting well, but not running and not scoring. Related – what was I thinking when I drafted the Padres MI?
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11:39 |
Machado or Bogaerts in a keeper league? Should I drop Archie Bradley for Salazar?
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11:40 |
Is Joey Gallo’s early season performance what we should expect from him from now on?
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11:41 |
Will Wil Myers turn it around?
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11:43 |
What the hell is wrong with me right now?
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11:44 |
Any reason to worry about Bumgarner? Last three starts have been kinda icky. All BABIP bad luck or is there an issue?
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11:45 |
Hi Jason. I’m in an 11-team AL-only league and I’ve been offered Wil Myers for my David Ortiz. Myers is cheap enough that I could keep him for the next three years, but I’m very much a contender this year so winning is my only objective. Would you make the deal? Thanks for your guidance!
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11:46 |
What would be a decent projection for the rest of the season for AJ Griffin? You think he is headed for surgery?
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11:46 |
Hey Jason. Thanks as always for doing the chat. What do you make of the Angels’ closing situation? I get that Frieri may lose his job, but are we really to expect Joe Smith to successfully take over? Any relievers you would target outside of Smith?
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11:47 |
When do you think Trevor Bauer gets called up? Would you roster him now in a 12-team, mixed?
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11:48 |
Joyce good enough as a Trumbo replacement? Also have Polanco waiting in the wings. Also – how long is too long to make Trumbo droppable?
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11:48 |
Just traded Swisher and Salazar for Frazier and Janssen in 12-team h2h 5×5 OBP league – needed 3B with Headley DL’d. How’d I do (assuming another 4 weeks for Janssen’s return)?
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11:50 |
Thoughts on Martin Perez? Sell high?
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11:51 |
Jason, I need to drop one of Ozuna, Aoki or Rajai Davis (to activate Victorino). It’s a 5×5 keeper and these are all part-time players for me (starters are Stanton, Kemp, Jennings and Victorino).
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11:52 |
Is there any measure for manager WAR? Perhaps it would be WBO (wins below optimum) with poor lineup construction (BJ Upton batting 2nd, anyone?) and sac bunting (calling Ron Washington) examples of manager decisions which are considered sub-optimal?
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11:53 |
Hey Jason, would you rather have Bauer or Keuchel rest of season? Thanks!
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11:54 |
Would you pick up Jim Henderson off the waivers?
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11:55 |
I’ve got Alexei Ramirez and JJ Hardy at SS. Sell high on Ramirez and hope Hardy bounces back? Or is Ramirez the real deal?
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11:55 |
Start Ubaldo tonight against KC? How about Hudson against Cleveland?
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11:56 |
Would you consider Stras a disappointment considering he got hyped up on what Kershaw should be doing
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11:57 |
Hoping to find the next Jose Fernandez in my NL-only league (prospect pitcher I can pluck off the waiver wire, Bradley already scooped up) Heaney, Wisler, Gray, Butler…Who has most impact this season?
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11:57 |
Just traded Alfredo Simon and Joe Smith for Alex Gordon. With the open roster sport, should I pick up Heaney or Bauer?
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12:00 |
How do you feel about Dave Cameron blasting the Rays stadium on a podcast when he’s never even been there? Is it really that bad?
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12:01 |
Why are the Nats overrated by writers and analyst every year. Is it possible the 2012 run was a fluke?
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12:02 |
Indians’ broadcasters talked about how young Yan Gomes is and that maybe Danny Salazar would be helped by a more experienced catcher. You buy it?
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12:04 |
Too early to put Sonny Gray into the Cy Young conversation?
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12:06 |
What’s going on with Danny Salazar?
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12:07 |
re:Joyce Why wouldn’t a player continue something that works?
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12:07 |
Probably foolish to hope to see Polanco in Pittsburgh before June, isn’t it?
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12:09 |
How confident are you that Tanaka keeps this up this level of pitching for years to come? OK maybe not quite THIS level, but something close to it.
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12:10 |
How much weight do you give the increased Ks overall in MLB to the increased emphasis on OBP? Meaning batters are running deeper counts putting them in a better position to both K and BB?
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12:10 |
I’m sitting on an offer of Fielder for my Kimbrel (straight up). It’s a keeper league and Fielder would have to be let go at the end of the year, but Kimbrel has two more years of control. Take the trade?
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12:11 |
Is Duda a decent replacement for Trumbo? When do you think Trumbo will be back?
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12:12 |
Should a manager sit a high OBP guy like Choo against same-handed pitching in favor of a lesser hitter who has a platoon advantage? In other words, when does low ceiling trump high floor?
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12:13 |
Where will Mesoraco rank offensively among NL catchers at the end of the season?
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12:14 |
Just wanted to comment that the article on Myers is FANTASTIC, why can’t we e-mail or send some of these photos over to teams?
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12:15 |
over/under: cards hitting more than 100 homeruns this season
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12:15 |
Why am I not leading off?
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12:16 |
Do you think Machado will really move to SS to replace Hardy?
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12:17 |
Coco Crisp – BB rate increasing dramatically, can he keep up a 15% BB rate the rest of the season?
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12:17 |
What’s Freddie Freeman’s ceiling? First round guy in fantasy?
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12:19 |
Is Cueto the epitome of sell-high or is this sustainable?
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12:20 |
Carlos Santana… Will he turn things around at all? Or is this the norm?
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12:21 |
The Red Sox have a roughly equal chance of making the playoffs (48.8%) as any one of HOU(.1)+MIN(1.0)+CHC(1.5)+ARI(2.6)+NYM(5)+CHW(5.2)+FLM(6.2)+SEA(11.9)+PHI(13.7)=47.2. Fun fact, eh? Throw in BAL (14.2) and the Padres (16.6), and you get 78%, roughly the odds on the Dodgers, 80.8%
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12:23 |
Marte’s K rate alarming? What to expect ROS.
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12:24 |
Re Machado: Where is his stock at now that it looks like his return date is set? Are you buying, selling or holding?
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12:25 |
What divisional pre-season predictions of yours have changed thus far in the season?
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12:26 |
i know plenty of people think kazmir is a sell-high guy, but so far he looks pretty amazing. am i missing something?
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12:26 |
In a keeper league is Braun ($$$$) for Springer ($)doable?
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12:26 |
12 team keeper – Carlos Gomez or Sonny Gray and Chris Archer
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12:27 |
Am I just pressing or are there real issues here to worry about?
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12:27 |
For anyone that didn’t see it… http://www.nytimes.com/inte… |
12:28 |
You think Alex Wood keeps this up? Should I sell high?
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12:30 |
Are The Red Sox just asking for trouble with this pine tar incident? Is greaseball Buccholz going to be suspiciously clean the next time he takes the mound?
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12:31 |
Need to decide on my 10th starter for this Sunday – Salazar at SF or Richards at NYY? Points league but only 1/2 point for Ks.
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12:31 |
Salazar to the bench for now?
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12:32 |
Who gets bumped when Minor is back?
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12:32 |
Kluber, Smyly, Skaggs, Kennedy, Pineda, Beckett – rank em 12-team 5×5 ROS. Thanks!
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12:33 |
Where is the Myers article?
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12:33 |
Any chance Gibson can be as good as his potential was supposed to be pre-Tommy John?
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12:34 |
Edinson Volquez the latest Pitt reclamation success story?
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12:35 |
JC, do I start Kuroda at home v. LAA? I’m split. He’s fared well against them in the past but… Thanks.
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12:36 |
Allen Craig or Pablo Sandoval ROS for a corner infield spot in OPS league?
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12:36 |
Who wins the East, then? Seems like the Braves in the NL, but the AL?
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12:37 |
Thoughts on Brandon Maurer? They are stretching him out to start games and accepting 4-5 innings. With Erasmo sent down, does he stick if he can get into the 6th?
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12:37 |
Least likely to keep this up: Hudson, Kazmir, or Cueto?
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12:37 |
joe mauer strikning out more this season. a result of trying to hit for more power?
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12:38 |
Your best guess at an ETA for Singleton?
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12:39 |
Best stash: Montero, Jon Gray, Syndergaard or Bundy?
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12:39 |
fantasy purposes, Encarnacian for Harper, who do you like more?
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12:40 |
How would you rank the buzzed-about pitchers this April: Eovaldi, Chavez, Richards, Mejia, Kluber in terms of ROS roto value?
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12:40 |
Did I shoot J.R?
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12:40 |
Does Nate Jones still have value in AL only? That pen is still a mess, right?
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12:41 |
In an AL only, I’m offering Kazmir, Myers Kendrick and Butler for cosart nava flaherty and Miguel Cabrera? Is that offering too much, or not enough?
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12:42 |
I’m looking for batter specific pitch f/x style ball/strike charts. I know they exist, but I seem to only find matchup specific charts, and not a composite chart. Any help?
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12:42 |
I’ve never participated in one of your chats before. Even if this doesn’t get posted to the chat, I just wanted to say thanks. Your answers are better than others.
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12:43 |
A penny for your thoughts on the fate of Jeff Samardzija – what’s he worth and who gets him in July?
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12:45 |
the closer situation is just absurd. In some leagues I went closer-light and don’t have any, in others I went closer heavy and the ratios in both the replacements and the regulars are killing. how do u handle this? I am down to picking expected closers–melancon, tazawa because i am tired of the 1/3 inning, 9 whip and 27 ERA. please help.
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12:45 |
Carlos Carrasco or Brad Peacock today? Hot shower afterwards.
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12:46 |
Listening to sleeper and the bust while chatting with you. next level stuff
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12:49 |
Whats the news on Kyuji Fujikawa? Last I heard he left the mound hurt. Any chance on him still making it back by the allstar break? And is he closing games this year with how bad the others have performed?
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12:49 |
What’s up with Pedro Alvarez? Is his BABIP extraordinarily low?
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12:50 |
When are you moving to Charlotte again? Need to hit up a Knights game!
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12:51 |
S&B podcast today?
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12:52 |
Whats your opinion on pine tar?
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12:53 |
14-team mixed: C. Blackmon for M. Perez-B. Lawrie?
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12:54 |
Front runners in the Al for the Cy young?
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12:54 |
Brad Miller – think he’s still capable of .270 15/15/85r? Hope so, he’s all i gots left :(.
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12:55 |
HQ podcast suggested that finesse guys tend to do better in April and there was some research to prove it. Make sense to you? And could it explain Martin Perez?
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12:56 |
Would ths be a good time for someone to buy low on Billy Butler or do you think he’s done? Do the Royals have an internal candidate to replace him? Could they sign Kendrys Morales?
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12:56 |
Trade my Profar for G. Polanco?
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12:57 |
14 team mixed. Who do I drop first, Lincecum or Buchholz
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12:57 |
Do you view Jose Abreu as a sell high guy?
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12:57 |
Do you think the contract Doolittle received is a precursor to move him into the closer role?
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12:58 |
Drop me for T. Wood? Bad match-up with the Brewers this weekend?
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12:58 |
What is Andrelton Simmons long term offensive potential? 290 20 homers?
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12:59 |
Is it time to panic yet on Gyorko and Heyward
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12:59 |
Odds that Johnson becomes the full-time closer again in Oakland?
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12:59 |
Do you buy the narrative that Grilli’s injury from last year has permanently damaged him? Or will we be able to trust him again soon?
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1:00 |
Jose Abreu – top 5 1b? Is a 35/110/.280 line fair for him this year?
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1:00 |
: That’s it for today, folks. The next podcast records later today, and Eno, Nick, and myself thank you for your continued support!
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Nice job! Love the chats at Fangraphs!