Brewing with Gas: Evaluating Jett Williams and Brandon Sproat

Brad Penner and Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Last night, the Brewers and Mets swung a big trade. Milwaukee sent staff ace Freddy Peralta, along with righty Tobias Myers, to Queens in exchange for two Top 100 prospects in Brandon Sproat and Jett Williams. Both are near-ready contributors who grade out as 50 FVs and slot into Milwaukee’s farm system as the club’s third- and fourth-best prospects, respectively. Sproat projects as a mid-rotation starter, while Williams is a middle-of-the-diamond player with an as-yet undetermined defensive home. Davy Andrews wrote up New York’s side of the swap. Here, we’ll take a look at the youngsters heading to the Midwest.

Let’s start with Sproat. After selecting the righty in the third round in 2022 and then failing to sign him, the Mets went back to the well a round earlier the following season. This time they got their man, and the former Florida Gator took to pro ball quickly. He posted a 3.40 ERA with 131 strikeouts in 116.1 innings in 2024, with solid walk and contact-management metrics alongside. He capped the year with seven starts at Triple-A, and while those were mostly forgettable, he entered 2025 as the club’s top farmhand and one of the brightest pitching prospects in baseball.

He then battled through an uneven 2025 campaign. He started slowly, with a new, less deceptive motion, and missed significantly fewer bats in the first half of the season than he had the year prior. Still, the traits that long made Sproat an enticing prospect mostly endured, as he was still sitting in the mid-to-upper 90s and mixing in a plus breaking ball. He righted the ship in July and saved some of his best baseball for the latter part of August, a run of form that culminated in his first big league call-up.

Sproat’s four starts for the Mets were a mixed bag. He tossed six shutout innings without a walk against the Rangers and didn’t allow a dinger across 21 total innings of work. But Sproat also had outings where he looked green, and his inability to hit his spots led to long counts and a couple of short starts. On the balance, there was more good than bad — he posted a 2.80 FIP across those 21 frames — but regardless of your priors on Sproat, he found ways to confirm them.

Sproat works with six pitches, including both fastballs. He can crest 100 but tends to live in the 95-97 mph range. His four-seamer doesn’t have bat-missing shape and plays a little below the number. His sinker is more effective. While he doesn’t command it very well — his catchers tend to set up down the middle and hope he finds one side of the plate or the other — plus velocity and above-average tail tend to produce a lot of grounders regardless of where they wind up.

His secondaries flash but, as with his fastball command, inconsistency abounds. He’ll show a plus sweeper with long, hard break, and he actually seems to have better feel for locating this than the heat. His low-90s change flashes plus once in a while too; at other times, he’ll either overthrow and flatten it, or pull the string too early and bury it harmlessly in the dirt. The story is similar for his slider and especially his curve, pitches that can be part of a balanced arsenal, but that often don’t behave as he wants.

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It’s hard to develop feel for so many weapons, and Sproat’s long, deep arm circle doesn’t help. He’s strong and athletic but, particularly with how much his ball moves, small variations in his timing can lead to significant misses, and he wasn’t reliably hitting a region, much less a spot, in his big league outings. Sproat is generally around the plate, but he’s a good example of a guy whose control is well ahead of his command.

While Sproat ultimately projects as a no. 3 starter, there is a little push and pull in how this could go. Oftentimes guys who don’t command the ball well turn into inefficient, five-and-dive types. But even when he isn’t sharp, Sproat can still hit the box more often than most guys with below-average command, and you can imagine him gutting through outings by leaning on his sinker to induce weak contact. The aforementioned stretch where he didn’t miss bats is a little concerning, however, and while it’s not time to whisper about the bullpen yet, you can see a scenario in which he alternates gems and clunkers in a frustrating, backend starter sort of way.

But the stuff is also good enough to support a no. 2 profile if he finds his way to average command. While not likely, it isn’t out of the question, either. Might there be a way to shorten his arm path? Could a slightly narrowed arsenal key a step forward with the rest of the mix? He’s changed his delivery before; perhaps another adjustment will be the tonic. Given Milwaukee’s lengthy track record of developing starting pitchers, he’s in a great place to find out.

Turning to Williams, this past summer, Sam Miller persuasively argued that Milwaukee, as a team, succeeds in part by leveraging the value of running and playing hard in an increasingly no-hustle league. He estimated that, by having fast players who barrel down the line and turn routine groundouts and forces on the bases into contested plays, the Brewers bought themselves an extra out per game last year, a small-sounding margin that adds up quite a bit over the course of a season. In Williams, Milwaukee has found another player who perfectly suits this system.

Like several players already in the lineup, Williams is fast, a plus runner. And like all of those players, he’s a high-motor guy who digs out of the box and plays hard in all facets. He steals bases (34 last year), legs out singles, and can take an extra base on a gapper. As a bonus, he has a little more pop than most of his new teammates: Both his max and 90th-percentile exit velocities were average, and he may yet have another half-gear in him. His swing and approach are geared for damage, and we’re projecting average in-game power to go along with everything else.

There are a few markers that suggest Williams’ hit tool will mature south of average. He has a steep swing plane and there isn’t much manipulation in the path. He also swings hard — not recklessly so, but with enough effort to think that he’s compromising his barrel feel a tick to squeeze out as much power as his frame will allow. He has a fast bat and short levers, which helps but doesn’t fully compensate for everything else.

We saw some of the consequences during his bumpy stretch at Triple-A Syracuse, where he often missed well-executed fastballs pretty badly. And, like a lot of fast guys accustomed to legging out infield hits in the low minors, we also saw how better infield defenders can turn some of those soft-contact singles into outs. He hit a solid .281/.390/.477 (156 wRC+) at Double-A Binghamton, but his line dipped markedly at Syracuse, where he hit .209/.285/.433 (81 wRC+); big league defenders will further eat into those margins. Statistically, his strikeout and contact rates — 23% and 75% last year, respectively — are tolerable but lend support to a below-average hit-tool projection.

We’re still working out where Williams belongs defensively. He’s played plenty in center field and at both middle infield spots, and the emerging consensus is that he’s playable, if not special, at both center and short. That versatility is a positive for the Brewers. They like to mix and match in the outfield and, perhaps more pertinently, now have an in-house alternative at short if Joey Ortiz’s bat doesn’t bounce back in 2026. Williams isn’t fully developed at either spot — his hands and throwing accuracy are just fair at short, and his feel for center is a work in progress — but he’s also young and has split his attention between spots. There’s runway for improvement with experience, enough to justify a 50 defensive grade even with so much up in the air.

Taken together, this all feels like a good fit. Nobody’s a sure thing, and there’s enough hit tool risk to make Williams less of one than plenty of other enticing prospects. Still, he’s done enough in the minors to project a viable big league bat, and even if he’s more of a 30- or 35-hitter, he has enough secondary skills to play a very useful utility role — particularly on a team adept at putting its players in spots where they excel.





Brendan covers prospects and the minor leagues for FanGraphs. Previously he worked as a Pro Scout for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

32 Comments
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g4Member since 2020
5 months ago

It’ll be interesting to see how the Brewers approach Jett’s defensive development. Cooper Pratt is/was ticketed to be the AAA shortstop, and Made (AA) is everybody’s preferred long-term solution regardless. Logistics would seem to dictate putting Jett in center from the jump in the hopes he can improve rapidly with focused reps.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  g4

I wouldn’t even bother sending him out at shortstop. He’s either a second baseman or a center fielder and he needs reps at one of those two positions every day he is in the lineup.

It does feel like center field is the more obvious place if they want to get him to the majors faster. Their outfield situation is a little up in the air because Garrett Mitchell is a near-permanent fixture on the injured list and Blake Perkins can’t hit. They could theoretically trade Turang to make space for him at second base but he’s under contract for a while so it seems like trading him after 2026 is a bit early? And with Pratt, Made, and maybe Fischer and Pena they will almost certainly have more competition in the infield than the outfield.

manuscriptMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Agree. The IF depth is a full boat. Run him in the OF where he’s more likely to help at the MLB level soon and give the other kids space to grown in AA and AAA.

ChapelHeel66Member since 2018
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Plus, he slots as the #4 prospect, and #1 and #2 are also middle infielders only another year or two away (Made is a potential superstar).

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  ChapelHeel66

Pena is a super interesting prospect but there’s no guarantee he sticks in the infield or makes it to MLB in a starting role. I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Williams become the starter in center field in 2027 and getting pushed by Pena there in 2029.

g4Member since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  ChapelHeel66

Offering Pena to the Twins should get them a large chunk of the way toward acquiring Joe Ryan. Brewers won’t do it because they probably don’t neeeeeeed Ryan to make the playoffs, but come October they are once again going to be scrambling to overcome their lack of frontline SP. Of course, even more than pitching they need a middle-of-the-order thumper, but there’s zilch on the trade market right now. (Abrams is a bad fit — can’t hack it at SS, too unknown in CF.)

With this many well-regarded prospects, the Crew should be serious players for midseason acquisitions. I’ll be keeping an eye on Royce Lewis (if healthy, ugh).

dkaletaMember since 2016
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

99% sure- they are not trading Turang. If he wants to stay he will be a Brewer. They trade pitchers because of the volatility that makes them a bad investment.

nathanjMember since 2024
5 months ago
Reply to  dkaleta

Turang will be an interesting extension candidate. I think there’s a 60% chance they extend him for the first couple years of his potential free agency.

slz
5 months ago
Reply to  g4

An interesting thing reading about how the Brewers play in this article is that they struck me as the MLB version of the NHL’s Carolina Hurricanes. The Canes cruise through the regular season every year playing a very high-effort, 100% give it their all night in night out system with precisely zero guys other teams would consider capital S Superstars and yet they manage to grind out a comfortable Playoff appearance every season (and, less like the Brewers, even typically win the first Series) with their team of underappreciated, undersized young tryhards. And then they always hit a hard Wall when they run into a team that is also trying 100% now that it’s the Postseason and also happens to have those Superstars

The Canes tried an against the grain trade for one of those Superstars last year and he didnt take very well to the tryharding so he got repackaged for possibly the most tryhard player of all time – a 5’7 22 year old utility guy who isnt even that fast but looks it because he’s tiny and zips around the ice at full effort annoying the heck out of everyone all the time but he does have oddly low shooting percentages (call it NHLs version of babip) I imagine because he just quite simply is physically challenged at the point of attack

Then they signed him to a long extension and made him their 2nd center, which would be a bit like Milwaukee anointing Jett Williams their starting shortstop. It doesnt make a lot of sense and you can tell when that Wall is gonna pop up he’s probably not the guy who will scale it even if he’ll make it further than you’d think but it’s also kind of the best way to make use of his talents while they have no one better there in the mean time – the guy he replaced is in the dog house after multiple failed attempts to make it work. Is that similar to the Brewers’ situation with Joey Ortiz after his bat cratered last year? Well, maybe it would be if he repeats that performance

I believe there’s real concern about Jett’s hit tool and he’d be challenged at short defensively but I also bet Milwaukee is more likely than New York to live with a year or two of an ugly but passable batting line with a low batting average but just enough OBP and power as long as he can be just a smidge above scratch at Short, even if there’s some booted balls and errant throws along the way. They dont have a psychotic opposing fanbase who is going to clip every mistake and post it on Xitter like what happened with Volpe last year. The question is, can he do that?

I dont really think any of his possible positions make sense otherwise. He’s not gonna beat out Turang and I think pretty much every aspect of his profile is a grade down from Garrett Mitchell if you stick him in the outfield. Then he’s just a UTIL but what use is a UTIL when you already have a team of UTILs? Thus the problem Carolina has if Logan Stankoven doesnt work out as a Center. Jett probably has to be a SS to make it work as a Brewer

Last edited 5 months ago by slz
juju
5 months ago
Reply to  slz

It works only when you exaggerate what fits and not mention what is not fitting.
1) The idea that its just the Brewers who are trying in the regular season and other teams starts to play 100% only in playoffs is ridiculous.
2) Its not true Brewers have only 5´7´´ utility players and they never have superstars. They literally had league MVP and CY Young winner during those playoff years and other star players like Woodruff, Peralta, Hader, Williams, Cain, Adames or Contreras
3) This speedy small players might be their identity now, but they are not rigid in this and evolving. First few years of this playoff dynasty they had power over contact/fielding guys everywhere with players like Thames, Aguillar, Shaw, Moustakas, Hiura, Grandal, Braun, A. Garcia, Renfroe… They even used Shaw and Moustakas at 2B and Avisail Garcia in CF.
4) Its like the “they always have good pitching but bad hitting narative” but for exmaple in 2018 they won 96 games with Jhoulys Chacin as their ace or in 2019 when Zach Davies was their no. 2 starter.

nathanjMember since 2024
5 months ago
Reply to  slz

The Brewers have had some bad luck in the playoffs. Between Hader and Devin Williams, they blew games that would have won series (2019 to Nats, 2024 Mets) or lost the series instead of tying (2021 Braves). They’re 2-7 in playoff series, but when you bring the Reliever of the Year to close out a series, you’re hoping that’d either be 5-4 or 4-5. I know the 2025 Brewers season was successful, but the offense wasn’t the same after the 19 games over 18 days starting in mid-August. A lot of players seemed to have nagging injuries after that.

sandwiches4everMember since 2019
5 months ago

When I saw the Peralta headline, my first thought was “I will be truly shocked if Jett Williams isn’t in the Brewers organization now.” Jett Williams is a super-charged version of Caleb Durbin, who is also about as Brewers as players get.

Michael ConteMember since 2020
5 months ago

Now THIS piece on the trade is fantastic

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago

Sproat is the key to this deal for the Brewers. The Mets seem to have run out of ideas for what to do with Sproat but in 2024 hitters we’re totally unable to deal with him, he has 3 plus pitches, and he throws *hard*. He had a case for being a 60 at the end of 2024, and obviously he isn’t that now, but the upside is there.

The Brewers have a ton of experience with guys like this, and I think he starts in AAA, dropping a pitch or two so he can focus on the rest and developing his command. Maybe he’s ready to go at midseason once the injuries finally become an issue for the rotation. I understand why the Mets were more interested in trading him than Tong but I think Sproat is a great fit for the Brewers and there’s a (small) chance he winds up better than Peralta.

slz
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Hmm, I wonder if Stearns sees Sproat and Myers as marginally not that far apart in terms of usefulness to his organization while the Brewers do view him as the guy who will replace Peralta…even if it might take a couple years to develop into that

The trade probably hinges on who has the better assessment of the arms between Arnold and his mentor

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  slz

I think in terms of 2026 there isn’t a huge difference in terms of usefulness. Sproat is probably better in 2026 but I don’t think either one would throw more than 50 innings for the Mets this year.

Myers is a bit of an overachiever and he has an option so he can be a guy who keeps the rotation afloat when their guys all start missing time. I don’t see how he has a future on the Mets after that option year is done though. Long term he’s probably going to wind up on a team that has traded all its depth for help now like the Astros and he’ll do fine stabilizing that last spot in the rotation, and he has a ton of time before he hits free agency.

nathanjMember since 2024
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Totally agree. This isn’t 2025 Brewers that needed a Quintana type to get through the regular season. With Myers, he’s just sort of buried in Milwaukee SP depth behind the Miz, Henderson, Gasser, Patrick, and Crow (only Patrick was ready for MLB spring 2025). They probably want that 40 man spot to be a full time RP to shuttle between AAA & Milwaukee this summer.

frankMember since 2025
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

“I think Sproat is a great fit for the Brewers and there’s a (small) chance he winds up better than Peralta.” This …

And in addition, the Brewers got Jett, who IMHO has a better than even chance of developing into a regular.

All for 1 year of Peralta, plus Myers. That’s a tall price, though the NYM put more of a premium on this year, and can afford it if this turns out to be a mistake.

docgooden85Member since 2018
5 months ago

I was more excited for this deal before i saw Peralta’s 2.6 WAR ZIPS projection. And I’m not super high on Sproat, although I might be above average on Jett. But I understand why both sides did it.

P.S. “Jet” is the best Wings song. It’s very Paul being Paul, but with a synthesizer.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  docgooden85

It is a lot to give up for one year of a #3 starter, but that’s the premium you pay when the other side can hang up the phone.

Sonny LMember since 2017
5 months ago
Reply to  docgooden85

I’m partial to Let Me Roll It but I like the Paul songs that sound like John songs and vice versa

JustinMember since 2025
5 months ago

Great writeup Brendan, thank you. I’m excited to see what they do with Jett. He sounds like a “Brewers Guy” if ever there was one.

treebeardedMember since 2019
5 months ago

Interesting take on Jett – as a Mets fan, I was fine giving up Sproat, though I still think 6 years of Sproat is better than 1 year of Peralta, but I was pretty bummed to see Jett go too. Interesting to hear that he might realistically be a 30-35 FV hitter, which certainly makes now a good time to trade him, before that prognostication comes true. I do love his scrappy hustle (though isn’t that what we say about all short guys?), although this realistic analysis of his hit tool and how improved defense will cut into his hits makes losing him more palatable.

Thanks for easing my mental burden!

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  treebearded

I don’t think anyone has an idea of how this will work for Williams. Ozzie Albies and Jose Altuve and Jose Ramirez don’t need to swing this hard to get power, and the trade off means he isn’t likely to hit 30 homers in a season or strike out as little as those guys. Defensively he fits the same mold as CJ Abrams or Billy Hamilton as a guy who just makes more sense in the outfield, but he doesn’t possess the same speed as either of them.

This makes the tools pretty average across the board despite the strange nature of how he gets there. Offensively I think you’re looking at about a league average hitter whose statline doesn’t stand out anywhere despite the weird nature of his tools. The one exception is that strikeouts will probably be a little elevated. That kind of bat plays every day in center field (or second base).

grandbranyanMember since 2017
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Looking thru recent small guy production and I think the best comp might be something like circa 2022-25 Cedric Mullins Jr. at 2124 PA of 101 wRC+ with +11.7 BSR | +2.7 DEF for 9.0 WAR.

Mullins has a 104 BB+ | 98 AVG+ | 106 ISO+ under the hood of that 101 wRC+, could see Jett being a little more walk/power leaning with a correspondingly lower average.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  grandbranyan

I just don’t see him playing like any of the little guys. In the current run environment he’ll probably hit 15-20 homers, steal 15-20 bases, strike out about 30% of the time, walk about 8% of the time, and have a thoroughly unremarkable BABIP. If everything clicks he could cut his K-rate in by a third or run high BABIPs and be a star, and it’s possible he won’t get to his power at all and then he’s a backup. But it’s hard to see him boosting his power beyond 25 homers a year annually. He doesn’t play like a little guy, he plays like an average framed MLB player with 40 bat control.

docgooden85Member since 2018
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

“probably hit 15-20 homers, steal 15-20 bases, strike out about 30% of the time, walk about 8% of the time, and have a thoroughly unremarkable BABIP”

I would have guessed Dylan Crews if this was a guess-the-player. That would be a good outcome for Lil Jett.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
5 months ago
Reply to  docgooden85

Yeah if you look at the Steamer projection for Crews for next year I think there’s a lot there that translates. I think he probably runs a higher BABIP and strikeout rate than that, and that defensive projection doesn’t translate because it think he will be in a corner. But otherwise I think this is pretty close to the median outcome for Jett Williams.

treebeardedMember since 2019
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

All fair points. I did get to see Jett in person this year, and he certainly passed the eye test. Made loud contact and played hard. But that’s a small sample size of one game. He seems like what, in the NBA, they call a “tweener.” If we extend Peralta, it’ll be even better.

Dmjn53
5 months ago
Reply to  treebearded

Williams is obviously a good prospect, but he’s also the kind of prospect that casual fans overrate because
A) he steals bases
B) he’s 5’7
C) the combo of A and B gives him an old school feel even though he’s power over hit
D) he has an absolute 80 grade name

OnWI1933Member since 2016
5 months ago

Thanks for the article. And fwiw would not be surprised if Jett is in center by mid-May once Mitchell gets hurt again.

johansantana17Member since 2026
5 months ago

I like this a lot for Milwaukee.