Projecting Alex Jackson, Max Povse and Rob Whalen
Here are the prospects changing hands in last night’s deal between Seattle and Atlanta as evaluated by KATOH projection system. KATOH+ represents a player’s WAR projection over his first six years in the majors and includes said player’s Baseball America’s ranking as a variable.
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Alex Jackson, RF, Atlanta
Jackson has struggled to make contact ever since the Mariners popped him sixth overall back in 2014. He hit decently in his second crack at Low-A last year, but KATOH is alarmed by his 27% strikeout rate. The fact that he’s a right fielder who neither steals bases nor grades out well defensively also hurts his case. He’s hit for decent power, but the statistical negatives far outweigh the positives. Of course, Jackson was viewed as one of the best prospects in the country a mere two-and-a-half years ago, so it’s likely he still has some potential that isn’t showing up in his on-field performance. The traditional KATOH also projects him for 0.4 WAR.
KATOH+ Projection for first six years: 0.4 WAR
Rank | Name | Mah Dist | KATOH+ | Actual WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mike Little | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
2 | DaRond Stovall | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
3 | Tim McClinton | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
4 | Joe Hamilton | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
5 | Warner Madrigal | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
6 | Mike Wilson | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
7 | Eli Tintor | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
8 | Yamil Benitez | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
9 | J.R. Mounts | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
10 | Joe Mathis | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |