Celebrating Jacoby Ellsbury
Last Wednesday, the New York Yankees released Jacoby Ellsbury, cutting ties with the oft-injured outfielder even though he still had a year and more than $26 million left on his long-term deal. The Yankees are trying to worm their way out of that commitment, on the somewhat dubious premise that he received treatment from an unapproved physician, so the drama isn’t quite over yet. Either way though, he’s played his last game in New York. Along with Greg Bird and Nester Cortes Jr., Ellsbury was released in order to clear roster space for younger prospects.
By any measure, Ellsbury’s time in the Bronx was a disappointment. He played 120 games only twice, topped the three-win mark just once, and started four playoff games during his tenure. His first season was promising: He took advantage of Yankee Stadium’s short porch in right and parked 16 homers, the second-highest total of his career, en route to a 3.6 WAR season. But injuries and age soon caught up with him. While he retained most his speed and wits on the bases, starting in 2015, his production at the plate dipped noticeably. After falling out of the lineup in 2017, Ellsbury missed the entire 2018 season recovering from an oblique strain and a torn labrum in his hip, and then all of last year while batting plantar fasciitis. He was not expected to contribute significantly to the 2020 Yankees had he remained part of the roster.
In the wake of his release, there have been a few pieces speculating about where Ellsbury ranks on New York’s list of biggest free agent busts. That’s as unfair as it is uncharitable for a player who was pretty good in pinstripes before injuries kept him away from the field.
More to the point, there’s far more about Ellsbury’s career to celebrate than to lament. At his best, he was a breathtaking center fielder and one of the most exciting baserunners in recent memory. His 343 career steals are the seventh-most of any player this century, an impressive total even without considering that he stole successfully more than 82% of the time. He was a big part of two World Series winners and his out-of-nowhere power spike in 2011 fueled one of the best individual seasons of the decade. He stole home not once but twice, and set a major league record by reaching base 30 times on catcher’s interference. He was good, he was fun, and if this is the end for Ellsbury, we’re lucky to have seen him play.
A first-round pick back in 2005, Ellsbury burst onto the scene down the stretch in 2007, hitting .353/.394/.509 in 33 games, and helping the Red Sox to their first divisional crown since 1995. After starting the postseason on the bench, he cracked the starting lineup for Games 6 and 7 of the ALCS, notching a hit in each game as Boston overcame a 3-1 series disadvantage against Cleveland. He stayed in the lineup for the World Series, where he hit .438 with four doubles in a sweep against the Rockies. More importantly for his long-term notoriety, he also stole the base in Game 2 that gave everyone in America a free taco, temporarily earning him the moniker “Tacoby Bellsbury.”
The first phase of Ellsbury’s career was characterized more by his legs than his bat. He led the American League in steals in 2008 with 50 and then paced the majors with 70 in 2009 – a mark nobody has topped since. Alongside, he played good defense in a cavernous outfield while reaching base often enough to provide value at the plate. In 2010, he suffered the first of many significant injuries when he crashed into Adrián Beltré and fractured four ribs. The damage and subsequent recurring rib problems limited him to 18 games.
Healthy again in 2011, Ellsbury put together his finest campaign. He hit .321/.376/.521, good for a 150 wRC+. That, 39 steals, and tremendous defense in the outfield fueled a 9.5 WAR season, the seventh-best anyone had in the 2010s. The only other players to top 9 WAR over a single season this decade are Mookie Betts, Jacob deGrom, Bryce Harper, Buster Posey, and Mike Trout.
It was also an odd season. Ellsbury socked 32 homers that year, twice as many as he hit in any other campaign, and 23 more than his previous career high. But Ellsbury’s career season was ultimately just a footnote for Boston, a preseason World Series favorite that collapsed down the stretch. The Red Sox entered the final month with a small lead in the AL East and held a nine-game cushion for a Wild Card spot as late as September 3, but went 6-18 the rest of the way and missed the playoffs entirely. None of it was Ellsbury’s fault: He hit .358/.400/.667 with eight homers in September, including a memorable 14th-inning three-run shot in Game 159 that seemed like it would help Boston save face and sneak into the playoffs. Alas, it wasn’t to be.
After an injury-shortened 2012, Ellsbury rebounded to post his second most productive season in 2013. He produced a 112 wRC+ and again led the AL in steals, swiping 52 bags in 56 tries. That May, he set a franchise record by stealing five bases in a single game against the Phillies. As in 2007, he played a big role in the playoffs, batting .343 as the Red Sox rolled to their second title of Ellsbury’s tenure.
Barely a month after winning the World Series, Ellsbury signed with the Yankees. His arrival dovetailed with a transitional period for the Bombers, as 2014 was New York’s first season without Robinson Canó and last with Derek Jeter. His time in the Big Apple wasn’t without its bright spots: In his first game back at Fenway, he doubled, tripled, and made a diving catch. He also stole home for the second time in his career in 2016:
And then a month later, in the play that perhaps best encapsulates Ellsbury’s signature combination of speed, instincts, bravery, and knack for arriving milliseconds ahead of a tag, he took two bases on a pitch that went to the backstop.
Ultimately though, Ellsbury’s tenure in New York was defined less by what he did on the field than how much time he spent off of it. A knee sprain in 2015 and a concussion two years later sidelined him nearly 40 games apiece, the latter of which effectively pushed him out of a starting role. Had he played in 2018 or 2019, it’s hard to imagine he’d have seen the field a whole lot.
The perception that Ellsbury’s production fell short of his talent was not unique to his time in New York. As is the curse for many graceful athletes, Ellsbury’s seemingly effortless movement belied extraordinary athleticism and intelligence on the field, and often left observers expecting more. Fairly or (mostly) not, his career is defined by a series of ifs and whys: How many bases he could have stolen if he stayed healthy? Why did such a great athlete spend so much time on the shelf? And why didn’t he hit for power more often? Most star athletes have a knack for sparking enthusiasm and wonder; Ellsbury seemingly belongs to a different group, the kind of players who dazzle any number of ways and yet are asked why they couldn’t just do it all a bit more regularly.
Wherever Ellsbury goes from here, he’s pretty clearly in the December of his career. At 36, he’s not too old to play, but he hasn’t featured in a major or minor league game since 2017, and the list of players who have returned from two years of inaction at his age is quite short indeed. He could certainly get an invitation to spring training from someone, though it’s hard to imagine him turning that into anything more than a bench role.
Regardless, if this is the end it’s been a good ride. He wasn’t the best player of his generation, but at his best he was one of them, and he left us with a diverse and extensive highlight reel. The game will be worse without a little Jacoby Ellsbury in it.
Brendan covers prospects and the minor leagues for FanGraphs. Previously he worked as a Pro Scout for the Pittsburgh Pirates.
And one of the few players of indigenous ancestry in recent years. A damn fine representative and an absolute blast to watch before injuries took their toll. Hope he will inspire or has inspired others behind him.
(LOL at how Gardner doesn’t even move in that GIF of Ellsbury stealing home. Both of them are lucky Ellsbury didn’t cannonball through his shins)
He even had a shoe line the n7 with Nike. Unsure why they named it that, because n8 was a commonly used for n8ive (native) which I guess must of already been taken?
Cutting Ellsbury is fine and good since apparently his deal isn’t insured in 2020 (it was in 2018 and 2019) but this attempt to try and get out of paying it is bush league. As far as we can tell, Ellsbury was treated for something else by this doctor and the Yankees even knew about it.
I see that. However, I see the other side of it, too. In another line of work, a person who signed a contract and then just didn’t show-up would be considered to be cheating his employer out of money.
Jacoby Ellsbury was paid to play about 1000 games for the Yankees. That would be 140 games a year. Ellsbury played 520 games for the Yankees, roughly half of his contract.
It’s difficult not to question if Ellsbury had any intention of really playing for the Yankees at all after 2017.
You mean like when he had hip labrum surgery? He was really going to an extreme to not play.
In the wake of his release, there have been a few pieces speculating about where Ellsbury ranks on New York’s list of biggest free agent busts. That’s as unfair as it is uncharitable for a player who was pretty good in pinstripes before injuries kept him away from the field.
Unfair in what sense? I suppose it would be unfair to rate his entire career based on a bad free agent contract, but he wouldn’t be the first player to given such treatment. He would not be the first player this year to be given that treatment. It’s a target rich environment.
The fact of the matter is Jacoby Ellsbury was paid like he was a big star. For four seasons he produced like a good player who was injured all the time, followed by a couple of zeroes and probably another zero. In hindsight he would never have gotten the contract he received. There’s really no doubt that he was a bust. If you want to argue he was not the worst bust in Yankees history that’s certainly something to be discussed, perhaps in a FanGraphs article that I would look forward to reading, and there is no doubt in my mind that he tried to live up to the contract that he received, but he was a bust nonetheless.
I was very suspicious of the contract from the beginning. It seemed to me that he was being paid for that one monster season and the threat that he could do it again, plus the Yankees wanting to throw their weight around, rather than a rational analysis of his skill set. That “what if” issue you mentioned was something that was included in the contract on the optimistic side. That was not a good risk.
I suppose he meant that relative to Guys like Carl Pavano, Hideki Irabu, and Jaret Wright, he managed to actually do good things for the club even if not commensurate with his contract.
Jaret Wright would be a workhorse if he pitched today.
I thought this was an odd paragraph, too. It’s pretty clear Ellsbury is a gigantic bust. That doesn’t mean he was a bad player overall; it just means he was a bad (though really more nonexistent than bad) player for the Yankees. Even the last sentence, I mean sure, he was “pretty good” in pinstripes … for a year. Over the next five years, he managed a league-average WAR just once. Yes, that was because of injuries. Yes, that was eminently foreseeable. Yes, that goes into the calculation of determining whether he was a big free agent bust – which he obviously was.
But totally agree that it’s unfair for his good luck (getting a huge contract from the Yankees just before his career went into decline) to overshadow the fact that he was a really fun player to watch who probably would have won the MVP in 2011 had the Red Sox not collapsed.
I’m not even sure if it’s fair to call him “a bust” – no one should have expected him to be worth that contract, which was dumb the day it was signed.
Outside of one big year, he’s always been a more BABIP-dependent version of Brett Gardner.
I don’t think anyone expected him to be worth the contract, but it was reasonable to expect he’d provide value throughout the deal. He started out that way with a 3.6 WAR season, but his decline was rapid. Missing the last three years of the deal is what makes it a bust.
The Gardner mention was interesting. The two used to be compared regularly since they came up about the same time, both were noted for their speed, and both played for rival teams. The narrative was Ellsbury was gifted, while Gardner was a 4th OFer, a college walk on who often got labeled with the unfortunate “gritty” tag. Ellsbury may have had the potential for a higher peak, but I thought they were pretty close talent wise, and eventually Gardner eclipsed Ellsbury. Health is a skill. Gardner plays banged up, and that often hurts his stats, but he plays. Ellsbury just couldn’t stay healthy and on the field.
I do wonder if Ellsbury was able to play the last couple of years if he would have more embraced the launch-angle approach to hitting. Who knows, maybe in 2019 he would have had another 30 HR season. Doubt it though.
20/20 hindsight
$153M for 8.1 fWAR. Having virtually unlimited resources must be awesome.
The same could be said of more MLB teams. Teams are maximizing profit. You know why there are so many contracts like Ellsbury’s handed out? Because despite them, teams still make piles of money.
The Yankees hardly have “virtually unlimited resources.” Even the richest of teams now manage to the salary cap that somehow the MLBPA agreed to. Even the Royals just sold for a billion dollars. There’s revenue sharing, huge TV deals, advanced media revenue, etc. If your favorite team cries poverty and you believe them, then that’s your fault.
My understanding was the Yankees basically paid him to stay away. They didn’t want him to show up for more than X amount of days, because then the insurance they had on 75% of his contract would void. He wasn’t actually hurt the last couple years. And regarding the injuries, he was always hurt since he was a kid. Freshman year of HS he broke his arm and still led the state in interceptions, sophomore year broke his collarbone in basketball, junior year was his hand, and finally his senior year he broke nothing. But when he was healthy he was a sight to be seen. They used to have a test for high school/college athletes called the sparq test which measures all around athletic ability and he had the highest score ever iirc. Guy could legit dunk from the free throw line and was a true 6’0″.
“He wasn’t actually hurt the last couple years.”
“he was always hurt since he was a kid.”
Pick one.
Disagree with the response. Why would someone have to pick one? If you subscribe to the athletic you should read the article Rosenthal posted earlier today.
” the team had insurance on him when he did not play due to injuries in ’18 and ’19, and was reimbursed for 75 percent of the $42 million he earned, according to the New York Post. ” Look how many outfielders the Yankees had. Where was he going to play? Do you think it is unreasonable that the team encouraged him to stay away? Even last year, when they reasonably could of had him play, do you think he would of been worth 75% of 23 million? It is not like going into the season they expected to have all the injuries that they had. He was like their 5th to 6th outfielder going into the season, obviously they would rather recoup their money.
Well it is kind of hard to believe that the Yankees and Ellsbury would commit insurance fraud in such a public fashion. I mean these insurance policies only cover the player if injured and taking insurance payments when they knew he could be playing would definitely fall under fraud and Ellsbury going along with it would make him a co conspirator.
That’s insurance fraud, and no way the Yankees or any MLB team would risk that. Insurance companies have very skilled people who investigate and prosecute insurance fraud cases.
Is there batted ball data on his 2011 season? It would be interesting to know whether or not he lucked into the 32 homers.
Or maybe he was on something that year. Or, maybe he just had an amazing year, which does happen. Look at Hack Wilson or Davey Johnson.
His HR/FB% was 16.7%… and his career average was 8.1%…
The Yankees made a panic signing when they got Ellsbury. They had money budgeted for Cano and after Cano turned them down, they “had to spend it somewhere”- and wound up severely overpaying for Ellsbury in an area of little need with Gardner around. It was a terrible deal financially even if he had played to any reasonable expectation these past few seasons.
None of this, of course, in Ellsbury’s fault. He had an overall good career with one mammoth, MVP-level season and a WS ring. Not too shabby. i appreciate the positive tone of this article.
The real oddity is that even after signing Ellsbury and having Gardner and signing Beltran, the Yankees were really close to signing Shin-Soo Choo. That would have been odd, and who knows what the Yankees in 2019 look like if that signing was made. (Aaron Judge traded?)
Correct me if I’m wrong, but Ellsbury signed before Cano did.
Cano officially signed three days after I think, but it wasn’t news to people in the Yankees that he was leaving at that point. It’s not like they found out only when reporters broke the news. The Yankees weren’t going to offer him ten years and that was the dealbreaker, so they knew they were losing him.
That period from 2013-16 for the Yankees will remain an odd one. I always liked Ellsbury though, a shame that his career will be defined by injuries and a bad contract instead of what he actually did on the field.
It has been rumored as well that the Ellsbury signing was a panic-move by Yankees ownership because they knew they were losing Cano. Ellsbury, a Boras client, signing before the Winter Meetings is a rare sight, which would leave me to believe that rumor.
Ellsbury definitely didn’t take two bases off a passed ball in that clip. He was stealing second anyway, and made it to third on the passed ball. The heads-up part was that he literally had his head up and didn’t slide into second, allowing him to continue a sprint to third. Good baserunning, but not what was described.
I watched Ellsbury nightly for his entire career in Boston. Undeniably talented, but I’d sum him up this way: He played baseball like he didn’t enjoy baseball. Does that make any sense?
Ellsbury was also the subject of one of my favorite lines Baseball Prospectus ever came up with: “Ellsbury plays the outfield like he’s navigating a hedge maze”.
“He played baseball like he didn’t enjoy baseball. Does that make any sense?”
Can you elaborate on why you’re saying that?
What I meant was he didn’t seem to enjoy the game. He could take it or leave it. He treated it like “just another job”, like he would have been just as content being a tradesman, a teacher, or a sanitation worker. He never seemed like being an MLB player was anything special to him. And that’s a shame, because he had so much natural talent.
Based on what? His facial expressions? His interviews? His effort level?
Look, do me a favor and stop trying to bully me. All you’re doing is exposing your childishness. If you want to have a debate, fine, act like an adult, show respect for folks with opinions different from your own, and let’s have one – if you can in fact elucidate your view and reasoning behind it. I can assure you that although I don’t comment often on FG, when I do my comments are based on years of observation, player comparisons, statistics, and facts. I don’t comment just to see my name on a web page.
All I’m saying is what I observed. His body language, his answers in interviews, his attitude toward interviews, and his lack of urgency in coming back from injuries all contributed over time to forming my current opinion. Did I watch him as much after he went to the Yankees? Nope. But given how often he played and his numbers when he did, it appears the same things happened in New York that happened in Boston. I don’t recall reading that he gave any money back, correct?
You made a subjective, critical comment, and I asked you why you felt that way. Being an NL person, I barely ever saw him play, so I have no basis for agreeing or disagreeing with you. I was just curious. I don’t feel I deserve to be called a childish bully, but I’m over it and I hope your day gets better and you’re able to relax over the holiday. Peace.
I don’t see much chance of them winning this unless they can prove whatever treatment he received somehow prevented him from returning to play MLB. If anything, seeking out other opinions is an indication he was trying to get back and play. More likely, the Yankees are trying to get him to take a reduced payout on his final season by threatening to claw back what he was paid in 2018 and 2019. Won’t work based on what we know (which isn’t much).
The contract was a mistake, but he was still an excellent player in his prime. The Yankees never got that prime, just a good player who then became an OK player, who then became a non-factor. At their worst, contracts like this can really hamper teams because they are forced to plan around the injured player with short-term fill-ins. The Yankees could afford the sunk cost. As to the plan to not pay him, it’s easy to pile on, but I wonder what the real facts are. Let a court/arbitrator decide.
“Any treatment a Player receives for a Work Related Injury by a health care provider who is not affiliated with the Club must be authorized by the Club in advance of the treatment“
I’m not a legal expert, but the phrase “Work-Related Injury” makes things pretty dicey IMO.
For example, Ellsbury suffered from plantar fasciitis. While there are various risk factors, the cause of plantar fasciitis isn’t entirely clear. Both excessive exercise and lack of exercise are risk factors. Is that “work-related”?
Or say his oblique strain, which I believe is the injury in question. If he injured himself working-out, is that “work-related”? What if he just woke up with it randomly like many injuries people in the mid-30 suffer?
While some may argue working-out is “work-related” because staying in shape is an essential part of the job, couldn’t we extend that SAME argument to every job that requires physical labor? If a warehouse work hurts themself doing squats at the gym, is it “work related“? Could the office worker argue back-pain is work-related because they sit in an uncomfortable chair? Hell, could the accountant that works 10+ hours a day argue obesity is work-related given the job’s sedentary nature combined with lack of “free-time” to exercise? What about nagging injuries? If the initial injury was suffered on the Red Sox, Does the clause in his contract with the Yankees cover that?
This is pretty unique case as nearly all cases involve employers arguing a worker’s injuries AREN’T directly work-related. Generally workers are also always given the right to a second opinion from their choice of medical professional as well.
Where does the language stop? Do teams start voiding contracts of players who receive acupuncture or cupping? Given the how popular those ionic band things were, probably half the league has used quack medicine/treatment. If it doesn’t work, is it even “treatment”?
It is an odd hill for the Yankees to die on if it upsets the MLBPA. Next thing you know, pitchers will sue teams for TJS/Shoulder injuries arguing teams were grossly negligent by overworking them despite knowing it increased the risk of injury. Call up Mark Prior and Kerry Wood.
There are very complicated state laws that govern the definition of a work related injury. It may even change depending on the state in which the players is injured. I imagine that professional sports workers’ compensation claims are pretty complex. Though it may even be the case that state laws exclude professional athletes from workers’ compensation coverage. That may actually make for a pretty interesting article, in my opinion of course.
Lol he’s already been effectively gone for two and a half years and the game hasn’t missed him one bit. He’ll be forever remembered by Yankees fans as a Boston mole on the Yankees’ dole.
I didn’t know one Sox fan who thought he would average 100 games a season on that contract. It’s rare to see a young injury prone player who is not always injury prone. When they say a player’s many injuries are just freak injuries it ought to make you think that perhaps that player really just is that fragile. When Johnny Damon was head butted by his infielder on a pop fly his noggin was distorted like a ball hitting the bat but he stayed in the game. Ells would have been in a coma. Not his fault, the Yankees brass lost their minds, which is something I only expected of the Red Sox.
Nice article. Ellsbury was also fun to watch during his time at Oregon State.