Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Scott Kazmir

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Scott Kazmir.

Some relevant information regarding Kazmir:

  • Has averaged 79.2 IP and 1.2 WAR over last three seasons*.
  • Has averaged 2.6 WAR per 180 IP over last three seasons.
  • Recorded a 2.5 WAR in 158.0 IP in 2013.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Made $1.0M in 2013, plus incentives, as part of offseason deal with Cleveland.

*Note that Kazmir missed all of 2012.

Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Kazmir this offseason.

Other Players: Bronson Arroyo / Carlos Beltran / A.J. Burnett / Marlon Byrd / Robinson Cano / Shin-Soo Choo / Bartolo Colon / Nelson Cruz / David DeJesus / Stephen Drew / Mark Ellis / Jacoby Ellsbury / Scott Feldman / Gavin Floyd / Matt Garza / Curtis Granderson / Roy Halladay / Jason Hammel / Dan Haren / Roberto Hernandez / Tim Hudson / Phil Hughes / Omar Infante / Ubaldo Jimenez / Josh Johnson / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Nate McLouth / Kendrys Morales / David Murphy / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia / Juan Uribe / Chris Young.

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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8 years ago

It will take a lot of faith in this last season to give Kazmir anything good, but I think he could get multiple years from a team that thinks he’s as good as he was in 2013. I personally wouldn’t go more than a year – handing the guy 10-15 million can’t cripple you if it’s only for one year, even if he does implode. Can’t pencil the guy in for a whole season though, so could see him getting less, but I think somebody will pony up 2/25. Not sure it’ll be smart, but Kazmir is really, really hard to project for me. (seeing as 2010 was the last time I considered him “right”)

Smarter people that were paying more attention might have more insight.