Contract Crowdsourcing 2020-21: Ballot 4 of 10

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowd to better understand and project the 2020-21 free-agent market.

This year, we’ve added a few new features to the ballots based on reader feedback. You now have the option to indicate that a player will only receive a minor-league contract, or won’t receive one at all. We’ve elected to show averages from the 2017-2019 seasons so that this year’s shortened slate doesn’t skew the numbers, but we’ve also included 2020 stats as a point of recent reference. 2020 salary figures represent players’ pre-pandemic contract amounts. Statistics are prorated to full season where noted; the projected WAR figures are from the first cut of the 2021 Steamer600 projections.

Below are ballots for 10 of this year’s free agents — in this case, a collection of outfielders. A quick note on Marcell Ozuna – Steamer600 references our existing depth charts for positional playing time (and adjustments). If his WAR projection strikes you as a bit low, it could be because it assumes that he’ll be used mostly at DH, as he was by the Braves.





Meg is the editor-in-chief of FanGraphs and the co-host of Effectively Wild. Prior to joining FanGraphs, her work appeared at Baseball Prospectus, Lookout Landing, and Just A Bit Outside. You can follow her on Bluesky @megrowler.fangraphs.com.

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BenZobrist4MVP
4 years ago

I’m surprised that Joc Pederson is projected to be that much better than Marcell Ozuna.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
4 years ago
Reply to  BenZobrist4MVP

Either the White Sox or Cards or another team that really, really, wants a left-handed bat will go get him, and as long as they never let him hit against lefties that difference might hold.

PhilMember since 2016
4 years ago
Reply to  BenZobrist4MVP

I think the /600PA boosts Joc, as he mashes righties (normally – this year he was better against lefties, but only in 8PA) but generally should never face a LHP – so he shouldn’t really get near 600PA.

And Ozuna is being penalised for probably being a DH.