Contract Crowdsourcing 2020-21: Ballot 4 of 10

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowd to better understand and project the 2020-21 free-agent market.

This year, we’ve added a few new features to the ballots based on reader feedback. You now have the option to indicate that a player will only receive a minor-league contract, or won’t receive one at all. We’ve elected to show averages from the 2017-2019 seasons so that this year’s shortened slate doesn’t skew the numbers, but we’ve also included 2020 stats as a point of recent reference. 2020 salary figures represent players’ pre-pandemic contract amounts. Statistics are prorated to full season where noted; the projected WAR figures are from the first cut of the 2021 Steamer600 projections.

Below are ballots for 10 of this year’s free agents — in this case, a collection of outfielders. A quick note on Marcell Ozuna – Steamer600 references our existing depth charts for positional playing time (and adjustments). If his WAR projection strikes you as a bit low, it could be because it assumes that he’ll be used mostly at DH, as he was by the Braves.





Meg is the managing editor of FanGraphs and the co-co-host of Effectively Wild. Prior to joining FanGraphs, her work appeared at Baseball Prospectus, Lookout Landing, and Just A Bit Outside.

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BenZobrist4MVP
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BenZobrist4MVP

I’m surprised that Joc Pederson is projected to be that much better than Marcell Ozuna.

sadtrombone
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sadtrombone

Either the White Sox or Cards or another team that really, really, wants a left-handed bat will go get him, and as long as they never let him hit against lefties that difference might hold.

Phil
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Phil

I think the /600PA boosts Joc, as he mashes righties (normally – this year he was better against lefties, but only in 8PA) but generally should never face a LHP – so he shouldn’t really get near 600PA.

And Ozuna is being penalised for probably being a DH.