Contract Crowdsourcing 2024-25: Ballot 7 of 10
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent seasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating a contract crowdsourcing project, with the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowd to better understand and project the 2024-25 free agent market.
In recent years, we’ve added a few features to these ballots based on reader feedback. You now have the option to indicate that a player will only receive a minor league contract, or won’t receive one at all. If there is a player option, team option, or opt out in a player’s contract, you’ll be able to indicate whether you think he will remain with his current team or become a free agent. Numbers are prorated to full season where noted. The projected WAR figures are from the first cut of the 2025 Steamer600 projections.
Below are ballots for 11 of this year’s free agents — in this case, a group of starters and relievers.
- Has averaged 1.5 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
- Is projected to record 1.6 WAR per 180 IP.
- Is entering his age-35 season.
- Previous Contract: 3 yr, $36M (2022-24)
- 2024 Salary: $12.0M
- Has averaged 0.9 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 54.1 IP and 0.3 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-28 season.
- Previous Contract: 1 yr, $2.4M (2024)
- 2024 Salary: $2.4M
- Has averaged 0.8 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 63 IP and 0.2 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.3 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-38 season.
- Previous Contract: 1 yr, $2M (2024)
- 2024 Salary: $2.0M
- Has averaged 0.8 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 52.1 IP and 0.1 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-37 season.
- Previous Contract: 1 yr, $13M (2024)
- 2024 Salary: $12.0M
- Has averaged 0.2 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 70.2 IP and 0.3 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.2 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-35 season.
- Previous Contract: 1 yr, $2.263M (2024)
- 2024 Salary: $2.3M
- Has averaged 0.7 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 66.2 IP and 0.8 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.2 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-31 season.
- Previous Contract: 6 yr, $26.25M (2019-24)
- 2024 Salary: $6.3M
- Has averaged 1.7 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 44.1 IP and 0.9 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.8 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-39 season.
- Previous Contract: 2 yr, $17.5M (2023-24)
- 2024 Salary: $7.5M
- Has averaged 2.9 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 170.1 IP and 1.0 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 1.6 WAR per 180 IP.
- Is entering his age-36 season.
- Previous Contract: 2 yr, $26M (2023-24)
- 2024 Salary: $13.0M
- Has averaged 1.1 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 7 IP and 0.3 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.2 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-37 season.
- Previous Contract: 3 yr, $15.25M (2022-24)
- 2024 Salary: $6.5M
- Has averaged 0.2 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 17.2 IP and 0.2 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 0.0 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-31 season.
- Previous Contract: 1 yr, $2.25M (2024)
- 2024 Salary: $2.3M
- Has averaged 0.2 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 41.1 IP and -0.4 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record -0.2 WAR per 65 IP.
- Is entering his age-35 season.
- Previous Contract: 1 yr, $5M (2024)
- 2024 Salary: $5.0M
- Has averaged 1.3 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
- Recorded 54.1 IP and 0.7 WAR in 2024.
- Is projected to record 1.9 WAR per 180 IP.
- Is entering his age-32 season.
- Previous Contract: 1 yr, $2M (2024)
- 2024 Salary: $2.0M
Meg is the editor-in-chief of FanGraphs and the co-host of Effectively Wild. Prior to joining FanGraphs, her work appeared at Baseball Prospectus, Lookout Landing, and Just A Bit Outside. You can follow her on Bluesky @megrowler.fangraphs.com.
How badly does Craig Kimbrel want to play? I put down “no contract” but I do think that if he wanted to, someone would offer him a one year, $6M deal or something like that. But I think he would probably rather retire.
I always (rightly or wrongly) interpret these as “the contract they would be offered given that they want to play” – I’m personally not attempting to predict retirements.
I also went with no contract, on the basis that he’ll not be offered anything much. But someone will offer.
Well next year is his turn to be good and Kenley’s turn to be bad so he should probably come back.