Daily Notes: Every Team’s Park-Adjusted Home-Run Rate

Table of Contents
Here’s the table of contents for today’s edition of the Daily Notes.

1. Table: Every Team’s Park-Adjusted Home-Run Rate
2. Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
3. Today’s Complete Schedule

Table: Every Team’s Park-Adjusted Home-Run Rate
The reader might be surprised to learn — as the author was surprised to learn — that the Cleveland Indians currently lead the entire major leagues in home runs. Nor is their success merely an illusion of park factors. In fact, Cleveland’s Progressive Field allows home runs at a rate somewhat below league average.

Below are the raw and adjusted home runs totals and rates for every major-league team currently. Note that home-run park factors for Mariners, Mets, and Padres don’t reflect all recent structural changes to those teams’ respective home parks. Note also that park factors have already been halved for use on full season stats.

Here is every team’s park-adjusted home-run rate:

Rank Team PA HR HR% HR PF aHR aHR%
1 Indians 1233 49 4.0% 96 51 4.1%
2 Braves 1289 48 3.7% 98 49 3.8%
3 Rays 1279 40 3.1% 97 41 3.2%
4 Blue Jays 1342 45 3.4% 105 43 3.2%
5 Pirates 1241 36 2.9% 94 38 3.1%
6 Yankees 1233 42 3.4% 111 38 3.1%
7 Brewers 1204 38 3.2% 103 37 3.1%
8 Red Sox 1345 39 2.9% 95 41 3.1%
9 Mets 1198 34 2.8% 93* 37 3.1%
10 Cubs 1264 40 3.2% 104 38 3.0%
11 Rockies 1333 45 3.4% 112 40 3.0%
12 White Sox 1157 38 3.3% 112 34 2.9%
13 Angels 1350 38 2.8% 97 39 2.9%
14 Mariners 1300 36 2.8% 96* 38 2.9%
15 Orioles 1330 41 3.1% 109 38 2.8%
16 Rangers 1277 39 3.1% 109 36 2.8%
17 Diamondbacks 1371 38 2.8% 103 37 2.7%
18 Nationals 1221 31 2.5% 100 31 2.5%
19 Athletics 1440 34 2.4% 93 37 2.5%
20 Cardinals 1245 28 2.2% 91 31 2.5%
21 Astros 1310 33 2.5% 104 32 2.4%
22 Tigers 1324 32 2.4% 102 31 2.4%
23 Phillies 1297 31 2.4% 104 30 2.3%
24 Padres 1264 26 2.1% 90* 29 2.3%
25 Twins 1198 25 2.1% 92 27 2.3%
26 Giants 1326 27 2.0% 93 29 2.2%
27 Reds 1378 33 2.4% 110 30 2.2%
28 Royals 1169 22 1.9% 92 24 2.0%
29 Dodgers 1248 23 1.8% 98 23 1.9%
30 Marlins 1293 19 1.5% 97 20 1.5%

Today’s Notable Games (Including MLB.TV Free Game)
Chicago NL at Washington | 19:05 ET ***MLB.TV Free Game***
Right-hander Jeff Samardzija starts for Chicago NL. A table relevant to that is this one, featuring the leaders (among starting pitchers only) in average fastball velocity:

# Name Team IP vFA
1 Stephen Strasburg Nationals 44.1 95.4
2 Jeff Samardzija Cubs 43.2 94.9
3 Garrett Richards Angels 26.0 94.8
4 Allen Webster Red Sox 7.2 94.8
5 Matt Harvey Mets 49.1 94.7

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Chicago NL Television.

Cleveland at Detroit | 19:08 ET
The earliest returns on the new Standings tool here at the site reveal that the Tigers are currently projected to win the AL Central by ca. 13 games — in which sentence the author has italicized the word projected to emphasize the natural conservatism of projections and, therefore, the unlikelihood of such an optimistic result in favor of Detroit.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Cleveland Radio.

Today’s Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete schedule for all of today’s games, with our very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire. The average NERD Game Score for today is 5.1.

Note: the following table is entirely sortable.

Away SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Jeff Samardzija CHN 9 5 6 3 5 WAS Ross Detwiler 19:05
Corey Kluber* CLE 8 10 9 7 10 DET Max Scherzer 19:08
Yovani Gallardo MIL 3 7 6 4 10 CIN Tony Cingrani 19:10
Wandy Rodriguez PIT 5 7 5 8 4 NYN Shaun Marcum* 19:10
Edinson Volquez SD 1 4 4 7 6 TB Alex Cobb 19:10
Ramon Ortiz* TOR 3 4 5 9 6 BOS Jon Lester 19:10
Tommy Hanson LAA 1 4 1 0 0 CHA Dylan Axelrod 20:10
Jason Hammel BAL 1 7 2 4 0 MIN Mike Pelfrey 20:10
Phil Hughes NYA 7 5 6 6 4 KC Wade Davis 20:10
Alexi Ogando TEX 5 4 4 5 3 HOU Dallas Keuchel 20:10
Jon Garland COL 3 7 6 1 9 STL Shelby Miller 20:15
Tyler Cloyd* PHI 5 1 4 5 3 AZ Ian Kennedy 21:40
Jose Fernandez MIA 10 0 6 2 6 LAN Matt Magill* 22:10
Dan Straily* OAK 8 6 7 4 7 SEA Hisashi Iwakuma 22:10
Tim Hudson ATL 6 9 6 5 4 SF Matt Cain 22:15

To learn how Pitcher and Team NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
To learn how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click here.
* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Benzedrine
10 years ago

Maybe Angel Hernandez was trying to suppress the park factor for home runs to its normal rate the whole time!