Dansby Swanson Is King of the Old Shortstops

It used to be said that old guys couldn’t stick at shortstop.
“You know, it’s kind of like a running back after 30 [years old],” then-Rangers manager Chris Woodward said back in 2020, marveling at the defensive longevity of Elvis Andrus. “Shortstops after 30? There’s not too many of them.”
As of late, though, something has changed. Here is a plot showing the number of primary shortstops qualifying for the batting title in their age-30 season or older. In 2026, there are nine pacing to qualify, almost touching the previous peak in 2014:

I’m not entirely sure why this is happening. I think it’s partly because so many teams are signing shortstops to long-term contracts that carry them into their mid-to-late 30s. If you’re spending at least $150 million on a shortstop, you’re going to want him to actually play shortstop. Some of these shortstops in their 30s are showing their age, while others have been at least solid defenders. But even though I can’t pinpoint exactly what’s going on here, I think I can understand how one particular shortstop is making it work.
Dansby Swanson is not a toolsy freak like Trea Turner, maintaining top-end sprint speed even in his ostensible decline years. Nor does he have a cannon like Carlos Correa, gunning down runners from deep in the hole. Swanson rates as a slightly above-average runner with a weak arm. And yet, over the course of this decade, he ranks as the best defender at the position by Baseball Savant’s Fielding Run Value.
| Name | SS FRV | Innings at SS |
|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | 60.2 | 7,599 |
| Francisco Lindor | 56.4 | 7,177 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 43.1 | 5,200 |
| Nick Ahmed | 33.1 | 2,717 |
| Ezequiel Tovar | 30.2 | 3,902 |
| Brandon Crawford | 25.6 | 3,421 |
| Miguel Rojas | 25.5 | 4,250 |
| Nicky Lopez | 25.4 | 2,090 |
| Masyn Winn | 22.9 | 3,021 |
| Nick Allen | 18.0 | 2,683 |
Much of Swanson’s value, it must be said, was compiled in the early part of the 2020s. But even as he’s lost a step or two over the last couple years, he’s managed to remain a plus defender.
While writing this article, I started to think about the great tennis player Daniil Medvedev. For many years, Medvedev has managed to sit at or near the top of the men’s tour with flat groundstrokes of decidedly middling power and a serve of inconsistent quality. His superpower is tracking every single ball down, regardless of pace or spin, and redirecting it deep into the court. Unlike Swanson, Medvedev would probably grade out as a plus-plus mover. But I thought of him because, to my eye, they share a certain spatial genius.
Both Medvedev and Swanson exert the precise amount of effort to track down a ball on contact. In tennis, the defender must read the spin and trajectory of the shot and know in a split-second where to intercept the ball and how their body will need to be positioned to best return the shot. The shortstop does something similar. Speed can help, but the play is truly made in the read off the bat. That’s when the shortstop must visualize the next few seconds before they’ve actually happened, from the intercept point to the angle of their body as they guide the throw to first base, all while taking into account the speed of the runner and their projected position in space.
It isn’t speed or strength that makes Swanson a great fielder, but instead this proprioceptive intuition that allows him to stick at the position without superlative tools.
This isn’t just seen in his ability to track down balls, but also in the ability to perfectly weight his throws. A post I saw the other day made this point well: “My absolute favorite thing about watching Dansby Swanson play defense is he throws every ball to first with the EXACT amount of zip it needs for each play. No more, no less. It’s a level of feel for the game I’m not sure I’ve ever seen elsewhere.”
Back in 2023, Elise Menaker delivered a report on the Cubs broadcast on the origins of Swanson’s internal clock. At Vanderbilt, Swanson would practice under specific timing conditions — the ball had to be delivered to the first baseman in four seconds or less. These drills, Menaker reported, are the basis of his ability to beat the runner by a step every time, no matter the type of throw.
It hasn’t been his finest defensive season. His +1 FRV this year and +2 in 2025 suggest he’s now slightly above average rather than elite, but the qualities that have made him the best of this decade — the intuit, the range, the clock — have been, at various points, on display.
Just look at him on this groundball hit by Nathaniel Lowe earlier this month. Swanson slides to the ground, corrals the ball, spins, and fires a throw that beats Lowe by a step.
At full speed, it looks pretty impressive; at quarter speed, it’s even cooler. Off the bat, Swanson has identified the precise intercept coordinates, and his small, choppy steps guide him to that exact point. Just prior to gloving the ball, Swanson starts angling his body toward center field, getting a head start on the 360 spin to come. He even throws in a little double clutch once he realizes he has a handful of milliseconds to steady himself for the throw. Everything is calibrated.
He does this so frequently that, later in this exact same inning, he made a nearly identical play:
Here’s another one for good measure, nabbing the extremely speedy Jacob Young at first. Notice how the entire process is sped up, compared to the two highlights above, this time to match the pace of the runner:
Swanson especially excels on slow rollers; he’s gotten most of his defensive value in his career from coming in on balls. His clock is on display here in a chaotic situation, with a runner crossing right in front of the ball, and perhaps even intentionally trying to interfere with his sight line. Freddy Fermin, the batter, actually has decent speed, but Swanson has the pacing exactly down here, not ever rushing and still getting Fermin by a step.
On the play below, Swanson is faced with a slightly different challenge – Chandler Simpson chopping a ball five feet in front of the plate onto a turf infield. Swanson’s pacing, naturally, is accelerated to match the speed of Simpson, and he gets him by the same margin as he did Fermin.
Swanson can be stretched thin in certain contexts. Turner is (still, somehow) one of the fastest guys in the league; Swanson sat back on his chopper, and needed a max effort throw to gun him down. It was not on target:
And Swanson just doesn’t have the extreme physical abilities to make the Bobby Witt Jr.-style plays deep in the hole to his right. Savant’s model gave Swanson about a 50/50 shot of making this play, but it didn’t really ever look like he had a chance:
If there’s a force play at second, however, he can handle it just fine:
As all these old shortstops cling onto their jobs, Swanson provides a model for one way that it can get done. It doesn’t necessarily take your mid-20s body to excel defensively, but it might take an unquantifiable mix of vision, perception, and feel.
Michael Rosen is a transportation researcher and the author of pitchplots.substack.com. He can be found on Twitter at @bymichaelrosen.
Vizquel had that same ability – no matter what was going on or who was running, the throw always beat the runner by a step. You don’t notice it until someone points it out, but you can never unsee it.
Not to say Dansby is in the same class – but if you go further back – the wizard of Oz was also like this. I imagine their 1B also appreciate that little additional time to get set – Michael Busch is a big Dansby fan. I think the opposite of this was Shawon Dunston trying to throw it through Mark Grace.
Dansby Swanson just has an incredible sense of timing. Even though he isn’t fast, his base running is incredibly impressive, largely because he seems to know exactly when any given throw will arrive at any given base. He would probably make a good drummer.
It’s such a treat to be able to watch this Cubs team defensively. Swanson isn’t the best defender on the team by a good amount, but he’s just so steady.
Agreed. Nothing wrong with a steady 3-4 WAR shortstop. While the bat is more miss than hit this season, he’s fine as #8 or 9 in the lineup.
And when you pair him with Nico and PCA up the middle, you get something really worth watching.
The other skill Dansby has is availability. Here are his games played over past 5 seasons: 159, 149, 147, 162, and 160. Steady is perfect way to describe him.
The note perfect four seam grip in the header image was a great touch by the FG team!
Now I want to see Swanson with some Medvedev-level antics after a call goes against him.
I once saw him petulantly wave off a towel boy in 2018 and that’s for better or worse my lingering memory of him.
“It’s a level of feel for the game I’m not sure I’ve ever seen elsewhere.”
I used to marvel at how almost all Scott Rolen’s throws arrived at first base chest-high.
That slide move is his superpower. It lets him maximize the effort on running a ball down, completely arresting his momentum in that direction, and redirecting his effort to the throw at the correct angle to first base. It is so insanely smooth — the timing of when to drop into it, the quickness in coming up out of it, the transfer to the throwing hand during the pivot, and the release at the point that maximizes the extra force he can put into the throw.
I don’t think that quote is terribly accurate beyond the specific era he said it in. Andrus was only 31 in 2020, so it’s not like he had a huge record of playing shortstop over 30 at that point. And Woodward said that at the lowest point of the cycle based on the graph in this article. There were a lot more shortstops at age 30 or over between 2014 and 2017: JJ Hardy, Jimmy Rollins, Troy Tulowitzki, Erick Aybar, Alexei Ramirez, Jose Reyes, Jhonny Peralta…
And there are only 20-23 qualified guys who are listed as shortstops each of those years too. Six or ten shortstops who qualified at age 30 or over is a lot, that’s somewhere between a quarter and half of them. Only 144-147 players qualified for the batting title each year between 2014 and 2017. Between 47 and 64 of them were over 30. That comes out to something like 30% to 45%, which wasn’t that far off of the shortstop rate.
Admittedly half of the guys playing shortstop over 30 from 2014-2017 were not particularly good shortstops defensively over the age of 30, which is part of why there wasn’t nearly as many shortstops over 30 from 2018-2020. But you can’t exactly replace bad defenders at shortstop until you have better players, and there was a huge surge of shortstops that entered the league and / or lost rookie eligibility between 2014 and 2017. Lindor, Bogaerts, Seager, and Trea Turner have all combined for more than 40 fWAR (Lindor is way over that). Carlos Correa was just shy of that, Swanson has also been very good, Trevor Story was fantastic until he hurt himself in 2021, and JP Crawford turned things around in Seattle.
Those eight shortstops are much of the reason why there were so many young shortstops from 2018-2020 and why there are so many shortstops over 30 now. You can make the argument that Trevor Story really should not be playing shortstop anymore (or at all), and JP Crawford seems destined to move to second base on his next contract. Trea Turner might move to second base when Aidan Miller is ready, although maybe they will stick Miller at third instead. But it’s not like most of those guys are just over the line. Seager, Lindor, Swanson and Turner are all 32, and Bogaerts and Story are 33.
And once those guys decline there’s going to be another big gap because the next oldest guy who definitely looks like he’s going to be a shortstop at age 30 is Bobby Witt, and he doesn’t turn 26 for a couple more months. Maybe Otto Lopez if you think that his xwOBA of the last couple years in the .330 – .350 range is for real. He’s only 27.
Swanson being an old shortstop makes my joints hurt
He’s Jimmy Rollins, a great defensive SS with an avg to slightly below avg bat(90-100 wRC+) that had a career year at age 28 (fun fact Dansby had a higher fWAR than Rollins MVP season 6.6 to 6.5). Rollins was a better baserunner, but otherwise their career numbers are lining up very similarly.
I remember after Swanson was signed, Jed Hoyer was asked about Dansby staying at SS over the length of the contract, and Hoyer said something to the effect that they really like Swanson’s hands and thought he had a good chance to stay at short because of that.
This article underscores that ability. Swanson isn’t that fast (and will only get slower), and doesn’t have a cannon of any arm. But his reads, his glovework, his transfers, his ability to get the ball off accurately at awkward angles are all top-notch, even as the raw athleticism fades a bit. The coordination, body control, and timing are all still there.
I still remember Dansby being unfairly maligned for his defense during his first few years in Atlanta, mostly because he was tasked with following Andrelton Simmons at short. Nobody would’ve looked good