Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 1/28/16

1:28
Eno Sarris: we have the love here, or at least we will, shortly.

1:28
Eno Sarris:

12:01
Chad: Will Shane Greene get a chance to start again?

12:02
Eno Sarris: Mike Pelfrey is currently their fifth starter. Yes.

12:02
the eno, the one, the matrix: eno time –

12:02
Chad: Does Sean Nolin get the #5 spot in the A’s rotation?

12:02
Eno Sarris: Chris Bassitt saw more velocity and more sizzle form his curve than most expected, I have him fifth and if Hendo Alvarez healthy, he’s ahead of Nolin too.

12:02
Eric: Ottoneu 5×5, $19 Belt + $11 Murphy for $5 Reddick, good deal for both sides?

12:03
Eno Sarris: Nah. I want Belt.

12:03
Ol’ Blue: ENOOOO. Am I crazy or is now the time to trade Lorenzo Cain? Almost 30 and coming off his first rotoy-stellar year.

12:03
Eno Sarris: Great time to sell. Possible late peak guy, but even 29 is a late peak. Remember all the injuries?

12:03
Ol’ Blue: Bidding on a bench sleeper – Morneau or Napoli? What is the possible best case scenario on both.

12:04
Eno Sarris: Napoli has a team and a decent role at least.

12:04
JT Smooth: Alright jive turkey let’s make it rain

12:04
Eno Sarris: SLACK EM JACK EM AND LAY THEM BUSTERS DOWN

12:04
Chrome: What is the biggest trade you have ever made and how did it work out?

12:05
Eno Sarris: I traded a super expensive Trout last year and I think it’ll be kind of poopy.

12:05
McG: Through sheer luck I acquired two bottles of Maine Beer Co’s Lunch yesterday. I’ll be drinking one bottle tonight. However, my wife is 6 mos pregnant and is insisting that I save the 2nd bottle to share after the baby is born. Questions are: 1) Do I need to do this is, as a husband? and 2) If Lunch sits in a cabinet for 3 months, is it still considered “fresh?”

12:05
Eno Sarris: No, you have to drink it now. Start trading now, and in three months trade for Lunch again. That’s all I got, because it sounds like she wants it, but you’ll have to explain it won’t be good then, so your bed is made. Trading isn’t so bad.

12:06
zach: Please pick 1 keeper: Joc/Soler/Buxton

12:07
Eno Sarris: Man we tackled this on the podcast yesterday, at least Soler v Buxton. I think in this case you have to look at giggity upside, and Soler’s best case scenario, even for a lover like me, is probably .260/30. Buxton’s is probably .280/15/40, and Joc maybe .250/25/15. This is an argument for Buxton, even though I don’t love him, I guess.

12:07
Bobby Blownilla: Any ideas for a undervalued mid to low tier 3B with some upside I could bring in as a backup? OBP/dynasty keep forever league so age plays a big factor. Also what are your thoughts on Longoria please?

12:08
Eno Sarris: Longo might be that guy. Not a top guy anymore, but .275/25 is okay for top six seven. If you want lower tier, Justin Turner seems to be forgotten. I still like Brett Lawrie to have some upside in that new park.

12:09
Pris Pringle: got stuck with Eugenio Suarez in redraft, scared about his decline in walk rate, are his .iso gains forreal though?

12:10
Eno Sarris: Projections believe and he was always headed this way. He’s not quite a sleeper because he doesn’t have great upside, but he’s also in possession of a role and not a bad player.

12:10
DMX: *loud barking*

12:10
shubbles: over/under: my scabby or my flabby?

12:10
Zac: Maybe not your usual type of guy, but he’s amazing. Check him out.

12:10
Eno Sarris: Hey that was an early interlude. Well done.

12:10
Ol Sea Capn: I’m starting to love sours but they are hard to find (I’m in SoCal). Any suggestions for ones I can explore?

12:12
Eno Sarris: I’m guessing you’ve had or know you can have all The Bruery ones. One of my favorites, and also Jeff Sullivan’s favorite, is the Red Poppy from Lost Abbey (a Pizza Port company). Lost Abbey also makes a Framboise sour that is A. May. Zing. Sours down south… a trip to Modern Times at the right time in San Diego and you might find something fun. And then there are the nationally available ones like Goose Island Halia and Juliette. You might even see Cascade down there. Only get Sang Noir and Black Cap if you can, since Cascade a little expensive. All sours expensive though.

12:12
RotoLando: Either I’m going to eat this apple on my desk, or it’s going to turn into a fruit fly hatchery.

12:12
Eno Sarris: Bet on the flies.

12:12
Shawn: Earlier this week we learned that Carson likes slim-fit jeans from Bonobos. What kind of fit and jeans does Eno like?

12:13
Eno Sarris: Oh man Bonobos the bomb. Used to know the guys running that shop. I have no money. Have like two pair of tight ass levis that I have to struggle to get my phone out of.

12:13
The Dude of NY: Dan Farnsworth has a PV/FV of 65/75+. Definitely an awesome addition to the Fangraphs staff!

12:14
Eno Sarris: That’s a nice thing to read. I like the guy a lot. He’s a hard worker with a great eye for hitters.

12:14
Drew: Reading Big Data Baseball per your recommendation. I have an issue with this line: “since the dawn of the game, defensive alignment had not been based upon data but rather by placing players equidistant from each other.” Guys were in those positions because that’s where the balls get hit, especially SS and 2b. Could they be better positioned, yes, but to say they are there because managers wanted them to be equidistant from each other is inaccurate. Do you agree with Sawchik on this point?

12:15
Eno Sarris: Didn’t think about at the time, but I believe you’re right. We tend to belittle old school knowledge, but if you look at spray charts, the positions are actually generally near where baseball hits em, if not where each player hits em.

12:16
Eno Sarris:

12:16
wishy WSHy: Is this the year all of Strasburg’s juicy under-the-hood stats bubble to the surface?

12:17
Eno Sarris: That or catastrophic injury. So much fun!

12:18
Marty: You know I’m a numbers guy, but I don’t get the thought that Heyward is so valuable because of his fantastic D when there are significant questions as to whether not he can play CF. So many guys can play an average corner OF position, his value seems bloated to me. Your thoughts?

12:18
Eno Sarris: Did you read Cameron’s piece where he showed that Heyward was basically worth the contract if he was an average defender? He also does things at the plate and on the basepaths that are underappreciated, still.

12:19
Piazza Hut: In a league where he retains 2B eligibility, do you see Rendon rebound to a top 5 player at that position? His 2014 numbers and upside seem intriguing.

12:20
Eno Sarris: We had him seventh after Kipnis and Odor, but two had him in the top five, and I’d tend to agree with him. I’d put Rendon ahead of Kipnis, and maybe even Kinsler.

12:20
european, imacrappin: would you participate in a dry month from booze?

12:21
Eno Sarris: of course. wouldn’t be fun, but why not. I’ve taken five days off in a row in the last 13 days, wouldn’t be that hard to extrapolate into a month. I

12:21
Babyfarts Mcgeezak: H2H points dynasty – would you sell high on Xander after last season? Sell low on Addison Russell after last season? Or sell Trea Turner for minimal return? I have all 3 but could use help at 2nd/3rd.

12:22
Eno Sarris: I can’t sell low on Addison, Babyfarts. Just can’t do it. Trea Turner seems like he’ll get a chance this year, Dusty or no. I might explore Xander trades.

12:22
Boyle: What are your opinions on Miguel Sano this year?

12:22
Eno Sarris: Boom goes the dynamite.

12:22
Eno Sarris: (lots of homers and whiffs)

12:22
Danny: Hurry Eno!!!!

12:23
Eno Sarris: Jeez I just got to 12:01.

12:23
Nelson: Just read lasts weeks chat. Did you go pee before this sitting down today like a good boy?

12:23
Eno Sarris: Took a poop even.

12:23
Dr. Zizmor: You catch Farnsworth’s latest prospect evaluation? It got me thinking about the way the ChiSox have operated, front office-wise, since their WS run in ’05. It seems like statistically mindeiund OFH ohi he ohhh oHHOh*#*( I”mr A WEREWORFLmkpl l

12:23
Werewolf Hunter: I hear you got a werewolf problem here. I’ll make sure they don’t cause a ruckus.

12:23
Eno Sarris: asked, answered.

12:24
Matt: Jerry Sands viably platoon in RF for White Sox? And is roughly 1,000 PAs enough to judge Avi’s true worth?

12:25
Eno Sarris: I’d rather give a guy two full season, but man is 1000 PAs so close to that, and he’s been so bad. I’m pretty much out on Avi, though I do see why there was love for him. I’d want better than Sands.

12:25
Joe: Foltynewicz: good starter or dominant setup/closer?

12:25
Eno Sarris: Closer

12:25
Billy Corman: I know you don’t like fantasy questions, but what’s the balance for projecting a player’s career (or, at least, the first few years)? Is it eye-test scouting heavy? Metrics like SIERA? Is there something less common you use, i.e. someone introduced me to (K-BB)/IP the other day?

12:26
Eno Sarris: I don’t like fantasy questions? I’m an intuitive guy. I use swinging strike rate a lot, but I look at ISOs in bigger samples for hitters, and pitch type peripherals for pitchers in smaller samples (whiff rates on sliders for example). The bigger the sample, the blunter the tool: ERA is fine after five years or so.

12:26
GetTheseCookies: Remember when Edinson Volquez came into the playoffs throwing 97+ mph? Is “playoff adrenaline” really the best answer we have for why that happened?

12:27
Eno Sarris: Every pitcher gets an average of 1 mph in the playoffs, I found. He was not an outlier, but he ranked highly. Chris Young got a bigger velocity boost but he throws in the eighties so nobody noticed.

12:27
Bartleby: George Springer looks to be a second rounder for me. Does Eno believe in his surging contact rate? And/or his ability to play most of a season?

12:27
Eno Sarris: Not sure he’s injury prone yet. He’s pretty sexy.

12:28
Eno Sarris: One of his problems was muscling up too much for the fastball, I talked to his hitting coach and wrote about that for Fox. That seems fixable.

12:28
Joe random: Who are some end game pitchers you’re targeting like Adam conley?

12:30
Eno Sarris: Have some shares of DeSclafani, Gausman, Nola, Heaney, Eovaldi, in mixed leagues. Deeper, I like Rubby de la Rosa, John Lamb, Kyle Gibson, Jerad Eichoff, Wheeler, Jon Gray, Tropeano, Bassitt, Finnegan…

12:30
The Dude of NY: Astros have signed Doug Fistet to a 1 year deal. Thoughts?

12:31
Eno Sarris: Love that typo. Been out on the pitcher for a couple years.

12:31
Curtis: How much pitch selection is predetermined by advanced scouting and how much is in-AB adjustments like “he was really late on that fastball”?

12:32
Eno Sarris: I think the ratio changes from AB to AB, starting more at scouting and ending more at adjustments. Bumgarner claimed to me that he didn’t like to back himself into a corner with a game plan, but he looks at scouting. But he’s more of a feel guy, and that doesn’t surprise me, given that his three pitches are actually fairly similar.

12:32
Mike S.: Do I draft Dansby Swanson in this year’s keeper league draft?

12:32
Eno Sarris: Late. Might as well keep a slot open for him or Albies and just take one.

12:32
Eno Sarris: Unless it’s the kind of league where no minor leaguers are kept, then no.

12:33
Sid: Have Kyle Gibson for $7 and $10 (260$ cap) next two years in a points league – would you keep him or find a way to trade him for cheap?

12:33
Eno Sarris: One more chance. You might have to drop him for nothing before 2017, but he might take one more step forward next year and be really nice. He’s aware of his swings and miss rate outside the zone, and I bet he throws more pitches outside the zone this year.

12:34
Mark: Please rank these young OF for batting average: Conforto, Benintendi, Kepler, Winker.

12:34
Eno Sarris: Conforto, Kepler, Benintendi, Winker.

12:34
Eno Sarris: When in doubt, use strikeout rate. Second, use oppo%.

12:34
The Dude of NY: Everyone makes fun of the Rockies decision making, but they’ll have the last laugh when a meteor hits the 25 man roster of every other MLB team.

12:35
RotoLando:

12:35
Pfife Dawg: Can I kick it?

12:35
Eno Sarris: YES YOU CAN

12:35
RK: I’m the guy who you like to characterize as the G. Polonco hater whenever you talk about him. I would just like to set the record straight that I just didn’t think he’d be as good as soon as you seemed to: 1. the first time I just took issue with you calling his rookie season “fantastic” from a fantasy perspective 2. I then asked if you still wanted my theoretical Polonco shares after his slow start last year. 3. I just think you were too early buying his 2014-15 seasons, but am now fully on-board for good fantasy production in 2016 and beyond.

12:35
Eno Sarris: Seriously?

12:36
Eno Sarris: Maybe I play too many dynasty leagues, I guess. But guessing *which* season is going to be a young guys breakout season is folly to me. Judging that a guy is good and then being right seems about the best you can do.

12:37
Curtis: Who was your favorite deep sleeper pick over the past few years…a guy you were high on who was relatively unknown….?

12:37
Eno Sarris: Take your pick on pitching. One year, drafting from pick number 490 on, I picked up Garret Richards, Jake Arrieta, and Carlos Carrasco.

12:38
Walt: Brad has some serious love for Lindor (90/15/70/20/.290). Where do you project his #’s?

12:38
Eno Sarris: I don’t believe in that power, and the batting average is pretty gutsy.

12:38
Eno Sarris: I’ll take .275/10/20 myself.

12:39
Marineresque: Your thoughts on Nate Karns? Does he squeeze into the rotation and continue last year’s gains?

12:39
Eno Sarris: The movement on his changeup improved over the course of the season. Health aside, I like as much as I did going into last season, which is to say: a fair amount.

12:39
Gary: Who’s interesting first, Phillies or Braves?

12:40
Eno Sarris: Phillies already have a core building, and have a great shortstop, got some really nice close pieces. Just have to find some pitching.

12:40
Glaucon: Eno very serious business here- I need some recs for my babymakin playlist. I’m looking for something upbeat but a little whimsical, house music is perfectly fine but I’m also curious in what lies outside that realm

12:40
Eno Sarris: HAH. You know what’s not terrible? Boogie Nights soundtrack. Don’t ask me how I know.

12:41
GetTheseCookies: Has a player ever started giving you an unusually candid answer then stopped and abruptly became reticent after receiving the side-eye from the team’s PR guy?

12:41
Eno Sarris: One player showed me scouting reports he got, PR guy almost popped an achilles coming over to tell me I couldn’t talk about the contents of that scouting report.

12:42
Eno Sarris:

12:42
Sad Sam: Is it fair to say that any team in the AL could potentially make it to the World Series?

12:43
Eno Sarris: A standard deviation on team projections is about five wins. So I think you need to be projected for at least 79 wins to be a contender.

12:43
Derek: Eno,I’m having an existential beer crisis. I had the Ayinger Jahrhundert the other day and it was quite literally (in the most literal sense of the word) the perfect beer for me. Now anytime I drink any Anerican beer it just doesn’t compare. How do I reconcile this. It’s like going from Mike Trout to Yuniesky Betancourt.

12:44
Eno Sarris: There’s a different thing going on in Europe. It’s much more restrained. It’s pretty cool. If you get into it, you may ruin American beer, but if you get a 4 oz pour of a crazy intense American beer, you can still sip it.

12:44
Sad Sam: Ever have anything from the Maine Beer Co? The Lunch IPA is worth it’s weight in gold.

12:45
Eno Sarris: Traded for Dinner and it’s in my fridge right now, but I’m waiting for this sinus infection to go away.

12:45
Et Tu Brute: Eno you keep me young when all else fails, Eno you spread the virtues of pale ales, Eno you touch me where only you can reach, your eyes are a whirlpool and your skin is a beach

12:45
Eno Sarris: uh

12:45
JT: In somewhat shallow 12 team dynasties, Carlos Santana is no longer a top own now that he’s not C/3B, correct?

12:45
Eno Sarris: Back end but starting 3B.

12:45
David: Granderson-Wright-Conforto Cespedes-Duda-D’Arnaud-Walker-Cabera Mets best line up right?

12:46
Eno Sarris: You might take some pressure off of Conforto by putting him sixth

12:46
Nelson: How long should a 38 year old man with 2 small kids at home wait in line for a bear release? 4 hours is too much, right?

12:46
Eno Sarris: RUN AWAY FROM THE BEAR

12:46
Eno Sarris: (yes. I’m done with those. you pretty much get six hours when they let you out of the house, you going to spend four of it in line?)

12:47
Sad Sam: My fiance and I are paying for out own wedding. I’m middle class, I guess. Work very hard, value and save as much money as I can and have rooted out extraneous costs from my budget. What should we spend on the wedding? $5000?

12:47
Eno Sarris: Spend on the party after. Marrying your partner can be special in a nice park on a good day in a great city.

12:48
farns?: does the FV triple slash in Farnsworth’s article refer to last year/current/potential?

12:48
Eno Sarris: No, it’s current/potential/best

12:48
Danny: You used to answer all my questions.. Late night when you need my love. And I know when the hotline bling. That can only mean one thing.

12:48
Eno Sarris: 12:16

12:48
Hammerin Hank: Post Hype breakout pick for me is Kolten Wong. Think he finally reaches that 20/20 threshold? Thank you.

12:49
Eno Sarris: I keep waiting. Maybe platoon issues keeping him back. success rate on steals wasn’t great last year. 25 though, it’s time for that peak year.

12:49
Randy Savage: I was in SF last weekend and consumed all the Firestone Walker. Sorry.

12:50
Eno Sarris: Apparently their sours are on tap at Mikkeller Bar right now so.

12:50
Ryan: Everyone’s concerned about Arrieta because of so many breaking balls. Dude seems to do nothing but work out. Think he’s aware of the injury risk? And he’s trying his best to condition his way past it?

12:50
Eno Sarris: Could be possible, but what was his work out routine like when he was oft injured?

12:50
Zorak: My soon to be wife and I have to provide our own alcohol for the wedding. Is it okay to have 1 of the 4 kegs of beer be a sour? We both love them, but we only know of like 5 of our guests who are known to enjoy them.

12:51
Eno Sarris: Can you fit two ponies into the budget so it’s five and one’s a pony sour? Because it’s your damn wedding.

12:51
2-D: Besides Bundy in the AFL, has your opinion of any player drastically changed after seeing them in person?

12:51
Eno Sarris: Austin Meadows’ ass was so prodigious I changed my opinion of his power projection. Seriously.

12:51
Eno Sarris: And not prodigious in a fat way.

12:52
King Choclu: Was there a lot of corn in your poop?

12:52
Kanye: I made it so that we could all wear skinny jeans.

12:52
DDSP: Hey buddy! Glad to hear you pupu! I still at desk, def ready to kakie! Ooops—- just made!!!!!!

12:52
Eno Sarris: pooplude

12:53
saileb: If I could piggyback on babyfarts – I have both Addison and Xander in my dynasty league. Infield is set. Addy looking like the odd-man out, which makes me sad. Could get something good back for him. Pull trig?

12:54
Eno Sarris: If you know you can get something good for him.. I see him as the next Jhonny Peralta from an offensive standpoint. (with sexy time glove of course)

12:54
Owen S.: Been debating between these threesomes for weeks. Please for the love of God rank:Goldy/Trout/Harper Correa/Arenado/Machado

12:54
Eno Sarris: It’s a position scarcity goldmine. I’ll take the bats, since those are the first three picks in baseball right now.

12:54
Jon: Best upside play? Iglesias, Velasquez, Smyly, Gausman, Wheeler

12:54
Eno Sarris: Iglesias.

12:55
Drew: Thank you for understanding my point about that line in Big Data Baseball. Not to get weird, but even small lines like that show an unnecessary disdain for old school knowledge. The balls have been hit in generally the same place for 100 years and those dudes figured it out pretty quickly with little statistical data available.

12:55
Eno Sarris: The gains we are making with data are important, but also small. Was joking about this from someone in the Chemistry field. Most of what we talk about in baseball would be considered a Non Finding in Chemistry.

12:56
brittle_fuz: Thoughts on Rizzo for 2016? Do you think he can crack the 40 HR barrier and add a few steals? Or was last year the peak… Better line-up now but I feel like pitchers were adjusting to him 2nd half last year, busting him inside etc…

12:56
Eno Sarris: I think most of his growth will come in R/RBI.

12:56
Merv Throneberry: I can’t decide…who has a better bet to get the most saves this year…JJ Hoover or Roberto Osuna?

12:56
Eno Sarris: Osuna by a mile for me.

12:57
Devon: Billy Hamilton going to be batting leadoff this year?

12:57
Eno Sarris: Not unless he really improves.

12:57
Ol Sea Capn: With fences in and exit velocity being what is was… what do you expect from Ozuna? More zzzz or bazooka?

12:57
Eno Sarris: He’s pre peak and up the middle, so I like his chances for .275/24 or something, can’t push my most optimistic projection further.

12:58
Randy Savage: Next three years would you rather have Harvey or deGrom at equal costs?

12:59
Eno Sarris: That is so tough. Both have had TJ, both have been excellent, Harvey more in his honeymoon phase than deGrom, deGrom has better command, Harvey’s secondary pitches probably better than deGrom’s.

12:59
Eno Sarris: Give me deGrom I guess.

12:59
Engelbert Humperdinck: What % of budget do you usually spend on pitchers in an auction league?

12:59
Eno Sarris: I pushed it to 28% last year but I think that was too far.

12:59
Mark: Eno, I have forsaken beer for whiskey. Talk me back.

12:59
Eno Sarris: Caol Isla FTW.

12:59
Maxamuz: Yahoo Fantasy Baseball opens today.

1:00
Eno Sarris: DO THE HAPPY DANCE

1:00
Eno Sarris:

1:00
Matt: What are your thought on Chad Bettis? Meh fastball, but above average changeup,slider, and curveball.

1:01
Eno Sarris: The changeup movement isn’t great. But the curve really opened my eyes. Could be a FB/SL/CB guy, and the ‘stuff’ metric really liked him. Good park. I like him.

1:01
Joe: With Fister signing who is out of rotation? Fiers? Feldman? McCullers?!?!

1:01
Eno Sarris: Feldman.

1:01
Eno Sarris: That dude hangs more curves than anyone.

1:01
RotoLando: There should be more stadiums designed by people in the grip of an epileptic fit.

1:01
Eno Sarris: Miami?

1:01
Q-Ball: I enjoyed Sullivan’s article on Catcher Framing. Basically, that maybe the framing advantage is going away because umpires are adjusting. But I don’t think FO’s ever valued framing as much as the numbers said…right? Otherwise, Chris Ianetta would have gotten a much bigger contract than he did this offseason. Am I right that FO’s are not valuing it as much?

1:03
Eno Sarris: The Rays keep trading for those guys, but trading cheap assets. Cervelli wants 3/39 on the basis of his framing mostly… Ianetta was bad before last year though so … I’ll say that good framers can keep themselves in the game a loa Jose Molina, but they won’t get big bucks. I also think that development coaches across baseball have been working on framing and improving all their catchers, so the replacement level on that has gone up.

1:03
MoreCowbell: Is there any way to slow down the hype train on Iglesias? Or is it too late for every half rate fantasy site to notice all your work and proclaim him the “sleeper” of the draft?

1:03
Eno Sarris: Yeah I mean it’s not the Lucas Duda situation again, but it is. Probably won’t get any shares because of it. Sad.

1:04
RotoLando: Haha, apple! Another department invited me to help with their pizza leftovers!

1:04
Eno Sarris: Told you the flies would win.

1:04
Engelbert Humperdinck: Are you a Coke, Pepsi or Dr. Pepper guy?

1:04
Eno Sarris: I drink two things: Things with alcohol in them and water.

1:04
Meowmix: Is it offensive to you that, in my mind, I read your messages in Pauly Shore’s voice?

1:04
Eno Sarris: Man at least it’s not Carrot Top or Kenny G.

1:05
Jeff in T.O.: Last keeper, Boxberger or Doolittle??? Thanks Eno!

1:05
Eno Sarris: Box

1:05
Maxamuz: u/Galucon – Try some Keith Sweat for your babymakin tunes.

1:05
Eno Sarris: Some Blackstreet (No Diggity)

1:05
Hank: Do you tend to shy away from guys coming off of TJ surgery or do you buy and hope? I’m looking at Alex Cobb as a guy that interests me if I can get him late.

1:06
Eno Sarris: If the price is low enough, first time TJ only has like a 10% failure rate. I bought Harvey if he fell to the ninth round or so. Cobb, on a similar discount, probably becomes interesting to me after the 15th or so.

1:06
E5: Hey Eno! I’m super excited about this pitcher who’s too old and isn’t a premium prospect! Can he be good?!?!?!

1:06
Eno Sarris: Listen Robbie Ray

1:06
RotoLando: I refuse to give up on the name Barnold. My wife says we “can’t do that to a kid.” I say that the more you say it, the more you like it. Barnold. Barnold. Barn-Barn. Barnstormer. Barnmeister

1:06
Eno Sarris: Listen to your wife.

1:06
R. Kelly: Try NOT making a baby to CHOCOLATE FACTORY, I know I can’t.

1:06
JR: I inherited a dynasty league team with Andrus and JIglesias taking up 10% of my salary cap for the next two years. What should I do?

1:07
Eno Sarris: See if you can shop Andrus.

1:07
Tom Brady’s tampon: Rank in dynasty: Mazara, Brinson, Bradley Zimmer

1:07
Eno Sarris: Brinson Mazara Zimm

1:07
Bruce: Which Brewers SP are you highest on: Lopez, Jungman or Nelson?

1:07
Eno Sarris: Lopez, though Nelson’s new mix might make it happen and Lopez more a bet on Other.

1:07
some guy: Scott Schebler or Jarrett Parker?

1:08
Eno Sarris: Schebler. More opportunity at least.

1:08
doc ellis: did you eat a sammy at paseo’s when you were in seattle? because if not you really F’d that one up.

1:09
Eno Sarris: Dammit dude. We just ate cheese and meats at gasworks instead when I was in that part of town. It was 55 and sunny.

1:09
Ol Sea Capn: Has anyone done a study on minimum speed to have an effective fastball?

1:09
Eno Sarris: I saw a study on community (what’s more important, location or velocity) that suggested that things changed around 87.

1:10
SF Only Has 3 Rings: My friend thinks Fister’s 2 mph drop isn’t a big deal cause he was never a burner. Do you have any good articles to show him?

1:11
Guest: East Coast or West Coast? I grew up on the east coast near Boston and just moved to the west coast near SD….it is weird so far.

1:11
Eno Sarris: I’m approaching equal time on both coasts and I prefer the west coast. The attitudes in the board rooms and the bars is less… agro.

1:11
Shawn: What’s your Mt. Rushmore of brewers? Mine’s Treehouse, Maine, Lawson’s, Trillium

1:12
Eno Sarris: I’ll take… Lawson’s off and put Cellarmaker on maybe. Russian River pushing Trillium.

1:12
doc ellis: eno, give me some sleeper RPs who will rock in 2016. not concerned about Saves or Holds, just care about badass numbers.

1:13
Eno Sarris: Kela, Tazawa, Grimm, Givens, Colome, Knebel, Strickland.

1:14
Justin: Have you ever played in so many leagues at once that you felt like you had most if not all MLB starters on one or more of your teams?

1:14
Eno Sarris: 15 or so a year so yes.

1:14
Ilikemath: Eno, do you have any tips for getting into the baseball analysis field as a math undergrad? I looked into minor league internships but none in my area involved math.

1:15
Eno Sarris: I think you can take an internship, get your foot in the door, and see if you can get your work in front of someone’s eyes. In the minors, you might do well to show some analysis of attendance that gets the owner’s attention. They can’t change the personnel that much, so they want to figure out how to drive attendance. Either that, or do public work on websites, your own or others, and get noticed that way.

1:15
Ruby: Do you homebrew?

1:15
Eno Sarris: I bad.

1:15
Guest: How is it that beers are so unique? You’ve mentioned hundreds of individual breweries on this chat and the individual brews they make – what in the process of beer production makes each with a unique flavor?

1:16
Eno Sarris: 60+ minute boil, and the order in which you place your ingredients into that boil changes the order of the tastes. My friend infuses alcohols in Seattle, and he said the same thing for that process. If you put something in last, you finish the taste with it.

1:16
E5: I quit working out. It just doesn’t seem to pay off

1:16
Eno Sarris: My damn achilles are killing me.

1:16
doc ellis: what’s your go-to inexpensive beer? not “cheap” in the PBR / Coors light sense, but a go-to sixer of IPA or the like when you aren’t humping cash over the counter for a bomber of something special?

1:17
Eno Sarris: Drake’s 1500, Firestone Walker Easy Jack.

1:17
RotoLando: People attend the wedding ceremony, but you are judged on the party

1:17
Eno Sarris: Another reason.

1:18
doc ellis: your take on the reggae band third world? the song 96 degrees in the shade has been running through my head for like the last week

1:18
Eno Sarris: good stuff

1:18
Drew: Should I go ahead and book this photobooth for my wedding reception? Can’t really have a wedding without a photobooth yanno

1:18
Eno Sarris: I had fun in my last photo booth wedding situation.

1:18
Blake : Re: Sour beer in SoCal, New Belgium has some great offerings like La Folie, Le Terrior and a few others. You can also find Almanac here.

1:19
Eno Sarris: There you go. Almanac, go for the dark berries like blueberry, and the single hop sours like Citra or Simcoe.

1:19
Billy Corman: Closer seems an open competition in Texas. Who gets it? Kela?

1:19
Eno Sarris: Dyson first probably. Kela later on, like even another year, if he keeps it up.

1:19
Drew: RIP BORK

1:19
Eno Sarris: and BORKWIFE.

1:20
BurleighGrimes: Do you think advanced metrics will ever start incorporating opponent quality into its WAR measurement? I got to thinking about this last year when people anecdotally mentioned that Bryce Harper faced mostly fairly weak pitching in the NL East (save for Mets pitching), whereas Paul Goldschmidt & Mike Trout faced higher quality opponents overall. But is it possible to know this for sure at this point?

1:21
Eno Sarris: Dan Haren always wanted me to do this. Here’s the hard part: how do you estimate quality of opponent? Rest of season projections? When do you switch from preseason to rest of season? It’s not easy, and some initial looks have shown that it may not be a great big deal.

1:21
Sad Sam: Will Hanley Ramirez be an abomination at 1B this year?

1:21
Eno Sarris: Yeah but he can DH in 2017.

1:22
JV: thoughts on the rotation of Price, Hamels, Samardzija, Teheran, Kennedy, E Santana, A Sanchez, Tillman in 15 team NFBC?

1:22
Eno Sarris: It’s like a mullet: sexy in the front and good god what happened in the back.

1:22
Davis: Tough one: Soler – talk me off the edge and tell my why I shouldn’t trade low? Thanks

1:23
Eno Sarris: I keep talking about it. He’s huge, he’s powerful, he’s made adjustments at the plate in the past, and even last year he was a top-20 hard-hit-rate guy with an up the middle approach, which has been shown to lead to great improvements between 23 and 25.

1:23
Broseph: Sean Doolittle someone you think will get saves this season? He’s only a year removed from a dominant season.

1:23
Eno Sarris: I want to see his mph in the spring. He made an important change in his rehab last year and if he’s 93, I think he’ll get the first shot at it.

1:24
Brian: Thoughts on Henry Owens this year and going forward?

1:25
Eno Sarris: Interesting stuff on his pitches. Actually has a rise ball, which makes his change and curve really play up. I like him better than last year’s numbers and this year’s projections.

1:26
Joe: With all the tanking talk, I tracked from 1980 the record of all teams with the last, second to last, middle, and best records 5 years after the fact to see if it made a difference. Results: Last place teams 5 years later .516% 13.1 rank; 2nd to last .499 14.8; Middle .494 15.7; Best .505 14.7. This seems to show being last is better than being second to last and being stuck in the middle does not bode well for your future. Is this just noise or could there be something to this?

1:26
Eno Sarris: I might group last and second to last together for bigger buckets, but that’s an interesting look at it.

1:26
hmm: whats your favorite part of the game of baseball?

1:26
Eno Sarris: Pitching. Sorry, hitting twitter.

1:27
Austin Meadows’ Ass: Hey there Eno

1:27
Eno Sarris: hey

1:28
RK: re Polonco: My leagues are keeper leagues too but in order to get real value on the young guys, you can’t be too early on a guy or the inflation costs and the wasted roster spots will get you. Depends on league setting surely, but there’s a few guys that will be up this year that I don’t think will pay off quickly enough to justify their market prices: Rodon, Mazara, JP Crawford

1:28
Eno Sarris: Sure, but you giving me crap when I was right smells funny. Polanco’s first season was fantastic in the way I explained — he showed above-average skills in all of the five tools that he was supposed to have. That’s fantastic for a debut, especially at his age.

1:29
Eno Sarris: (I’ll take Rodon this year)

1:29
hanna: Where can find a good summer internship in sports writting?

1:30
Eno Sarris: We have interns, but some people don’t recognize it as an internship. Hit me up on twitter?

1:30
european, imacrappin: do you think Seung-hwan Oh will adjust well/be a solid setup man?

1:30
Eno Sarris: The stuff didn’t wow me.

1:30
Austin Meadows’ Ass: Fwiw, Eno, I read all your messages in the smooth, sultry tones of Sir George Michael. Also, this will be my sn on Eno chats from this point forward.

1:31
Eno Sarris: Saxophone in the background.

1:31
Oneear: Will Warren make the rotation out of ST and if he doesn’t, did the Cubs give up too much for him?

1:31
Eno Sarris: I guess I’m being convinced that he won’t, but Hammel gets hurt all the time and gets taken out of games early, so he’ll be super useful to them.

1:32
Justin: I generally like BPAs, saisons, and IPAs that don’t taste like Pine-Sol. Any recs for a good beer generally available in the NYC area that fit that taste profile?

1:32
Eno Sarris: I have Other Half and Grimm in my fridge right now, and I’m pretty sure they don’t do that thing.

1:33
Sean: Nugget Nectar gets hyped out the Ass around these parts (PA) but I would rather have the readily available Lagunitas Sumpin’ Sumpin’ ale or Sucks. What’s the hype around the Nectar? I think it’s like an aging slugger who puts up big RBI totals but is really only like a 3 WAR player

1:33
Eno Sarris: it’s a bit old school at this point, a thick amber IPA. It has a bit of fruit in it, but I think we’re leaving that behind a little bit.

1:34
hanna: Is there a place to find projection leaderboards?

1:34
EricEsq503: This is gonna sound homer but your “best case” for Joc only had 25 dingers and dude had 26 in a little over half a productive season last year.

1:34
Eno Sarris: True. True. so I guess you could give him 30, but the 15 stolen bases may be pushing it since he didn’t really run.

1:34
Owen S.: I think you misunderstood. I meant rank Goldy/Harper/Trout against one another and Correa/Arenado/Machado against one another. Thanks

1:35
Eno Sarris: Oh I thought it was some sort of keeper mix thing. I’ll take Trout still, and I’ll use Correa’s shortstop eligibility to take him.

1:35
Guest: ack! steamer600 projects greg bird for a 353 wOBA and a 123 WRC+ and 28 bombs. teix isn’t the picture of durability anymore, what do you make of these projections? is bird being criminally underrated?

1:35
Eno Sarris: If there’s any chance to keep Bird after this season, then this is the time to jump in. If not, who the F knows about Teix’s health.

1:36
brittle_fuz: Any sneaky late round Catchers that you like? Had to punt Posey finally last year in order to compete. Ugh

1:36
Eno Sarris: Grandal, Mesoraco.

1:36
Alex: Seperate the entire league into three equally populated age segments (young-medium-old), which segment is the best?

1:36
Eno Sarris: Right now, aging curves suggest young. You’re born and then you start dying. bah.

1:36
Paul: Breakfast burritos in San Francisco are kind of awful. Soggy messes with no crispyness. Bullcrap.

1:36
Eno Sarris: a lot of things are soggy in SF.

1:37
european, imacrappin:

1:37
Terrible Ted: Would you rather eat a NYC pigeon or a seagull you found in a landfill?

1:37
Eno Sarris: barfs in mouth

1:37
Randy Savage: I saw you had some Georgia brews on twitter. Any beers you really enjoyed from there?

1:38
Eno Sarris: Still have the Sweetwater stout in the fridge. Nothing really stood out yet, and some of the ones I”m excited to drink not from Georgia. That’s not to say they were bad. I was just looking for a local character I didn’t find.

1:38
2-D: So, Chad Bettis has a good park?

1:39
Eno Sarris: Oh god did I mess that up? DAMN. CHRIS BASSIT. CHRIS BASSIT. Chad Bettis is fine but whatever. Not seeing a ton of growth in the future.

1:39
Eno Sarris: Those names aren’t even that similar.

1:40
Eno Sarris: Okay! I caught up! I have to go. Killer chat today guys, you were on point.

1:40
Eno Sarris: I was messing up Oakland and Colorado, apparently.





With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.

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catzdogz
8 years ago

Closer question: I am in a 10-team 25-player AL only league, Extra hitter and extra pitcher, $280 cap. I have Miller $10, Robertson $19 and Sanchez $3. plentiful closer options – Chapman, Kimbrel, K-Rod, Giles, Perkins, Storen plus unsettled Sea/Tor/Oak bullpens. Are any of my guys worth keeping?