Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 1/29/15

11:35
Eno Sarris: I’ll be here shortly shorty

11:41
Eno Sarris: Let’s start off mellow

11:41
{“author”:”Billy Valds”}:

12:00
Comment From Carl
You can target one player in a trade — are you going after Paul Goldschmidt (8th round keeper) or Anthony Rizzo (20th round)?

12:01
Eno Sarris: Give me Rizzo and the 12 rounds!

12:02
Comment From Miketron
How intrigued are you with Travis Snider now that he is in Baltimore?

12:03
Eno Sarris: Crazy thing: Dude is 26. Feels like he should be 30. Even my more conservative power peak thing found a peak around 26 for power, so maybe we shouldn’t regress him ISO as much as Steamer has (from .174 to .158). New Park.. lefty… This is what I’ll give him: 90% of last year, over 500 PA. That’s his upside. So .260/.330/.420, 18 homers, two stolen bases.?

12:04
Comment From Jays Fan II
Jays seem to be in on every single reliever available right now. If you were Alex Anthopoulos, which direction would you go in?

12:06
Eno Sarris: I think Sanchez can close, so I might go with quantity over quality. Given prices, I might go with Joba Chamberlain and Alexi Ogando and Matt Lindstrom? Two of the three? Why pay Soriano or K-Rod closer prices?

12:07
Comment From J
Your best guess as to where Shields lands and for how much?

12:07
Eno Sarris: Let’s just be silly and say the Padres continue their push.

12:08
Eno Sarris: How much? Crowd said five, $90… hesitant to add more on there.

12:08
Comment From brian strumke
Saw you mention recently on Twitter about playing in a Scoresheet league. Playing in Scoresheet league myself for the 1st time this season. Any advice on roster construction/breakdown of starters/relievers/hitters for the 35 man roster. And awesome to see a Baltimore beer as rookie of the year. (http://www.beergraphs.com/b…)

12:11
Eno Sarris: I kinda hate it. The user interface is pretty bad and for $70 a year… the defensive stats and how important they are feel like a black box, there’s no analysis out there and very little demand for it… combing through player lists is painful… But it is nice to get the box scores once a week and play a ‘real’ game. I think you need seven to eight starters, seven or so bench bats, four or five prospects (if you can keep prospects) and the rest are relievers, half and half by handedness.

12:11
{“author”:”Various Artists – Topic”}:

12:11
Comment From Joe
In a points league, would you rather have Gregory Polanco for $5 or Salvador Perez for $8 in a one catcher league?

12:12
Eno Sarris: I have a crush on Gregory Polanco, don’t see much more upside in Sal Perez, and am worried he’ll get hurt after playing so much. I’m taking the over on Polanco’s batting average, making him a five-cat guy…

12:13
Comment From Miketron
Do you think Trevor Bauer could outperform the more hyped Carlos Carrasco kind of like how Kluber did Salazar last year?

12:14
Eno Sarris: What worries me is that his change is no good. I think he could do the Richards, but knowing his past, I think he’ll keep throwing that change. Then again, I kinda love Kyle Boddy and he’s working with Bauer, so yeah. Once you factor in price, I might like Salazar and Bauer better than Carrasco this year.

12:14
Comment From johhnyhammastix
First Aid Kit… so great live.

12:14
Comment From Guest
Firestone Walker Sucaba — great beer or greatest beer?

12:14
Comment From John
I am using a power relationship to model growth in two different sets of oysters… Any thoughts how to compare two non-linear models to see if they are different?

12:15
Eno Sarris: This is an Eno Sarris Baseball Chat.

12:15
Comment From Ben
Are you high on Miguel Sano this year? He had some Kris Bryant-esque hype a couple of years ago before he lost last year to injury. Sounds like he could be up this year…instant impact?

12:16
Eno Sarris: Like him more than Gallo (similar power to me, better contact rates), but maybe not as much as Bryant. His value has dropped, though, so now is the time to get him. He’ll find a way into that lineup by the end of the year.

12:16
Comment From ar
i can only keep these guys for this season. pick one of: Jose Fernandez (19th rd), Salazar (19th rd), Hamels (8th), Torii (14th), Melancon (27th)

12:17
Eno Sarris: It’s Hamels or Salazar since you can’t benefit from Jose Fernandez in 2016. Kinda like taking a shot on Salazar in the 19th actually. Since Hamels is only a couple rounds of value, his upside is tantalizing. Melancon could push his way into the convo. If you want floor value, Melancon. Salazr is the lotto ticket.

12:17
Comment From Miggy Smalls
What do you expect from Miguel Cabrera this year? Better or worse numbers than last season?

12:18
Eno Sarris: Slightly better. I’m happy the injuries were to his lower half. Well, not happy, that’s mean. But Zimmerman found that leg injuries were less worrisome, so let’s hope for a mini bounce due to healthy legs.

12:19
Comment From John
also, jay jaffe had some not nice things to say about the mets in his recent SI article,,, Does it make you as happy as it makes me when the media finally starts calling out the ass-clown wilpons?

12:19
Eno Sarris: And now Law has some nice things to say about the farm system. Heady days are coming.

12:19
Comment From Guest
How do you keep off the beer pounds?

12:19
Eno Sarris: I only do one thing: play basketball.

12:19
Comment From Pale Hose
Is Minnix leaving us?

12:20
Eno Sarris: Taking some time off. We don’t know how long it will be, and it’s not performance related. We were super happy with his work.

12:20
Comment From Brad Miller
I was such a popular sleeper last year, and we all know how that played out. Any chance I should be considered a great buy low candidate going into 2015?

12:20
Eno Sarris: He’s still the lefty-swinger, and he might play all over. i’m going to call him an only-league sleeper, but a bench pick in mixed leagues at best. And even then, I think I like Owings and Kang better.

12:20
Comment From jocephus
eno! do you think LED lights at safeco could change park factors there in a few years?

12:21
Eno Sarris: The biggest source of the park factor there is temperature, so no.

12:21
Comment From Mark
First I want to say thanks, your advice helped me win my first fantasy championship last season. Second, better keeper McCutchen in the first or Donaldson in the 6th. And would you trade McCutchen in the First for Rendon in the 9th. Thanks!

12:21
Eno Sarris: I’d take Rendon in the ninth, but if the trade doesn’t happen, Donaldson.

12:21
Comment From bill
For roto snake in-draft strategy: z-score values in my spreadsheet, adding up my drafted team’s z-score sum in each category to help target a balance, and also comparing my drafted players stat sums to averages of past winning teams…good way to go?

12:22
Eno Sarris: Yes but don’t go too far and pick a one-tool speedster too early just because you need speed. The waiver wire and trades can rough some edges out.

12:22
Comment From Guest
Do any causes get you going, or are you pretty even-keel about stuff like that?

12:23
Eno Sarris: Economic mobility and income inequality, as well as international issues. As a German Jamaican American that has lived without furniture or heated water and has had a mother that used every trick in the book to get me a good education here, I want to make it easier for other people to move upwards.

12:24
Comment From Ryan
Have you ever tried Red Racer IPA? If not, you should if you can find it (Canadian). What is your favorite IPA?

12:25
Eno Sarris: I have Alpine Nelson more often than Toppling Goliath pseudo Sue but man if I could have one poured for me right now it’d be Sue.

12:25
Comment From AL Pitching Coach
Thoughts on Jake Odorizzi in 2015?

12:25
Eno Sarris: I’m worried that his breakers will never be good. High fastball, splitter combo is great, but he’ll always give up homers if he doesn’t have a third weapon, and so far the slider and curve are not good.

12:26
Comment From John

ya gotta leave! i love it

12:26
Eno Sarris: Endorsed.

12:26
Comment From Guest
Had Lost Abbey’s Agave Maria; think it may have been a little infected as it had some tartness I wasn’t expecting, but wow what a beer. Give me more tequila barrel aged beer!

12:26
Eno Sarris: Tequila Noir from Almanac is also a strong offering, and it might have been the tequila, because it gives it a surprising edge.

12:26
Comment From Minty
Am I crazy to think that Stroman has a good shot of being in the Top 10-15 SP?

12:27
Eno Sarris: yes I like this bet. Buy as a #2 in a “Two Twos that Could Be Ones” strategy that I usually employ. In snakes, that means two starters between rounds five and nine.

12:27
Comment From simply_jmo
have we seen the last of marco scutaro πŸ™ ?

12:27
Eno Sarris: He says no, his agent says no, but they have to collect the money. I saw him try to play last year and he couldn’t keep the grimace off his face.

12:28
Comment From bill
Do you guys maintain an exportable spreadsheet with steamer or zips that has player positions included ?

12:28
Eno Sarris: Check Zach Sanders’ feed on RotoGraphs. Feel like he just released that.

12:28
Comment From Guest
Do you support vaccination?

12:29
Eno Sarris: Do I “support” something that scientists have come to a consensus on? Irrelevant. I vaccinated my kids, though.

12:29
Comment From RotoLando
Any of these good sleeper options this year: TJ House, Tom Koheler, AJ Griffin?

12:29
Eno Sarris: I love love House, but where’s he going to pitch. He needs to beat Salazar out, and I doubt that happens. He’ll be a great in-season pickup when Floyd gets hurt. Griffin is a decent DL stash if you have more than one DL slot. Tom? Eh.

12:30
Eno Sarris: I saw Herbie Hancock at the Blue Note, front row, great drinks, super expensive but I was young and childless, and Herbie made love with his eyes to his young female drummer and I didn’t care because he was playing this song

12:30
{“author”:”FraKctured”}:

12:30
Comment From James Shields
why does no one love me πŸ™

12:31
Eno Sarris: The change is not what it used to be, making you a fastball/cutter guy with an okay change and boy if that doesn’t sound sorta vanilla.

12:31
Comment From robdeer
ENO. A story for you. I live in Minneapolis, where they don’t sel beer on Sunday. This means Minnesotans must go to Wisconsin to get beer, which in turn creates a market for an awesome liquor store in Hudson, Casanova’s, that does nice things like stock bombers of Toppling Goliath and fill growlers with all sorts of delicious beers on tap in their attached restaurant. So what you do is, you get some pseudosue,have your wife taste it’s gentle citra deliciousness, and you convince her that a weekend trip to quaint decorah will be the bee’s knees. Which is a long way of saying that I WILL BE DRINKING PSEUDUESUE STRAIGHT FROM THE TEAT THIS WEEKEND.

12:31
Eno Sarris: one man interlude

12:31
Comment From That guy
Why don’t you write an article that doesn’t use projections for once?

12:32
Eno Sarris: I probably mention them in most articles, but if you actually read me, I hope this is a joke. I think my last four transaction analysis have all pointed out something that projections miss.

12:32
Comment From Guest
Will Santana be eligiable at 3rd in ottoneu?

12:32
Eno Sarris: Yes.

12:32
Comment From Steve B
Jays seem interested in Belisario. Would Axford also be good get for a club looking for pen arms?

12:33
Eno Sarris: Belisario has one great pitch, one ugly mug, and control problems. I’d sign him for a couple mill. But I’d want a little more. Ax might have to get an MiLB contract.

12:33
Comment From J
Jason Kipnis and Chris Davis both suffered from oblique strains last year. What are the chances they both bounce back for 2015?

12:33
Eno Sarris: I like them both.

12:33
Comment From pair-a-dice
Would you want fiers on your team next yr?

12:33
Eno Sarris: Sure, but at SP4 prices or so.

12:33
Comment From JD
Calhoun 17 or Choo for 26 dollars in a 20 team keeper league with 25 man rosters. 260 cap and you play 3 OF and 1 Util. The auction has a real dearth of talent.

12:34
Eno Sarris: I want Calhoun. really similar value, and you get some money back. Dearth of talent might mean that you need more money to get anything in the draft. (There’s also a non-zero chance that calhoun outperforms Choo, cost aside)

12:35
Comment From hscer
o/u 6.5 starting pitchers for Washington in 2015? o/u 12 starts for Roark?

12:35
Eno Sarris: Teams use 10 on average, but if you have a great sixth starter, he can soak up a ton of em. I’ll still take the over.

12:35
Comment From jocephus

12:35
Eno Sarris: …

12:36
Comment From Nelson
How do you feel about Simcoe hops?

12:36
Eno Sarris: It’s decent, but my favorite are the aroma hops in mosaic and nelson, and then good old citra.

12:36
Comment From Nelson
Do you think Melky can put up similar numbers to Werth this year: 285/15/8?

12:36
Eno Sarris: What a weird idea given these two skill sets! Maybe the under on the power though.

12:37
Comment From pair-a-dice
Tell me Keuchel can do the same next yr.

12:37
Eno Sarris: Yeah but I don’t think there’s a ton of K/9 growth there, so he’s not a 1 or 2.

12:37
Comment From Snarfle
On the grumblometer–the meter for how much I grumble when I make a pick–I fully expect SS to induce a 7+, and I wouldn’t be surprised if 2B got at least a 4, but am I crazy for thinking I’ll find a close to grumble free 3B? There’s a decent top-tier, then some fun stuff with Arenado and Frazier. And now that we’re used to Longoria and Wright not being amazing, I can see how far they drop and not grumble if they fall to me. 3B grumble free?

12:38
Eno Sarris: I think third is super deep. I got Wright like in the 12th or something ridiculous. Sure, I’ll do that.

12:38
Comment From ar
i’m in a weekly 2-catcher league. it just seems like the dumbest thing in the world to draft catchers before the end.. because you can’t ever get more than 5 starts from them each week or whatever. (but since we start two catchers their replacement value is super high, and so all the auction values are really high.) thoughts?

12:39
Eno Sarris: You want to pick among the middle regular catchers, IMO, so you get a guy who actually plays as much as the rest. There’s a ton of .260/18 there in the middle, pay the least for a couple of those.

12:39
Comment From Guest
When will a top-tier potential baseball draftee who became famous for, among other things, having played through the difficult loss of a girlfriend, turn out to have been hoaxed as to the existence of that girlfriend?

12:39
Eno Sarris: Baseball draftees don’t get the same attention once the draft is over.

12:39
Comment From Ryan
How do you decide on a hit/pitch split for valuing players? Should you calculate the “right” one or base it on league history? I guess what I’m saying is my league crazily overvalues pitchers and a 60/40 split seems insane to me.

12:41
Eno Sarris: Zach Sanders makes compelling arguments that you should value at the split that your lineups say (if you have 9 P and 13 O, then 60/40) and then allocate your resources post-draft the way you’d like to. Then again, that means you won’t buy an ace. (But I don’t buy aces).

12:41
Comment From Snarfle
Yeah, speaking of the Mets ownership, do you think Sandy isn’t spending more because he doesn’t want to overpay, or because the Wilpons are saying he can have 80…maybe 82 million.

12:41
Eno Sarris: I think it’s the owners.

12:41
Comment From Guest
Sucks in bev bought Elysian brewing

12:41
Eno Sarris: I mean I want some and I’ll get some now probably. But I do hate the idea that AIB can now crowd out my shelves.

12:41
Comment From Genghis
What does your partner think of your beer hobby?

12:42
Eno Sarris: She’s into it when I get it right — she likes Enjoy By too — but thinks I drink a lot of weird beers and doesn’t want me to spend too much money on it. Then again, she likes the upside of BeerGraphs and we’re still building towards opening a store, so…. she’s mildly supportive.

12:42
Comment From SF Dave

My kids these days. Dad's aren't allowed to get sick as there are only enough sick days in a year to cover 2 kids, amiright?

12:42
Eno Sarris: I just got sick the second time this year.

12:43
Comment From Shawn
Favorite food to eat while drinking beer?

12:43
Eno Sarris: Fries.

12:43
Comment From Julian
You should do an article about famous baseball players with ridiculous German last names. Once you start looking for them, you see them everywhere.

12:43
Comment From John
the great thing about facts is that they are true whether you believe in them or not – didnt neil de grasse tyson say that

12:43
Comment From hscer
Jayson Werth is gonna go to jail.

12:43
Eno Sarris: Well that interlude ended with a …. downer.

12:43
Comment From Max Power
AA said the Jays are going to give 20 year old flamethrower Miguel Castro every opportunity to crack their ‘pen out of ST. Is there any precedent for a player making the leap from A ball to the bigs?

12:43
Eno Sarris: Jose Fernandez?

12:43
Eno Sarris: Mike Leake skipped the whole thing.

12:44
Comment From mtsw
In pro basketball, there’s a consensus that awful free throw shooters could improve dramatically if they shot free throws underhand (granny-style) but that they don’t do this because it looks goofy and embarrassing. Is there a baseball equivalent of this?

12:44
Eno Sarris: Bet you some mechanics gurus would say yes, there’s a pitching equivalent.

12:44
Comment From age reminder
paul goldschmidt and ike dave are both 27

12:44
Comment From GSon
Have a proposed trade to me.. Two of Matt Moore, Kohl Stewart, Lucas Giolito and/or Jonathan Gray for Michael Brantley and Arod.. Which two should I give up or does it matter? should I cut Arod immediately?

12:45
Eno Sarris: Moore and Stewart. Matters to try and keep Giolito. Gray went like three rounds ahead of Stewart in the BP mock minor league draft. keep A-Rod until you need the slot.

12:45
Comment From Guest

Obama Chicken — great chicken or greatest chicken?

12:45
Comment From pair-a-dice
Can you tell my friend Greg how bad I robbed him when I traded him D Jennings for Dom Brown. Man, got him so good! go ahead, let that sucker know. Hot dog!

12:45
Eno Sarris: oh man fantasy baseball is fun huh

12:46
Comment From Chris
Eno – (fantasy question) would you trade a current big league growth asset like Bauer or Gausman for Moncada? I know the prospect bust rate is high but it seems to me that he’s worth that kind of gamble

12:46
Eno Sarris: Yeah neither pitcher is really a top shelf young pitcher I’d want to keep, and I usually trade pitching for hitting when I can.

12:46
Comment From Omar
Dynasty 6×6, OBP and SLG instead of AVG – Bryant or Buxton?

12:47
Eno Sarris: Bryant. Closer and your settings negate his biggest flaw other than D.

12:47
Comment From Joe
Any suggestions for ottoneu n00bs?

12:47
Eno Sarris: Go through Chad Young’s posts.

12:47
Comment From Hi Erix
Eno, can you explain all the Mookie hype? All I see is Placido Polanco 2.0

12:48
Eno Sarris: More power imo. Better patience, too.

12:48
Comment From Go Bears
Why does Palo Alto’s leading institution have merely one Cardinal? And is it in the tree thanks in advance

12:48
Eno Sarris: Hah. It IS the tree.

12:48
Comment From Mark
Mother do you think they’ll drop the bomb?

12:48
Comment From Mark
Mother do you think they’ll like this song?

12:48
Comment From Mark
Mother do you think they’ll try to break my balls?

12:48
Eno Sarris: Used to work out to this song all the time what the lude.

12:48
Comment From Mark
Mother should I ban the shift?

12:48
Comment From Guest
Self-service beer taps — bad idea or worst idea?

12:49
Eno Sarris: What I like about them is that they often come hand in hand with smaller pours. I’d love to go to a 100 tap bar with 4 oz pours. Yes!

12:50
{“author”:”Zbigniew Kokot”}:

12:50
Comment From Nelson
Who closes in DC?

12:50
Eno Sarris: Storen all day?

12:50
Comment From MayDay
Who do you think has the best year next year among T Ross, Cashner and Garrett Richards? Do you think they’re all in SP3 or better territory?

12:51
Eno Sarris: If Ross stays healthy, he might be the best. I’ll put Cashner last because — though I think he can strike more out if he decides to — he’s more of a grounder guy.

12:51
Comment From Guest
MAKE THE .GIF STOP

12:51
Comment From Guest
FOR THE LOVE OF WHATEVER DEITY YOU BELIEVE IN

12:51
Comment From hscer
that eye massage lacks realistic levels of blood

12:51
Eno Sarris: GIF reaction lude

12:52
Comment From Guest
Cantillon expansion is moving along woo wooooo!

12:52
Eno Sarris: nice. more of that in my belleh

12:52
Comment From Snarfle
What % of 2014 Todd Frazier do you think 2015 Todd Frazier will be? Similar power, little dip in the steals?

12:52
Eno Sarris: yeah I’ll take a big deep in steals

12:52
Comment From mtsw
Any superbowl predictions?

12:53
Eno Sarris: me drinking good beers, running after the kids, seeing 40% of the game tops, multiple interceptions, 24-16.

12:53
Comment From Guest
Is there a reason more people don’t do auction drafts? They’re a blast.

12:53
Eno Sarris: They take a while.

12:53
Comment From Nikola Tesla
Given his Major League performance, do you think Brett Lawrie still has untapped potential, or do you think it’s more likely that his 2011 AAA season was fluky-high BABIP in an extreme hitter’s environment? The rest of his minor league track record is much more in line with that he’s done in the majors than that year…

12:53
Eno Sarris: He’s a bit of a sleeper to me just based on the fact that we have yet to see a full healthy year. Still think he can .280/18/10 or so.

12:53
Comment From no ragrets
i javier baez the next mark reynolds or next edwin encarnacion?

12:54
Eno Sarris: Reynolds. I say I’m out on him on a weekly basis.

12:54
Comment From Guest
How many “projection” buys do you do during the course of an auction? Towards the end once you are down to deep bench/bullpen guys?

12:55
Eno Sarris: I use my bench for upside at my weakest spots. I don’t spend too much time trying to get Solarte types there for more PAs unless it’s a really deep league. In most leagues, I want youth on my bench. You’ll drop them if they don’t get the gig, and move on with your life.

12:55
Comment From Pork Chop Pough
Pedroia says he’s 100% and the power and production will be back You buying a return to top 3 status for wee Dustin?

12:55
Eno Sarris: I’ll buy him if I can pay for his projections and not for his old power.

12:56
Comment From George
Team A gets Miguel Cabrera and Kole Calhoun. Team B gets Anthony Rendon and Adrien Gonzalez. Which side wins?

12:56
Eno Sarris: This year unchanged steamer values say Team A by $14 bucks. As much as I love Rendon, I’d only buy his side if I was looking to step back this year to move forward later.

12:57
Comment From GSon
With the advent of Trea Turner being kept in limbo (after being traded but before his full year is up) and the signing period for Rule IV Drafts being changed.. would you advocate the elimination of the “year wait” to the end of the World Series for draftees being available for trade?

12:57
Eno Sarris: yes.

12:57
Comment From Guest
If we have problems/notice bugs in ottoneu, where do we go?

12:57
Eno Sarris: @ottoneu should help, but also the email.

12:57
{“author”:”Crimson Kelpie”}:

12:58
Comment From mtsw
Which beer could I bring to a Superbowl party that would allow me to make a clever and topical deflation joke/pun?

12:59
Eno Sarris: Wrecking Ball from No-Li in Washington? Long Ball from Bridgeport? Jingle Balls from Spiteful? Space Needle IPA from Pike Brewing?

12:59
Comment From Nelson
ENO! what do you think of Khris Davis this year? 250/25 realistic? Does he evn have a regular everyday job?

1:00
Eno Sarris: Super low floor. Parra could take vs righties from him and then he’s a DH/1B/OF versus lefties with a few more PAs sprinkled in. Good ceiling though.

1:00
Comment From Big joe mufferaw
What is the best cold weather beer? Im talking below 0

1:00
Eno Sarris: high ABV barreled age stout IMO. goes down smooth, warms you up from inside.

1:00
Comment From Grant
Do you see Anthony Rendon being able to produce at a level close to or equal to Miguel Cabrera this year?

1:01
Eno Sarris: no. Nervous about the steals from Rendon. As much as I love him.

1:01
Comment From The Bane of Dave
Is Christian Yelich going to be Michael Brantley this year?

1:02
Eno Sarris: Brantley took until he was 27 or so, so Yelich really could be Brantely if he keeps hitting the ball on the ground for three more years. But I like Yelich a ton, and if he alters his hitting plane just a little…

1:02
Comment From Ciscoskid
What are your feelings on Dust Bowl? At what date in the calendar year where Moncada has not signed do we think MLB is trying to keep “certain” teams out of the process?

1:03
Eno Sarris: I like the Dust Bowl beers, but I didn’t fall in love with any of them. I think the MLB might just be trying to be cautious with a changing legal landscape, but yes, they are the ones dragging their feet right now.

1:03
Comment From no ragrets
Should i draft any pitchers that throw more than 30% sliders?

1:03
Eno Sarris: Draft, but don’t sign, don’t trade for in dynasty. Push their IP projections down and buy if you can still get them.

1:03
Comment From DDSP
Innings pitched aside, who has the better year next year? Jose or Harvey?

1:03
Eno Sarris: Harvey took more time off and is ready to go from beginning.

1:04
Comment From Guest
The pic you posted on twitter the other day makes you look like a young-teen Guy Fawkes

1:04
Eno Sarris: Anyone who says I look young in any way gets posted.

1:04
Comment From Marty
My friend setup his wedding website. Under my groomsman photo it says “His favorite baseball player is Mark Reynolds”. Some friend.

1:04
Comment From Guest
But will we ever see a full healthy year from Lawrie?

1:04
Eno Sarris: Decent question. I’ll give up on that if he can’t do it on grass.

1:05
Comment From mtsw
How does banning shifts make the game more exciting when the players most hurt by shifts (fatass power-only pull hitters) are the least exciting players in the game?

1:05
:

TELL ME THIS ISN’T EXCITING

1:06
{“author”:”Modular People”}:

1:07
Comment From MayDay
Which player do you think finally gets OLD this year?

1:07
Eno Sarris: Worried about Werth, Utley, Holliday, and for some reason… Ben Zobrist?

1:08
Comment From Bubba
What are you expecting from David Wright this year?

1:08
Eno Sarris: .280/18/10 whoah

1:08
Comment From Nelson
Fat Tire for the deflate pun

1:08
Eno Sarris: Except I don’t want to drink Fat Tire. Maybe you make the deflate pun, drop the beer off, and then drink their beer.

1:09
Comment From Angelos Peter
You said last week you love Smyly this year. How much love are we talking here?

1:10
Eno Sarris: More than projections. I’ll give him 180-200 innings of 90% of what he did rate wise last year.

1:10
Comment From Branclem
What are the odds and chances for a breakout year of Marisnick??

1:10
Eno Sarris: To me, not very high. Don’t love him. Probably going to fade him and pick up Grossman where I can.

1:10
Comment From Eric
Ever had Devil’s Backbone 8-point IPA? Relatively new brewery from my old hometown, good stuff

1:11
Eno Sarris: I had their wood aged Kilt Flasher and it was pretty amazing. So sweet and thick for a scotch ale.

1:11
Comment From SF Dave
No beer until opening day as PE teachers aren’t allowed to be fat (again, IMO) so what do I go out and buy for my opening day first beer of the new year? I’m in the city so I can get what you can get (in the stores). It’s got to be something to match the moment.

1:12
Eno Sarris: Might be able to get some Nelson in bottles by then. Maybe try that new Sierra Nevada year-round fresh hop with the oil? The one Lagunitas tried to sue? Because it’ll be fresh and it’ll be a fresh season.

1:12
Comment From someone
what do you think of Danny Santana this season?

1:13
Eno Sarris: tons of regression will hide the fact that the Twins don’t have a great other option and will probably ride even .260/.290/.380 with speed, so he’s actually a decent deep leaguer.

1:14
Comment From J
Lawrie’s injuries have nothing to do with grass though lol

1:15
Eno Sarris: It’s fair not to agree with his comments, but I see 75 games lost to leg injuries since 2012. The obliques have been worse, yes. But one of these years he’ll be healthy. And his contact rates, power, speed — all demonstrated to be above-average.

1:15
Comment From Angelos Peter
You were right: “dunkel” wheat beer is amazing. How have I only ever had the trube before? Crazy good. Franziskaner, Schaefferhoffer…all of them.

1:15
Eno Sarris: Yeah they are the best beers to drink in Germany for sure.

1:15
Comment From Guest
A hit is more exciting than an out. I don’t take less joy from seeing action (as opposed to inaction) because the person creating the action is not Billy Hamilton.

1:15
Comment From Snarfle
You know what else is exciting? Large people bunting, then hustling to first. They’re bad at it now, but eventually they’ll be okay. DON’T BE FOOLED BY HOW FAR THEY GO! BUNTS ARE MORE EXCITING THAN YOUR AVERAGE BATTED BALL!

1:16
Eno Sarris: I dunno, I get on the edge of my seat when I see something interesting happening on the field. And five guys on the right side of the infield is like wut.

1:16
Comment From Art Vandelay
Who was that shift against?

1:16
Comment From Zini
Seth Smith

1:16
Comment From Guest
Or you bring a really crappy beer and are like “Hey who let the air out of this party- THE PATRIOTS?!?!” And then wink and nudge everyone with your elbow.

1:16
Comment From Guest
Then, after uproarious laughter, you bring out the Lagunitas Sucks, which is really what you wanted to drink the whole time.

1:16
Comment From Fat Tire Sucks
Duh

1:17
Eno Sarris: You guys are running things.

1:17
Comment From Redleg
Is it worth keeping a C not named Posey in a one catcher league? like a younger mesoraco?

1:17
Eno Sarris: I don’t think so, really. Even Mesoraco is tenth or so using steamer values.

1:17
Comment From SF Dave

beloved character on Elmo's world or creepy ex-clown Megan's Law candidate?

1:17
Eno Sarris: this guy creeps the F out of me

1:17
Comment From Luuuuuuuude…
Are the disciples of ludes known as Luddites? I feel like that should be a thing. Ludes definitely save labor. From happening. It deserves a cult.

1:17
Comment From Snarfle
“Weeeee like leeeeeeaaves” my neighbor says to herself/her cats as she rakes leaves.

1:17
Comment From Enos Mom
Here’s a glass of water honey. Now take your ludes like a good boy.

1:18
Comment From The Bane of Dave
For my money Great Lakes Eliot Ness is one of the best. Nothing whacky just good beer.

1:18
Comment From RotoLando
MLB enforcing a pitching clock leads to more rushed pitches, which leads to more balls, which leads to more pitches, which leads to…either more relievers or more injuries. Nutty theory?

1:18
Eno Sarris: This is … not nutty. There are always unintended consequences. That’s why I’m mostly not into rule changes.

1:18
Eno Sarris: HERE’S A HOT TAKE RULE CHANGE

1:18
Eno Sarris: Don’t test minor leaguers for drugs of abuse.

1:18
Comment From mtsw
Modified, more realistic version of Dave Cameron’s suggested rule change: after the 4th pitcher per game, any pitcher you bring in gets zero warm-up pitches (and has to ride a Segway out) so the game doesn’t stop.

1:19
Eno Sarris: Well okay this one is fine.

1:19
Comment From Hi Erix
Placido Polanco struck out in something like 6% of his PAs in his career, Mookie has better patience?

1:19
Comment From indyralph
Placido Polanco had two 5 WAR seasons, two 4 WAR seasons and 3 more 3 WAR. Placido Polanco was good.

1:19
Eno Sarris: First: I was talking about BB%, which is usually associated with the word patience. And yes to the second.

1:19
Comment From Guest
Would love to hear your thoughts on Lionel Richie

1:20
Eno Sarris: IS IT ME YOU WERE LOOKING FOR

1:20
Comment From Jen Cattington
hi there Eno! Who’s better in a dynasty league, JD Martinez or Corey Dickerson? Love, Jen Cattington

1:20
Eno Sarris: Thank you for signing your post! Dickerson. More category goodness, great home park.

1:20
{“author”:”::: e radio”}:

1:21
Comment From jocephus

1:21
Comment From Steve
Best Dunkel in existence is Warstheiner

1:21
Comment From Thronescerry
Love the Neutral Milk, have you checked out Beirut?

1:21
Eno Sarris: Of course. Heavy rotation.

1:21
Comment From Ben Mattison
why do my arms smell like goat cheese?

1:21
Comment From Nelson
Who was covering 3rd in the Seth Smith shift? there was a runner on 2

1:21
Eno Sarris: Maybe an OF?

1:21
Comment From Marty
SF Dave only drinks during baseball season? Reverse beach bod.

1:21
Eno Sarris: Hah love it

1:22
Comment From guest
looking for sleepers in the holds category this season anyone on mind?

1:24
Eno Sarris: Jepsen, Joba, Tazawa, Wilhelmsen, Strop, AJ Ramos, B Morris, Janssen, Josh Fields, Nicasio, Claudio.

1:24
Comment From KCatthebat
Best Boulevard Beer for opening day at the K? Last two years it has been the Smokestack Chocolate Ale but I am thinking of changing it up this year.

1:24
Eno Sarris: Do they have Saison Bretta there??

1:25
Comment From All Germans Everywhere
WE FREAKING LOVE LIONEL RICHIE! SING US ANOTHER ONE OF YOUR TOP HIT MEDLEYS LIONEL!

1:25
Comment From mtsw
Through a clerical mixup, you’re appointed chief international development promoter for Major League Baseball. Where do you concentrate your efforts to promote the game’s popularity: A) Latin America B) Emerging markets in Asia C) Anglosphere?

1:25
Eno Sarris: B?

1:25
Comment From Guest
I prefer my milk warm or cold; neutral milk is kinda gross imo

1:25
Comment From SF Dave
You mentioned you weren’t impressed by Ranaudo. That kind of makes me sad. Just thought you should know.

1:25
Comment From Guest
SF Dave all my PE teachers were in terrible shape, just embrace it

1:25
Comment From PreLude in Lude Minor
Bach was totally into Ludes. I’m the proof.

1:26
Comment From mtsw
We have arena football and indoor soccer, why is there not a wacky, high scoring, indoor version of baseball?

1:26
Eno Sarris: INDOOR BASEBALL, where the walls go up 40 feet, are made of glass, and are in play, and the bases are 40 feet apart.

1:26
Comment From Hi Erix
That image of the 5 infielders … did that gamble pay off?

1:27
Eno Sarris: Yes and no. He hit into it, but Dee Gordon double clutched throw home and it scored.

1:27
Comment From Luke
Any input on adjusting player values for weekly leagues, especially catchers? Does it make versatile guys like Lucroy worth significantly more? Does it make guys like Dickerson a significant risk?

1:27
Eno Sarris: God I have no idea, but yes, you might want to a put a premium on PA and IP somehow.

1:28
Comment From SF Dave
How far apart are Segura and Crawford? Add a #3 starter in the deal to get Crawford for Segura

1:28
Eno Sarris: I’d rather have Segura.

1:28
Comment From Art Vandelay
Apologies if this is really dumb, but I feel like the Yunel Escobar trade was a sure thing given his history with Lawrie in Toronto.

1:29
Eno Sarris: Huh. Well as a guy in that clubhouse, I’m happy about it.

1:29
Comment From mtsw
Made fun of a friend of mine last night for being into the WWE. Said its silly entertainment designed to be watched by children, not taken seriously. Then suddenly realized the way I feel about the WWE is how every woman I’ve ever dated feels about baseball. I don’t have a question, this just sort of bums me out.

1:29
Comment From SF Dave
I’m in the best shape of my life!

1:29
Comment From John
we have a wacky high scoring version of baseball… its called beer league softball, and we can all participate!

1:29
Eno Sarris: Oh duh

1:29
Comment From Guest
Do you like San Francisco? Big changes in the past five years, not sure if it stands where it once did imo.

1:30
Eno Sarris: Still love it. I don’t go to the Marina much though.

1:30
Comment From El Guapo
Of all the players you’ve had to witness in the locker room, who is seemingly in the worst physical condition?

1:30
Eno Sarris: Shin-Soo Choo maybe. Adam Dunn though.

1:30
Eno Sarris: And I’ll have to just put Prince Fielder out there, and I saw a lot of Pablo Sandoval.

1:30
Comment From Guest
Do you watch much TV? I’ve slowly accumulated so many shows I can’t even keep up with them all.

1:31
Eno Sarris: I have one hour of personal time after the wife and kids go to bed. I spend it on BeerGraphs with the TV on. I’m trying to get through Breaking Bad but usually it’s just some basketball I’m half watching.

1:31
Comment From Dr. Zizmor
Wondering what grips pieces are on the docket! I’m really interested to know how to take into account “finesse” grips and the idea that a pitcher can ioNef ns nklnkknmnnkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk inOf fuk uuin I”m

1:31
Eno Sarris: (Odrisamer Despaigne)

1:32
Comment From El Guapo
Saw Neutral Milk at BAM in Brooklyn. Tremendous.

1:32
Eno Sarris: pitfchfork fest, same

1:32
Comment From Guest
When will they invent leggings for men

1:32
Eno Sarris: Jeans?

1:32
Comment From Willie
Who are your Top 5 in a 5×5 re-draft this year? Thanks

1:33
Eno Sarris: Trout, Cabrera, Stanton, Cutch, Abreu

1:33
Comment From KCatthebat
Shin-Soo Choo certainly can’t be in worse shape then Billy Butter…

1:33
Eno Sarris: oh but Billy had his shirt on so I guess I’l lfind out

1:33
Comment From John
so the funny thing about these “out of shape” baseball players, is im pretty sure that kung fu and prince can STILL beat 98% of the chatters here in a foot race

1:33
Eno Sarris: Yeah, all with a grain of salt.

1:33
Comment From Nelson
You ever talk to Posey, is it true hes Marshon Lynchesque?

1:34
Eno Sarris: I can’t get a g-dang thing out of that guy.

1:34
Comment From Greg
Friend claims it is impossible to eat a Haas Avocado like an apple (skin and all, everything but the seed). Should I try this? And how much money should I request for the attempt?

1:34
Eno Sarris: $20. Can’t be that hard. I’ve eaten skin by accident.

1:34
Comment From Guest
Who is the Bill Walton of MLB

1:34
Eno Sarris: Krukow?

1:35
Comment From John
when will it become socially acceptable for me to wear a sarong? i mean many other (mainly tropical cultures) the men wear some variant… but no, i cant walk down the street in USA in one… well i guess i could

1:35
Eno Sarris: My best friend does this but then I had to explain to my son what was going on.

1:35
Eno Sarris: BAN SARONGS I DON’T WANT TO SPEND TIME EXPLAINING GENDER ROLES TO MY SON

1:36
Comment From Horace
What are your thoughts on effective velocity in general, as well as it pertains to the way we analyze PitchF/X data and sequencing?

1:36
Eno Sarris: I prefer tunneling and just the knowledge that high and tight is a hole for everyone. But I do want to figure out how to quantify release point and deception data somehow.

1:36
Comment From Guest
I eat kiwis whole and have never died, my life is simpler and more tangy and furry.

1:36
Comment From Guest
Can you differentiate a sarong and a kilt in terms of functionality

1:36
Comment From The Bane of Dave
Did the Cubs get fleeced with Lester as compared to the Scherzer deal?

1:37
Eno Sarris: I’m sure a ton of people think that Lester will be healthier.

1:37
Comment From John
McHugh or Quintana? Thanks.

1:37
Eno Sarris: Steamer says Q, and while I think it’s closer than those numbers suggest, the injury risk pairs with regression risk for McH to still pick Q.

1:37
Comment From Maxamuz

1:38
Comment From channelclemente
HaHA. Last guy I saw in a sarong’esque outfit was a 6′ 7″, 260 pound Tongan friend of mind. No laughs.

1:38
Comment From John
kilts require belts

1:38
Comment From John
and can have buttons and snaps… im ok with those as well… i own kilts and sarongs and just need reasons to be able to wear them

1:38
Comment From John
like music festivals

1:38
Eno Sarris: top notch work there John

1:38
Comment From Curtis
They should have a charity game where professionals from other sports play each other in a different sport – i.e. NBA vs. NFL in baseball, NBA vs. MLB in football (yeah, I know contracts/injury risk, etc….) would any two sports playing Hockey be the funniest?

1:39
Eno Sarris: Manute Bol once played hockey for charity.

1:39
Comment From Maxamuz

I'm not bullish on Altuve.

1:39
Eno Sarris: Steamer has 35 steals and .299, putting him mid second round.

1:39
Comment From no ragrets
aren’t skins jeans male leggings?

1:40
Eno Sarris: That’s what I was saying.

1:40
Comment From Marty
men in sarong conversation > poop shelf conversation……?

1:40
Eno Sarris: Dunno, that poop shelf thread was pretty legendary.

1:40
Comment From Maxamuz
Maxamuz has him getting hurt in Mid to Late May for 2 months.

1:40
Eno Sarris: Altuve? He’s been pretty healthy, but I guess that can happen to anyone.

1:40
Comment From Guest
Of all of the animals, do you have a preferred animal?

1:40
Eno Sarris: have you seen a giraffe drink water?

1:40
Comment From Guest
Next week can we have a vintage chat, with lyrics of the week, werewolves, and a lightning round?

1:41
Eno Sarris: but no embedded music?

1:41
Comment From The Bane of Dave
Have you heard the theory that the Cubs prefer drafting hitters higher than pitchers because of the risks that pitchers pose? I don’t understand how this reconciles with them then needing to sign a high priced free agent pitcher.

1:42
Eno Sarris: True! Maybe they feel that pitchers have proven themselves capable of being healthy by the time they FA, and they can identify the guys that will continue to be healthy. But dunno.

1:42
Comment From johhnyhammastix
You still think FANS does a little bit better for pitching projections when compared to Steamer?

1:42
Eno Sarris: I said that? I think the Fans always represent about the furthest you should push your love or hate for a player.

1:42
Comment From Art Vandelay
Have you seen giraffes fight?

1:42
{“author”:”ABC News”}:

1:43
Comment From Guest
TBoD — theory is that Cubs go for quality over quantity w/r/t hitters, and quantity over quality w/r/t pitchers because you just never know who makes it through x number of years.

1:43
Eno Sarris: Yes that makes sense.

1:43
Comment From RotoLando
Vintage chat? Don’t forget the waffle button!

1:43
Comment From Maxamuz
Kevin Quackenbush. Not just a great name, but also a sleeper.

1:43
Comment From Guest
I’m told leggings are the most comfortable thing imaginable. As a man who wore skinny jeans in college, let me tell you: they are not the most comfortable things imaginable. I’m really looking for comfort here.

1:43
Eno Sarris: HAH.

1:43
Comment From Curtis
Dudes on ludes should not drive. – Jeff Spicoli

1:44
Comment From Get off my lawn
I don’t like that Maxamuz refers to himself in the 3rd person

1:44
Comment From Maxamuz

Alright Alright Alright

1:44
Comment From Art Vandelay
The reason skinny jeans are uncomfortable would be the same reason men’s leggings would be uncomfortable. We just need more space in some areas.

1:45
Eno Sarris: I mean yeah I don’t think speedos are all that comfortable. BUT I’M NOT WEARING HAREM PANTS DONT EVEN SUGGEST IT

1:45
Comment From Maxamuz
Maxamuz feels that Jeff Samardzija will be a bust this year based on value.

1:45
Eno Sarris: Eno Sarris agrees. And he used to love him on value.

1:45
{“author”:”DowntownRec”}:

1:46
Comment From Joe
Late late save speculations??

1:47
Eno Sarris: Giles, Soria, Sanchez (and Cecil), Scheppers, Ottavino, Boxberger, Morris,

1:47
Comment From Joe
Thoughts on landing spots and upside for Viciedo?

1:48
Eno Sarris: Bench bat vs lefties or rebuilding team starter. Could have gone to Mets before Mayberry. Maybe D-Backs take a shot

1:49
Comment From mtsw
Do people in Latin America play fantasy baseball?

1:49
Eno Sarris: There’s a fantasy soccer thing starting to happen, but yeah I do know I have some followers in Latin America. Have’t seen a lot of Spanish-language sites though.

1:50
Comment From Joe
RE: Morris. Why does he have a 14% swinging strike rate and a 7.0 K/9?????

1:51
Eno Sarris: I’d guess his sinker and that 60% ground-ball rate have a lot to do with it.

1:51
Comment From Joe
RE: Scheppers. Isn’t Fujikawa a better speculation if you are down on Feliz?

1:51
Eno Sarris: Really depends on health for both. Whoever is healthy in the spring, yes.

1:51
Comment From G
please rank these players for 2015 and beyond in a keeper league. Pomeranz/Jimmy Nelson/Hahn/Cingani? thanks

1:51
Eno Sarris: Hahn….. Pomeranz, Cingrani, Nelson

1:52
Comment From Matt
Which 3B could most outdo Steamer HR projection? Davis (30), Beltre (24), Frazier (22), Arenado (20)

1:52
Eno Sarris: I’m taking Arenado.

1:52
Comment From Johnny Baseball
Holdzkom for save speculation?

1:52
Eno Sarris: maybe. It could be Watson, though.

1:53
Eno Sarris: I gotta go! it’s been… legendary. Thanks

1:53
Comment From Guest
lata eno





With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.

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Hank G.
Guest
Hank G.

Eno apparently knows how to get the chat to scroll in the proper direction. Why can’t he write a memo to the other people who do chats and explain how to do it?