Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 2/26/15
| 11:14 |
: let’s start today off with a bang
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| 11:14 |
:
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| 12:01 |
How good is soler this year? Better than Cespedes? |
| 12:01 |
: Yes!
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| 12:01 |
Betts or Soler in a keep forever league |
| 12:03 |
: See I’ve been thinking about this one and don’t know it’s like choosing between my sons. One has the plate discipline down, and .300/15/35 ceiling. The other is Mr. Power, and he has .280/35 type upside. Betts has the higher floor with regard to outcomes, Soler has the higher playing time floor.
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| 12:04 |
Would you trade an $8 VMart for a $5 Betts in a keeper points league where Betts is not eligible at second? |
| 12:05 |
: It’s not even close for this year by steamer, with Vmart a top 50 bat and Betts (OF) a three dollar player. I suppose even if you think it’s closer than that, and there’s $3 at stake, it’s hard to take the Betts side. Unless you looking a bit towards 2016.
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| 12:05 |
We are transitioning to a dynasty league. This year we keep 13 players and draft 14-26. Do I keep Ryu, Sonny Gray (already have Kluber and Hamels), Matt Carpenter (have Miggy, who has 3rd base eligibility) or Gattis (I have hamstrung Lecroy)? |
| 12:06 |
: Keeping 13 you can keep three pitchers. I have Ryu above Gray. Gattis is a little sexy time as perhaps a trade chip.
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| 12:07 |
If Tomas doesnt stick at 3rd does Trumbo get moved if hes relatively healthy? |
| 12:07 |
: Moved as in traded? Yes I think he gets traded if he plays well.
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| 12:08 |
I am going to be in Nashville in about a month. I heard Yazoo products are pretty decent. Are there any other brews I need to sample? |
| 12:09 |
: If you can get your hands on some of the southern beers http://beergraphs.com/leade… particularly from North Carolina, then dig on those, even before Yazoo. If you talking local. Looks like Blackstone or Black Abbey are your haunts http://beergraphs.com/leade…
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| 12:09 |
Thoughts on Rusney Castillo? 4th OF at this stage? |
| 12:09 |
: Trying to be conservative on him. Have a .275/10/28 type projection down.
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| 12:10 |
HELP! Huuuge potential dynasty league trade. Keep forever, no salaries. Side A gets Bryce Harper. Side B gets Baez + one of Buxton/Soler/JP Crawford. Which of those guys (if any) paired with Baez convinces you to give up Harper? Thanks! |
| 12:10 |
: If I get Soler I might do it but I’m not in on Baez.
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| 12:10 |
Pour one out for Michael Saunders |
| 12:11 |
: Oh man already? And I thought he was going to be useful this year. Makes Dalton Pompey even more attractive. Not physically, though he is kinda cute.
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| 12:11 |
Hold on to which 2 in a keep forever QS league: Stroman, Richards, Wheeler? |
| 12:12 |
: Should be Miiilke Stout or maybe not. I’ll take Stroman for sure. I like Wheeler, and his arsenal, but Richard’s command is so much better. I think I take Richards.
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| 12:12 |
Who ends their career as a better fantasy 3B — Rendon or Arenado — in a keep forever? |
| 12:12 |
: Arenado? Home park going to help him, and not sure Rendon keeps stealing bags.
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| 12:12 |
Would you draft Michael Brantley in the top ten this year? |
| 12:12 |
: no.
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| 12:12 |
How much OBP is Espinosa’s stache worth? I say at least 50 points |
| 12:12 |
: Pitchers’ all like damn looks like a porno and now I’m thinking about breasts…. dang ball three.
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| 12:12 |
Operation Ivy, Mookie talk, and beer. This has the makings of the best chat ever. |
| 12:13 |
: All down hill from here.
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| 12:13 |
: Kipnis. He’s going to have his power underprojected because he hurt himself last year.
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| 12:13 |
Over under 24.5 HR for Neil Walker? I think he’s going to be a stud this year, just wanted to run that by you. |
| 12:14 |
Dozier or Kipnis? this year only |
| 12:15 |
: I mean dude’s 29, I don’t think he’ll add much to last year’s homer total, which was already seven better than his previous best. Sorry for wonky order on those.
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| 12:15 |
: That last one’s about Walker.
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| 12:15 |
Whenever you are asked a keeper question, you seem to default to ” keep the hitter over the pitcher”. I know that pitchers have more volatility, but this is partly reflected in the 68-32 split. Also, you need some volatility to win a 15 team league. Can you quantify your anti-pitcher position ? |
| 12:16 |
: When a pitcher gets hurt he gets hurt for longer, on average. Pitchers have a thing that immediately gets worse every year they are in the league but is super important to their outcomes: velocity. Hitters may have that, but it’s not as easily quantifiable.
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| 12:16 |
Going to beer festival this weekend, lines and beers running out is not really a concern. Whats the strategy? low abv first? IPAs then stouts? |
| 12:17 |
: Don’t do what I did and run for Pliny the Younger and then drink all triple IPAs first. The best general rule of thumb is IBU/hoppiness. I’d probably do saisons (not sour saisons), weak stouts, double stouts, IPAs, DIPAs, sours. Your palate will be refreshed by the change in styles if you do it right.
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| 12:17 |
Any chance Rendon maintains his 2B eligibility in 2016 in a league where he needs five starts at the position? |
| 12:18 |
: Yes. Zimmerman still on the team and there are plenty of different ways this season can go down.
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| 12:18 |
Late 2B option you would be OK with as your starter in a mixed league? |
| 12:19 |
: Walker, Lawrie, Odor, Wong. I’d want one of group A and one of group B.
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| 12:19 |
Hi Eno, assuming health, would you rather draft Brandon Moss or Steve Pearce? |
| 12:19 |
: Moss. Pearce right-handed and all of his gains came against right-handers and he was supposed to be a righty platoon bat before last year.
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| 12:19 |
In a league with no position requirements, considering age & injury history, would you take Leonys Martin over Jose Reyes? |
| 12:20 |
: Yah. They both very similar in power/speed output at this point, Martin younger, which offsets his platoon risk.
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| 12:20 |
Who closes for the Giants this year? Romo or Casilla? |
| 12:20 |
: Both. I bet Romo gets it back.
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| 12:20 |
Betts or Kipnis 2015 for a redraft league? |
| 12:20 |
: Kipnis.
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| 12:20 |
Seems like all the Gregory Polanco hype really died down this year. Are you a believer? |
| 12:20 |
: Yes. I think he had a hell of a debut and OBP and power are going to come.
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| 12:21 |
Last keeper (keep 5): Greinke or Frazier (Greinke would be only pitcher I keep) |
| 12:21 |
: As long as he’s your only one, Greinke. He’s a top ten pitcher and Frazier not a top ten 3b, or barely.
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| 12:21 |
You been to Sante Adairius in Capitola yet? It will change your life in a Natalie Portman / Shins way. |
| 12:22 |
: Last weekend, biked to all the Santa Cruz breweries. Adairius killed em all. So. Awesome.
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| 12:22 |
Josh Hamilton just wanted the extra caffeine. |
| 12:22 |
: “worse than PEDs” shaking my damn head
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| 12:22 |
Who do you see as the better source of steals from the last spot on a roster? Everth or Bourn? |
| 12:23 |
: The deeper the league, the more I lean Bourn. Much higher floor. As for ceiling, Everth’s batting average takes away from his stolen base upside — if position not important, Bourn every time.
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| 12:23 |
Assuming a $200 budget, what should Trout go for? |
| 12:24 |
: This says $31 and I can’t argue too much http://www.fangraphs.com/au…
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| 12:24 |
Any hope for Ubaldo bounce back? |
| 12:25 |
: he still struck out a fair amount of batters! and his command goes in and out, it could come back. But even then I think it’s too much to ask for better than league average. in the AL.
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| 12:25 |
How long will Hamilton be out now, due to his relapse. Is this now the end of Hamilton and baseball? |
| 12:26 |
: Honestly, it shouldn’t be. We are punishing the dude for being human and having problems? Why aren’t we helping him fix those problems? Ridiculous. The conversation is totally off on this one.
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| 12:26 |
What type of players should I avoid in a h2h format? |
| 12:26 |
: Bill Petti found that high-strikeout batters are little more volatile, and that might mean that they take weeks off and cost you in H2H.
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| 12:26 |
Who cares about his projection, what is the Castillo are the bumps on his ear? |
| 12:27 |
: This is a scary picture.
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| 12:27 |
New Viet Cong album is spectacular. Anyone else think its kind of adorable that Carlos Quentin is trying to play first base? |
| 12:27 |
: Yes I do like that album. Adorable is not a word I would ever use for that dude.
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| 12:27 |
Am I crazy for considering Baez over Beltre in a 3 year keeper league? |
| 12:27 |
: Yes.
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| 12:28 |
JD Martinez good for .290-25? You take him over guys like Calhoun, Heyward, Blackmon?? |
| 12:28 |
: Calculator says take him over Calhoun but I don’t like him for that batting average and I’d take all of them over him.
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| 12:28 |
Who will have the worst record in baseball this year? The Phillies? |
| 12:28 |
: Braves?
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| 12:29 |
With K-rod back with the brew crew does Papelbon stay put? |
| 12:29 |
: Unless Toronto ponies up, which I doubt they will.
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| 12:29 |
I’m looking for some sleeper pitchers in a 16 team 12 keeper pts. league. Wins and losses don’t help or hurt that much. IPs and Ks and not giving up HRs and walks do matter. I have Stras, Gio, Richards and Smyly as keepers. |
| 12:30 |
: Guys I like around 80+: Chase Anderson, Shane Greene, Andrew Heaney, Anthony DeSclafani, Wade Miley.
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| 12:30 |
It’s early, but what is the best beer you have had this year? |
| 12:31 |
: The Rare Barrel Ensorcelled, a dark raspberry sour. And Sante Adairius’ IPA, whatever it was called.
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| 12:31 |
can you imagine if MLB always suspended players for recreational drug use? the hall of fame would be almost empty |
| 12:31 |
: Exactly. What the hell.
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| 12:31 |
Who benefits the most if Hamilton is out for an extended period of time? |
| 12:31 |
: CJ Cron?
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| 12:31 |
If you miss out on the top 4 shortstops, where do you see yourself grabbing one? There doesn’t seem to be much seperation, so in a 10 team league with no MI, I feel inclined to just wait until the end and grab a Segura type. |
| 12:32 |
: I’d try to do the Group A (one of Andrus, Alcides, Alexei, Rollins), Group B (Bogearts, Segura, Kang, Seattle SS) thing.
|
| 12:33 |
I heard that Chapman’s fastball can power an infinite probability drive. |
| 12:33 |
Inconceivable! |
| 12:33 |
re: beer festival; you can have a plan, but you are usually slammered by about an hour in |
| 12:33 |
: high quality lude.
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| 12:33 |
Does Rodriguez locking down his old role change his draft value? |
| 12:33 |
: of course. Doesn’t make him a top guy though.
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| 12:33 |
Mr. Sarris – I really need the Pollock or Eaton answer (5×5 roto, which to keep). Maybe I am way off on this comparison? |
| 12:34 |
: Not at all. Eaton higher floor because he’s an unquestioned starter when healthy and could figure out the base stealing thing at some point. Pollock higher ceiling if he really has figured out righties. Doesn’t sound like an only league, so keep Pollock for ceiling.
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| 12:35 |
:
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| 12:36 |
You like Chris Davis to bounce back this year? |
| 12:36 |
: Mild. To usefulness.
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| 12:36 |
Who do you like at the mid-back end of the 1st rd this year? |
| 12:36 |
: One of the Toronto batts. Rizzo Puig there for me too.
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| 12:37 |
Who’s a “Tier 2” SP in your ranks that has the best chance of being a top 10 SP? I like to grab one of these guys in round 3 or 4 then lay off pitching for a while. For me, two years ago it was Darvish and last year Jose Fernandez (worked until TJ). |
| 12:38 |
: Cole Hamels, Matt Harvey, Alex Cobb just needs health, Alex Wood needs a few wins. I’d take one of Carrasco, Cole, deGrom, Stroman to do it too. If had one of each group, I’d do the jig.
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| 12:38 |
I know we shouldn’t expect too much from rookies, but Polonco did not have a “hell of a debut” |
| 12:40 |
: 23 year old walked more than league average, made more contact than league average, came within a homer or two of league average power, and was valuable on the basepaths. I see no reason to predict a bad BABIP for him, and with a normal BABIP, he’s a league-average player next year, and a fantasy .280/10/30 guy on the cheap. Give me your shares.
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| 12:40 |
Did you know that there’s no fracking in Germany? The energy companies were tryna frack and open up permits, but the German beer brewers’ guild was all like “nah son, you can’t fux with the water we use to make our beer.” And because German beer purity laws are like their version of the Constitution, that was the end of fracking. BEER SAVED THE ENVIRONMENT I LOVE THIS COUNTRY |
| 12:40 |
: Gut gemacht.
|
| 12:40 |
You think Urias cracks the big club this season? |
| 12:40 |
: No.
|
| 12:40 |
What percentage of your auction dollars do you usually set aside for pitching? |
| 12:41 |
: Usually about 28%, but might push it down a dollar or few this year because I am confident in my pitching finding skills.
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| 12:41 |
Am I the only one that is terrified of Justin Upton this year? I just don’t see the upside for where he is drafted. He’s been a consistent .270 hitter with solid RBI/R and 25-27 homers, but the steals are trending down and he’s going to an extreme pitchers park. Yet he’s going around Harper in redraft. |
| 12:41 |
: I think his homers are no doubters and he’ll hit for about the same power.
|
| 12:41 |
Speaking of Hamilton, I could really use an accountability coach that hangs by my side all day and whose salary is paid for by my employer. |
| 12:41 |
: no dude that sushi is like eight days old
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| 12:42 |
Is Christian Yelich the heir to the Shin-Soo Choo throne if a few more FB come? Their plate discipline and skill set are nearly identical. |
| 12:42 |
: Yes love Yelich, more in keeper leagues.
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| 12:42 |
Where would you rank Rendon as a keeper in a keep forever no cost league? |
| 12:42 |
: top 20 no doubt, maybe top 15.
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| 12:43 |
AL Only Keeper ($260) where the other 10 owners are super conservative and only keep cheap guys… Im thinking about keeping Sale, Felix, and Price, each for $30. Does the edge this gives me in pitching and for tradeable assets during the season outweigh having less money than everyone else at the auction? |
| 12:44 |
: Our calculator says only two of those guys worth $30 http://www.fangraphs.com/au… and that means you keeping at value… don’t love the plan. Maybe one. Felix.
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| 12:44 |
Not sure if you saw the HBT article from Craig C about not suspending Hamilton due to addiction being an illness. Thoughts? I thought it was interesting, but a slippery slope. |
| 12:44 |
: I’m with Craig.
|
| 12:44 |
Like most people, I’m not convinced Gregerson survives as Houston’s closer. That being said, most every source thinks that Fields or Neshek would be next in line, yet I did hear you pick out Qualls as the best bet to replace him. Still feel confident in Qualls winning the job? |
| 12:45 |
: Fields is the Closer of the Future, but who knows when the Future begins. Neshek might be the best bet this year, but he’s so funky and has had big splits in the past. Might be a FUBAR pen again even if they spent money.
|
| 12:45 |
any truth to the ‘green flash brewed alpine offerings are worse’ chatter? i have only ever had duet in a keg in san jose so i assume that was green flash brewed…i thought is was awesome. |
| 12:45 |
: I’ve been enjoying my Alpine still.
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| 12:45 |
The Pirates aren’t really going to extend me, right? They got me locked up til I’m 32.. I just don’t get it! |
| 12:46 |
: Well now I know you’re not Andrew McCutchen
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| 12:46 |
I inherited a keep-6 in a 12 team mixed h2h points league and my team is very light on hitting talent but deep in pitching. Another owner offered me my $11 Sale for his $10 Brantley and $10 Gattis. Both hitters would be kept, and I’m already keeping Kershaw and Smyly, but I already have Lucroy at C so it’s not a position of need. Thoughts? |
| 12:47 |
: Keep talking with him or talk to some other teams offline about Gattis. you’re keeping too many pitchers. I’d never leave top six rounds with three pitchers. Like Brantley, and if you can turn Gattis + Smyly into another hitter and keep five with Kershaw, you gold.
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| 12:47 |
: STAY GOLD PONY BOY
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| 12:47 |
eno – What are your thoughts on coors original? Got a place out on LI that has it on tap and does 16 oz cups for $3 during the summer. Ya cant beat that! |
| 12:47 |
: It’s my flip cup beer.
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| 12:47 |
How do you see Marcus Semien panning out in Oakland? Im trying to target a young SS with power/speed upside and he intrigues me. |
| 12:48 |
: Better in OBP leagues, a little nervous about role of park, might only be a .250/12/12 kind of guy, but better than that in OBP. Nice guy to target in deeper leagues.
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| 12:48 |
For 2016 only in an AL only league, and with equal costs for both, would you rather Kole Calhoun or Mookie? |
| 12:48 |
: For this year only? Calhoun.
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| 12:48 |
You’re down on Baez; many people are. Bracketing that for a moment, what–if anything–could count as evidence in spring training that he is beginning to make the necessary adjustments? |
| 12:49 |
: I was down on Baez before it was cool. Have zero shares in ten dynasty leagues. K% does stabilize quickly. Could try to watch that.
|
| 12:49 |
Important Question….how can I apply the Auction Calculator to a shallow 10 team h2h redraft league? I know I can modify the format to reflect my own, I just don’t know how much weight I should place in the rankings for a h2h set up. Based on my format (only 3 OF), it looks like it inflates the value non-OF positions like catcher and MIF, placing guys like Tulo and Gattis much higher than normal. How much should I buy into this? |
| 12:50 |
: I’d fade all outfielders in your setup. The outfielders you’ll see at the end of the draft will all be good.
|
| 12:50 |
As a third 1B option for a contending team, how much would you add to the underwhelming but reliable Loney to get Napoli? Is it even worth pursuing? This is a FG points-style league. |
| 12:50 |
: yeah Napoli has walks, power, and lost the sleep apnea. Honestly that could be important. I wouldn’t add much but I’d go for it.
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| 12:51 |
well its like all addiction… addiction is considered by medical professionals as a disease, but by employers and the government as a crime. its bad that he relapsed, but it is worse that he (or anyone) gets punished. anyone who knows anyone with an addiction knows its a debilitating disease, and yet society doesn’t want to treat it as such. its sad |
| 12:51 |
: favorite button
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| 12:51 |
D’backs worse record in mlb? |
| 12:51 |
: Yeah but I can’t square that with the fact that I like some of their pitchers.
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| 12:52 |
Does Toronto go after another OF before the season, with Saunders missing half the year? |
| 12:53 |
: Right now it’s probably Pillar/Pompey/Bautista starting with Colabello or Tolleson backing up… Might take a shot at Hairston or Kubel, doubt they give up much or swallow a lot of money to get Ethier.
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| 12:53 |
i feel as though wheeler has been basically mike pelfrey plus strikeouts… what can he do to, i dont know, last beyond 5 innings? |
| 12:54 |
: Command. It’s all that’s missing. Better pitches than Pelfrey, who had 1.5 pitches.
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| 12:54 |
Our keeper league is at a crossroads and you are our only hope for clarity… We can keep players for 3 years at whatever price you acquired them at. We are in huge disagreement about how to go about setting the price for a player should an owner choose to extend them after those 3 years are up. Some want to use the average auction cost published on some of the bigger websites and just say you can resign them for 3 years at whatever that cost is. This is dumb right, there has to be a better way… |
| 12:55 |
: Just come up with an extension plan. I don’t mind $5+ per year. If he costs $5 now, and you sigh him to three years, you get $10/15/20. That allows you to keep guys for a bit at below cost, but doesn’t let you keep Trout under cost for too many years.
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| 12:56 |
20 team keeper league. Should I keep Mejia considering saves and hold are worth a lot of points. I am just afraid he wont stick there long. |
| 12:56 |
: I kept Mejia in a 20-team 28-keeper as my only reliever.
|
| 12:56 |
Is now a good time to try to acquire Hamilton for cheap in a dynasty league? |
| 12:56 |
: Only if the cost is basically nothing.
|
| 12:56 |
Sante IPA: 831 is their most popular. I see a dankness has been on tap recently so it could have been that. Simpleton was a growler fill not too long ago…..all of them are phenomenal. |
| 12:57 |
: II had I See a Dankness at the gala, I think that was a cellarmaker collabo and it was awesome awesome. I thought there was ‘silver’ in the name of the one I had this past weekend.
|
| 12:57 |
If I’m reading things correctly, it appears that Green Flash/Alpine are planning to expand production. Will that include wider distribution as well? I can find all kinds of Green Flash beers in MKE but am hoping that Nelson finds its way up here. |
| 12:58 |
: It’ll be a big deal if it tastes the same. Immediate Go Get It rec.
|
| 12:58 |
so you said you liked the shape of Heaney’s change. Tell me more. |
| 12:59 |
: It has five inches more run and about an inch more drop than the average changeup. And nine mph gap with sinker, which is above-average.
|
| 12:59 |
John Smoltz is the first pitcher to be inducted into the Hall of Fame post Tommy John surgery. Who do you see following in his footsteps? |
| 12:59 |
: All of the future Hall of Famers.
|
| 12:59 |
Would you avoid players with stark home/away splits in h2h format? Like Rockies hitters or Padres pitchers? They can help win your week in their home environment, but could be dead weight when they play away. Trying to figure out whether I should invest in guys like Dickerson, Arrenado, and Tulo |
| 1:00 |
: No reason to avoid. Might be a reason to avoid stacking one lineup with all those guys, though. One guy away from home is fine.
|
| 1:00 |
how the hell are rec drugs worse than ped’s? is it a perception thing? |
| 1:00 |
: I mean I guess the only way I could understand it if the person meant it was worse for Hamilton’s life, because yeah I guess a relapse is worse for him than a PED pop. But otherwise I think it’s stupid.
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| 1:01 |
:
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| 1:02 |
Will the Mets ever have a rotation of: Syndergaard, Matz, Harvey, Wheeler, and DeGrom. If yes, when? |
| 1:02 |
: Doubt it. One will bust. If it happens… 2016.
|
| 1:02 |
Better minor league keeper Matt Davidson or Kyle Parker? |
| 1:02 |
: Parker I guess.
|
| 1:03 |
Do pitchers look at this Pitch F/X data? Sometimes you’ll he a guys pitch change and take a step forward(Cole Hamel’s Curve for example), but their usage doesn’t change. Are they aware the pitch is better? |
| 1:03 |
: Differs from pitcher to pitcher to team to team. I’ll be asking about this for sure. I know McCarthy looks at it. Pretty sure Greinke, Bauer do.
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| 1:04 |
I believe I may be using pauction nalculator incorrectly. Trying to use my home league 10 tm pts -1 per ks i keep getting stud SP’s (Darvish, Bums, Kluber) and imo weak hitting. (Reyes, and Vmart) Those are my first picks. I thought in 10 tm you are looking for the best bats. What can I change to bring my hitter values up? |
| 1:04 |
: You can change the hitter/pitcher mix at the top. Put a % in. Change it to 75.
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| 1:04 |
do you like websites? |
| 1:04 |
Are you intrigued by Scherzer adding a cutter? |
| 1:04 |
: Did he need more?
|
| 1:04 |
Hey Eno, I love talking about beer and all but as a Canadian I have no idea what all your American breweries are..do you know much about Canadian beer? I don’t mean Molson Canadian or Alexander Keith’s..there are a lot of good things coming from the Ontario/Quebec craft brewing scene: Steamwhistle Pilsner (fairly mainstream now), Mill Street, St. Ambroise, and, my favourite, Beau’s All Natural (also available in New York State). I highly recommend all of it. |
| 1:05 |
: It just doesn’t make it south a lot. Noted!
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| 1:05 |
Where do you fall on Rendon? He hit a high number of Just Enough HRs but he also had one of the highest average flyball distances of all 2Bs. Will he continue to steal? I have no clue on how to value him this year. |
| 1:05 |
: I believe the power. It was always supposed to be there. His swing looks nice to me. I think he can steal 8-10 or so, but not going to steal a ton of bases going forward.
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| 1:06 |
Best long-term keeper: Polanco, Rusney or Wong? |
| 1:06 |
: In batting average league I take the 2b.
|
| 1:07 |
I really like Starling Marte. I’m expecting something like 20-30 w/ 280+ avg. I get that is optimistic. What are you projecting for him? |
| 1:07 |
: .275/15/30. don’t love his plate discipline, some of OBP is in HBP, worried BABIP will come back down a bit.
|
| 1:07 |
Xander Bogaerts: Any hope he will near the Boston hype? |
| 1:09 |
: He’s another one that I think did really well for his debut. He’s 22 and played a good shortstop with representative power and plate discipline. I think he’ll push the BB% and K% to average, and hit for more power. Could see a peak of .280/20/5, and soon. Maybe more power in peak.
|
| 1:09 |
literally been drinking only bud light for 10 years. cant stomach the hoppy stuff, what are some good transition beers to get me to adulthood? sours? |
| 1:10 |
: Sours are going to be either or for you, you going to love or hate. Try something like a Anderson Valley’s Blood Orange Gose. Try Saison Dupont. Try an DFH Imperial Pilsner. Try a Left Hand Milk Stout.
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| 1:10 |
Wieters should be good, right? whats the deal with position players after TJ? |
| 1:10 |
: Not a big deal.
|
| 1:10 |
Being down on Baez might not always be cool. Ease up there, Fonzie. |
| 1:10 |
: Hey just part of the job.
|
| 1:10 |
: (being wrong)
|
| 1:10 |
Hey Eno, I experienced my first Pliny the Younger taste this past week. How did this years batch compare to others? I honestly wasn’t all that over the moon for Younger (although I am glad I crossed it off my bucket list). It seemed to lack the pzazz of Elder in my opinion. |
| 1:11 |
: That’s what it is, a well-blended stronger Elder with less hop-forward taste. I like it better than Elder, but neither is a top five for me I don’t think.
|
| 1:11 |
When did ‘fade’ become synonymous with trade? That’s what you mean, right? |
| 1:11 |
: Fade means “I’m out on” or “I won’t bet on”. Betting term I think.
|
| 1:11 |
Todd Zola is all excited about Jose Peraza, the kid who is knocking on the door at 2b in ATL. You think he can make an impact in roto in 2015? 2016? |
| 1:12 |
: Lot of moving parts there, and I kinda like Jace Peterson. But yeah I doubt Alberto Callaspo and Chris Johnson are the full-year answers, so it’s a good place to stick your nose.
|
| 1:12 |
In an only league with daily transactions, is stars and scrubs still a viable strategy? |
| 1:12 |
: It’s worse because your wire looks nasty.
|
| 1:12 |
When Kiley asked 19 year old Yoan Macanda about the internet, Moncada’s translator basically said he doesnt use it and didnt have exposure to it. Think about that. Craziness. |
| 1:12 |
: Cuba.
|
| 1:12 |
Over under on Nelson Cruz HR/rbi in Sea 30/95 |
| 1:12 |
: under under. Only worth acquiring for cheap.
|
| 1:13 |
|
| 1:13 |
: uh
|
| 1:13 |
Eno, tried asking on Twitter but couldn’t really fit all necessary info. In a deep roster 10 team 6×6, with OPS and K/BB, QS instead of wins. Keep 6, and pretty set on Stanton-$30, Altuve-9, Puig-22 already. A 260 budget. Need 3 more: Pederson-$5, Betts-5, Soler-5, Kluber-7, Chapman-14, JBautista-30. Love Soler and Betts, just looking for an outside opinion. Thanks |
| 1:14 |
: Soler Kluber….. Betsjocchap. or Chapbetserson. Betts or Joc. If Betts is 2b eligible, take him.
|
| 1:14 |
The Birchwood Brothers just mentioned Ben Paulsen or Paul Benson – who knows – in a deeeeeep draft review. should he/both be on my watchlist in dynasty? |
| 1:14 |
: Morneau gets hurt a lot so yeah.
|
| 1:15 |
Help us Eno-wan-kenobe, you’re our only help! |
| 1:15 |
: Enostradamus.
|
| 1:16 |
What do you make of Joe Kelly’s plans to use a slider this year and less fastballs? He predicts this formula will win him the cy young. |
| 1:17 |
: I heard the Cy part but not the slider part. That part is super interesting to me. Unfortunately, the slider has just as bad a ball rate as the rest of his pitches… but the best zone%. Huh. Maybe he can get it in the zone more. Another Arrieta?
|
| 1:18 |
Hey Eno, I’m in a 12 team keep forever league. Trying to decide between Wacha and deGrom for my last spot. I’m already keeping Darvish, Sherzer, and Harvey… 1st and 2nd in my league have amazing staffs, I finished third last year. |
| 1:18 |
: Have The Hair a few spots above Wacha in redraft and it seems fair to bump him up another slot in keeper.
|
| 1:18 |
You seem to have more love for Soler than most. What do you like so much about him? Who’s the better long term bet, Soler or Puig? |
| 1:19 |
: Just like that I think he has BB% upside, really made some great adjustments in the minors, has Grown Man power, is young, and has a spot in a decent park. Puig has more categories though.
|
| 1:19 |
Why so low on Kazmir in your rankings? You have him slotted below guys you’ve indicated you are down on including Fister, Dickey, others. Worried about last year’s 2nd half? |
| 1:19 |
: Innings. I think the innings reaper will come for him at some point soon.
|
| 1:19 |
What week will FG be in Arizona? |
| 1:20 |
: I’ll be there March 4-11.
|
| 1:20 |
Give me all of the bacon and eggs that you have. Now that you have fed me, do you think it was foolish for the Yankees to pull out of the Moncada bidding for an amount that is equal to Stephen Drewโs 2015 salary? |
| 1:20 |
: Yeah they coulda used the infusion of young talent.
|
| 1:21 |
Who makes a really good, available porter? |
| 1:21 |
: Founders? Or Deschutes’ Black Butte?
|
| 1:22 |
In a K/9 league and I am struggling to get reasonable value out of the auction calculator for starting pitchers. It only rates 19 starters as worth positive dollars and only about 10 are actually draftable. Any suggestions on how I can set it up to get use able values? Thanks and love the the Sleeper and the Bust. |
| 1:22 |
: Maybe try to press the ‘suppress reliever value’ button?
|
| 1:22 |
What hitter/pitcher split do you use for your rankings? How about the Pauction/Malctulator? I think Larry Schechter says to use 69/31 because that’s what most auction calculators use and you want to be using what everyone else is otherwise you will under/over value hitters/pitchers compared to your other drafters. |
| 1:23 |
: I agree in general. You want to know what the group is doing, then you can zag from there.
|
| 1:23 |
Steamer really likes Josh Tomlin this year. Too bad hes the Indians 8th starter |
| 1:23 |
: Yeah nice K-BB, but I even have House above him.
|
| 1:23 |
I’m late to the party, but mad props to the guy that linked The Descendents song. Milo Goes To College is an amazing album! |
| 1:23 |
: That was me and yeah listened to it a lot… in college.
|
| 1:24 |
Hi Eno, fan here writing from Brazil. I can keep four of the following, and would be drafting 5th in a league with 10 teams. Kershaw (1st), Strasburg(3rd), Puig (4th), Tulo (last round), Fielder (last), Chris Davis (last), Arrieta (last). My idea is to keep Kershaw, Puig, Tulo and Fielder, but I’m considering dropping Kershaw and keeping Davis. What do you think? |
| 1:26 |
: Yeah I think you keep Clayton. Your other keepers have a ton of surplus value, and you’re in a ten-teamer, so a first rounder at first round price is also valuable.
|
| 1:26 |
I was waiting in line behind Eno at the convinience store the other day, and I got a full wiff of his hair.. And I thought, wow, that… that is EXACTLY what I thought it would smell like. |
| 1:26 |
: This is creepy! But it should have smelled a bit like rosemary I think.
|
| 1:26 |
Does Michael Mockery take over Rosario some time this year? |
| 1:26 |
: He’s a good deep league sleeper. They moving Rosario around the diamond, too. Possible.
|
| 1:27 |
is there a flat rate in a league with $260 budgets that you recommend as the cost to keep a player that was picked up off FA? $10 seems pretty logical |
| 1:28 |
: That’s top60 hitter prices, or almost Yelich. Yeah I guess it’s okay. $5 might better represent the fact that you yoinked a keeper though.
|
| 1:28 |
At what point do you back off of Stroman with all his helium? |
| 1:29 |
: Maybe around $15. I could get Cole Hamels for $15.
|
| 1:29 |
Did Marcel Ozuna hit his offensive ceiling last year? |
| 1:30 |
: He’s 24, so I say no. I see possible growth in BB, K, ISO.
|
| 1:30 |
I think McCann is going to out perform current auction values. How do like his chances for a rebound this year? |
| 1:30 |
: I do like him a little better than current values. I don’t think you’re going to shift McCann into irrelevance.
|
| 1:30 |
Could the Sox trade Moncada for Hamels? |
| 1:31 |
: If the Phillies wanted to spend that much for Moncada, they would have.
|
| 1:31 |
: But I suppose he’d be $30 m cheaper now lol. Still, that makes me doubt Boston doing it.
|
| 1:32 |
ENO! I’m headed down to Fort Myers area next week. Any good Pilsner or Ale brewers in the region? Any awesome bars? Thank you sir! |
| 1:33 |
: All I know is Tampa (Cigar City) and Boca (Funky Buddha) and neither is a ton of help.
|
| 1:33 |
How much do teams care about mental health? Do any require them to meet with a team counselor for something like a physical or even on a regular basis? ESPECIALLY when they are on the DL. |
| 1:34 |
: They usually have an associated psychologist, but from what I’ve read — Smoltz talked about it some, and Hayhurst — the player has to ask for it.
|
| 1:34 |
Do you like Brian Eno? Related? |
| 1:34 |
: Named after.
|
| 1:34 |
: (and sure, but this kind)
|
| 1:35 |
Would you rather have Kang, Alex Jackson or Glasnow? |
| 1:35 |
: Kang. but Glasnow I like too.
|
| 1:35 |
|
| 1:35 |
Eno…that call… IT’S COMING INSIDE YOUR HOUSE! Get out! |
| 1:36 |
Any chance Sporer will get some chat time? |
| 1:36 |
: Yes. We’ll get on that.
|
| 1:36 |
Can Henderson Alvarez be the next Doug Fister/Rick Porcello type? |
| 1:36 |
: Yes actually. I want to see a few more changeups.
|
| 1:36 |
:
|
| 1:37 |
: Okay that last Eno was too slow. This is the Eno I like best.
|
| 1:37 |
There’s a word for sliders that are always in the strike zone: homers ๐ |
| 1:37 |
If Jorge De LA Rosa pitched outside of Colorado allowing him to use the Curve more, could he be good if he took the Holladay/Haren plan of going Cutter/Curve/Splitter plan? |
| 1:38 |
: I mean he could try it in Denver too I guess.
|
| 1:38 |
I had my first Heady Topper(s). Had to flip a Bottle of West Ashley (Sante’s Apricot Sour). Heady was great, not amazing, but the real treat was the trillium congress st ipa he threw in. Wow. You had anything by trillium? If that IPA was representative, then they are doing some cool stuff. |
| 1:38 |
: I want Trillium, for the record.
|
| 1:38 |
I’m listening to Natalie Merchant on Spotify and I’m not ashamed. Ok, maybe a tad. |
| 1:38 |
: Maxamuz.
|
| 1:39 |
Can you talk a bit about Freddie Freeman? Any power upside left in that bat? Are the Braves so bad that he’s become an expensive Brandon Belt? |
| 1:39 |
: I think he’s at his power ceiling. Maybe one year a mini breakout, but no sustained other level missing.
|
| 1:39 |
Only two MLB players have attended my university: Carlos Pena and Adam Ottavino. One hit dingers and walked a lot. The other reads Fangraphs. 2/2_isn’t bad. |
| 1:39 |
: Saber High.
|
| 1:40 |
Mike Fiers ??? |
| 1:40 |
: Sure. Made some important adjustments. Has the stuff to overcome the lack of velocity, if that sounds weird.
|
| 1:40 |
Would you use Kang as your starting SS this year in fantasy? Or is playing time going to be an issue? |
| 1:41 |
: On talent, I’m all over him. But yes PT makes me nervous, so he’s part of a plan, not the plan.
|
| 1:41 |
You said something earlier about keeping too much pitching. But if I have like no solid hitting keepers and I can come into the draft with something like $245 and 5-6 SP, I’ve got to do that right? |
| 1:42 |
: yeah I mean I’m not talking about keeping bad hitters just to keep them. And it sounds like your pitchers are super cheap.
|
| 1:42 |
What happened to Straily and can he right the ship?? |
| 1:42 |
: A little barking in the body parts, a little velocity loss, and yes I think he can get it back. Even when maybe not 100%, his stuff got good results.
|
| 1:42 |
You get Tulo in the second, who do you back up with? |
| 1:43 |
: Whomever falls of the Andrus Escobar Alexei group. Or nobody, there will be someone like that on the wire if youre in a mixed league.
|
| 1:43 |
Is Carlos Martinez being undervalues or are people unsure about his role Thanks |
| 1:43 |
: Marco Gonzalez going to give him a bit of a battle but yeah it’s the role.
|
| 1:43 |
Camels value jumps how much if he is traded to boston/LAD? |
| 1:43 |
: More if NL team that can give him wins.
|
| 1:44 |
Mookie Betts will go 15/30/100r/.300 with a .400 OBP yes or no? I put money on him doing this with a friend who loves the bosox (and victorino) and I think he’s wrong re: Mookie (he doesn’t agree). Help! |
| 1:44 |
: It’s all about the PT. You were probably a little aggressive. But I like Betts too.
|
| 1:44 |
Wait, there is a Camel in the MLB now? |
| 1:44 |
: He’s on his way to LA maybe.
|
| 1:44 |
Can Dallas Keuchel churn out another great season like he had last year or is regression coming for him? |
| 1:44 |
: He can turn out another good season like last year, yes.
|
| 1:45 |
Is this the year Street’s arm falls off for good? |
| 1:45 |
: If not this, then soon.
|
| 1:46 |
: Got a phone call coming soon. Remember
|
| 1:46 |
: dammit youtube search… LOAD
|
| 1:46 |
: REMEMBER……….
|
| 1:49 |
:
|
| 1:49 |
: worst. delivery. ever.
|
| 1:49 |
bye thanks eno |
| 1:49 |
: Later guys! next week, from Arizona!
|
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
RE: Hamilton relapse
I suppose I get the rehabilitation POV to some extent but I dont understand the overwhelming percentage of people who want to make excuses for addicts in general. Kleptomania and pedophilia are addictions too. You think that people who steal things or molest children should get a free pass and just be rehabilitated?
Yes, I realize drug addiction is different, but the bottom line is that it only becomes an addiction if a person makes a bad decision to use the drug in the first place. At some point you have to be accountable for your actions, addiction or not.
Hamilton should absolutely face punishment if he did in fact use a recreational drug like cocaine. This is a guy who repeatedly violated the drug policy in the past. And if he is forced to take a an extended break from baseball it is likely his best bet to stay sober.
I don’t see Eno or other chatters as excusing him, so much as I see them bemoaning the suspension for it. If an MLB player commits a DUI, or steals, etc, they don’t receive a suspension. The drug focus seems to be arbitrary, especially since cocaine use ostensibly (I haven’t actually done the research) has less of a risk for hurting people other than himself compared to an act like a DUI. Another potential corollary from this might be that the MLB shouldn’t be suspending for any personal behavior.
I agree a person should not be wholly excused for drug use because of an addiction, but it should still be factored in. Guilt is not a dichotomy; it’s a spectrum. We can both acknowledge that his addiction makes it very difficult for him to stay drug-free and not excuse him wholly from his actions. It may not be “fair” that his addiction is making it harder for him to stay drug-free, but we all have to play the hand we’re dealt.
The comments were a bit superficially bit off-putting to me, but I think they make more sense once you tease out their underlying arguments that weren’t explicitly stated.