Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 5/5/16
| 10:52 |
: Be here shortly! In the meantime
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| 12:01 |
: challa!
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| 12:01 |
: Are you worried about me?
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| 12:01 |
: Look a little doughy, not doing well in the fifth, velocity dropping off, it’s hard to change fitness in the middle of the season, but I’m less worried about him than a guy like Keuchel at 88 mph.
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| 12:02 |
: I think I know the answer to this q given your podcast/love of Nola, but here goes: trade Travis Shaw to get back Nola in a redraft?
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| 12:02 |
: Shaw looks like a .260/20 type third baseman, which I like a little less than a strong fantasy #2.
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| 12:02 |
: Eno! Okay … how heavily should I be pursuing Keuchel? Give up one of Freeman, Puig, Ian Desmond, or Brantley?
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| 12:03 |
: Piece up today. Read it, because after it, I’m a little more confused. There are some good signs and bad signs, but i doubt he averages 90 for a season again, and that seems the most meaningful.
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| 12:03 |
: It’s early, but is Christian Yelich a keeper at $14 in a 12-team 5×5 + OPS?
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| 12:04 |
: His homer / grounder problem is less of a problem in OPS, so I say yes. Always going to have a plus batting average and like 25 homers plus steals. Could Brantley at some point.
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| 12:04 |
: Conforto or Mazara OBP dynasty?
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| 12:05 |
: I love them both so much. Don’t make me choose. Okay I know I have to. Fine. And not like ‘fine’ but like ‘fine’ the way your girlfriend says yeah fine we can see civil war instead of the movie I suggested. so. Conforto. I like Mazara’s swing and potential for plus batting average, but i love Conforto’s all field approach, power to all fields, and power more overall.
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| 12:06 |
: What do you think about Makiel Franco? What is a realistic expectation for him the ROS? He’s slump is kind of killing me.
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| 12:06 |
: He’s just missing a bit of power and BABIP. I think he’ll end the season at .275 with 26+ homers, so I’m taking the over on his projections.
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| 12:06 |
: Grandal or Realmuto ROS? 12 H2H points league.
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| 12:07 |
: Grandal is my mans.
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| 12:07 |
: John Lamb looked pretty good on Tuesday, can we expect a sub-4 ERA from him this year with solid K/9?
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| 12:07 |
: Velo was down a bit from where I wanted it. But otherwise, good start, and I like him for those numbers, if maybe 3.8ish or so.
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| 12:07 |
: Adam Jones just got dropped for some reason in my 12 team 5×5 H2H. How much of my FAAB should I shoot for?
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| 12:08 |
: That’s like a 51%er. If you made two pickups all year, you’d want one to be Adam Jones.
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| 12:09 |
: Grichuk has really struggled thus far, but his walk rate, strikeout rate and hard hit percentage all look good. Would you hold him or drop him for Ozuna in a 12 teamer?
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| 12:09 |
: I’d rather have Ozuna. I like that Ozuna is adding more fly balls this year, still hitting ball hard, should K less than Grichuk going forward.
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| 12:09 |
: Does Josh Bell get called up before the All-Star break?
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| 12:09 |
: no
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| 12:09 |
: Would stashing A.J. Reed given Tyler White’s recent struggles make sense? I have to think A.J.’s opportunity is looming. Is it worth dropping a bench player like Lamb, Ozuna or Khris Davis to do so?
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| 12:10 |
: Maybe Lamb, who’s losing some time to Drury, but I think White will get it going again.
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| 12:10 |
: Does the rise of shifts mean 3B is less of a good spot to hide lumbering slow sluggers than it used to be? But outfield corner defense might be being valued more than it used to, so LF is also a worse place to hide. Is this a real trend? If so, what are the effects?
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| 12:11 |
: Harder to be bad defensively anywhere. Bet we get universal DH soon as teams want a place to stash those guys.
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| 12:12 |
: Need some speed. Prefer Ketel Marte or Denard Span?
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| 12:12 |
: Span. All those balls in play mean more opportunities.
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| 12:12 |
: Would you consider Sonny Gray and John Lester to be in the same tier of SP’s?
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| 12:13 |
: I like Gray more than projections but would put him under Lester, and in the same tier. Life is complicated!
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| 12:13 |
: Am I alright?
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| 12:14 |
: I bet you still working on that change. That would explain BB% explosion. Still, Roark doing well enough that we may not see much of you.
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| 12:15 |
: DeShields is falling out of favor with Rangers brass. Is it Brinson time? Better NA stash, Brinson or Buxton?
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| 12:16 |
: Man, Brinson is striking out 12% of the time in Double-A! Are you kidding me? That was the only flaw in his game. He was dealing with some shoulder thing, but at the risk of recency bias, I’ll say that I’m more excited about his future than Buxton’s. That said, if it’s only about this year, Buxton’s road to playing time more open.
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| 12:16 |
: Straily possessing some top notch first pitch strike %, and swinging strike %. If it wasn’t for the park, I’d be all over. 12-team mixed worthy?
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| 12:18 |
: He has a good change and slide combo. I wish the velocity bump had been more substantial. I don’t see why he has to give up 1.7 hr/9 like Zips says. I’ll take something between depth charts (4.4/1.3) and Steamer (3.5/1.2) meaning he’s a 12-team streamer, probably away from home.
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| 12:19 |
: Hi Eno. Couple weeks ago you recommended Chris “Nail in the” Coghlan over Coco “Nut Water” Crisp, and yeah, they both suck, but Coghlan can suck at so many positions! Thanks!!
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| 12:19 |
: Man I thought Crisp was burnt. He looks a little better than Coghlan, but you have to think that neck will come back to bite him.
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| 12:19 |
: Most saves rest of season? Jepsen, May, Perkins, Meyer
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| 12:19 |
: May.
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| 12:19 |
: Neris on the precipice
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| 12:20 |
: Yeah I think so.
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| 12:20 |
: Daniel Murphy is puling the ball more and smoking it. Is he just a better Daniel Murphy?
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| 12:20 |
: I keep waiting for the pitchers to adjust, but maybe it’s one of those switches they can’t unclick.
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| 12:20 |
: What is wrong with Russell Martin? He has to be hurt or something, right?
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| 12:20 |
: Neck.
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| 12:21 |
: You had previously said you really liked Rodon in April, now you are saying his velocity is down and you’re concerned and he’s droppable. Can you go into more detail about your true feelings on Rodon (I have kept him for two years in a league and I am concerned)
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| 12:23 |
: I’m glad he kept the walks down. I’m glad he’s getting grounders. His slider is still the business. Not droppable in 12-team keepers. I’ve still got a share in an 11-team where I really need the upside at pitching. But for others that need to move on, I don’t like the velocity decrease and the swinging strike decrease.
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| 12:23 |
: I’ve been patient with my sluggers and most of them have repaid me with recent hot streaks, Hanley, Abreu, Santana. And then there’s Fielder. At this point would you bench him for Plouffe or Pearce?
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| 12:23 |
: No.
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| 12:23 |
: Shelby Miller….apparently a mechanical issue, but he continues to struggle after become aware of it. What’s up with Shelby Miller?
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| 12:23 |
: Unless the mechanical issue also gets the velocity back, I don’t think we’ll see the Atlanta version again.
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| 12:23 |
: Does Boxberger get his job back when he’s healthy or has Colome pitched his way into the closers role?
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| 12:24 |
: I think the Rays like to spread saves around and keep everyone cheap. I would be surprised if Box didn’t get any saves.
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| 12:24 |
:
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| 12:26 |
: Are teams taking advantage of Jon Lester’s oddities as much as they could be? He can’t throw to first on a pickoff, and now he can’t throw to first on a comebacker. Should teams be bunting on him with anyone who is at all decent at bunting?
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| 12:26 |
: It’s the kind of thing you see in the postseason, and not as much in the middle of the season, isn’t it? But why?
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| 12:26 |
: Do you think Gregory Polanco will ever learn to hit LH pitching?
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| 12:26 |
: I think he’ll learn to not swing as much.
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| 12:26 |
: Hi Eno – In a recent chat, August said that Thor’s velocity may in part be accounted for by ‘intent’ suggesting he throws with ‘90% intent’ (read ‘effort’?) compared with other pitchers who throw with ‘70% intent’. Has the idea of ‘max effort’ come up in your discussions with pitchers? Thank you!
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| 12:28 |
: Hector Santiago said that he decided this year he would throw as hard as he could till they took the ball from him, which suggests that others leave more in the tank. In related news, Santiago’s velocity has been down big the last two starts.
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| 12:28 |
: sup
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| 12:28 |
: There’s no J Dilla, but have you listened to ONRA and his Les Chinoiseries beats (the Anthem is a favorite) or any L’Orange? Good beat makers both.
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| 12:29 |
: Is this it? pretty good
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| 12:29 |
: How bad is my Reds bullpen? And how does your answer f***ing help the Reds?
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| 12:29 |
: Is v bad. vv bad. And so I don’t have to answer any more questions about this vv bad thing: I think Ohlendorf is the closer.
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| 12:29 |
: So, Rich Hill, worthwhile investment for a win now team in a points dynasty league? Worth a 25-50 overall range prospect?
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| 12:30 |
: So many Tums. Why not also ask the Pomeranz owner what the price is? They basically doing the same thing.
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| 12:30 |
: It’s funny putting in stuff before the chat. It’s the quiet part of the morning. Just me and the raccoons.
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| 12:30 |
: And then… this happens.
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| 12:30 |
: FYI Jung-Ho Kang was seen at the Pittsburgh Airport today. They also optioned Jason Rogers to AAA. HE’S BAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACK
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| 12:31 |
: BREATHLESS SUSYN WALDMAN
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| 12:31 |
: Is shifting only relevant for a generation, when players are coming up having not faced a shift much while developing? Will the next generation of sluggers be trained from a young age to bunt to beat the shift enough to not face it regularly, leading to the natural decline of shifting?
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| 12:32 |
: I think it’s here to stay because it’s not just the infield shift we are talking about. There’s more to happen, too: left fielders swapping with right fielders, three outfielders up the middle, two outfielders and a rover in short right… love the shift because it’s here.
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| 12:32 |
: Jon Gray’s new curveball. Is it good? Not recognized by PitchFX yet. Used it once, then 4 times, then 13 times. Plus, Jon Gray is just nasty. Are you buying any Jon Gray despite home park?
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| 12:33 |
: Might have some trouble with it at home, but yeah he looks like real deal.
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| 12:33 |
: Was offered Conforto and Forsythe for Ortiz and Pence. Regular roto categories with walks added. Keep forever (8) and no round value. Was going to say no, but my 2B is Phillips with Travis stashed.
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| 12:33 |
: I say yes.
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| 12:34 |
: When does Brito come back, and in what role?
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| 12:34 |
: Soon, plays center field, in more than a backup role.
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| 12:34 |
: Piscotty: emerging star? Prospect projection was “pretty good LF” but his MLB batted ball profile has made defied those early scouting reports
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| 12:35 |
: Little worried the fly ball numbers are down. But I like the swing changes he made and otherwise would think this level of power is sustainable.
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| 12:35 |
: Matt Duffy is doing his best Aaron Rowand impression in SF. He looks a bit off and hasn’t been going oppo as much. More a case of the book being out on him to pitch down and in, or just squeezing the bat too tight?
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| 12:36 |
: I should write my piece. There are two Matt Duffys in there — one a spray hitting contact / average guy, the other a pull hitting power hitter. And the teams that know him best prefer the spray guy they can defend, so they pitch him that way.
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| 12:36 |
: I’m new to advanced metrics. What can I look for in “breakout” pitchers to determine their viability? I’m thinking Aaron Sanchez, Aaron Nola, etc.
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| 12:37 |
: I like swinging strike rate, first pitch strike rate, velocity, and three-pitch pitching mix (third pitch > 10%) as a loose crib.
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| 12:37 |
: Tolleson’s going to implode and lose his job before end of May, right?
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| 12:37 |
: Been saying this. We’ll see.
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| 12:37 |
: Pick one to drop, Eovaldi, Finnegan or Fiers
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| 12:37 |
: Fiers.
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| 12:37 |
: Domingo Santana’s right shoulder tightness scare you? was just offered Santana for my Cashner in deep mixer.
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| 12:38 |
: I’ll take the bat with the upside. Cash is a big fastball whose fastball is smaller.
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| 12:38 |
: Is speed way overvalued as a tool? Last year, for example, the value provided by the top Baserunning score (8.3) would have ranked 66th on the Offensive value leaderboard. It seems that even elite speed is only about as useful as solid average hitting.
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| 12:38 |
: Very much yes. Very much. Paradoxically, it’s getting rarer and is undervalued in fantasy. Which sucks. Steals and saves are the worst.
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| 12:38 |
: oh thank goodness the semester is over! i can finally participate in the chats again!
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| 12:38 |
: Hope you failed them all, those buggers.
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| 12:39 |
: According to some versions of the parallel universe theory, there is a universe identical to ours, but starting today, people start speaking 100% in infomercial quotes, and they do this for 500 years. And it all started because a guy in Mongolia did a really good impression of Vince Offer (the Shamwow guy).
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| 12:39 |
: One man interlude. Where are the rest of you?
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| 12:39 |
: Piscotty has high hard hit% but low statcast exit velo… can you explain?
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| 12:39 |
: Hard hit rate biased by outcomes, is my guess.
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| 12:39 |
: Javy Baez has been unreal in the field the last couple games, making Machado/Arenado-esque plays at 3B. He also appears to have made some real changes at the plate–for instance, yesterday he intentionally cut down on his swing to ground a ball to the right side to get the run in from 3rd, and his K% is down to 21%. At what point does the Cubs’ best starting lineup include him as the everyday 3B and Bryant as the everyday LF?
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| 12:40 |
: I mean, I think it’s happening, slowly. La Stella has stone hands and Maddon doesn’t seem to like Soler for similar defense reasons, so even if Baez Ks more…
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| 12:40 |
: When are the Met’s gonna say, “yeah, Noah, you probably shouldn’t take a 3-second leg lift out of the stretch anymore…?”
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| 12:41 |
: They probably like his velocity out of the stretch. I don’t think a few stolen bases make up for the Ks with runners on.
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| 12:41 |
: any faith in Waino posting a 3.50 ERA ROS? Or is he toast?
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| 12:41 |
: I’m not buying.
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| 12:41 |
: Oh, dude, you got your CA voter guide, right? The one with candidate statements? You have to read it. It’s the best thing in the world.
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| 12:41 |
: I can’t vote, since I’m not a citizen, but that guide is on my table, yes, so I think I’ll take a look.
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| 12:42 |
: Start kang over story at shortstop when kang comes off the dl?
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| 12:42 |
: I’m in this position and keeping both. It’s a sort of ideal solution, to me. Start Story at home and on the road against lefties, start Kang otherwise and use Kang for extra PAs at UT, 3B.
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| 12:42 |
: Should I drop Sean Doolittle? Looks like the job belongs to Madson, no?
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| 12:42 |
: Madson’s got a hold on that, yes.
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| 12:42 |
: Going out to Portland with some friends over Memorial Day, have any beer/brewery recommendations? There’s so much to choose from. Heard Deschutes is up there, is there anything else we can’t miss out there?
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| 12:44 |
: Bend is really what’s up. I think Breakside is the place to be, but Deschutes, with Abyss, the seasonal Black Butte, Red Chair (had it on nitro recently), they have some really great stuff beyond the flagships.
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| 12:44 |
: Scale 1-10…how worried are you about these struggling pitchers?: harvey, archer, keuchel, cody allen
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| 12:44 |
: 6, 4, 7, 5.
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| 12:44 |
: Shallow league – Rodon or R. Hill? Seems like Hill would be Rodon’s best case scenario this year, so just roll with Hill in a better park, no?
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| 12:44 |
: Redraft, yes.
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| 12:45 |
: Been seeing a lot of young arms breeze through the lineup, get into trouble the second time around only to get yanked in the 5th i.e. Jose F, Manaea, Wood etc. in yesterday’s games…Is this a product of not having the “stuff” to through the lineup twice or arm fatigue this early in the season?
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| 12:45 |
: I’d guess it’s a way to manage pitches/innings.
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| 12:45 |
: Drop Alex Wood? Drop Alex Wood. Right?
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| 12:46 |
: yeah. Arm slot dropping. Some Ks showing up, but I don’t think we getting that good version back.
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| 12:46 |
: Did Stroman start throwing for vertical movement Sunday? The Ks finally showed up
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| 12:46 |
: Threw 19 curveballs finally.
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| 12:46 |
: Start Eickhoff @ StL today?
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| 12:46 |
: For sure.
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| 12:47 |
: In his AL SP tiers today, Podhorzer ranked Verlander above Drew Smyly and Taijuan Walker. How do you make sense of that?
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| 12:47 |
: K-BB is a powerful tool in season.
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| 12:47 |
: What’s your spidey sense telling you about Micahel Fulmer?
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| 12:47 |
: Buy.
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| 12:48 |
: Eno! I know you love music, you should check out bands like Creed and Nickelback. I promise you they won’t disappoint
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| 12:48 |
: how dare you suppress the turd emoji
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| 12:48 |
: Cistulli says you’re the fan graphs writer most likely to get fired. I say I’m the fan graphs reader most likely to have taken 3 dumps today. Your move
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| 12:49 |
: turd lude.
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| 12:49 |
: Vince Velaquez is a number ___ fantasy starter?
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| 12:49 |
: two, with the innings of a four/five.
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| 12:49 |
: can Odubel Herrera keep up this pace? Soooo many walks!
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| 12:49 |
: I love him right now.
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| 12:50 |
: what does TEX do with Profar? A Gallo trade you can swallow because of bust potential, but Profar is too good to trade, right?
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| 12:50 |
: Still only 23. I think they wait. Beltre could get hurt again.
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| 12:50 |
: Someone in my (shallow) league dropped C Seager, Iglesias and Carlos Gomez in a purge. I scooped all 3 up. I done good? You think they’ll bounce back?
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| 12:50 |
: Yes, yes, dunno.
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| 12:50 |
: Ventura worth a roster spot in a 10 team mixed? Not sure what I would do with the spot…take a flier on another SP, or maybe pick up another reliever like Cishek, McGee or Colome. Thoughts?
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| 12:51 |
: I’ll wait. He’s throwing the change a ton, I think that’s leading to a few more walks.
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| 12:51 |
: Thoughts on Michael Brantley ROS? Is there an easy way to see how zips has moved since the year started?
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| 12:52 |
: I think he’ll be fine. press ‘projections’ at top of his player page, and you’ll see that ZiPs has moved him from .301/.364/.454 to .297/.359/.446
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| 12:52 |
: What should we expect out of King Felix the rest of the year? What he was yesterday or the other starts of the season?
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| 12:52 |
: It’s not good. I’m out.
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| 12:52 |
: He’s throwing 89 and hiding the fastball.
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| 12:52 |
: $14 Machado for $21 Polanco+ $7 McCullers + Panik in an OBP. Which side do you like?
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| 12:53 |
: Machado Machado Machado
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| 12:53 |
: Mariners- real deal or illusion?
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| 12:53 |
: Someone with 86 wins going to win that division?
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| 12:53 |
: Five Guys – what are your toppings?
Five guys – if you could have two RoS, who do you take out of Conley, Hellickson, Eovaldi, Chatwood and Jimmy Nelson? |
| 12:54 |
: don’t at me but mayo lettuce pickles tomatoes grilled onions grilled mushrooms ketchup mustard green peppers. SO MESSY SO GOOD.
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| 12:54 |
: Two guys: Conley Eovaldi.
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| 12:54 |
: Finnegan or Graveman?
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| 12:55 |
: Finnegan. Wild but better stuff, more Ks.
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| 12:55 |
: Considering a league where starting pitching tends to be a premium, which stash do you prefer: Joe Musgrove or Trea Turner?
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| 12:55 |
: Still Trea.
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| 12:55 |
: Pineda. Dude loves to get shelled. I want to trade him but would I be selling low on him now or do you think I should get out now before things get worse?
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| 12:56 |
: I’d wait. I know movement is off on his cutter, but everything else other than homers looks okay.
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| 12:56 |
: yer thoughts re: tillman, mang?
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| 12:56 |
: Like. Throwing sinker and riseball succesfully, added velocity.
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| 12:57 |
: Say something nice about me Eno
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| 12:57 |
: He’s not this bad, but I don’t think he’s going to ISO .200 again. Exit velo average.
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| 12:57 |
: Drafted Salazar in a spot where I could have had Lester. Comfort me.
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| 12:58 |
: You got the guy with better stuff who is younger. Salazar’s been good. You’re fine.
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| 12:58 |
: Any more confidence in Lindor’s offense? Through first 100 AB’s this year his wRC+ is still exactly the same at last year. good bet for 10-15 hr, 20-25sb and high OBP?
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| 12:59 |
: I do think he’s more of a .120 ISO than a .170, so more 10-12 than 14-16 homers, but everything else is just about right. I might have underrated his offense.
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| 12:59 |
: Eno, gonna be in Seattle next week, any good beers/breweries I should try while I am out there?
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| 1:00 |
: Cloudburst and Holy Mountain. Cloudburst is Pike Place, which is an awesome location, Holy Mountain best beer in city.
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| 1:00 |
: PapaSlam or (the late) DomiNoNo?
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| 1:00 |
: No.
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| 1:00 |
: What do you make of Kemp’s transformation into beer league player?
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| 1:02 |
: The hair makes it. He still hits the ball hard but that K% is going to start going the wrong way.
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| 1:02 |
: Is there a good strategy for chasing wins? I’m getting crushed in that category (and seem to always do poorly with wins), even though I have a solid staff (Schrezer, Jose Fernandez, Tanaka, Raisel, Odorizzi)
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| 1:02 |
: You’ll be fine. Wins are impossible.
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| 1:03 |
: Eno, give me a beer recommendation. I live in metro Detroit and will drink anything you tell me to
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| 1:04 |
: Hole on I just wrote that chapter. I think Atwater Vanilla Java Porter.
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| 1:05 |
: Gausman has come back in filthylicious form. If he can stay healthy, can he sustain this…..Mirage or for reelz?
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| 1:05 |
: I love all the curves. I’m into it.
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| 1:05 |
: If/When the DH is implemented universally, do you think good hitting pitchers will still bat occasionally?
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| 1:05 |
: Only when they pull the DH.
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| 1:06 |
: Carlos Correa’s defensive metrics look HORRIBLE this year. Any chance that he moves off SS in the near future? If so, where do you see him landing?
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| 1:06 |
: There were the whispers that he would be a third baseman later, but that team will keep him there for a while. He’s a hard worker and really wants to stick at short. I would stick with him.
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| 1:07 |
: Manaea? I didn’t get to watch either of his starts, but it seems the first one was good throughout most of it until he unraveled in the 5th – 2(?) of those runs gave up by ‘pen. Second start also uninspiring.
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| 1:07 |
: Still a keeper asset but I don’t think he’s a great redraft asset. The slider gets more slurvy late in games, he doesn’t have good glove side command, and he’s super predictable (95% fastballs) when behind.
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| 1:08 |
: Other than a “17th inning have no subs left” situation, about how many times have pitchers pinch-hit for a position player?
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| 1:08 |
: Bumgarner recently did it in the ninth inning when the Giants were down by a run! But yeah, not much.
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| 1:08 |
: Oh boy it’s Eno time. I’m moist
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| 1:08 |
: Jesus, this was written at 12:15. I’m going to scroll fast now.
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| 1:09 |
:
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| 1:09 |
: The funny thing is that I have acid reflux.
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| 1:09 |
: When will the Reds call up Jesse Winkler?
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| 1:09 |
: When they trade Jay Bruce.
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| 1:09 |
: Is Taijuan Walker breaking out or still fluky?
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| 1:09 |
: Breaking out. Throwing curve in the zone to steal strikes and diversify mix.
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| 1:10 |
: What am I up to?
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| 1:10 |
: Overshooting your power and batting average for now.
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| 1:10 |
: How worried are you about me?
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| 1:10 |
: 7+. Velocity down, way more hittable, hasn’t shown that he can dominate at less than plus velocity.
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| 1:11 |
: Thoughts on Michael Fulmer? Any chance he sticks and Pelfrey is removed from rotation?
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| 1:11 |
: Yes. Great stuff. Better control than some of the other young guys right now.
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| 1:11 |
: DAAAAAAAAEEEEE-HOOOOOOOOOOOO
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| 1:11 |
: But Eno Brinson is also walking a lot less.
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| 1:12 |
: I’ll take it. The strikeout rate was really worrisome before.
|
| 1:12 |
: A little ridiculous how many Altuve Sell High pieces I’ve seen. Is it wrong to think that he’s just finally growing into his power? I mean talk about a nightmare to pitch to. If you avoid him he steals, if you pitch to him he hits and XBH
|
| 1:12 |
: I believe in his power. Look for Jose Altuve : Power Hitter for my reasons.
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| 1:12 |
: Whats up with Jorge Lopez…..cut bait in dynasty leagues
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| 1:12 |
: Bad park. Give him time.
|
| 1:12 |
: Drop Jepsen for May then?
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| 1:12 |
: No, the question was about number of saves. Wait for more fire around Jepsen.
|
| 1:12 |
: What do you mean by Neris being on the precipice? About to fall or about to rise?
|
| 1:13 |
: Gomez gives up too many balls in play. A few more outings like that and Neris takes over.
|
| 1:13 |
: When your workplace situates itself ~1/2 a mile down the road from MeadHall in Cambridge MA (like literally 150+ beers on tap) it’d be a crime NOT to do some lunch beers once in a while, right?
|
| 1:13 |
: Love that place!
|
| 1:14 |
: I said hello to Steve Gelbs twice at the game where the Mets scored 12 runs in an inning. He seemed mildly enthused the first time. Less so the second time around. Gelbs.
|
| 1:14 |
: Poor Mark Trumbo:
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| 1:14 |
:
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| 1:14 |
: I love that man.
|
| 1:14 |
: Which player in your career as a fantasy guru did you back up so much before the season that became a dud?
|
| 1:15 |
: Lucas Duda was my first.
|
| 1:15 |
: Have you heard the new Run the Jewels x DJ Shadow song Nobody Speak??? Excellent
|
| 1:15 |
: It is
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| 1:15 |
: Your boy Paul is big on Hamels, and I always have been, too. This year he has me worried, though. What’s up with the BBs, and do you expect him to straighten it out? What sort of ratios do you project ROS? Globe Life won’t be friendly to all those men on base when it heats up.
|
| 1:16 |
: I think it’s the hamstring and he’ll be fine.
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| 1:16 |
: Belt, Mauer, or Carter?
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| 1:16 |
: Belt. Going oppo, going to have best K% and BA of career I bet. (quickly checks page)
|
| 1:17 |
: True or False: Even if Tyler White turns it around, it’s worth it to stash Reed for now because the Astros’s DH sitch has been weak so far.
|
| 1:17 |
: Good point.
|
| 1:18 |
: I recently moved, what am I forgetting to change my address on?
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| 1:18 |
: Paychecks.
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| 1:18 |
: Is Super Nintendi an acceptable nickname for Andrew Benintendi?
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| 1:18 |
: I like it. People will groan. Screw em.
|
| 1:18 |
: Have you heard about the DC Brau collab 6-pack? 6 different beers including collabs with Sun King, Austin Beerworks, Cigar City, and Perennial. Also a Wings of Armageddon. I could send you one but I haven’t shipped beer before, so not sure how that works
|
| 1:18 |
: Sierra’s Band Camp was good. These are good ideas.
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| 1:18 |
: I like two things: beer. and graphs.
|
| 1:19 |
: We’re cleaning up data so we should have more graphs soon.
|
| 1:19 |
: Have your feelings of love and appreciation for Mookie changed?
|
| 1:19 |
: I think the Ks will calm down.
|
| 1:19 |
:
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| 1:19 |
: Who are your, say, top three favorite pitchers to watch work?
|
| 1:20 |
: hmmm. Aaron Nola. Max Scherzer. Corey Kluber.
|
| 1:20 |
: Brito is not even hitting in AAA PCL. You sure about that?
|
| 1:20 |
: They got no CFs anywhere!
|
| 1:21 |
: D Peralta a hold in 10 tm mixers? I have him as a bench/platoon player b/c I also have Reddick & Duda
|
| 1:21 |
: I’d hold.
|
| 1:21 |
: Is my re-kindled love for Wil Myers foolish?
|
| 1:21 |
: Nope, though the way you did this with the handle and all that is a little freaky.
|
| 1:21 |
: have Xander and Eugenio with Kang about to come off DL – would you try to sell Eugenio? Was thinking about trying to get Quintana for him, maybe package him with Maeda for like a Kluber? I really don’t have anyone I want to drop for Kang… I can send B-H Park to our minors list, but that seems temporary and counterproductive
|
| 1:21 |
: Sell someone for sure.
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| 1:21 |
: Getting a throw-in starter in a trade today, please rank…Pomeranz, Chacin, Medlen, Wisler. Yeah, I know…its a REALLY deep league!
|
| 1:22 |
: Pomeranz for sure. Cheap Rich Hill. Doing all the same things.
|
| 1:22 |
: I had a dream that Jake Arrieta allowed 4 ER. What do you think it means?
|
| 1:22 |
: you ate spicy food.
|
| 1:22 |
: Pick one to drop, Miller, Eovaldi, Pineda
|
| 1:22 |
: Miller.
|
| 1:22 |
: Say some honest things about Taillion in terms of 2016 and ceiling beyond this season.
|
| 1:23 |
: I think him or Glasnow will be up this year. Honest: I have no idea which one will be first. Pretty sure Glasnow is better.
|
| 1:24 |
: There should be a fantasy stock exchange. Not DFS, not seasonal stuff. I want to buy stock in players, own them for a week, a month, or three years. Then my fantasy points iwl be the dividends. These are my thoughts while writing reports all day.
|
| 1:24 |
: There are so many games. This one sounds okay but I have to quit like six leagues first.
|
| 1:24 |
: Byung Ho Park: already 7 HRs, leading the AL in ISO, staggering HR distance and true power to all fields. Over/Under: 40 HRs?
|
| 1:25 |
: I believed, bought him in AL-LABR, but I’ll stick in the mid thirties.
|
| 1:25 |
: Is it right to say, as a general matter, that for minor leaguers (esp. in lower leagues), we should be looking more for a lack of strikeouts than for a deluge of walks?
|
| 1:25 |
: Yes.
|
| 1:25 |
: damn germans crossing the border bringing ludes.
|
| 1:25 |
: ENO IM LATE I NEED A LUDE STAT
|
| 1:25 |
: i know a great sand guy
|
| 1:26 |
: Re: speed question. I ran correlation tests earlier this year between the various cats (R, RBI, H, AVG, HR, SB, K, BB, etc.) and the sum of Z-Scores for players for each of those cats (which I called “value”). SB had lowest correlation coefficient with value… Runs had highest. 😀
|
| 1:26 |
: Yeah I did something similar and came to the conclusion that saves and steals are the best to punt if you are going to punt because they aren’t correlated well with other stats.
|
| 1:26 |
: Just another Kang FYI: They’re going to slowly bring him back. He’s gonna start 2 games, then pinch hit the third day for a while, possibly the rest of this season.
|
| 1:26 |
: ::poop emoji::
|
| 1:27 |
: What is an ideal return for me in a dynasty league?
|
| 1:27 |
: Don’t do it unless he’s getting expensive, and then go get a cheap young bat, cheap young arm, both in MLB, plus at least one top ten prospect.
|
| 1:27 |
: I live in Boston and am working from home today. It’s more of an early spring than a late spring, kinda day with temperatures in the mid-40s and overcast skies… What’s a good situational lunch?
|
| 1:28 |
: Chowder and a Lobster Roll at James Hook?
|
| 1:28 |
: Are you liking what you’re seeing out of Colby Rasmus? Is he rosterable in a 10 team mixer with 5 OF spots?
|
| 1:28 |
: Yes.
|
| 1:28 |
: When it comes to beer questions, how long will it be before Portland means Maine, and we have to start adding “Oregon” when we want to talk about that other, lesser Portland?
|
| 1:29 |
: Is a good question. Allagash and Maine p good place to start.
|
| 1:29 |
: Is Eickhoff a must own in a 12 team mixed?
|
| 1:29 |
: Yes.
|
| 1:29 |
: Did you see the Asheville Tourists are changing their name to “Beer City Tourists” for one game? Are they worthy of such a distinction?
|
| 1:29 |
: Yes. That’s a great beer city!
|
| 1:30 |
: So, joined a dynasty league w/ only 10 acquisitions a season. In a rebuild, and typically I’m very active on the waiver wire. Any general advice on how to deal w/ move restrictions like this?
|
| 1:30 |
: Sounds terrible. That’s way too restrictive. It’s almost a draft and follow. You have to be super patient with young guys.
|
| 1:30 |
: I love me some Seth Smith. Start him vs. righties; sit him vs. lefties. Repeat. Win.
|
| 1:31 |
: Doing this in some deeper leagues. Enjoying.
|
| 1:31 |
: Hitting up O.Co. sometime soon? Lemme know dog. I’ll tell you all about this guy I met in Japan who worked in “have a brewski” into roughly a third of every sentence he spoke. Nearly every sentence ended with “in a way.”
|
| 1:31 |
: I’m at the park Tuesdays and Fridays most weeks. Hit me up!
|
| 1:31 |
: How bad are the Astros regretting the Ken Giles trade right now?
|
| 1:32 |
: Talked to someone that thought they might have had some injury concerns with VV, so there’s that. And I think Giles will get it back. Still, Vince is so good.
|
| 1:32 |
: Which option looks the worst THIS WEEK: Gio vs Cubs, Moore vs LAA, or S. Wright vs NYY?
|
| 1:32 |
: Gio
|
| 1:32 |
: With Cameron moving to Bend this summer, what will you be sending back to him in the inevitable Breakside/Red Chair swap? Cactus Cooler? If you want to add dismal, gray Cleveland in the triad, I can always get you some Cherikee Red.
|
| 1:33 |
: Too bad he doesn’t drink.
|
| 1:33 |
: You and August seem like you should be BFF’s with the beer and the music and whatnot. I hope you guys get along in real life
|
| 1:33 |
: He’s my homeskillet. Wait, we stopped saying that a long time ago, didn’t we.
|
| 1:34 |
: When no one’s looking, I am a capybara! No one shall deny the scruffiness of the world’s largest rodent! When someone looks my way, just old Snarfle, minding his own.
|
| 1:35 |
: My fantasy team is complete garbage
|
| 1:35 |
: Taco SALAD Man!
|
| 1:35 |
: should someone recommend anger management for Srod?
|
| 1:35 |
: “he’s a real life pirate” — Mark DeRosa
|
| 1:35 |
: Saw some open mic standup last night. One of the comedian’s material was all about how one night at a bar he kept putting his penis in peoples’ drinks
|
| 1:35 |
: Good god keep that drink high.
|
| 1:36 |
: For the guy going to Portland, go to cascade and break side, and find boneyard and crux at bara
|
| 1:36 |
: how could I forget cascade.
|
| 1:36 |
: thoughts on Aaron Blair
|
| 1:36 |
: Note enough Ks.
|
| 1:36 |
: best beer to dip your penis into?
|
| 1:36 |
: NOT a sour.
|
| 1:37 |
: will someone tell me what to do with fielder? please i am begging
|
| 1:37 |
: Hold! at least in 12+
|
| 1:37 |
: Alex wood or Eovaldi ? why?
|
| 1:37 |
: Eo has Ks, velocity.
|
| 1:37 |
: I’m so distressed. Was offered Harper, MadBum, Lucroy and Beltre for Donaldson, Kershaw and Cervelli. My instincts are no…but I’d love to hear your thoughts. Hate to ask twice.
|
| 1:38 |
: I don’t want to buy MadBum for Kershaw, but good god Harper? Still, keep kershaw.
|
| 1:38 |
: Do you think Peter O’Brien ever gets a shot in Arizona? Or is he just depth? He always seems to produce.
|
| 1:38 |
: Problem is he’s a corner outfielder and not even a good one. Probably a first baseman or DH.
|
| 1:38 |
: Sandwich: Wonder bread, Kraft single.
|
| 1:38 |
: mayo.
|
| 1:39 |
: Jesse Hahn’s fastball averaged 94.8 MPH in his first start – something, or nothing?
|
| 1:39 |
: Something. He agreed he was up a ‘tick’ but this is a bit more than that. Even if he drops down to 93+, that’s a big deal for him.
|
| 1:40 |
: would you ever start billy hamiltone over francisco lindor in your util spot? even if sabersim said you should?
|
| 1:40 |
: Against lefties.
|
| 1:40 |
: I’m sorry. I couldn’t catch up. Y’all are prolific!
|
| 1:40 |
: Cutch’s catch or lack thereof yesterday….hit or error?
|
| 1:40 |
: Hit
|
| 1:40 |
: What’s up with Jay Bruce? Performing decently, solid projections, but try to shop him and people act like you’re peddling bags of flaming poo.
|
| 1:40 |
: yeah you just gotta hold I guess
|
| 1:41 |
: Going to Dener next week. 2 questions. 1. any breweries / beers i need to try? 2. Will the change in altitude kill me / effect my drinking #s?
|
| 1:41 |
: 1. Crooked Stave. Funkwerks. 2. Water!
|
| 1:41 |
: Hey on beer graphs, if you filter for upper Midwest, Indiana gets filtered out. Also can’t filter for Indiana in general. Help my state!
|
| 1:41 |
: oh damn, that’s an =IN problem. I’ll tell Matt.
|
| 1:42 |
: do you pay more attention to exit velocity or exit velocity on balls hit in the air?
|
| 1:42 |
: Angle has to be in there. We just released an xOBA on RotoGraphs that has launch angle and exit velo in it. xBABIP to follow…
|
| 1:42 |
: I just found out Plato has been dead for 2400 years. Comfort me.
|
| 1:43 |
: I love Eickhoff’s curve but his other stuff has to be pin point which scares me a little. Is this a concern?
|
| 1:43 |
: Slider is good, but you’re right about the fastball. will have a higher HR/9 than Nola, some bad games.
|
| 1:43 |
: Diaz owner. Thx for your p-cast analysis Want to pick up Peralta, just in case. Who to waive: Rosario (MIN), or a DET SP.. Greene, Norris or Fulmer? Thx.
|
| 1:43 |
: Greene.
|
| 1:43 |
: Picked up Jeanmar and while I like the saves, he looks like he’s going to implode nearly every time. Sell high?
|
| 1:43 |
: Yes.
|
| 1:44 |
: What’s the deal with Bumgarner batting of Kershaw?
|
| 1:44 |
: Bumgarner sits dead red.
|
| 1:44 |
: Okay I gotta go!
|
| 1:44 |
: You think Neris is next in line even with Bailey having past closer experience and pitching well?
|
| 1:44 |
: Yah look at usage.
|
| 1:45 |
: I’m not that good, right? Like, in terms of vodkas, if Machado is a Grey Goose, I’m like of a … Ketel ?
|
| 1:45 |
: Yup.
|
| 1:45 |
: Yo Eno! Beer fridge etiquette question. If it’s in my fridge and I tell you to get a beer, you can drink it. Some people don’t feel that’s cool. I sort of hate that. Do you agree? Under what circumstances can you not drink a beer in someone’s beer fridge?
|
| 1:45 |
: in my family, if it’s in the regular fridge they can drink it. the beer fridge is for me.
|
| 1:46 |
: ^ real name or no
|
| 1:46 |
: Real! Okay now I’m going.
|
| 1:46 |
: Thanks everyone.
|
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Would stashing A.J. Reed given Tyler White’s recent struggles make sense? I have to think A.J.’s opportunity is looming. Is it worth dropping a bench OF such as Ozuna or Khris Davis to do so?
I envy small leagues! my answer to you, though, is no. It’s just as likely that Singleton gets the first shot to take over for White, don’t you think?
fwiw – i agree it’ll be singleton… but he’ll have a very short leash.