Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 6/2/16

1:43
Eno Sarris: Days from turning 37 and I’m not yet a but I will chat with you

12:00
Bork: Hello, friend!

12:00
Eno Sarris: Hello, Bork!

12:00
Lars: Danny Valencia: what’s true talent here?

12:01
Eno Sarris: .280/24?

12:01
Crunchy Black: Hyun Soo Kim: Legit? ROS Projections?

12:02
Eno Sarris: .280/18 true talent? He’s finally starting because the team got less butt hurt about his self-advocating and realized Joey Rickard is, how do you say, not good.

12:02
Mikest: Cameron Maybin a 10-team bat, or is that too shallow?

12:03
Eno Sarris: Still think he’s a .280/10/20 type guy true talent, and that’s pretty borderline unless you need steals badly.

12:03
Gorky: Does hope linger for one Michael Conforto?

12:04
Eno Sarris: Of course. I’m not even that worried for him. I think he’ll cut the strikeouts soon. He’s a .275/.340/.500 guy for me true talent, worth about 25 homers.

12:04
Monte’ Max: Who’s going to be the big name prospect left in the minors after the Super 2 passes?

12:04
Eno Sarris: One of the Braves middle infielders? Bregman? Certainly Rodgers isn’t coming up.

12:04
Bork: What happens if the Braves hitting meets the Reds bullpen? Other than depression of course.

12:04
Eno Sarris: The universe implodes upon itself, the asteroid wins.

12:05
dock ellis: anything up with carlos correa? he’s been quietly underwhelming so far this season.

12:06
Eno Sarris: I can’t imagine he’ll keep striking out 25% of the time. Never struck out above 19% in the minors in a decent sample, swSTR is about average. Also think he’ll end up at .270 with 25/25 stats and uh, that’s going to be top three at shortstop at least?

12:06
Chris: Earlier in the season you were asked if you’d take Conforto or Mazara in a dynasty league and you said Conforto. Does the Mets’ recent growing tendency to platoon Conforto change your answer today?

12:07
Eno Sarris: That was always a risk going in, and Mazara has really shown me something with his two-strike approach and natural power early in the count. Mazara should hit for a better average, but can he hit 25 a year? It looks like he can now, so perhaps I was wrong.

12:07
dock ellis: over-under: my weenus or my eephus?

12:07
Eno Sarris: Eephus uber alles.

12:07
John Stamos: Top of the morning to ya. Do you have an opinion on how productive RP projections would be? Or even just % chance that they will appear in a game any given day based on usage, news, etc.

12:07
Eno Sarris: Very difficult for minimal return. I’ll pass this on to Matt at SaberSim though.

12:07
Cubs: Do you like Eickhoff tonight vs Anderson and MIL?

12:07
Eno Sarris: Sure.

12:08
The Queen: Anything “phantom” about Felix’s injury? Could the few weeks off be a blessing?

12:08
Eno Sarris: “His arm’s fine” oh but “his calf’s not” is a little strange.

12:09
Ryan: Start Urias against the Cubs this afternoon?

12:09
Eno Sarris: No

12:09
No Regrets: Hi Eno. Your rankings have Archer around tier 2 still, and Pod hasn’t dropped him in the dumpster yet either, but do you really think he’ll rebound into something?

12:10
Eno Sarris: Collette watches him more and is convinced he’s hiding / dealing with injury, which could be good news depending on the severity. I see lots of strikeouts and think the good days can’t be that far away.

12:11
Pat: I need to activate Carrasco from the DL, but need to drop of these guys: Odorizzi, Eovaldi, Ross.

12:11
Eno Sarris: Eo I guess.

12:11
RV: Michael Fulmer sure does look for real. You a big fan?

12:11
Eno Sarris: Definitely! Change looks good to me and he’s actually trusting it, which is an even better sign.

12:11
E5: Sabathia pitching to more contact, but it weaker than it used to be. Is 3.50/1.20 a reasonable floor barring injury?

12:12
Eno Sarris: I was thinking 3.75. It’s a cutter and he’s abandoned the four-seamer, but there’s some risk that people catch on and it’s no better.

12:12
Saves Vulture: Top 3 next in line save candidates for both leagues?

12:13
Eno Sarris: I still like Trevor May more than most, I think he’s righting the ship. It’s been a bad year for closers on the waiver wire… Hector Neris, Sean Doolittle, Will Smith, with perhaps Michael Feliz as number one.

12:14
Jason: Can you receive questions that get asked before the chat goes live?

12:14
Eno Sarris: 11:51!

12:14
Mike: Any chance Markakis gets traded? On one hand, lots of teams need an outfielder, but on the other Markakis kinda sucks and is owed more money than he’s worth

12:14
Eno Sarris: Underlying stuff on Markakis (exit velo, launch angle) say he’s better this year. I bet he has an okay streak that makes him tradable.

12:14
dock ellis: pick one: my donk, my honk, my skronk

12:14
Eno Sarris: Skronk???

12:14
Houzer : Eno! You’ve got Eovaldi ranked at 34 now .. way higher than everyone else. Is that a reach ranking, or something you feel really good about?

12:15
Eno Sarris: Feel good. He’s a different pitcher! Injury is a concern, to some extent.

12:15
Jeff: I noted that Wisler was low on your updated rankings, what is he doing that’s leading to his success and why is unsustainable?

12:15
Eno Sarris: Just a good run of easy competition and one pretty good pitch.

12:15
desmond: Assuming pence is out for the year in addition to a bad bullpen especially closer and the back of the rotation the check

12:15
Eno Sarris: It’s just a hamstring strain and they can trade for a reliever.

12:16
MB: are you encouraged by what you’ve seen by Danny Duffy so far? If he keeps the walks down and the fastball usage up, can he sustain these results ROS?

12:17
Eno Sarris: I may have been too hard on Duffy. In the past, none of his pitches have graded above average in whiffs or grounders and suddenly he’s got all of them humming. But! These numbers are messed up by relieving. I don’t think he can keep throwing this hard.

12:18
Ryguy: So buy pineda based on your article? If yes, how aggressive of a FAAB bid ($100 budget)?

12:18
Eno Sarris: 11 or so. A few more high fastballs and a tweak of the release point is what he needs.

12:18
I’m an Angel: Talk to me about Tropeano. I’m half terrified and half loving having him on my team. What should I expect going forward?

12:18
Eno Sarris: More of the same, but hopefully fewer walks. The homers will always be there, especially on the road.

12:19
Jim: Eno! Little concerned about the Mets offense at the moment. They have been sputtering for a while now. Do you envision the struggles with the bats to continue or do you see this as just a rough patch?

12:20
Eno Sarris: It’s not a great offense and it’s hurting right now with Duda and and Wright on the schneid and Conforto in the rough patch. I’m not actually sure that Granderson will be much better, he’s 35, and Wright is going to be hurt for the rest of his career. But getting Duda back and Conforto right will make things better.

12:20
Chris: Who would you rather have in a dynasty league: Trea Turner or JP Crawford?

12:22
Eno Sarris: Both should be up for some portion of this year, but Turner more likely to help more significantly sooner. Unless you in OBP, though, Turner’s feet is the biggest impact tool in the grab bag here.

12:22
Eno Sarris: I good grammar.

12:24
Eno Sarris:

12:24
Jimmy: Early impressions of Matt Boyd? Seemed like he was following in Fulmer’s footsteps and throwing hard! Specifically – drop Andriese, Junior Guerra, Shane Green, Jhoulys Chacin, or John Lamb for Boyd?

12:26
Eno Sarris: Drop Greene for him. Boyd kept his velocity decently, which had been a problem. Has three legit pitches and average velo for a lefty now.

12:26
AL Pitching Coach: Has Sean Manaea shown you anything over the past few starts that makes you trust him ROS?

12:26
Eno Sarris: Changed his pitching grip on the change.

12:27
Eno Sarris:

12:27
Eno Sarris:

12:28
Eno Sarris: The new one is more of a splitter/fosh and it has more depth to it, and he can command it better.

12:28
Eno Sarris: The slider still sorta sucky, and command comes and goes. I want a cutter for him. He admitted his slider is too slow.

12:28
E5: I bought a slight Alfredo Simon bounce back

12:28
Zorak: Hello fellow gemeni! My birthday is in two days, and what I would like for my birthday from you is some tasty fantasy guidance. Should I be worried about Jeffress? Worried enough to burn a roster spot on picking up Smith? Would probably have to dump Inciarte to do it.

12:29
Eno Sarris: I wouldn’t be worried now, but closer to the deadline, I would be. Inciarte supposed to produce .270/4/15 numbers rest of season, and I don’t see why he can’t.

12:29
dock ellis: would you rather do battle with a whale-sized shark or a thousand shark-sized whales? (don’t worry, you would have a trident to defend yourself and some flippers and a snorkel.)

12:29
Eno Sarris: The whales don’t have those teeth man.

12:30
beau: should I be selling my shares of Yordano? Is there enough to believe he might return to his second half numbers from last year?

12:30
Eno Sarris: I see nothing positive in his line.

12:30
I’m not your buddy, Guyer: Is Charlie Blackmon ever going to run again? He’s on pace for only 12 SBs. With a 18/12 season, he’s not in the top 20 at OF is he?

12:31
Eno Sarris: He told me he spent all offseason on his running form and health, but that injury is really tough on running. I think he’ll get it going in the second half and get close to 20 steals at least.

12:31
Steph Curry’s Ribbed Dildo: Michael Brantley is bumming me out

12:31
Eno Sarris: As much as people said his injury wasn’t a big deal, it was still an injury!

12:31
Erik: People are saying the Phillies pitchers will definitely be shut down at some point. When would that be? Won’t they want to get as close to a full season of work in as possible, so that they’re ready to go l the way next year in case they’re in a playoff race?

12:32
Eno Sarris: Nola has enough innings to go all year. And yes to your second point. VV had 90 or so innings last year, if you stop at 100, how many can he pitch next year? I think they want to push him to 130-150 at least, so that he could be a DL stint away from 200 next year.

12:32
I’m not your buddy, Guyer: What to do with Yasiel Puig? Nothing looks right and now he’s hurt. Are you dropping in 12 teamers?

12:32
Eno Sarris: Not yet.

12:32
dock ellis: my wife decided that our two-month old would sleep better in bed with us than in his bassinet. he slept better with us. should I be afraid, or very afraid?

12:33
Eno Sarris: Very afraid. You gotta get that baby out of the bed. We let the second one sleep in our bed longer and he just started sleeping through the night at 19 months. But tread carefully, sleep deprived arguments about babies are the worst.

12:33
Eno Sarris: Also: congratulations!

12:33
JMac: Hi Eno. What is your opinion on Jon Gray? The heater is unreal and looks like he has been successful at developing his secondary pitches during last year.

12:34
Eno Sarris: I like him. The home away splits are weird though. Where can you use him.

12:34
brant brown dropped the ball: your boy desclafani is almost back! what’s the plan for those of us who have him stashed—insta-activate or wait a couple starts to see where he is? and do you think he’ll eventually make jake odorizzi expendable?

12:34
Eno Sarris: Wait. I want to see his early velocity readings.

12:34
Eno Sarris: Good God I haven’t made it to noon yet.

12:34
Joseph: Do you think Javier Baez will be able to increase his 3% walk rate? Do u think he is bound to get traded becuase of how different he is compared to other cubs

12:35
Eno Sarris: I thought his manager was trusting him at some point but then Soler moved ahead. It is weird. I do think he’ll bring them back a pitcher now.

12:35
Hannah Hochevar: Was surprised in your last chat that you studied Art History in school. Any particular era/concentration?

12:35
Eno Sarris: AbEx/Modernism.

12:36
Andy: What are your thoughts on Stroman? How much does the low k rate limit his ceiling?

12:36
Eno Sarris: The GB rate also brings his floor up really high. An ideal two, I wouldn’t want to pay number one prices for until we see more whiffs (which is still possible).

12:36
2-D: When you interview hitters do they ever get annoyed when you ask them about pitchers?

12:37
Eno Sarris: I had a funny exchange Tuesday. Sean Doolittle said “I hate how the hitters can talk to the umpire at the plate and I can’t.” Talked to Dozier about it, and he said “Don’t let Sean say that! Come on! Pitchers have their ways.” I’ll probably flush it out into something, but it was funny.

12:37
Cash $: Zack Greinke and Patrick Corbin both have extreme home/away splits. Greinke has a 6.54 ERA and .303/.346/.561 against at home with a 1.93 ERA and .226/.257/.314 against away. Corbin has a 7.94 ERA and .342/.389/.641 against at home with a 2.68 ERA and .225/.296/.333 against away. Anything to be drawn from this or is it just noise? Corbin a must-start away but must-sit at home?

12:38
Eno Sarris: What if it’s slider command at home… that was something Bassitt pointed out to me in my piece about cold weather pitching..

12:38
Shawn: Singlecut from NYC might be the best brewer no one seems to talk about. Grimm and Other Half seem to get all the love, but Singlecut right there with them in my opinion.

12:38
Eno Sarris: Dammit. I have a BG piece going up next week and it’s about picking two places to drink in NYC and I talk about just these three breweries… but Singlecut is up at the top of Queens and I’ll be down in the bottom of Manhattan, right by Threes and Other Half. I think I’ll take the two-for-one and be sad.

12:41
Eno Sarris: I’m going back to New York and it’s been so long I feel like I’m

12:41
Earl: Should I hold on to Alex Wood for 4 weeks or pick up Hyun Soo Kim? I don’t NEED either of them, but who has more upside in a dynasty league? Playing for this year…

12:42
Eno Sarris: Wood is injured and what happens when that elbow gets bad news? I take Kim for two weeks, get more info, maybe make switch back, maybe not.

12:42
Andy: If youre the Rockies, how do you bridge to the next contending team? Trade Cargo at the deadline with 1yr of control? trade Blackmon with 2 years left? Sign Arenado for whatever he wants and pray to the gods of Humidors?

12:42
Eno Sarris: I made it to noon!!! Trade CarGo.

12:43
Bryan CA: Injuries piling up on the Giants exposing the lack of depth. Any idea what they do besides sitting on their hands?

12:43
Eno Sarris: Call up Mac Williamson, start Blanco every day and platoon Parker and Williamson, hit trade market for reliever.

12:43
Earl: Rich Hill? Are the injuries are about to mount?

12:43
Eno Sarris: has only managed more than 99 innings once in his long career.

12:43
Bryan CA: Giants calling up Christian Arroyo to play 3b and moving Duffy to super utility a possibility?

12:44
Eno Sarris: I love Arroyo. Can Duffy play the OF?

12:44
Earl: Max Scherzer still HR-itis… Will it ever end ENO!?

12:44
Eno Sarris: Soon. I”m not worried.

12:44
Alan: Seems like your 8th ranking for Arrieta is low. What am I missing?

12:45
Eno Sarris: Traded some Ks for GBs and the top ten is really tight.

12:45
Poncho: Theo Epstein says the next big predictive and measurable market advantage will be in understanding pitcher health and preventing injuries. Is every big league team working on this in their own proprietary way?

12:45
Eno Sarris: Yes I’m sure. Samples suck, though. I know the Dodgers like to pick up guys that haven’t had surgery yet.

12:45
charlie: Ever been excited for a beer you got in a trade and then….really disliked it? Such a deflating feeling, but I try to remind myself that’s part of the fun/process- important to find out what you DON’T like as much as what you love. (Modern Times Lomaland was the most recent for me)

12:46
Eno Sarris: Other Half, their regular IPA. Was devastated. Then I got their Oat seasonal IPA and felt better.

12:46
Nelson: Is Shoemaker mixed leaguable now? Better than Eickhoff?

12:46
Eno Sarris: I’d rather have Eickhoff, but Shoe throwing 40% splitters is a different pitcher.

12:47
Nelson: Is it the weekend yet? I have traded treehouse and trillium IPAs burning holes in my fridge

12:47
Eno Sarris: Damn I only have one traded for beer in my fridge. Time to go to the store!

12:48
Zonk: What is Jorge Soler’s true talent? Will we ever find out?

12:48
Eno Sarris: I still think he can .270/.335/.500 in a peak year, with 20+ homers annually and a few too many strikeouts to keep the stomach acid away.

12:48
tenaciousdeucer: Dear Eno, I am a henterosexual adult male. Why do I so want to have Kris Bryant’s baby?

12:48
Eno Sarris: It’s the eyes.

12:49
Sharky: Littlr help please…Chris Davis and Ellsbury for Lester and AGone?

12:49
Eno Sarris: Rather have Davis side.

12:49
William Ding: What would Eno do (WWED?)Is Tallion an impact player for a fantasy team this year or trade bait for a team that’s dumping for next year?

12:49
Eno Sarris: Gotta hold if you’re rebuilding.

12:50
Nelson: Utley or Lawrie better fill in till Dee gets back?

12:50
Eno Sarris: More power and speed from Lawrie, so unless batting average is your only need.

12:50
Tommy B: You briefly mentioned Eduardo Rodriguez in the podcast but can you elabortate on his 70s ranking? Volicity still not back yet a concern?

12:50
Eno Sarris: Velocity numbers become meaningful quickly and yeah he’s low. Also, no swinging strikes.

12:50
WachaWacha: I saw you dropped me to 54th SP ROS. Why the pessimism?

12:51
Eno Sarris: I think he’s hurt. All the indicators for injury are blinking.

12:51
Carlos: i like the bold placement of raisel iglesias in your SP ranks. what are you seeing rest of season: IP, ERA, K/9?

12:51
Eno Sarris: 90 innings, 3.5 ERA, nearly a strikeout per inning.

12:52
Shawn: Evan Gattis seems to be underrated to me. Just gained C eligibility in Yahoo. 30 HRs with a .250 is better than all but Posey, no? What am I missing?

12:52
Eno Sarris: Playing a lot now too.

12:52
Curtis: Which part of a live baseball game interests you the most?

12:52
Eno Sarris: The starting pitcher’s approach in the fifth and sixth.

12:53
Eno Sarris: daviddal — awesome! my fullname no spaces at gmail.

12:53
Rob: What type of changes will (from your expectations) happen with the Astros lineup before playoffs?

12:53
Ralph : Reasonable to expect Bergman up in the next month? Or just wasting my time?

12:55
Eno Sarris: Bregman is tearing it up, and is 22, so it’s not like he’s 19. Reed not tearing it up as much. I think we see both. Valbuena and White can be backups, helping at DH and platooning and backing up, or even traded.

12:55
Reggie: Does Fulmer throw the Warthen slider?

12:56
Eno Sarris: Brooks says 6+ mph slower than fastball, around 90… could be. That’s a hard slider.

12:57
Mark: What are you ROS thoughts on Leonys Martin? Power legit?

12:58
Eno Sarris: He made the batted ball angle changes. Most fly balls of career. Some thought he had this power in him. I think he’ll manage 18-20 homers this year! wow.

12:59
natsfan: Will Twins actually be smart and let Kepler play this time around? What do you forecast for his future?

1:00
Eno Sarris: Manager says he’ll play, and with Sano looking like a DH in the outfield, something might have to give long term. Kepler’s power held, not in a homer sense, but with doubles and triples. I could see .260/.330/.400 from him with good outfield defense and some steals.

1:00
Benbadatroto: Eno! Thoughts on 120 minute IPA, and whether Conley can develop into a consistent number 2?

1:01
Eno Sarris: Too much for me. I like 60 and 75 minutes. And yes. I don’t think he needs to walk this many guys.

1:01
Xolo: What’s your take on the Padres owner’s rant?

1:01
Eno Sarris: Bad for business.

1:02
Mitch : You see anything with Carlos Rodon recently that leads you to predict a 2nd half breakout?

1:02
Eno Sarris: More velocity recently…

1:02
Eno Sarris: Hey. Something’s missing.

1:02
dril: I TELL YA IT NEVER FAILS !! WENT TO GET MY MAIL AND A HIPSTER HIT ME WITH THE STRONGEST STREAM OF URINE I EVER SAW ! KNOCKED ME ON MY DUFF !

1:03
adam: eno do that thing you do that thing you do

1:03
hscer: can I at least get a lewd I mean lude cameo?!

1:03
Eno Sarris: We can do better.

1:03
hscer: Gosh who’d start anyone vs. the Cubs!?

1:03
Eno Sarris: Yeah it’s like a traveling Coors Field.

1:03
Mike Ehrmantraut: Thoughts on Polanco’s injury? Should worried owners deal him for 75 cents on the dollar while they still can?

1:03
Eno Sarris: Was walking around in the clubhouse. Don’t do that. Don’t ever do that.

1:04
I did it all for the Mookie: Marco Estrada sandwhiched in between RA Dickey and Wade Miley on the latest Starting pitcher tiers. I know you didn’t write the article, but he’s been an elite starter for a calendar year now, when does Marco and that beautiful changeup get some love?

1:04
Eno Sarris: I love that changeup. Best in-zone whiff rate in baseball, meaning he can throw it in the zone and almost doesn’t care if you swing or don’t. He’s great. I don’t trust him to keep the homers down.

1:05
rich:

1:05
Eno Sarris: One of the best opening riffs of all time.

1:05
Eno Sarris: Also check out their duds.

1:05
natsfan: Is Bruce a realistic possibility for CLE with Byrd’s career over or is front office really that cheap not to consider this?

1:05
Eno Sarris: Chicago and Cleveland could both use him.

1:06
Zorak: Who is this year’s Brian LaHair All Star? Aledmys Diaz? Adam Duvall?

1:06
Eno Sarris: Jeremy Hazelbaker.

1:06
Oppo Tacos: Where the hell did Jose Abreu’s power go?!?!?! Joe frikin’ Mauer has the same amount of HR’s as dude…..

1:06
Eno Sarris: Man they are busting him high in the zone and he can’t handle it.

1:06
Kurt: I guess you must buy into Steven Matz. The sub 10 swinging strike rate does not concern you?

1:06
Eno Sarris: Piece just went up on ESPN about called strikes and Matz figures in highly.

1:07
Morgan: How legit is Junior Guerra? Per pitch stuff looks pretty great

1:07
Eno Sarris: Yeah I’m buying in 15+. Great velocity late into games, great splitter.

1:07
Art Vandelay: You know how they say you need to see something in person to really appreciate it? Well after watching the Twins play in Oakland this week, I can safely say they’re the worst team I’ve ever seen in person, though I only go to 10-15 games a year.

1:07
Eno Sarris: That game Tuesday was really really terrible all around.

1:08
David: Firestone Parabola or Deschutes The Abyss? Why?

1:08
Eno Sarris: Abyss has more complexity on the sharp notes for me.

1:08
ZMP: Eno! Is Votto, Stroman, and Snell too much for Jose Fernandez?

1:08
Eno Sarris: Yes.

1:09
Large Farva: Favorite buy low pitchers at this point?

1:10
Eno Sarris: David Price, Zack Greinke, Raisel Iglesias, Drew Smyly, Lance McCullers, Carlos Rodon.

1:10
Willem: Would you drop Neris for Will Smith?

1:11
Eno Sarris: That much I would do. there has to be some smoke for their to be a fire in the Phillies’ bullpen.

1:11
Justin: Were you surprised in any large risers or fallers in your recent pitcher rankings?

1:12
Eno Sarris: Pushed Aaron Nola all the way to 18, which made me happy. Hendricks up to 32. Called strike kings. Yordano fell out of the mixed leagues, I had no love for Happ.

1:12
Rusty: You ranked Fulmer at 68. How much is he moving up after last night? He seems to have found his changeup! People are excited, Eno!

1:13
Eno Sarris: I could push him into the bottom of the 50s.

1:13
Jay: Justin Turner hit on my gf at the bar the other night and she drunkenly called him an “ugly ginger” and rejected his trying to buy her a drink. She had no idea who he was obviously and was only moderately impressed when I told her. As a Mets fan I nearly fell over with joy

1:13
Eno Sarris: I shouldn’t have shared this.

1:13
Marcus: You seem to still be high on Smyly. Are you confident he returns to form? No injury concerns here?

1:14
Eno Sarris: Movement, velocity, good. Just lots of fly balls, sometimes will be homers.

1:14
Brad: What should we make of JA Happ? The results have been good but the peripherals don’t look comforting.

1:14
Eno Sarris: The rising fastball helps, but i don’t believe.

1:15
Jake from state farm: Say you are named g.m of the a’s. There is no concern of alienating the fan base of you rebuild. Do you rebuild? And what first 3 moves you make.

1:16
Eno Sarris: I’d trade Reddick and Hill, sure. But a full rebuild? They have Megden and Manaea and some okay bats coming. They’ll be better next year, and any team over .500 has a chance in today’s league.

1:16
Santino: Why can’t Addison Russell and Schoop hit lefties? Am I wrong to assume that they will improve on this small sample?

1:16
Eno Sarris: just see less of them. Russell in particular is a ‘learner’ — always got better when he saw a level a second time.

1:16
Eno Sarris: So I have no concern for him. Schoop? Maybe, he’s a bit more flawed.

1:17
Deadpool: Name your 5 favorite pitching prospects in the minors right now. Does the lesser amount of minor league pitch data make it more difficult?

1:17
Eno Sarris: I would love to have MLB’s minor league PFx data, I would.

1:18
Scott: I just saw, purchased, and tried a port barrel-aged IPA. It was predictably disgusting. Can you think of a worse sounding beer?

1:18
Eno Sarris: The Voodoo Doughnut beers from Rogue are always nasty.

1:19
Make WAR not Love: In Chicago this weekend – Cubs games + Revolution and Half Acre tours lined up. Anything else I need to do?

1:19
Eno Sarris: The Map Room, Sheffield’s, and Hop Leaf are the bars you could try. I really like Piece Pizza’s beers, their pizza is good, and there are good tacos at Big Star around the corner.

1:20
Scott: You know who was fun? Andres Galarraga. Prime Hall of Very Good type who gets forgotten.

1:20
Eno Sarris: Once hit a triple on a pitch out! Loved the Big Cat. Came back from cancer!

1:20
Eric: I want to package an arm to buy a bat. Of Gausman, Kennedy, Chen, who do you think I should hold? Thanks

1:21
Eno Sarris: Trade Kennedy, keep Chen. Chen gets you less and their rest of season projections aren’t that different for me.

1:21
Ryan: Would you trade J Tehran for D Pomeranz

1:21
Eno Sarris: Absolutely on a per inning basis. If you concerned about injury, makes it a lot closer.

1:22
Eno Sarris:

1:22
Erik: If an organization had all their low minors pitchers learn knuckleballs, how many would reach the majors? And how much would it stunt their development? Would it effective to do this with everyone outside of say the organization’s top 30 prospects?

1:23
Eno Sarris: Might be too obvious to do this, but I do think ‘what about a knuckler’ should be a question every pitcher is asked before they are released, and at least a year before.

1:23
OddBall Herrera: Is Joc Pederson, with his apparent platoon role and the fact that he’s not running, inching closer to Jay Bruce as a ceiling rather than the power/speed threat we were hoping for?

1:24
Eno Sarris: Huh. Not too far off. The thing that’s tough is that this is still a good outcome for a prospect. Just not what people hoped for.

1:24
Houzer : Dee Gordon: do you anticipate he is immediately a Top 5 2nd baseman when he returns in late July? Or do you think there will be a 1-2 week re-adjustment period for him

1:24
Eno Sarris: I *think* he can play in extended spring training or get simulated at-bats at least. I wouldn’t expect too much drop off.

1:25
Hector: Joe Ross is an ace. elaborate.

1:25
Eno Sarris: Doesn’t have the third pitch or the strikeouts. I like him as a good two.

1:25
Alexei: I always hear a lot of praise for Stone beers, especially their IPAs, but every time I give them a try, I come away less than impressed. Am I not trying the right offerings?

1:25
Eno Sarris: My only beers I really love from them are the Enjoy By series.

1:25
B.O.B.: Do you trust Jimmy Nelson in Philly tomorrow?

1:25
Eno Sarris: Yes.

1:26
Bork: I’m completely crushing it in my 1 team league. When will Rotographs be hiring me?

1:26
mike sixel: DON’T let your child sleep with you, you’ll never stop.

1:26
MOOKIE BETTS: MOOKIE. BETTS.

1:26
Eno Sarris: A little better.

1:26
Jason : Is anything touching Holy Mountain in the Seattle area? 70 to 80 grade sours, hop-forward beers, and stouts IMO.

1:27
Eno Sarris: I didn’t taste anything close while I was there and I tried around ten local breweries. Cloudburst was p good.

1:27
tyler: if you could interview any historic player, who would it be and why?

1:27
Eno Sarris: Pedro because grips and all of his knowledge.

1:27
Mike_C: So, 96mph with mechanics that looked like no one ever taught him how to throw off a mound. If Christian Bethencourt can’t developt the Bat and can’t stick at any other position long-term, it is worth it to see if he could stick as a relief pitcher?

1:28
Eno Sarris: For sure that will happen if it doesn’t work with the bat.

1:28
Doughboy: With fastball spin rate is more always better? If more spin tends to give a fastball “rise” wouldn’t that be a bad thing for a sinkerballer?

1:28
Eno Sarris: yeah more spin is only good for four-seamers.

1:28
Bork: Aren’t the catchers pretty much the pitchers voice at the plate to the umps?

1:28
Eno Sarris: Also good point.

1:28
Scott: How did you break into writing? I’m super into both of your areas of expertise (I’ve driven 8 hours to purchase a specific beer and owned a Mark Lemke jersey well into the 2000s). I’d love to cover either professionally but am unsure how to begin.

1:30
Eno Sarris: I wrote for free for a while, took on a bigger role and then ownership at a small site, then took paying gigs and smaller sites, cobbled it together into a terribly paying job and pushes pushed pushed into a poorly paying job. Got lucky, but also always said yes and worked as hard as my wife would let me. We can always use writers at BG.

1:30
Seabass: mookie BETTS. bob the BUILDER. CONSPIRACY? No. HOMERS? Yeah

1:30
Eno Sarris: wut

1:30
Scott: Single-cut has exploded in Philly. People are going nuts over every release.

1:31
Eno Sarris: hopefully I’ll find some at a bar if I don’t make the trek.

1:31
bk: You know we have a subway here right?

1:31
Ceetar: Singlecut distributes and is a little more available than Other Half and Threes. It’s also not really near subway.

1:32
Eno Sarris: I’m in the city i lived in for seven years for four days. I might not want to spend two hours traveling to a brewery is all I’m saying.

1:32
ShakeyourtooshyHasegawa: Will bat boys being able to wear capes be in the new CBA discussions?

1:32
Eno Sarris: LETS GET TO THE REAL QUESTIONS.

1:32
ShakeyourtooshyHasegawa: What would your walk up music be?

1:33
Eno Sarris: Ratatat but I’ve been searching for a new answer.

1:33
Dan: How much Clement Greenberg did you have to read in college? Too much?

1:33
Eno Sarris: Too. Much.

1:33
SardinasHappAbadOdor: Haven’t been able to take part in any chats lately, miss ’em. But have a beer question – any stouts I should get out and try…I use Beergraphs, but just off top of your head…

1:34
Eno Sarris: If you can get a Deschutes seasonal (Abyss, Black Butte), they are the bee’s knees. Easily available, Old Rasputin is fine.

1:34
Houzer : my 2 year old son appears to be a lefty. When should I start teaching him how to throw the knuckle?

1:34
Eno Sarris: Would be the first, right?

1:34
Eagle’s Nest: Are pitching mechanics quantifiable? e.g. if there a way to measure the effect of an arm angle on ball movement or grip on break angle?

1:35
Eno Sarris: Some part, yes. I’d like to start looking into spin axis, but we’ll see about that data. Theoretically you could match spin axis and spin rate with arm angle and grip.

1:35
Bork: The next new market advantage will be investing in cyborg technology. I want a pitcher with a robot arm throwing 140.

1:35
Eno Sarris: We’ll have the same steroid discussion.

1:35
Eno Sarris: And we’ll look on this steroid discussion as being quaint.

1:35
OddBall Herrera: Skye Bolte is clearly in the wrong industry – that’s an adult film star name. If he wants to make it in MLB he needs to change his name to Bucky or Dusty ASAP

1:35
Scott: I opened my Bourbon County Rare wanting to hate it. I mean, a $60 bottle (on the low end!). But I’ll be damned if it wasn’t phenomenal.

1:36
Chris: When you’re in NYC you gotta get a beer at Keg and Lantern in Greenpoint BK. There’s one guy who brews all the beers and they are excellent

1:36
kevinthecomic: An interview etiquette question: So, you have it on good authority that Archer is hiding an injury. Do you ask him about it in an interview? Do you produce tape and say “see, last year you were throwing like that, this year you are throwing like this”? How do you balance getting the information you are looking for versus increasing the chance the interviewee leaves (or punches you)?

1:36
Eno Sarris: I take the chance often, haven’t gotten a ton of rewards. usually I say something like, well I noticed your release point has changed, is that something you’re looking at?

1:36
Brett : What is the potential reasoning of having Pineda in the same tier as Darvish and Hill, let alone above both of them ROS? Referring to Pod’s June AL pitching tiers.

1:37
Eno Sarris: K-BB.

1:37
christian: Would you start Keuchel vs. ARZ and Carrasco vs. KC today?

1:37
Eno Sarris: yes.

1:37
Matt: Beltre on a loan for Kluber at $14 and doubling to $28 next year. Who wins?

1:37
Eno Sarris: Beltre.

1:37
Will: Hyun Soo Kim: .280/18 ROS or per 162?

1:37
Eno Sarris: per 162

1:37
Jeetness: Why are you higher on Stroman than Carlos Martinez?

1:38
Eno Sarris: C Mart’s mechanics are all messed up, the Ks are gone, the breaker is missing.

1:38
Cole: What’s your go-to ballpark snack? I’m a classic peanuts/beer maybe a hotdog guy unless a park has some crazy must try dish

1:38
Eno Sarris: I’m always about finding that must try. I have too many hot dogs in my life with free press box hot dogs in Oakland and two boys at home.

1:38
Mookie: Why haven’t I been mentioned in this chat yet??? Say good things about me, Eno!!!

1:38
Eno Sarris: Good things!

1:38
PL: Daniel Mengden – Are you buying into his incredible run so far this year?

1:39
Eno Sarris: Velocity is up!

1:39
Reginald Denton III: Why isn’t it as easy as Shoemaker is making it look to all of a sudden be relevant? Why can’t any struggling pitcher just take his best pitch and use it 40% of the time?

1:39
Eno Sarris: It’s a risky move. It’s like CC giving up the fourseamer for a cutter. It’s a desperation move that old pitchers usually go to. Splitters may or may not be an injurious pitch, but we haven’t seen many (any) pitchers throw it 40% of the time for a long time.

1:40
Scott: I love going to games because it’s so easy to get lost in the action and crowd noise. At home, I’m watching on TV with my laptop open to match-up stats and spray charts and other bs. At times it’s easy to dissect the bird and lose the song. Going to the games brings the song back and turns me into a little kid. It’s the best.

1:40
Eno Sarris: Actually, you’re right, the best part of a game is the conversation you’re having with the person next to you.

1:40
kevinthecomic: The human race would be wiped out within a month if mosquitoes started coordinating their attacks.

1:40
Eno Sarris: shudders

1:41
Fred : What is going on w/ Adam Jones? Stats say he’s hitting the ball hard and far, but not finding any luck.

1:42
Eno Sarris: Everything looks the same to me. Maybe he doesn’t steal more than a base or two, but he should hit 20 more homers.

1:42
Kim: whats a relatively easy gose to get my hands on in mobile alabama

1:42
Eno Sarris: Sierra Nevada Otra Vez is only okay. I prefer Anderson Valley’s sweet Goses.

1:42
Matt : Any hope that the 3rd time is the charm for Buxton?

1:42
Eno Sarris: New leg kick should help.

1:43
Will: DOCK ELLIS: This is a nightmare. Run away.

-You mess up your own body by not shifting sleeping positions in the night for fear of smothering the baby.
-The child never learns to sleep on its own: it still affects my 9-year-old daughter. NINE.
-You set yourself up to have turrible times leaving the baby with babysitters when it’s too young to understand what’s going on but is used to being with mom 24×7.

1:43
Scuba Steve: Michael Feliz: You see him passing Harris, Giles, and Gregerson this season (speculative saves)? Love the K’s and WHIP!

1:44
Eno Sarris: In Houston’s last win, Giles pitched the seventh, so it’s not him by usage. Feliz pitched last, so he’s probably behind Will Harris.

1:44
Eno Sarris: But will that hold?

1:44
Matt : Wow, so Leonys is pretty much a “must own” if he can approach 20/20 this year? Especially if he sticks at lead off

1:45
Eno Sarris: It’s weird just saying it, but he did change his swing path.

1:45
kevinthecomic: Let the baby sleep in the bed with you and your wife, but get yourself a gumar for at least 3 nights a week.

1:45
Dan: Worse for business than the Padres’ last decade?

1:45
Eno Sarris: Hah. Good point. But is the owner yammering really going to change things.

1:46
David: Do I drop Hyun Soo for Buxton or let someone else have the heartache this time?

1:46
Eno Sarris: Buxton definitely has more upside if you’re talking bench piece.

1:46
Scott: Four of the Braves’ top 10 players in offensive WAR are pitchers. Two are position players who have been released. Two are scrap head veteran MI’s. One is a stop-gap catcher. One is Freddie Freeman. My soul hurts.

1:47
Fluff : You get a chance to listen to the new Avalanches track yet? Danny Brown x MF Doom is pretty glorious

1:47
Dov: What are your thoughts on Archie Bradley? Was this last start legit or will he be back in the minors by the end of the week?

1:47
Eno Sarris: Eh. I still don’t see a change or a ton of whiffs from his curve.

1:47
Unexpected Erection: Is this the real Brian Dozier now?

1:47
Eno Sarris: Talked to him, and he says he’s working on letting the ball travel a little further so he’s not so extreme on the pull thing. I see better times coming.

1:47
Jimmy: chen against pitt today?

1:48
Eno Sarris: Yes.

1:48
Jim: it’s time to release Carl Crawford right? No way they send Thompson down when Van Slyke returns.

1:48
Eno Sarris: that coudl happen.

1:48
JW: Ate a meatball sub on a raft in a kiddie pool yesterday. Just call it a week?

1:48
Eno Sarris: Drop the mic!

1:49
Dave: What to do with Justin Upton? Hold on to him or time to give up? Besides his increase in K% and decrease in BB%, his numbers aren’t too far off from his career averages.

1:49
Eno Sarris: I still think he’ll get his homers but put up the worst BA and OBP of his career.

1:49
Pete: Domingo Santana – Still in love, or is the star fading?

1:49
Eno Sarris: Buy next year.

1:49
Scuba Steve: Where are your rankings?

1:50
LudeBurger: one man lude

1:50
LudeBurger: I am the one dude lude. hear me roar

1:50
Snarfle: Everyone wearing sunglasses is looking at me.

1:50
Eno’s Apostle : Smyly for Mazara. Which side you taking?

1:50
Eno Sarris: Love me Mazara.

1:50
Jim: I’d totally be stoked too if my GF drunkenly made fun of somebody’s inherent physical traits.

1:51
Eno Sarris: That’s why I shouldn’t have posted it. But fandom makes us silly. It was more “she rejected a Dodger, yesss”

1:51
kvothe: If Clayton Kershaw is salmon, what seafood would Rich Hill be?

1:51
Eno Sarris: Wait so the best seafood of our time is Salmon? Hm. I’m a Tuna guy. Hill would then be a good tuna salad that goes bad quickly.

1:52
Jerry: this will come across rude, and I don’t mean it to be, but it seems Fangraphs analysts speak very matter of fact when giving their opinions. A lot of “they aren’t good” or “he’s an ace” and then we are left to make decisions only to have you guys say oops. Maybe don’t be so sure of your answers because of numbers. You guys spoke of such names as Conley and Wacha as sure things. Just above you said you were wrong on Mazara. Guys lean on you and your side.

1:53
Eno Sarris: This is a chat thing. If you read my pieces, you’d get a different impression. Conley was always a flier, and he’s turned out really good for that sort of thing. No scout pedigree, no national scouts that love him, not great numbers, and here he is doing okay! As for Wacha, he’s hurt. I’d put money on that.

1:53
Eno Sarris: But in my pieces, you’ll get the whole thing. Look at my Pineda thing today. I go through my whole process.

1:53
Eno Sarris: Here on the chat, it’s ‘buy, but as a back end guy.’

1:54
Chad: What role do you see Pete O’brien playing in the future? Starter or reserve who could fill-in at 1st, OF, DH and occasionally at C?

1:54
Eno Sarris: Platoon RH 1B/DH. Razor thin between making it and not.

1:55
Jonathan Villar: Just wanna give a shoutout to myself, and say that I’m awesome

1:56
Eno Sarris: You’re right! You are! Reall nice step forward on swing rates, believable BB/K rates, enough power to hit five or six, and going to steal over 40 bases. Well done! (might hit .250 or so going forward, but w/e.)

1:56
Chad: Do you think Will Smith will be the Brewers closer in the future?

1:56
Eno Sarris: Maybe in September. Him and Smith are on the trade block, so might even be Knebel.

1:56
Snarfle: We are all space cats now.

1:56
Maxamuz:

1:57
Gregersucks: Ok ok, Gregerson has gotta be replaced now, correct? Who’s his replacement? And what are your thoughts on that guy for fantasy purposes?

1:57
Eno Sarris: He gets one more blown save. Will Harris is next. Then Feliz. Chance Feliz leapfrogs so he should be owned in deeper leagues.

1:58
ShakeyourtooshyHasegawa: What’s BG?

1:58
Eno Sarris: BeerGraphs.

1:58
Eno Sarris: Just realized that I have a Story interview I haven’t done, I talked to Buxton about the leg kick, and I want to write that Dozier thing. I guess I’ll get one done.

1:59
Eno Sarris: Thanks for coming guys!!!

1:59
John: You mentioned Wacha might be injured, which is leading to his struggles. I gotta say, Eno, I just don’t agree. But thats only for one reason: If he was hurt why wouldn’t the Cards or any team send such an important player to the DL to fix the problem? Not like keeping him in the rotation is beneficial because he’s Michael Wacha because he’s not pitching like Michael Wacha. If it will take 2 weeks to fix they’d DL him and get him back to normal instead of being 2 months into the season with horrible performances.

2:00
Eno Sarris: I’m just going off the injury zone finder that Josh Kalk made before the Rays snapped him up. Velocity dropping, zone percentage dropping, and release points inconsistent. Pitchers also don’t admit when they are hurt.

2:00
Eno Sarris: thanks again!

We hoped you liked reading Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 6/2/16 by Eno Sarris!

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With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.

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raymondluxuryyacht
Member
raymondluxuryyacht

Eno – Wilbur Wood would like to have a word with you regarding LH Knuckleballers