Eno Sarris Baseball Chat 8/8/13
11:47 |
: For some reason I want to write ola because when I see hola I read “HOLLA.” I’ll be here at the top of the hour.
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12:00 |
When a buddy of mine met my another friend named Halla, he didn’t realize she was introducing herself and yelled HOLLA! It was endlessly amusing |
12:01 |
You come down, holding tight , to the railing on the side It’s not complex, see all of the signs flashing on |
12:01 |
ENOOOOOOO! Should I stash Salazar for when Fernandez hits his IP limit? |
12:01 |
: Salazar coming up on his own limit. Once Cleveland out, he’s out I bet. Also, he’s pitched 105 or so innings, last year he was at like 85. So he could really get shut down whenever.
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12:02 |
Chances that Carlos Martinez stays in rotation are __ and if he does he is a top __ pitcher. |
12:02 |
: 60-70%? Not only will they rest Miller some to avoid innings limits and get him healthy, but Westbrook is sucking.
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12:02 |
so…. salazar? |
12:02 |
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12:02 |
errg, should the yankees make a play for chase headly? mccan? WEITERS???? |
12:03 |
: You mean in the offseason? None of those guys are clearing waivers. Headley in an offensive park would be nice.
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12:03 |
i joined my first fantasy football league, and have been looking for a rotographs-style resource for football. Any ideas? Also, is there a fantasy football version of lucas duda, or is lucas duda the fantasy football version of a baseball player? |
12:03 |
: The latter. And I like The Fantasy Fix and The Fake Football.
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12:03 |
Crazy question rife with assumptions: Assuming(!!!) Ike Davis turns his life around, and Wilmer Flores is the truth, do the Mets try the David Wright Second Base Experiment? What about shortstop? Am I crazy? |
12:04 |
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12:04 |
Would you trade Wil Myers and JJ Hardy for Jacoby Ellsbury? |
12:04 |
: In a redraft I would. In a keeper, I’d rather have the younger OF not dependent on his wheels.
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12:04 |
BRAVES? BRAVES |
12:04 |
: Braves.
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12:04 |
Ike Davis! |
12:05 |
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12:05 |
Two trades yesterday in a 15 team 5×5 (OBP) where I need OBP/R/RBI. I gave A-Gonz, LaRoche, Tillman for Cutch, Chris Johnson, and my waiver pickup of Henderson Alvarez (he’ll be replaced by Matt Moore when activated). Good move or trading just for the sake of trading? |
12:06 |
: You came out ahead, but I’m not sure you did in the categories you need, which is strange. Johnson does > LaRoche though I think. I used to hate on him, but Johnson goes oppo, has earned his high BABIP.
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12:06 |
I like to imagine you as an Irish fellow named En O’Sarris |
12:06 |
One way, or another, I’m gonna getcha getcha getcha getcha |
12:07 |
Cut out all that hoot-holler’n. It’s time to talk baseball. And beer. |
12:07 |
how’s the ankle? |
12:07 |
: hurts
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12:07 |
How’s the kid? |
12:07 |
: blows my mind daily
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12:07 |
Dropped Ernesto Frieri without picking anyone else up because I wanted him to know he was being dropped. I felt good about it, then bad because I realized I’m insane. |
12:08 |
: Yeah he has no idea, nor does he care. But, whatever floats your boat
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12:08 |
Wheeler to the bullpen soon you think? |
12:08 |
: You mean as a long term thing or as an innings-limit thing? Maybe to limit innings.
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12:08 |
Im home sick. Entertain me. thankyou |
12:08 |
: DANCE MONKEY DANCE
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12:08 |
What do you think of the spate of session IPAs (Lagunitas, Founders (I think), etc.)? Seems like a good development to me. |
12:09 |
: I do like them. For summer days. Had someone tell me recently though: I don’t want to have to drink so many beers. would rather drink fewer, stronger ones. I see both sides, at different times. But summer Saturdays? session/saison me.
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12:09 |
Please pick two of the three, with an emphasis on me needing pitcher wins——1) Ervin Santana (at home) vs Peavy——2) Lackey (on the road) vs Shields——3) Gerrit Cole (at home) vs. Jose Fernandez |
12:09 |
: Cole. Lackey.
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12:10 |
Would you add Carlos Ruiz over Raul Ibanez ROS 12 team roto for a Utility position? Ruiz would make for my 2nd catcher. |
12:10 |
: Do not play a catcher at utility.
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12:10 |
Would you take Salazar over Erasmo ROS? |
12:10 |
: Just don’t think the Indian has the innings over the Mariner.
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12:10 |
Anthony Rizzo’s 2nd half – princess or pumpkin? |
12:10 |
: Princess. Fun to call Rizzo a princess.
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12:11 |
It doesn’t seem there’s much to this Henry Urrutia character. Correct? |
12:11 |
: Makes contact, not much power, empty batting average.
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12:11 |
I’m very happy with Melancon but I need to make sure he is a closer during my playoffs starting 9/9. Do I take up a roster spot with Frieri, Betancourt or Putz as insurance or do you think Grilli will be on the shelf until after 9/22. |
12:12 |
: I bet Grilli just barely makes it back because the Pirates don’t need him until the playoffs. Lots of moving parks there though. If you can put Betancourt on your DL, you don’t waste a full roster spot.
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12:12 |
![]() Luca Duda loves 'merica |
12:12 |
Will Rutledge be back at all in 2013? |
12:13 |
: DJLM’s having his obviously-coming regression. There’s a chance. And I don’t hate him as much as many. He still has power and speed, and plenty of people have succeeded (especially in Colorado) with that skill set and no plate discipline.
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12:13 |
So, Jordan Zimmerman….i’m getting a little concerned. Should I be? |
12:13 |
: The BABIP was going to regress. Hopefully the control doesn’t, too.
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12:13 |
Hi Eno, have you tried the Stone R&R Coconut Ipa its not too coconutty. After losing David Wright for the ros I should trade Lee for Machado and maybe Masterson or pick up Lowrie and stand pat im in 1st in a shallow 10 man roto |
12:14 |
: Have not, do want, will find. You didn’t lose Wright for the RoS, I don’t think. You’ll get September. I’d stand pat with a pickup.
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12:14 |
why do they call the beginning of the hour the top of the hour? Shouldn’t the beginning be the bottom and the end of the hour be the top? |
12:15 |
: Think of a clock. Both could be top I guess.
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12:15 |
Did you consider using any metrics other than HR/BiP for your “steroid era” article? Seems like a good one to pick… just wondering. |
12:15 |
: I didn’t like ISO because there are speed effects. SLG is the same. I wonder if HR/BiP for the top 10% of the league is very different. The composition of the average HR/BiP might be interesting.
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12:16 |
Do you see any SP’s coming up from the minors who could be in a position to make an impact ROS? |
12:16 |
: I actually still think Trevor Bauer has a chance to be relevant, but you still want to watch him on your bench at best. Late-season young SPs are iffy. They usually are hitting their innings limits, and often come up as RPs.
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12:16 |
I picked up Aroid to try and eke some value out of him at UT spot while his appeal is pending. How long do you think he’ll be active and what do you expect from him? |
12:17 |
: I think he’ll play the rest of the year. They’ve been talking like November is when the hearing will be. I think he can .260/20 sort of pace.
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12:17 |
This almost feels weird to ask, but do you think most people (fans and even media members to a degree) under-appreciate how good Trout is? |
12:17 |
So, Mike Trout can’t actually be improving….. can he?! |
12:18 |
: He’s young enough to get better, and he’s scary good. I wonder if more people need to watch him. Because it’s like watching a quarterback-slash-linebacker play baseball. Big, fast, with finesse.
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12:18 |
Eno, Im going for it… NL only (although we kept the astros bc of minor leaguers and such) 13 team, standard roto… traded wheeler ($5), rendon ($5), soler (RML), k suzuki ($5) and uggla ($17) for Zimmermann ($27), McCann($17), Phillips ($26) and Fowler ($28)… I need to improve my batting average as it is the only real category I can move in (in first, but 2nd place team is close), and whip… i punted saves… will I regret this? |
12:19 |
: Since no closers involved, assuming you punted closers long ago. I think you might feel the Rendon loss most, but at least you got a bevy of vets for the stretch run.
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12:19 |
Rank em as keepers going forward 10 tm mixed. Domonic Brown $7, Anthony Rizzo $6, Ian Desmond $6. |
12:20 |
: Move Dsmond to the front because he’s a shortstop. I might move Rizzo ahead of brown too, but I want more info.
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12:20 |
What are your thoughts of Moustakas ROS? |
12:20 |
: .270/20 type of pace.
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12:20 |
Chances of Pujols coming back and being productive from the bench for me by mid September (H2H playoffs). Same question for Kluber only he’ll be starting for me. |
12:20 |
: Six weeks for Kluber makes it hard. Can’t really answer definitively on Pujols, but I’ll speculate that he’s done.
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12:20 |
Will the pitching grip series become a regular feature? (he asked optimistically) |
12:21 |
: It’s tough because no pictures allowed in the clubhouse, so I have to go somewhere to get them. Kyle Lohse let me take pictures of his vulcan changeup grip, slider, old curveball grip and new one, though, so that’ll be in there next week. And yes, I’ll keep trying to get pitchers to show them to me!
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12:22 |
50 told me “go head switch the style up,” and if they hate then let ’em hate and watch the money pile up |
12:22 |
ENOOOOOOOO |
12:22 |
danny salazar throw baseball fast |
12:22 |
: Let’s get sillier.
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12:22 |
What’s your favorite Pandora station? |
12:22 |
: Been oscillating between Chromatics and Mikal Cronin.
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12:22 |
A healthy Brett Lawrie over a full season would have what stats? |
12:23 |
: .270/20/20?
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12:23 |
I was offered J Upton and Segura for Tulo and Kemp. Do it? |
12:24 |
: Nah. Tulo best in deal. Maybe think about in keeper since Tulo hard to own.
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12:24 |
Have a good baseball joke you want to share? |
12:24 |
: Joe West?
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12:24 |
Is Medlen a keeper in a 16 team dynasty league? |
12:24 |
: Yes. I think he’s fine. Not an ace. Probably never was. But can fill out a staff.
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12:24 |
Ugh, Weeks is going to the DL. Who should replace Weeks? Rendon,Rayburn,Gyorko,Dozier are options. OBP,SLG,NetSB league…. If I have HanRam,Panda,and Hardy filling 3rd,IF, and SS, I should look to flop one of them for a 2nd basemen right and use Hosmer or Dunn at the IF slot,correct? |
12:25 |
: Probably should look to trade, but Rendon and Gyorko are interesting to me. Maybe Gyorko because I think he makes more contact and is adjusting back to league a bit.
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12:26 |
if i tell you a player sucks. do you think of him as replacement level, or below replacement? |
12:26 |
: It’s actually hard to stay in baseball if your true talent is below RL. So normally think RL.
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12:26 |
Eno, would you be in favor of a pro arod support group? Someone has to defend history’s greatest monster |
12:26 |
: People shouldn’t forget how AWESOME he was in Seattle and Texas. Big shortstop that could punish the ball and make plays in the field.
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12:27 |
What is the Ben Zobrist of foods? Something I can eat for breakfast one day, throw in my |
12:27 |
: Oatmeal. Filling, healthy, can be made more exciting with help.
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12:27 |
Yankees trade for Harvey and Machado and Trout and Harper??? |
12:28 |
: Okay you got me, that was pretty silly.
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12:28 |
That Bruery White Oak I asked you about was crazy. Big, oily yet highly carbonated wheatwine. High abv (11.5?) but not hot. Flavors like tropical fruit and bourbon or something. Not their best but worth a go. |
12:28 |
: They make some crazy beers. Almost like a Mikkeller in America.
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12:28 |
Better buy low: Dexter Fowler or Aramis Ramirez? |
12:28 |
: Don’t love either actually. If in OBP league, Fowler. If I knew Aramis was healthy, him in 5×5.
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12:29 |
What’s your take on the effect of pitch framing? |
12:29 |
: Small effect, rendered somewhat important over thousands of pitches. Also, even a couple extra strikes a game can be huge.
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12:29 |
So say C. Martinez sticks. Is he a top 35? |
12:30 |
: Ground baller with a great park and team behind him, great stuff, not great K/9. Don’t think he has Zimm-like control. Could Garcia with a little bit better WHIP?
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12:30 |
Change of scenery for Ian Kennedy make him 12 team mixed worthy? Over E Jax? |
12:30 |
: yes.
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12:30 |
Has Michael Wacha slipped down the SP depth chart? |
12:30 |
: Looks like it. Might be innings-related.
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12:30 |
Is Josh Hamilton a buy low candidate next season or will he continue to display Delmonesque plate discipline minus contact skills? |
12:31 |
: I’m not that into him going forward. O-contact was a skill of his, and it doesn’t age well. Panda and Puig owners should remember this, although Puig has a ways to go before it’s a real problem.
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12:31 |
Thoughts on Bucholtz and Cobb. Do they come back and pitch great, okay or sucky ROS? |
12:31 |
: More confidence in Cobb.
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12:31 |
Assuming the thumb is okay, can Villar lead MLB in steals ROS? |
12:31 |
: K% makes it an iffy proposition, but yeah I think he can. Dude stole home!
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12:31 |
Bondo. Shut-down reliever. |
12:31 |
Fans got treated to a rare joy in the LAD/STL game last night as Catcher Rob Johnson took the mound to square off against RP Paco Rodriguez. JOHNSON THREW 90MPH! Struck that fool of a RP out. God I hate LA. |
12:32 |
To avoid getting shown up by Bryce Harper, avoid grooving fastballs to Bryce Harper. |
12:32 |
: getting there interlude
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12:32 |
Who’s a good trade target for someone as mysterious as Junior Lake? I want to sell that dude. |
12:33 |
: why not look across the bench and get someone like Rizzo? more pedigree, better peripherals, down BABIP?
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12:33 |
If Brett Lawrie continues to hit AND is Toronto’s 2B next season, where would you rank him? Above or below Gyorko? |
12:33 |
: Above. More adjustment behind him.
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12:33 |
Do you see Sonny Gray being fantasy relevant this year? |
12:33 |
: Is looking like it. Bartolo fading fast.
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12:33 |
Fracture by Bombay Bicycle Club btw |
12:33 |
: You got it. I hope I don’t have one.
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12:33 |
Should I start Gerrit Cole? Wait, why am I asking? I’m starting Gerrit Cole even if he was pitching off a volcano with Lucas Duda catching. |
12:34 |
: Yup.
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12:34 |
Dont tell John, Cutch may be hurt |
12:34 |
: Shoulder soreness. At least he’s not a pitcher.
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12:34 |
Mr.Doolittle or Mr.Cook rest of the season? |
12:34 |
: Doolittle does more.
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12:34 |
I know that Jesus saves, but this year, it kinda really feels like that would only be a three-month appointment. Who is a good bullpen stash for a hurting Wilhemsen/Veras owner? All of their replacements are gone or unownable. |
12:35 |
: Could buy into Houston, Fields looks like he’s all alone in a dark place. Blake Parker pitching better than Pedro Strop and Kevin Gregg has returned to Kevin Gregg-ness. Dane De La Rosa has a fighter’s chance.
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12:35 |
Why do a lot of advanced-stat analysts cite GIDP? It’s as situational dependent as RBIs or sac flies. |
12:35 |
: They should just take the “IDP” part out.
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12:35 |
What if I had multiple handles and no one quite knew who I really was? I could be so many people. |
12:36 |
: Ladies and gentleman, the internet.
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12:36 |
What do you think mike trout’s prime is going to look kike? |
12:36 |
: This. Plus a little power? Maybe subtract a little speed.
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12:36 |
Can you talk about Chase Headley? People continue to rank him in Top-10 ROS. When is the watershed for those of us who need to be ruthless in 10-team roto? |
12:36 |
: I still like him, but like this: .270 20/15. I agree that’s borderline in a ten-teamer, but rosterable all the same.
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12:37 |
robbie grossman. seems like he’s found the groove during this hot streak, any chance he can maintain relevance in deeper leagues? |
12:37 |
: He’s cutting the Ks a bit, but at 24% I still think .250 is about the best BA he’ll show. Still, league-average batting average with speed and some power… definitely a deep leaguer.
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12:37 |
Teheran, A.J. Griffin or Hector Santiago ROS? |
12:37 |
: In that order.
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12:37 |
What will my role be when I am activated from the DL? |
12:37 |
: Starting pitcher.
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12:38 |
Bartolo or Danny Salazar ROS for H2h playoffs? (5×5) |
12:38 |
: I doubt you’ll want either when it’s time for the playoffs.
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12:38 |
: Salazar probably sitting by then, Colon throwing 86.
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12:38 |
More worrisome: Archer’s forearm or Moore’s elbow? |
12:39 |
: Damn, both can lead to TJ. Moore stopped throwing his changeup before he reported the injury…But changeups are supposedly safer than sliders… I’ll go Archer more worrisome with all those sliders.
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12:39 |
Do you think Michael Young or Adam Dunn clears waivers and get traded? who are the favs? Gotta be texas, right? |
12:40 |
: Young to Boston is not crazy. Dunn to Texas is a bit delicious.
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12:40 |
![]() My last Save was on July 25th. |
12:40 |
: um.
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12:40 |
Should I start Beachy tomorrow at home vs. Marlins? (I need quality starts, but don’t want to ding the ERA too badly.) |
12:40 |
: Yes. that’s a great matchup.
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12:40 |
How much do you think Kemp will produce ROS? I just got him off the waiver wire in my league and I’m feeling pretty damn happy about that at the moment |
12:41 |
: Getting him free means it almost doesn’t matter. At worst, I think he’ll have some speed for you. Maybe the shoulder is finally better. It was looking better before the ankle thing.
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12:41 |
My general reaction to session IPAs is to feel like they aren’t really IPAs. Tasty though |
12:41 |
: Yeah more pale than IPA.
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12:42 |
Would you start Salazar next week at Target Field in a 10-team mixed? |
12:42 |
: Yes yes yes
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12:42 |
Can I trust Lord Farquhaad for the h2h playoffs or will that plan come up short ;)? |
12:42 |
: Actually I think so. Medina and Capps still have bad platoon splits, and Wilhelmsen is starting now.
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12:42 |
: Besides, no reason to trade for a closer.
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12:42 |
Brad Miller: a good bet in the future to be a mixed league, shallow league starter, or have I just gone SS crazy, talking myself into a player at a shallow position? |
12:43 |
: Not a great bet, but a decent one. I’d roster him in any dynasty league.
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12:43 |
Is Mike Napoli droppable in 10-team? Fighting for a title. Avila, Mesoraco, Martin, Gattis available. |
12:43 |
: nah.
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12:43 |
I think MLB should make suspended players give $1 to charity for every team that they’re owned in on Yahoo and ESPN. |
12:43 |
: I actually think their salary goes to charity, and that’s probably a bigger number in most cases.
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12:44 |
Several times this year, Davey Johnson has mentioned something “bothered” one of his starters (last night, Zim’s neck). Each time pitcher has said “really? news to me”. What gives…? |
12:44 |
: He’s just trying to give them an excuse, maybe.
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12:44 |
If your kid blows your mind daily, you should turn the tables and do the same to them. When they ask what something is, don’t give them some Laymen’s term explanation. Go all out. Rainbows, for instance, are a fun place to start. |
12:44 |
: At 15 months, almost everything I say blows his mind.
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12:44 |
Why are the cubs the only team to play so many day games? I understand about the tradition, but couldnt other teams succeed playing more day games too? |
12:45 |
: Actually if you don’t have a destination ball park like Wrigley, I think day games are bum deal.
|
12:45 |
To avoid top and bottom of the hour confusion, use a digital clock |
12:45 |
An hour is like a beer. You start at the top and drink until the bottom. |
12:45 |
Three scientists are hunting deer. The first, a biologist, spots the deer and whispers, “I know exactly where to hit the deer so it drops in one shot.” The biologist fires, missing 2 feet to the left. The second scientist, a physicist, spots the deer and whispers, “You’re forgetting about trajectory” and fires away, missing 2 feet to the right. The statistician screams “GOT HIM!!” |
12:46 |
: now we’re kicking
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12:46 |
Do you think home run does has an predictive qualities for projecting next years dinger totals? |
12:46 |
: One of the best ways actually.
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12:46 |
Try not to throw up (because i don’t want to bring that pain upon you but….) please rank ROS: Junior Lake, Daniel Nava, Raul Ibanez, Cameron Maybin |
12:47 |
: that order, although Maybin really hard to place.
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12:47 |
Are there any very good fruity saisons/ales? Everyone Ive tried just seems gimmicky and gross. |
12:47 |
: Wait the rose hips saison from Jolly Pumpkin I like.
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12:48 |
R/HR/RBI/SB/OBP – who’s should I start at Util. going forward, Gardner or McCann? |
12:48 |
: Both. Gardner when both are playing and Gardner is not facing a lefty, but you’ll need both.
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12:48 |
Jeremy Bonderman is back with the tigers again. Thoughts? |
12:49 |
: Some use as an SP-eligible RP that might get some holds. I have a league where this matters.
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12:49 |
Do you expect George Springer to be exposed for the hacker he is at the MLB level? |
12:49 |
: Way too many strikeouts. I’m selling him.
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12:49 |
Another ‘steroid era’ question, have average park factors changed over the course of the data as parks have become smaller and did you consider factoring this in? |
12:49 |
: It should have gone in the annotations, but I did talk about it in the piece. Coors itself can change things, and then there’s Arizona. Both new parks.
|
12:50 |
: And someone said I should go back to the beginning of baseball, but I respectfully disagree. The polo grounds used to be like 500 feet to center. PEOPLE SAT IN CENTER FIELD.
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12:50 |
I believe in Brad Ziegler and his 73% GB rate….tell me I am crazy |
12:51 |
: Problem is his platoon splits, and the platoon splits of submariners before him. Also, ground balls can find holes.
|
12:51 |
: Strikeouts very very rarely find holes.
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12:51 |
Answer some of my goddamn questions or I’m going Heisenberg on you. |
12:51 |
How would you approach Salazar in a keeper? I never really heard of him until this year. |
12:52 |
: I just look at the stuff and want to keep him. But it better be a deep keeper setting, and you’ll need to be able to roster him when he’s not pitching soon.
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12:52 |
Am I alone in thinking there need to be *more* bat flips and home-run watching, and more shoot-em-up pistol gestures from pitchers? Because that would be awesome. |
12:52 |
: You are not alone. I like panache.
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12:52 |
Hosmer turning a corner, or just super streaky (or none of the above)? |
12:53 |
: Hasn’t changed his swing plane, so I think he’s still fundamentally a .275/20/15 guy.
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12:53 |
In the FanGraphs depth charts, why aren’t WAR values up to date? |
12:53 |
: Those are probably Rest of Season numbers you’re looking at.
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12:53 |
That Maxamuz guy is quite good and funny. I like him. |
12:53 |
Why thank you Zumaxam you are to kind. |
12:53 |
Arenado or Gattis for util (OBP/SLG/R/RBI/NetSB)? |
12:53 |
: The guy that’s playing more.
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12:53 |
how many of these crack 25-man rosters to start 2014? Bogaerts, Springer, Taveras, Castellanos… |
12:54 |
: Springer for sure. I’m guessing Bogaerts. Maybe Castellanos too. Three? Doubt Taveras.
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12:54 |
Mikal Cronin is just copying the indie pop playbook, bro |
12:54 |
: Poorly, or well? If it’s well, I don’t care. And I think it’s well.
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12:54 |
Baseball wrong, man with 4 balls cannot walk |
12:54 |
Harold Reynolds might be a funnier joke. |
12:55 |
I’m almost more upset that Trout and Harvey are better than Harper and Strasburg than I am that the Nats are 15 1/2 out. Almost. |
12:55 |
How does a guy who looks like you end up successfully reproducing? |
12:55 |
: Beer.
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12:55 |
Enosan, I’m up against a trade deadline and dealing Profar would help bolster my cause. What do you see as my opportunity cost given he gets a full season of ABs next year? |
12:56 |
: Long term, more upside, but maybe next year .260/20/20? But how does he get a full season of ABs? And is he a SS in your league next year?
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12:56 |
I’m out of it in my keeper league this season, and a couple of teams are hammering me for Harper. I’m considering it if I can improve my team overall, but what is a good return for him? |
12:57 |
: Actually think you’d be selling low. True value for him? Might be a young major league position player, young major league pitcher, plus a top-ten type prospect (or two).
|
12:57 |
Wade Boggs, Steve Garvey and Pete Rose are in a bar. A pretty woman walks by and Boggs says, “I’m going to ask her out.” Garvey replied, “You can’t do that, she’s carrying my baby.” To which Rose added, “You wanna bet?” |
12:57 |
: Okay this one’s decent.
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12:58 |
Beer is terrible. That is all. |
12:58 |
I…. have to pee. |
12:58 |
Jazzy Jim lude? |
12:58 |
If Zobrist is oatmeal, who is pizza???? |
12:59 |
: Pizza works any time, especially when hung over, but can cause heartburn with too much of it. Slightly related to acne. Sounds like a veteran with some grizzle to him… ALFONSO SORIANO.
|
12:59 |
Please explain the significance of the sidewalk pavers lighting up in the Billie Jean video |
12:59 |
: The path is not always clear to us.
|
12:59 |
Do you ever think there will be a female baseball player in the MLB? AAA? |
12:59 |
: Yes actually. There was a lady knuckler in Japan that was getting some play.
|
12:59 |
SO if sucks means RL, does Jeff Francoeur not suck? |
1:00 |
: Two years of not suck make up his entire career WAR, so I do think so. Also this year, -1 WAR.
|
1:00 |
Which 3 current players would be your dream interview? |
1:00 |
: Votto. Votto. Votto.
|
1:00 |
: although I would love to do grips with Yu.
|
1:01 |
MLB should be required to have one east coast and one west coast ballgame every day during the season, so games can coast me through my work day. |
1:01 |
: I feel similarly.
|
1:01 |
What did you think of the Teheran-Harper episode? Youngster rivals growing old together in the MLB? |
1:01 |
: It’s baseball. I don’t think either one is to blame as much as the construct that baseball has provided. Pitchers ‘get’ to hit people for various reasons.
|
1:02 |
Who is the slowest runner with the best baserunning skills? |
1:02 |
: Bobby Abreu.
|
1:02 |
People were tailgating at 8:45 this morning in front of PNC. #fyeahbaseball |
1:02 |
: Heyo Pittsburgh!
|
1:02 |
So before the injury I traded David Wright for Carlos Gomez and Cole Hamels which allowed me to slot Machado at 3rd. Was I insane? |
1:02 |
: Not at all.
|
1:02 |
What should I expect from Matt Carpenter as a 20th round keeper NEXT season? |
1:03 |
: Slightly worse BA IMO. Worst case, .280/15/100/70/2
|
1:03 |
Should umpires look at the effects of pitch framing and make and effort to correct…it basically means that they are getting fooled. |
1:03 |
: Disagree. Most framers tell me that the main thing they are trying to do is give umpires a great look at the ball. If umpires should correct anything, it’s the lefty strike zone being different than the righty one.
|
1:04 |
Are Colon’s last three starts (decreased velo, fewer innings) something to worry about? |
1:04 |
: yes. He’s dropped an mph in each start for his last five.
|
1:04 |
Alot of question about how many top prospects it would take to land Stanton, but if you were the Rangers/Pirates/etc GM, would you do it? Is Stanton possibly extremely overhyped? |
1:05 |
: A few too many Ks, injury question marks perhaps. He could be. But the power is so legit, and rarer these days, that yeah I think someone should have made a play at him. Particularly the Pirates, who have had a better time with pitchers than hitters, IMO.
|
1:05 |
Better dynasty league pitcher — Carlos Martinez or Kevin Gausman? |
1:05 |
: I still want the big K guy in Gausman.
|
1:05 |
They say you always take the hitter, but how early in a dynasty draft do you take a hound stud like Harvey or Fernandez? |
1:06 |
: I guess I wouldn’t get them because it’s virtually impossible for me to take a pitcher in the first round, and even the second round pains me.
|
1:06 |
Can we expect this kind of performance from Jose Fernandez throughout his career, or is he overachieving? I’d like to know what kind of pitcher this kid is going to blossom into in 3-4 years, assuming he can stay healthy. |
1:06 |
: The question is how many Ks he deserves with that swSTR rate. But the stuff says to me that he deserves the Ks, so I believe.
|
1:06 |
I’ve eaten entirely too much chocolate in the past 20 minutes |
1:06 |
lesson learned: do not smoke smoked salmon…cannot smoke twice. |
1:07 |
I feel compelled to note that an anti-star game where bad defenders are all forced to play unfamiliar positions would be highly entertaining. Duda catching, position players pitching, Prince at SS…endless possibilities. |
1:07 |
Tommy Milone sent to AAA. Please explain? |
1:08 |
: I think it was semi-procedural. They didn’t need a fifth starter for two weeks. He stays on schedule, works on stuff.
|
1:08 |
Long term keeper. Looking to trade Heyward for help elsewhere. Have Springer stashed. Odds Springer can replace Heywards production (when healthy) beginning next year? |
1:08 |
: Not good.
|
1:08 |
In fantasy basketball, ESPN puts up a season schedule skeleton and its useful to see matchups at certain points in the season (especially playoffs). I have NEVER seen an article that featured this analysis. It is truly prevalent with starting pitching against certain lineups but also hitters in certain ball parks. I would like to see this analysis weighed on more. I mean with 5 guy rotations it is very plausible to predict starters ahead of time which would support upside for particular players. I just think it would lead to more accurate predictions and might land you someone under the radar with huge dividends.. |
1:09 |
: You need to read more RotoGraphs. At this point in the season, I’ve predicted out pitcher’s schedules to talk about their value, and we always have stuff about streaming for steals (against catchers). But yeah, I guess we could do some stuff graphically.
|
1:09 |
Wacha or Salazar for next year and beyond? |
1:09 |
: Salazar has the Ks.
|
1:10 |
Danny Duffy… was last night’s start a good sign or a bad sign? Definitely one of the stranger lines I’ve seen from a pitcher. |
1:10 |
: Bad, I think. He gets Ks, that’s good, but the walks were a bit much, and he hasn’t really found the zone in the minors. Still has ace-level stuff, but everything else (sequencing, command, control) still missing.
|
1:10 |
Can you explain how waiver deals work? Like do teams have an agreement of, oh, we’re going to try to get this guy through waivers so you can pick him up? Or is it more luck of the draw? |
1:12 |
: Team with expensive veteran puts him on waivers. Team that needs expensive veteran claims him and hopes that they win the claim (worse teams get first dibs.) If they do, the two teams have a couple days to figure out a deal. But anything on a 40-man roster going to the team with expensive veterans has to clear waivers too, so it’s usually a PTBNL or a low-level prospect.
|
1:12 |
Would you try to trade Josh Donaldson as a sell high for ROS? |
1:12 |
: No, I don’t see much that he can’t keep up. He was slumping, but he’s getting it back now.
|
1:12 |
Eno, any chance you could give an explanation for why Bogaerts isn’t manning the hot corner for the Sox right now? I’ve got nothing…makes no sense |
1:12 |
: Two weeks into playing the position? I do think he’s moved ahead of Middlebrooks, but not sure.
|
1:13 |
Kyle Seager finishes strong or fades down the stretch |
1:13 |
: More of the same, minus a little batting average.
|
1:13 |
ROS Henderson or Farquhar? |
1:13 |
: Henderson more trustable.
|
1:13 |
Teheran pitching over his head to some extent? |
1:13 |
: Yes. But I think he can make advancements with his stuff to deserve his stats more.
|
1:13 |
The Dodgers look incredible. Are they NL WS faves? |
1:14 |
: Dunno. Stars are great, but the depth has problems. When Hanely goes down, the infield suddenly sucks except for first base. The bullpen behind Jansen, maybe Paco.
|
1:14 |
Eno, if you’re listening to Mikal Cronin, take the next step and put on some Deerhunter. The new Colin Stetson is great — jazz taken to the next level |
1:14 |
I live in Mass. and the octoberfest beers is already coming out. Summer is over 🙁 |
1:15 |
Would you Aracher is in the…..DANGERRRR ZONEEEEEE?! |
1:15 |
: we’re rolling now interlude
|
1:15 |
Maybe Harper should stop showing people up until he can avoid being swept. |
1:15 |
: He could do that all by himself?
|
1:15 |
What’s the word on you getting Friday afternoon chat sessions? Dave is missing out on a great deal of beer ad sales and sponsorships by limiting your talent to Thursday morning chats! |
1:15 |
: Maybe I’ll do some Friday BeerGraphs chats eh?
|
1:15 |
Jeff Locke’s LOB rate is catching up to him. What’s a reasonable ERA expectation ROS? |
1:15 |
: Mediocrity.
|
1:16 |
Shout out to Eno for the Farquar head’s up! Way ahead of the curve on that one! |
1:16 |
: Farquhar/d
|
1:16 |
In a redraft do I hold on to Kluber or let him go? Thanks. |
1:16 |
: Let him go
|
1:16 |
Pretty sure that suspended player’s teams don’t have to pay them, no charity donation like the NFL does. |
1:17 |
: Well we could fix that. Because that gives teams a strange sort of incentive to rat their players. (If they suck)
|
1:17 |
Why isn’t Cole missing more bats? |
1:18 |
: No idea. I think he’s throwing the fastball “too much” for Ks. But it’s giving him GBS and it’s probably keeping him healthy. As he ages, he can start mixing the breaking stuff in more and miss more bats. The stuff certainly looks like it deserves more whiffs.
|
1:18 |
Is Colon just a straight up drop in a 16-teamer? The 84-87 w/ no running actuon yesterday had me very scared. |
1:18 |
: He’s very close. The velocity just disappeared recently.
|
1:18 |
Going to Safeco for the first time this weekend. Can you a) do a beergraphs review by then or b) crowdsource some recommendations from today’s chatters on beers and locations? |
1:18 |
: Let’s see what we can do. I’m about a half hour behind y’all haha.
|
1:19 |
Always knew you wanted kids? I kind of hate them, especially infants. |
1:19 |
: Super awkward with them. Scare kids. Thought I would never have them. My parents had me by accident, I’m only child. Didn’t even know if I’d marry. Super happy.
|
1:19 |
Should I acquire Andrew Cashner? I now sliders usually lead to TJS thx to you, but he throws hard and i know velo is v important. Thoughts? |
1:20 |
: Well it’s not ‘usually’ just ‘maybe more often’ with sliders and TJ. With Cash, the problem is that he’s just not been healthy in general. He also sacrificed his slider velocity to stay healthy this year, and it killed his Ks. Now the slider velocity is creeping back. What does that mean? Don’t pay much.
|
1:20 |
Yeah day games in Atlanta are NOT fun. |
1:21 |
C Mart not great k/9? He’s done 8k/9 in the minors and steamer ROS has him at 8.29. |
1:21 |
: Steamer likes velocity a lot. But 8 k/9 in minors does not usually beget 8 k/9 in majors.
|
1:21 |
Terrapin makes a nice peach Saison |
1:21 |
Weezer or Boston for “big and precise” musical award? |
1:21 |
: WEEZER
|
1:21 |
I just joined, please recap session so far in 5 words or less. Thank you. |
1:21 |
: beerbaseballmusicsillynessfantasy
|
1:22 |
i like the apple beer from unibroue, ephemere |
1:22 |
Home run distance Eno! Home run distance! |
1:22 |
: Batted ball distance, please, if we go this route. No need to cut one tail off the distribution. Flies and homers.
|
1:22 |
Re: Cubs’ day games – the ballpark is in the middle of a residential neighborhood which is why they were the last to put lights in (mid 80’s I think). When they put them in they had to agree with the residents to only play so many night games a year. |
1:22 |
Once I had to stay in the Honeymoon suite of an Italian hotel with my college roommate because they screwed up our reservation. #travelude |
1:23 |
K’s rarely find holes…unless Doumit is catching. |
1:23 |
: luding
|
1:23 |
polo grounds i think were 480 to center and 290 down the lines. yeah. |
1:23 |
: There you go. And we think Coors is crazy.
|
1:23 |
What do you think about Liriano as a keeper for next season (12 team, 14 keepers)? |
1:23 |
: 14 keepers, fine. If it was ten or less, no. And I hope he’s your 14th keeper. Would I pick him in the top 14 rounds next year? yes.
|
1:23 |
Why doesn’t anyone talk about Tony Cingrani? Lots of BB, but stats would suggest he is very tough to hit. Has only started 13 games and is a top 50 SP. |
1:24 |
: The problem is that he really only throws one pitch. And it’s his fastball. It’s deceptive, though, and he has good command even with the walks. Just trying to be too fine with the pitch, because he only has one pitch.
|
1:24 |
best ipa you’ve had? |
1:25 |
: Russian River Pliny the Younger, Drake’s Aroma Coma, Goose Island Heaven’s Gate, Ballast Point Sculpin (on tap), Green Flash West Coast IPA… maybe even AleSmith… Lagunitas Sucks. (sorry)
|
1:25 |
Whats the best fantasy team name youve ever seen or came up witgh? |
1:25 |
: It’s a perm.
|
1:26 |
Heeb choi wig nogginnoooooooooooooooooooo GALAMBA FWOP |
1:26 |
: whoo boy.
|
1:26 |
What do you mean by swingplane? |
1:26 |
: Mostly gb/fb mix in the stats. But watch Moustakas and Hosmer swing. Very different.
|
1:26 |
Eno, somebody dropped Cespedes in a redraft league. Is he worth my #1 waiver claim? |
1:27 |
: yes. Even at true talent .265/25/15 type talent, you won’t get a better way to use that claim.
|
1:27 |
Atanta Braves stock, will it continue to rise or will it drop? |
1:27 |
: Rise as the OF gets it together.
|
1:27 |
![]() Could Adam Dunn still play left? |
1:27 |
: That doesn’t make any sense.
|
1:27 |
if you hit a ball into the polo grounds clubhouse (located with windows facing out to the field, in middle of center field), it would have been a ground rule double. At 483 feet. BASEBALL. |
1:27 |
The more I think of potential hall of famers using steriods, the harder I can come up with justification of keeping them out. Think of all the factors that have been involved over time to create statistics. How can you point to one factor over all others? |
1:28 |
Can replacement-level beers stay on the shelves (like how replacement-level ballplayers can’t stay in baseball)? |
1:28 |
: Leave the Boatswain on the shelf.
|
1:28 |
Eno Sarris: I didn’t like ISO because there are speed effects. SLG is the same. I wonder if HR/BiP for the top 10% of the league is very different. The composition of the average HR/BiP might be interesting.” But wouldn’t steroids increase speed as well? Otherwise, what are all those sprinters doing? |
1:28 |
: It would. But because of Nathan’s piece on muscle mass and bat speed, I was trying to focus on one effect: power.
|
1:28 |
BARF. Beers above replacement face. |
1:28 |
I’m pretty nasty |
1:29 |
: What, like you make people smell your farts?
|
1:29 |
Do you think anyone in my office notices I do little to no work between 12-2 on Thursdays? |
1:29 |
: write an email before 12, type away during chat, send it at 115.
|
1:29 |
How much is Dnaurd’s value hurt by his foot injury? It seems like a freak accident right? |
1:29 |
: Eh, I dunno, he’s been injured a bit. I won’t call him prone yet though.
|
1:30 |
What about a female umpire???? |
1:30 |
: Probably easier. Except for the sexism.
|
1:30 |
I was thinking David Ortiz for pizza |
1:30 |
: Belly up.
|
1:30 |
Through a translator? |
1:31 |
: My Japanese is not up to snuff.
|
1:31 |
Will Beachy get back to his old form? |
1:31 |
: I think so. Velo good, break good, right home park, problem so far has been hanging some breakers.
|
1:31 |
” I would love to do grips with Yu.” ~ worst valentines day card ever?? |
1:31 |
I think it was Jay Jaffe who tweeted there’s only one unwritten rule in baseball: if someone’s being a dick, you’re allowed to be a dick back. |
1:32 |
He’s off the roids! He’s off the roids! He’s off the roids! 😛 |
1:32 |
: You know, I love you guys.
|
1:32 |
Is hanley a beast next year? |
1:32 |
: He’s good while in, but how many PA you going to project him for?
|
1:32 |
Was Greinke/M Carpenter for Darvish worth it in 5×5 keeper when I have Cano at 2B? (Had Alexei Ramirez to replace Carpenter at MI) |
1:32 |
: Yes except I’m a little worried about Yu’s health in a keeper. You got best player though and depth to do it.
|
1:33 |
Marco Estrada had a nice start. 5ip, 6k, 1h. Should I just ignore and carry on as usual. |
1:33 |
: I like him away from home. He can get ks.
|
1:34 |
Colon’s velo chart = 🙁 http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxo.aspx?playerid=375&position=P&pitch=FA |
1:34 |
If you could create a custom job for yourself at any MLB organization, what would it be??? |
1:35 |
: Liason Between the Front Office and the On Field Staff, aka The Translator.
|
1:35 |
Mark Appel going to be good? |
1:35 |
: Yes I do think so. Mid-90s stuff, good slurve, changeup took a big leap forward last year at Stanford.
|
1:35 |
Dickerson or Blackmon — any flyer value there? |
1:35 |
: Blackmon can do things. Deeper league though.
|
1:35 |
I like refried beans. That’s why I want to try fried beans, because maybe they’re just as good, and we’re wasting time |
1:35 |
How about an all-star game where all pitchers are position players. |
1:36 |
Can you count tacos as sandwiches or does the bread need to be all bready? |
1:36 |
: Important questions here, and I don’t have answers.
|
1:36 |
How would you rank Jedd Gyorko and Anthony Rendon both long term and right now? |
1:37 |
: Yeah that was tough, I put them right next to each other in an answer. How about this: Gyorko looks like he’ll make more contact and steal more bases, so I’ll take him despite his power-depressing park?
|
1:37 |
Is it time to drop Granderson? |
1:37 |
: No.
|
1:37 |
rank for ’14: seager, beltre, longo, donaldson |
1:38 |
: Longo, Beltre, Seager, Donaldson. Separation between the first two and last two.
|
1:38 |
Do the Rocks shut Cargo down at any point this season? |
1:38 |
: Could easily happen. But all we can do is wait for news.
|
1:38 |
isn’t Bogaerts in AAA because of roster issues? not on the 25-man |
1:38 |
: Yeah but who’s playing third now, Snyder? They can drop him outright.
|
1:38 |
Next year Brian McCann plays for ____ |
1:38 |
: Yanks?
|
1:39 |
these Q’s and A’s are getting a little lightningy |
1:39 |
![]() Just a warning Eno |
1:39 |
I haz qweshtun: HWYARD OR JUPTON ROSSS????? 😀 |
1:39 |
: Upton.
|
1:40 |
Apparently there’s a dude name Jeff Manship pitching in MLB. In fact, he’s facing off against the Mets right now! |
1:40 |
: EVERYBODY HOP ON THE MANSHIP
|
1:40 |
Pizza needs to be an Italian dude, right? Not some guy from the D.R. |
1:40 |
: Mike. Piazza.
|
1:40 |
I still hate kids, but your kid is different |
1:40 |
: Exactly.
|
1:40 |
Where do I find park factors by handedness? It seems that, for hitters, RF at PNC is exploitable for LHB. And Pitt has been getting great LHP this season. If they limit LHB, perhaps that would do enough to limit an offense as a whole? If they had a staff of 5 lefties, would the limiting of LHB outweigh the maybe not so big gains given to RHB? |
1:41 |
: look for ‘guts’ in the glossary section at FanGraphs. And you’re right about PNC.
|
1:41 |
I refuse to eat waffles this week. Just saying. You can’t make me Eno. |
1:41 |
: The button is broken.
|
1:41 |
Dont go to Pyramid brewery across from Safeco overpriced and i tink their beer suck. If you got the time Maritime Brewery in Ballard always good cask brews too and deep fried beer battered bacon |
1:42 |
ooooh…best stout you’ve ever had? |
1:43 |
: Left Hand Milk Stout, Old Rasputin Russian Imperial Stout, Black Butte from Deschutes, (Vietnamese Coffee) Speedway Stout from AleSmith — not as good at Stouts.
|
1:43 |
what if they played polo at the polo grounds DURING a baseball game?! |
1:43 |
: They could.
|
1:43 |
I know you had a great interview with Shark, but are you worried about his velocity? It is low 90s instead of upper-mid 90’s like last year/beginning of season. |
1:43 |
: Hadn’t seen that! That is a bit worrisome. Long season, I guess.
|
1:43 |
Ros Jpa or Castro |
1:43 |
: Casto.
|
1:44 |
what should i do with pablo sandoval? hes killin me. |
1:44 |
: He’s fine. Getting healthy. I think he’ll have a big year… next year.
|
1:44 |
niese or vogelsong going to be ok when they get back? |
1:44 |
: Both barely usable. Mixed league RL.
|
1:44 |
I’ve been watching Hosmer–I’m no scout–but I’ve seen him take some serious uppercut swings. Mostly in “hitters’ counts.” Anecdotal but I do question your questioning of his swing plane. |
1:45 |
: Maybe he alternates, and goes for broke in hitter’s counts. When seen in aggregate, GB/FB mix is a good measure of swing plane, and his is very GB-heavy. Then again, I think the ideal swing plane is somewhere on the GB-side of 1 GB per FB, so he’s not far off.
|
1:46 |
Buster Olney just said “people within the industry” view Votto’s deal as a mistake. Do I fight him? |
1:46 |
: I think most big deals turn out to be mistakes.
|
1:46 |
for next week nova vs angels, niese @ sd, or voglesong @wash |
1:46 |
: I think Nova is rosterable, like what he’s doing. NOt the greatest matchup, if you can keep him rostered and start Niese, that’s better.
|
1:47 |
Muscle mass =/= speed. There are plenty of football linemen with way more muscle mass than Usain Bolt, but there’s not even a snowball’s chance in hell they catch him in a footrace. Bonds is a good example, he got a lot slower as he put on muscle mass. It’s got a great deal to do with what muscle mass is gained. |
1:48 |
: A bit of why I went that way. I went with HR/BIP because steroids also help contact, and I wanted to try and control for contact a bit. Look at Everth. Stole same amount of bases, but last year-plus his contact rate has clearly gone through the roof.
|
1:48 |
pls rank in obp lind morrison parra |
1:48 |
: You got it. I still like Morrison a bit.
|
1:48 |
darin ruf good? |
1:48 |
: no
|
1:48 |
WhY do people even try to make historical baseball comparison given rule changes,field changes, ball/bat changes, pitching development..etc. Judge players relative to era. Not history. The steroid era was one of them. Just like Babe Ruth wasn’t hitting 89mph sliders out of AT&T like Bonds was. |
1:48 |
: Because baseball.
|
1:48 |
Tacos aren’t sandwiches |
1:49 |
Tacos aren’t sandwiches because it’s just one piece of starch. |
1:49 |
What the hack has happened to Coco Crisp’s productivity? He can’t even get on base at a decent clip … |
1:49 |
: No reason for him to have a .260 BABIP.
|
1:49 |
i need some power. whos a good trade target? would u trade minor for rizzo? |
1:49 |
: yes.
|
1:49 |
Snyder is out of options |
1:49 |
: Didn’t they get him on waivers anyway?
|
1:50 |
In case you were wondering what my favorite quote from the Dabney Coleman movie “Short Time” is, its “Burt, your yogurt!” See you thought it was going to be Dabney Coleman, but I went with Matt Frewer. |
1:50 |
One time, I ordered a chicken sandwich, and I think the waitress misheard me, because she asked me how I’d like my eggs cooked. So I said, incubated. |
1:50 |
If were about to zoom into space for eternity would you rather board the MANSHIP or the DOGSHIP |
1:50 |
: Oh wait. I gotta go soon.
|
1:50 |
LIGHTENENEENENEENENENENENENING |
1:50 |
LIGHTNING! BANG! BOOM! um… KER-CHOW! |
1:50 |
zap |
1:50 |
Tacos may not be sandwiches, but tacos are undeniably delicious and just as good as, if not better than, sandwiches. |
1:51 |
Allan Craig for Rizzo? Dynasty, both at same $ |
1:51 |
: I’d rather have younger guy with more power
|
1:51 |
Ur nothin but an even toed ungulate |
1:51 |
Bradley or Walker in 2014? (Or Appel?) |
1:51 |
: Bradley
|
1:51 |
One roster spot for Tyson Ross, CMart, or Gray. Who gets it? |
1:51 |
: Mart
|
1:51 |
Wrong, Pizza is Ron Santo |
1:51 |
Beachy or Salazar in 2014 |
1:51 |
: Salazar
|
1:51 |
If the taco shell is broken in half, can it then be considered a sandwich? |
1:51 |
LaRoche or Morse? |
1:51 |
: Morse
|
1:51 |
A.Hill or Phillips in 2014? |
1:52 |
: hill
|
1:52 |
Liriano or cobb ros? |
1:52 |
: ooooooooo Liriano
|
1:52 |
Gattis a top-10 C in 2014? |
1:52 |
: top 12 at least
|
1:52 |
Kemp or Xander-dynasty keep forever |
1:52 |
: Kemp’s done it
|
1:52 |
What do you expect from Matt Carpenter ROS? |
1:52 |
: .290/15hr pace
|
1:52 |
Craig or Freddie |
1:52 |
: Freddie, younger, same player almost
|
1:53 |
kendrys or freddie? |
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Why are Eno’s chat transcripts always cut off early? Every week this is an issue.
Only E-nos!
okay this is a very obscure joke reference here….maybe Enos Slaughter would know it…
that’s a very good observation bucs_