Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 9/24/15

11:13
Eno Sarris: be here shortly

11:14
Eno Sarris:

12:02
Eno Sarris: I’m here!

12:02
Comment From Zen

eno time!

12:03
Comment From John Stamos
Can I kick it?

12:03
Eno Sarris: yes you can

12:03
Comment From HappyFunBall
Shortly?

12:03
Eno Sarris: damn kids

12:04
Comment From Guest
I’m 2 points ahead in my roto league with about 10 days left and… OH GOD I’M GOING TO CHOKE AREN’T I WHY DO I PLAY THIS STUPID GAME NO NO NO NO HELP ME ENO

12:04
Eno Sarris: h2h is tough. I think it’s kinda fun though.

12:04
Comment From Pale Hose
Eno – we have to talk about those yoga pants…

12:04
Eno Sarris: I don’t wear em!

12:04
Comment From Guest
Do you think Brian Eno knows about you?

12:04
Eno Sarris: He’s not my dad or anything!

12:04
Comment From Guest
With no bay area teams in the playoffs are you going to make it to any playoff games this season?

12:05
Eno Sarris: I think if the Dodgers make the NLCS I’ll start covering their home games!

12:05
Comment From steve
Who are you streaming tomorrow? Eickhoff and Hill look like the two best available in my league. Any other under the radar options?

12:06
Eno Sarris: I don’t want Eickhoff. Hill looks okay. Assuming DeSclafani is gone. Hellickson in San Diego is not crazy, he’s changed his breaking ball a bit this year.

12:06
Comment From Bone
Rank the following for a spot start this weekend, need to keep my ratios strong (ERA, WHIP, K/BB) – Hammel vs. PIT, Heaney vs. SEA, Garcia vs. MIL

12:06
Eno Sarris: As much as I like Garcia, I think it’s Heaney Garcia Hammel

12:07
Comment From Merv Throneberry
KMarte as a deep leaguer next year? Excepting the absence of power, I’m interested…

12:07
Eno Sarris: Even some deep mixers. I mean, I don’t see much of a difference between him and Andrus, Alcides. And since he’s more of an unknown, he’s actually a little more interesting.

12:07
Comment From Ben
Lind or Lindor? (They’re not really comparable, but I like the question)

12:07
Eno Sarris: All about the chocolates, though you’re missing a t

12:08
Comment From Pale Hose
Have you observed changes in clubhouse atmosphere as teams fall out of contention?

12:08
Eno Sarris: The two I see most regularly are about the same no matter what. The Giants are veteran and quiet, the A’s loud young and boisterous. Still doing what they do.

12:08
Comment From Marty
I went from one roto point up a few days ago to 6 back because of two blown saves and disastrous start. Talk me off the ledge.

12:08
Eno Sarris: See? It’s just as bad in roto sometimes.

12:08
Comment From Raoul Duke
I’m thinking of starting Jarred Cosart today against the Phillies, because they’re the Phillies. Hoping it can drive down my ERA. Rate this decision: decent, stupid, or super stupid?

12:09
Eno Sarris: Decent. I’m starting him a couple times.

12:10
Eno Sarris: He’s changed his curve usage recently, and I think he should almost be like 40/40 cutter curve.

12:10
Comment From z
i brought shame upon myself by posting this in the comments section… but… Follow up from the under-25 pitcher pod with Sporer. I’m in a keep 6 league and have Price, Bumgarner, and Syndergaard. Would you even consider keeping all three?? Offseason trades are allowed

12:10
Eno Sarris: They all seem so safe and great. I might see if Noah can get me a stud young hitter though.

12:10
Comment From Wood
I don’t need saves but im way under my innings limit and could use Ks and some good ratios. Any non-closer/mr/setup types ala Carter Capps earlier this season that I could target?

12:12
Eno Sarris: Keone Kela, Sam Dyson, Darren O’Day, Josh Osich, Mychal Givens, Ryan Dull, Kelvin Herrera.

12:12
Comment From Germania
Eno! Last week you helped me select my last three of twelve keepers (Belt, Conforto and Mesoraco). But when I looked back at your answer, I realize I left a couple of important names off my list who should be in the mix: Maikel Franco and JP Crawford. Crawford is awesome, but with Machado having SS eligibility and Russell, I can part with him, no? Franco is tougher–I actually like him better than Belt, IF he gets 1B eligibility. Will he? And am I being overly optimistic?

12:13
Eno Sarris: I think you keep Franco over Belt. If OBP, Belt probably nudges ahead, but in batting average leagues, Franco can do what Belt does minus a few stolen bases, and upside remaining beyond.

12:13
Comment From Shawn
Biggest fantasy lesson learned this year (if anything)?

12:14
Eno Sarris: I may actually pick an ace a little earlier. The guys that I can find are great fantasy 3-5 pitchers, but the way to dominate pitching stats is to pick a top-12 ace and then get the right top-20 guy that jumps into the top ten I think. I spent 20% on a pitching staff and it’s struggled all year, that was a bit of an eye opener, even as I push that team to third/fourth.

12:14
Comment From Guest
Wait is Brian Eno your dad?

12:14
Eno Sarris: No! I’m just named after him!

12:15
Comment From Germania
Advice for living far from home? Been in Germany for almost a year now, and I love it…except when I find out a loved one back home is diagnosed with a serious illness. Have you dealt with this before? How?

12:16
Eno Sarris: I had the reverse when my favorite grand-uncle in Germany got sick. I just tried to call people, send emails, listen to music that reminded me of back then, and yet also get out and see people where I was and remember that life is precious and every minute is worth living loudly.

12:16
Comment From Franklin
Does Joey Votto make it into the baseball HOF? I feel like if he does, he’ll be the first guy to make it without the sexy counting stats. He’s appreciated by “new stat” guys everywhere, but old school stat guys won’t like him much. What are your thoughts on Votto to the HOF?

12:16
Eno Sarris: I think it might take enough time to get to his vote that younger voters will get him in. He does need more years though.

12:17
Comment From Po Boy
Minors Keepers in 10-team H2H: Urias, Norris, Russell, Lindor, Franco

12:17
Eno Sarris: sexy time

12:17
Comment From Barry
Why is Jorge Posada always the top player on the player search bar?

12:17
Eno Sarris: he’s probably got a team of interns plugging his name into our search every day to pump it up

12:17
Eno Sarris: (just kidding)

12:17
Comment From Pale Hose
The whole chat is a lude

12:17
Comment From Harry Porter and the Voldemalts
IM FREAKING OUT ABOUT MY H2H SECOND ROUND MATCH UP AND I NEED TO BOTTLE A OUD BRUIN I BREWED A YEAR AGO SO MUCH STRESS

12:18
Comment From Art Vandelay
I bought tickets for the Giants/A’s game on Saturday over a month ago, glad I did because those $30 tickets are now worth almost $200 and rising.

12:18
Eno Sarris: up and down

12:18
Comment From The Ghost of Dayn Perry
Eno! Any sleeper breweries from out your way I should check out at GABF tomorrow?

12:19
Eno Sarris: Must: Cellarmaker IPAs, Almanac sours, Rare Barrel Sours, and Fieldwork sessions if they are there. Sante Adairius too.

12:19
Comment From Covelli
Read the “Surgers” piece. Frustrated to have so many guys on that list that I can’t keep. Pretty set on keeping Correa, Cutch, Kershaw, Cole, and J. Fernandez and have 1 spot left. Have to choose between Puig, Soler, XB, and Starling Marte. What say you?

12:20
Eno Sarris: I’d be really tempted to keep Puig and Marte and leave Fernandez on the block. Not like he came back with a clean slate of health. What if his mechanics are bad?

12:20
Comment From Dr. Hoist
Playoff time Eno! The wire is pretty thin out there, need some K’s and don’t want to kill my whip. You like any of these guys over the next few days. Miley, Roark, CC, Rich Hill, Rubby, Hudson at oak, Ty Duffey, or Ubaldo?

12:20
Eno Sarris: Hill Rubbby Hudson

12:20
Comment From The Ghost of Dayn Perry
Also, I have a spare ticket if you can get out here by tomorrow night at 5pm!

12:20
Eno Sarris: god I wish but I’m headed to Hawaii for a wedding without the kids so I’ll be okay

12:20
Comment From Nelson
Are you more scared or excited to do the SS rankings for next year? Correa over Tulo? Seager, Lindor, B. Crawford, so much changeover!

12:21
Eno Sarris: Yes shortstop needed this and it’s great. I’m going with Correa first. I might be one of the lower rankers on Lindor, though, and Crawford is more top 12 than top 5 I think.

12:21
Comment From JR
Joe Ross was dropped in my dynasty league. Would you drop one of these pitchers to pick him up: Lackey, Hammel, Buchholz, Iwakuma, Corbin, Hendricks, Velasquez, Medlen? If you could rank these pitchers in dynasty that would be awesome.

12:22
Eno Sarris: Yes. I’d drop Buchholz personally, but Hammel is like a four-inning pitcher these days too.

12:22
Comment From Zen
have you ever considered you are a prophet who will restore order to humans after discovering the truth about machines and the upcoming artificial intelligence takeover? or is that just coincidence?

12:23
Eno Sarris: I’m sure this is a joke and I will have no role in any of this if it’s true, but I did spend a few hours talking with a friend about the likelihood of AI taking over. Maybe it’s dumb, but I do think there can still be a human hand on the plug.

12:23
Comment From Pale Hose
Is Eno’s knowing stare the next Jonah Keri?

12:24
Eno Sarris: Moss went nuts after our interview, so I don’t think I’m a curse.

12:24
Comment From So Trill(ium)
Every hoppy beer I have had by Trillium is better than Heady. With that knowledge, is Rendon still a must keep in the 19th (of 22) round? It’s him or Archer in the 14th.

12:24
Eno Sarris: Agreed and huh. Archer’s an ace, I guess I take that and try to get Rendon back in the draft at a low number.

12:24
Comment From Nelson
Next season will you conduct an entire interview with Max Kepler in German?

12:24
Eno Sarris: I would like to, yes.

12:25
Comment From Nelson
Domingo Santana can .260 /25/15 next year? Kinda duplicate Khris Davis?

12:25
Eno Sarris: More steals, more batting average risk, more upside. I’ll be drafting him for UT/BN/OF5 in a lot of leagues.

12:25
Comment From Archie
Running up running on start limits. How would you rank Carrasco, Rodon, Thor & Richards this week? Thanks! (Side note: in Bay Area for the week, beer recs?)

12:26
Eno Sarris: I’d sit Rodon against the Yanks, start Thor and CC, and start Richards if it’s v SEA.

12:27
Eno Sarris: And yes! Go to City Beer Store and Cellarmaker, they right around the corner from each other and you can jaunt down to the SoMA street food park, where there are six trucks and some good beer as well. Or eat the fried chicken or burger at Citizen’s Band, right next to City Beer Store. Go to Toronado’s and pick up a burrito at Papalote in the Mission. If you make it to the other side of the bay, get Fieldwork and Rare Barrel.

12:27
Comment From Ol Sea Capn
Everything is going to be okay in California with AB buying Golden Road right? They did good or bad with Goose Island by increasing distribution but not killing GI’s micro skills? There are other SoCal places if things go sideways but their breweries are fun to visit. Thoughts?

12:29
Eno Sarris: I don’t really like any Golden Road so I shrugged that one off. Lagunitas kept 50%. Boulevard bought by a Euro. Goose IPA glazes my eyes over at the park and doesn’t count as a craft, but I’ll still buy the stouts and go to their brewpub. I don’t know, really. Your tap selection might start getting worse, but the Real Craft Beer Bars will still search out great stuff and won’t give up a tap to Big Beer just because it’s cheaper…. right? RIGHT?

12:29
Comment From Zen
do you enjoy the playoffs or is the grind of a long season and its ups and downs more entertaining/interesting?

12:29
Eno Sarris: It’s so different that it’s great. It’s these couple of weeks that are harder.

12:29
Comment From JR
Do you have some early SP sleepers for next year that you could share with us?

12:30
Eno Sarris: Vincent Velasquez, Raisel Iglesias, let’s put Jessie Hahn back on there again why not, Nick Tropeano again too, John Lamb.

12:30
Comment From Mike Moustakas
DO YOU EVEN GREEK BRO?

12:30
Eno Sarris: well done. Pops’ family is greek but not so greek that we have recipes or anything.

12:30
Comment From Only Glove, No Love
Yo Eno! Where will league wide K% be in three years? More? Less? By what factor?

12:31
Eno Sarris: Finally took a step back. I think it’s holding.

12:31
Comment From Johnny5Alive
Am I seriously the only one who sees the losing 4 of the next 6 and actually having to win 2 or 3 against the Nats to end the season? because they look like the mets we had for most of the season, 4 months of the season

12:31
Eno Sarris: Chill, dude. 6.5 is a good number.

12:31
Comment From Nelson
Tolleson start next year as Rangers closer?

12:32
Eno Sarris: Sure but I think Kela might take it from him. Tolleson doesn’t have the traditional closer’s velocity.

12:32
Comment From Q-Ball
Jacoby Ellsbury….just a bad season, or beginning of long decline?

12:32
Eno Sarris: Just can’t hit the ball hard this year. Must be hurt, IMO. Of course getting hurt is part of getting older, but it can also be fixed for a short time at least.

12:34
Comment From Hendu
Nelson Cruz has been DHing lately. Think the Mariners will send him back into the OF next year? Why had he been playing RF and not LF? Because their LFs had worse range (Ackley?) / worse arms, or was it a SAFECO thing? In which case he might go back out to right in 2016?

12:35
Eno Sarris: I think he might DH next year. New GM is going to probably believe that a run saved is a run saved and he’s not good in the field.

12:35
Comment From JR
Does Wilhelmsen have any chance to be the SEA closer next year?

12:35
Eno Sarris: Sure. Smith lost a bunch of velo and it just doesn’t seem like signing a closer is a priority.

12:35
Comment From Eddie Brock
Is it too much to ask the Raiders to play away games to begin the year? It kills me when I see a football game being played on an infield.

12:35
Eno Sarris: It’s so weird.

12:35
Comment From Covelli
Shit, I knew you were gonna suggest I drop Fernandez. Probably the smart thing to do. PS Brewing Red IPA (again) and listening to Eno tunes in the brewhouse (again). This is becoming a Thursday tradition.

12:35
Eno Sarris: Oh! wait! Need another tune then.

12:36
Eno Sarris:

12:36
Comment From So Trill(ium)
Cellarmaker– Have you had Laces Out? It makes me want to be a better person….like a Monk or something.

12:36
Eno Sarris: They make me want to move to the city and live next door.

12:36
Comment From JR
Do you have a giant beer spreadsheet, or is all of your beer knowledge from memory?

12:37
Eno Sarris: I use www.beergraphs.com to jog my memory.

12:37
Comment From dprat
Hey, Eno, care to make a guess how many PAs Kike Hernandez gets next year? Will he be a utility guy, or is there a spot he can settle in?

12:38
Eno Sarris: They traded Heaney for one year of Kendrick, so he could end up at second pretty easily. In a platoon?

12:38
Comment From The Geeg
Did you know, Arrieta has the best post-all star ERA of all time? Does that make the Cubs favorites in a 1 game playoff series?

12:39
Eno Sarris: I did not know that! Been using the sinker a ton more. He’s an Ace, but Cole is nasty too.

12:39
Comment From Shmik
I’ve been surprised that, in discussing more available U25 players, the name Michael Taylor hasn’t been mentioned… 15/15 as a 24yr old with off-and-on playing time, and likely to get a full time gig next year. Thoughts?

12:41
Eno Sarris: I like him but he didn’t show up on my surger list because more of a pull guy. Don’t like his plate discipline either. But talent is there, and in a batting average league he won’t hurt as bad.

12:41
Comment From So Trill(ium)
I’m pretty sure there was an entire Workaholics episode that was a commercial for Golden Road….this had to always be the plan.

12:42
Eno Sarris: People say that they were built to sell, and so was St. Archer, and I like one beer combined from those places so …

12:43
Comment From Po Boy
Archer or Price as a keeper (no penalty)? We keep 5 a year.

12:43
Eno Sarris: Price, just because I’m the teensiest bit nervous about all those sliders. Hard sliders.

12:44
Comment From Neal
ENO IM LATE. I THINK ITS YOURS

12:44
Eno Sarris: …

12:44
Comment From Chuqui
Do any of these guys stand out to you for next year, or are they all about the same value-wise: Lance McCullers, Raisel Iglesias, Patrick Corbin and Michael Pineda? Thx

12:44
Eno Sarris: I’ll take the first three over Pineda. He’s not trusting his changeup any more and it’s getting worse.

12:46
Comment From Franklin
You know who has great local beer? Salt Lake City, UT. Epic, Red Rock, Uinta. Have you had any Utah beers?

12:46
Eno Sarris: Yes, Uinta and Epic! They do have some good beers. They just sandwiched between maybe the two best states in the US.

12:47
Comment From Art Vandelay
Speaking of Lagunitas, have you tried DoppelSticky yet? I think it’s pretty good. They’ve been killing it so far with their one-hitter series (except the Imperial Pils)

12:47
Eno Sarris: Hey I haven’t seen that yet!

12:47
Comment From The Geeg
fangraphs gives the yankees a 57% chance to beat Chris Sale. That seems inaccurate

12:47
Eno Sarris: It’s about all the parts except Chris Sale, I’d guess.

12:47
Comment From Jill
Assuming both are starting today do you like Duda LHB @CIN (Smith) or Rosario RHB vPIT (Locke LHP) for today only?

12:47
Eno Sarris: Rosario.

12:48
Comment From Neal
Will Bing Bong Colabello be starting in the minors for the Jays next year? They’ve got both Smoak and EE as DH/1B.

12:48
Eno Sarris: I’m not putting too much stock/faith/investment in him, even if he’s a good story.

12:48
Comment From El Jefe
Addison Russel is my prize keeper in a very deep auction league… will Maddon finally stop hitting him behind the pitcher or 8th and move him up the order next year?

12:49
Eno Sarris: Well Maddon said that 8th is the worst place to put a young player and I agree that putting him behind a pitcher is better. But yeah, Addison has the right up the middle approach with power and the patience is getting better. I think he’ll surge next year.

12:49
Comment From Chuqui
Do you think Aaron Hicks is a top 40 OF next year? Hicks or Gregory Polanco?

12:49
Eno Sarris: Polanco, just a safer package all around.

12:50
Comment From Bat
Eno, Ruben Sierra had seven consecutive negative WAR seasons. Are you aware of anyone with more consecutive negative WAR seasons?

12:50
Eno Sarris: Checked Schumaker (three), Alex Cora (four)… that’s impressive.

12:50
Comment From Chuqui
How do you feel about Drew Smyly next year? Top 25 pitcher?

12:51
Eno Sarris: More injury concern than most will keep him down closer to 35-40.

12:51
Comment From RocketMan
Hey! I’ve read concerns about Luis Severino not using his legs much – being all arm. Do you share that concern? Injury risk?

12:53
Eno Sarris: I see it, and yet he’s kept the velocity late in games and late in his rookie season, so he might be okay. Tyson Ross keeps doing it. If you keeping him now, fine. If you the Yankees… I mean, really, what are we going to do? We can ding a guy a few spots in the rankings if we really worried, but it’s not usually enough to trade a guy away.

12:53
Eno Sarris: (Unless you the Athletics and you just trade all your young starters away before they get hurt or bad.)

12:53
Comment From Aaron
Who will be more valuable fantasy wise next year: Xander or Sano?

12:53
Eno Sarris: Sano

12:53
Comment From Minty
If I try to seek Joc in our dynasty offseason, what type of return should I look for that balances his potential while also acknowledging that he’s sucked for half of the year?

12:54
Eno Sarris: Carlos Rodon and a kick in?

12:54
Comment From Tom Skerritt
what ever happened to Kila Ka’aihue?

12:54
Eno Sarris: Patience without raking rarely works.

12:54
Comment From Joe Maddons glasses
Which Cubs youngster besides Kris Bryant do you think will have the most productive career? (Schwarber, Soler, Russell, Baez,)

12:54
Eno Sarris: Russell.

12:54
Comment From Adam
Looks like deGrom may only get one more start, this Sunday, unless WAS forces a tiebreaker. Any good 2-start options you’d use in his stead next week (e.g., Peavy vs LAD and COL)? Failing that, how do you feel about Hill @ NYY or Cashner vs. MLW?

12:55
Eno Sarris: Peavy looks nice, but deGrom might have more Ks in one start than Peavy can manage in two, so it’s only if you going after wins.

12:55
Comment From halfiegilmore
Which of today’s matchups do you like better? Erasmo against Bos or Paxton @ KC?

12:55
Eno Sarris: Paxton.

12:55
Comment From MSW
Please people, unless you learn how to type the é in Kiké, then just call him Enrique. Please.

12:55
Eno Sarris: yeah I always hover over that one and then say “him” or “dude”

12:55
Comment From JR
Watching baseball over breakfast in Hawaii. What could be better?

12:55
Eno Sarris: Oh hey I gonna do that Saturday sounds good

12:55
Comment From JT
Start 1 at CF: Pederson, Bautista, or Kemp…..

12:55
Eno Sarris: Bautista

12:55
Comment From zach
this is more of a Dave question, but this site (mostly Dave) talks about player forecasts and how you should regress the player forecast. what exactly are you doing in this case?

12:58
Eno Sarris: You take their minor league performances and compare them to like minor league performances to create a major league equivalency, and you give that a little weight. You give last year the most weight. The year before a little less, and so on.

Look at Marcel. Marcel, before the season starts, does almost as well as anyone else, and it’s just a monkey man: Five times last year, three times the year before, two times the year before, divide by 10 = projection.

In season, it’s trickier. You take that preseason projection and you weight the in-season results differently by how ‘meaningful’ they are. For example, power in small samples won’t move the needle too much. But if a guy comes up and makes a ton more contact, contact rates are meaningful fast, and that can change the projection quickly.

12:58
Comment From JT
I really like Goose Island: is that the best example of a micro brew upping output and production while not descending into blandness?

12:58
Eno Sarris: Yes! Though I guess we have to watch Lagunitas and Boulevard, since they sorta count. Both of those guys are great too.

12:58
Comment From Ol Sea Capn
SLC is the best. DYI attitudes + isolated beer drinking community = today’s awesome microbrewery community #vivaElEpic #ViVaBigBadBaptist

12:59
Comment From KG
Worried about all the high pitch counts for Arrieta, as well as blowing past his previous year’s workload?

12:59
Eno Sarris: Let’s not forget he used to be an injury guy. Maybe his mechanical changes have made it okay. But there’s a bit of concern.

1:00
Comment From Joe
On the podcast (U25 pitchers), you did not mention Stroman. Is that because he costs much more than the guys mentioned? What if you could keep him at the same price as the first guy mentioned: Syndergaard?

1:00
Eno Sarris: That’s a great question because Stroman had better health outcomes until he hurt his leg. But Noah has way better strikeout rates, and a better league. I don’t know why we left him off… but I think I’d rather have Noah by a sliver. Ks count.

1:01
Comment From daneyko
15 HR, 20 SB and ,300 AVG its possible for Corey Seager in 2016 ??

1:01
Eno Sarris: 11% swinging strike rate, so I’ll take the under on the batting average.

1:01
Comment From JT
Who’s starting at LF for next year’s Toronto Blue Jays: Saunders, Pompey, Revere, or ?

1:02
Eno Sarris: All of them. Well, I think maybe they move on from Pillar as a starter and try Revere in center, but we’ll see. Revere not great defensively. Well, he’s bad. Given his tools.

1:03
Comment From T.O.
Acquired Stroman in a dynasty league this year. Is he going to wreak havoc on my k/9 for years to come?

1:03
Eno Sarris: I think he’ll slowly get more Ks. The non fastballs are good, but he’s doing so well with the fastballs that he doesn’t feel the need to change yet.

1:03
Comment From JR
Do you think more mainstream baseball media/fans would like WAR better if the acronym was PEACE?

1:03
Eno Sarris: Too many letters.

1:03
Comment From JT
Smyly as a fantasy 3?!?!?!?

1:04
Eno Sarris: I mean how many innings you going to project him for. Never thrown more than 153.

1:04
Comment From Tom Skerritt
How much energy would it take to simulate an entire universe? Seems like it would be a bit more than could be harnessed safely.

1:04
Eno Sarris: Well if you hook all the life forces up into some kind of machine that harnesses their energy …

1:04
Comment From Snarfle
Is 2nd half Desclafani the Desclafani you thought would Desclafani?

1:05
Eno Sarris: Eh, he went with the curve instead of the change, which isn’t something I foresaw. But it’s certainly workable, and really what’s improved him most might be getting that plus command back.

1:05
Comment From Adam Conley
When will I turn into Jacob Degrom?

1:05
Eno Sarris: 91 mph?

1:05
Comment From Bill
What are your expectations for Eduardo Rodriguez next season? I love the talent, even if the results have been subpar. I feel like there is a ton of buzz around guys like Severino & Nola, whereas Rodriguez has been swept under the rug. Big breakout next season?

1:06
Eno Sarris: Will buy. Love. Backfoots the slider, has decent change, velocity mostly holding.

1:06
Comment From Hank G.
In your article about Joey Votto, you said (regarding walks) “The only problem with just not swinging is that it takes fear to get walks.” What about players like Eddie Stanky, Eddie Yost, and Eddie Joost? They all had seasons with an OBP over .400 despite low batting averages and little power. Do players walk that walk a lot do it because pitcher fear them or because walking is a skill like other aspects of hitting?

1:07
Eno Sarris: Joost and Yost had some power, you have to at least have major league average power, even doubles power. And they also played in a different era, when strikeouts were lower.

1:08
Comment From Trevor
Eno, please rank Sale, Cole, and Harvey in a keep forever league.

1:08
Eno Sarris: Cole Sale Harvey. Love Sale but even this year wasn’t a clean bill of health.

1:08
Comment From Art Vandelay
The negative WAR question came up earlier this year in a Sullivan chat I think. Pat Mahomes had 8 in a row

1:08
Comment From Snarfle
All the AL teams are so weird. The Royals might be the best of them, but I can’t name any of their starters except Ventura, who spent time in the minors this year, and Volquez, who I have no idea if he’s still good.

1:08
Eno Sarris: Well I think you know Johnny Cueto

1:08
Comment From Johnny5Alive
i get to teach evolution to 230 non majors at a southern institution on monday… fun stuff!

1:08
Eno Sarris: oh

1:09
Comment From John
How do you feel about DeSclafani’s future? You mentioned a new pitch, which always fools me into thinking he’ll be better than a 4/5 pitcher.

1:09
Eno Sarris: Has two new pitches: the change and the curve, and recently been throwing the curve harder and more, and fixed the arm speed on his change. 9/1 K/bb over the last month or so, and even if he calms to 7.7/1.5 or 8/2, which I think he can do, he’ll be more than a 4/5.

1:10
Comment From Jack
Put your GM hat on…best guess where Cespedes, Greinke, and Price all end up?

1:10
Eno Sarris: Toronto gets a pitcher, Dodgers get a pitcher… Mets overpay.

1:10
Comment From Jack
Being in Philly, I’ve seen enough of Revere to say he has the worst throwing arm this side of Sam Bradford. He’s not a starting major league CF!

1:10
Eno Sarris: Yeah but is Pillar.

1:11
Comment From Captain Obvious
About simulating the universe, it all depends on the level of detail/abstraction within the simulator as to the power required.

1:11
Comment From Nelson
So is Pompey a keeper at 5$ in Otto next year? Prob not, eh?

1:11
Comment From Marty
Going to VT with the GF this weekend. There may be some heady topper in your future. Will email you know if I procure some.

1:11
Eno Sarris: Really want Hill Farmstead, Lawson’s, or Fiddlehead!!

1:11
Comment From Hi Erix
who is brian eno

1:12
Eno Sarris: He created glam rock, ambient music, produced U2, Talking Heads, and was maybe the inspiration for David Bowie’s whole thing.

1:12
Comment From Art Vandelay
Bill Bergen had 11 in a row.

1:12
Eno Sarris: holy negative WAR batman

1:13
Comment From Snarfle
I’ve thought of a great new stat. It’s a little wonky, so bear with me. If a starter goes 5+ innings and leaves with the lead, and then his team wins the game, he gets a Great Job Gold Star (GJGS). If the lead changes after the starter leaves, the GJGS goes to whichever pitcher the winning team had when the lead changed. My leaguemates are giving me a lot of pushback on the second part, saying it’s totally arbitrary, but the GJGS must be awarded every game, and can you really give it to a pitcher who allowed the lead to change from the dugout? I’m thinking maybe if no pitcher on the winning team was very good, it should go to the shortstop. No member of the losing team will ever win a GJGS, because duh.

1:13
Eno Sarris: just going to leave that here for the last part.

1:13
Comment From Joe

Will Daniel Norris' control ever improve to where he is a top starter?

1:14
Eno Sarris: He might be able to get there by figuring out when he can throw certain things, since the stuff is good. Still a chance.

1:14
Comment From Mike
Sandwich update! You are in the West Coast so maybe breakfast sandwich update?

1:15
Eno Sarris: Dude today I ‘m going to make a pastrami sandwich on baguette where I grill the pastrami, carmelize onions, add avocado and provolone and geek the F out

1:15
Comment From Budvar
What do you think the Rangers OF looks like at the beginning and the end of next season? Can Deshields stay in that OF? Is Brinson or Mazara the best fantasy player?

1:16
Eno Sarris: Mazara. Brinson could rediscover all those Ks in the big leagues. I think DdSj is probably a fourth.

1:16
Comment From Jack
Snarfle sniffin somethin somethin

1:16
Comment From JT
PILLAR OF STRENGTH!

1:16
Eno Sarris:

1:16
Comment From Snarfle
No Jack, I’m just like this.

1:17
Comment From Joe
What do u think about Mikie Mahtook? If BA is not relevant, him or Souza ROS?

1:17
Eno Sarris: Will take Mahtook because his K% is not obscene.

1:17
Comment From karlll
our h2h has 9 P slots – what do you think about going all RP to try and win saves and 3 ratio categories while punting wins, k’s and QS? Allows me to have pretty stacked batting too

1:17
Eno Sarris: These ideas are fine, but you remove a little margin for error by not being in every category.

1:17
Comment From Michael
How is batted ball velocity plus some measure of swing and miss rate not the best way to predict future performance of a hitter? The ability to square the ball up and hit it hard, and do it frequently (vs. swinging and missing) is the truest of the true form evaluating how well a player can hit a baseball.

1:19
Eno Sarris: We’ll have that xBABIP within the next few years publicly, which suggests to me that they have something like that privately already. Pedro Moura wrote about a Dodgers outfielder where they told him to track his batted ball velocity and he gamified his own development and now looks legit because he hits the snot out of the ball. Do you think the Cards having three under-whelming pedigree guys hitting the crap out of the ball in Pham, Grichuk and Piscotty is by accident? I think it’s happening, we just have to catch up.

1:19
Comment From Kevin
Do you pronounce WAR different than war? I never thought about it, but when talking to friends I pronounce WAR with the a making an a sound (wah-err) instead of an o sound (wore)…

1:19
Eno Sarris: I do. I’m with you.

1:19
Comment From Eddie Brock
Bauer in the pen to finish out the year. Think he gets back into the rotation next spring?

1:19
Eno Sarris: He certainly has the stuff, and I think an offseason in the lab will improve him.

1:20
Eno Sarris: Leaving tomorrow and have editors and family members all up IN my email. Just don’t say I’m fleeing

1:20
Eno Sarris:

1:20
Eno Sarris: thanks guys!





With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.

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Z
7 years ago

Follow up from the under-25 pitcher pod with Sporer. I’m in a keep 6 league and have Price, Bumgarner, and Syndergaard. Would you even consider keeping all three?? Offseason trades are allowed.

Z
7 years ago
Reply to  Z

My bad! Meant to post in the chat haha.