Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 9/3/15

Eno Sarris: trying not to be late today!

Eno Sarris:

Eno Sarris: I’m here!

Comment From Vilnius B.
BTW, can anybody in the chat room explain why my typing of comments anywhere in FG or RG has become so tediously slow since I upgraded from Windows 8 to Windows 10? It’s not happening anywhere else, e.g., newspapers. I’m not a tech geek, so I’m clueless.

Eno Sarris: The Dark Overlord will be back from his vacation soon, I’ll point it out!

Comment From Lenard
Eno, I haven’t been here in what feels like months, have you changed shampoos?

Eno Sarris: nope!

Comment From Pale Hose
Sam (Fuld) and Eno’s relationship name is Sano.

Comment From C
What are the best stats for evaluating pitchers in really small samples, say 20 IP?

Eno Sarris: Velocity, pitching mix, pitch movement.

Comment From Prince Wednesday
Thoughts on Raisel Iglesias rest of season? Does he get shut down eary?

Eno Sarris: Trent Rosecrans said they watching him for fatigue, so it could happen at any time I guess. I like him while he’s in.

Comment From Guest
hey man

Comment From THE INTERNET
IS IT ENO TIME?

Eno Sarris: Sup

Comment From Shawn
I have a few bachelor parties coming up and I would like to request that BeerGraphs try out the Asian Pear Juice Hangover cure and see if it works and report back please

Eno Sarris: Nice. I don’t usually go that far much these days, but we have a staff of fine young gentlemens ready to try it out.

Eno Sarris: They did debunk the idea that you could eat live yeast while drinking

Eno Sarris: in order to be less drunk.

Eno Sarris:

Comment From Bryan
So…Seager? Thoughts?

Eno Sarris: Interested to see his strikeout and swinging strike rate, that’s always the first thing I look at when a guy comes up. Eventually should have great power and play shortstop for a few years. Might play third for now, with Turner going to second some. Peraza banged up, Utley old. There’s a tiny bit of playing time possibility there.

Comment From Minty
For AL ROY, does Correa get bonus points for playing SS and being younger, or can Sano bash his way to the award?

Eno Sarris: Can’t believe team factors won’t be mentioned, I think CC can still win it.

Comment From Shawn
Why wasn’t Eno named as Troy Polamalu’s replacement on the Head & Shoulders commercials?

Eno Sarris: inoright

Comment From Bryan
Votto is having a historic 2nd half. He’s going on 32, how many more years of this kind of production can we expect?

Eno Sarris: Probably not a lot more 10 stolen bases years, probably some injuries coming, but in terms of .200 ISO and .400 OBP? The skills that he has that lead to those things should age well. three to five years?

Comment From Guest
You must consume one pumpking flavored item: pumpkin spice latte, pumpkin beer, pumpking peep, pumpkin spice m&ms, pumpkin spice potato chips

Eno Sarris: yuck. The peep is the smallest?

Comment From BigBopper
Over the past few years Derek Holland has been fantastic….while on the field. How do we value him for next year? He’s only 28yo…

Eno Sarris: I struggle with that dude. Elite slider, terrible change. I feel like he won’t be as good with less velocity, because he sorta strikes me as the lefty Garret Richards. I think 2013 will be his high water mark.

Comment From roto-less
I’ve got questions on two call-ups (not discussed on the recent pod–at least at length). Do you think Eric Johnson provides value? How about Seager? Will they find him at bats, or is this going to be a Trea Turner situation?

Eno Sarris: Doubt any of the September callups are going to give you much other than a DFS play or some holds out of an SP slot.

Comment From Vilnius B.
I enjoyed your article on Moss. Before his recent streak and the article I had assumed I wouldn’t be keeping him in a 16 team 12 keeper league.

Eno Sarris: And Holliday’s return still has something to say about that. But .250/30 still seems like a healthy baseline for him.

Comment From Art Vandelay
Do you watch Mr. Robot? I didn’t get into it until ep. 8, but I’m glad I came around on it.

Eno Sarris: Crap I thought it looked interesting but time in my life… Maybe I can pick it up on a service once they package it.

Comment From Lost in keeperville
I’m able to keep six of these cool cats going forward. It’s a standard 5×5 league: Kluber, Sale, Cole, Donaldson, Sano, Correa, Harper, Dickerson, Conforto. Kluber’s price is about 8 rounds higher than any of the rest.

Eno Sarris: Donaldson Sano Correa Harper locks. If Cole cheaper than Kluber, take him. Maybe a second pitcher is okay (Sale?)

Comment From Total Clown
Marcus Stroman!

Eno Sarris: I thought they’d bring him up to be a middle reliever but he just went four innings! I think he’ll get some starts, and soon.

Comment From Jon M.
Could you rank these potential pitching keepers, all $4 next year: Verlander, D. Holland, M. Moore ?

Eno Sarris: That order

Eno Sarris: I actually just picked up a cheap Verlander in an ottoneu league. If you take the name off his pitch peripherals, he looks good, and not in a CC Sabathia kind of way, like legit good. (CC’s non fastballs looked okay this year but we all know about the fatball)

Comment From jocephus

Comment From Tom
We often hear about GM’s having Special Advisors, often former players or managers whose names are recognizable to most fans. I’m sure there’s some variation from team to team in regards to their specific roles, but generally, how involved are these guys with the teams? Do they draw a salary or are they more hands-off, serving only for the GMs to bounce ideas off of?

Eno Sarris: I think Ron Washington might be a special advisor in Oakland, and all he does is work with Marcus Semien on defense, like constantly. I think it’s really different from team to team and guy to guy.

Comment From Johnny5Alive
Eno! my main man! chris owings worth $12 in an nl only deep dynasty with a $270 cap? someone just dropped him, and considering picking him up (Im out of it this year).

Eno Sarris: I’d rather pick him up next year for 3-5 and hope he takes the SS job from Ahmed with a healthy shoulder, but that’s a crowded infield.

Comment From Schiraldi
Let’s just dream for a minute about Conforto’s ceiling. How close could he get to Votto? V with 5% fewer walks and a less elevated BABIP plausible?

Eno Sarris: I think if you shave twenty points off everything right now, you get a good idea of his ceiling. Really good but I’m not giving him Votto or Votto-lite yet. (I guess 20 points off is close to Votto lite though)

Comment From Gary
Eno, my good man! What the hell happened to Carlos Gomez?

Eno Sarris: I think he’s nursing injuries.

Comment From Johnny5Alive
so i know people are gungho about the mets and the nats being “done,” but the nats can pick up a half game tonight, and then next week, the nats can pick up 3 games in head to head. I know 2007 has nothing to do with now, but weve been down this path before eno!

Eno Sarris: Definitely not done. Remember that year with the Phillies? That sucked.

Comment From Zonk
If you were a shortstop hungry GM, what would be your level of interest this offseason in Starlin Castro? How much of that 4/39 commitment would you be willing to take on?

Eno Sarris: I’d actually take on all of it if it meant not giving up a real prospect. I mean if I were the Padres and it was Amarista or $10m a year for Castro, it would be an easy choice.

Comment From Dr. Hoist
Have you listened to the new beach house album? So good. What are your thoughts on Medlen ROS.

Eno Sarris: I like them when they get going, their slower ones are sleepy time. Medlen’s change is a little harder than usual, but everything looks to be in it’s right place, and it looks like he has a rotation spot. other than not getting a ton of Ws pitching barely into the sixth, giddyap.

Comment From HardTime
Hey Eno! Having a hard time gauging young, talent like Eduardo Rodriguez, Steven Matz, Lance McCullers, Luis Severino against prospects like Jose De Leon, Jose Berrios, Blake Snell and Alex Reyes. Can you rank them for me? Tier them? MANY, MANY thanks!

Eno Sarris: All of the guys in the first group are ahead of the guys in the second group. Berrios and Snell are the closest.

Comment From Jimmy
Is there any way to quantify hitting coach’s value? Sure seems like Edgar has made an impact – but Cano has also started hitting like Cano, which helps.

Eno Sarris: I tried a few times on Amazin Avenue back in the day. I think you can see it in swing rates. Either you make the team swing more and bee more aggressive, or you make them more patient. Every once in a while, certain mechanical philosophies work with certain players, but for the most part, these players are in command of their own swings.

Comment From Chris
hey Eno. I’m meeting a girl from Tinder this Sunday. Will you bless me with your well-wishes? Will I last longer than Puig and the Dodgers?

Eno Sarris: Somehow I doubt it will be Cal Ripken, but I’m hoping for better than Eddie Stanky for you. good luck!

Comment From Dosh Jonaldson
Will you admit I am the MVP?

Eno Sarris: I love you. Still a little bit of time left, but I think if season ended today, yes.

Comment From Guest
I prefer clean beaches tbh

Comment From Vilnius B.
Is the music a product of a Glass protege? Sounds a lot like Glass, but a little better. I’m getting moody again…

Comment From tom
CC Sabathia is a little old to be winning ROY imo

Comment From DDSP
Erik Johnson worth a start or 2?

Eno Sarris: I don’t like Erik Johnson much.

Comment From BB
Is Grandal a drop yet in redraft? Montero, Swihart, Suzuki are available.

Eno Sarris: Yeah, I think he’s hurting. Montero is the pickup for me.

Comment From tom
is yordano starting to live up to his potential, and how terrifying is that potential

Eno Sarris: Everything’s a little harder since he was sent down, so it looks like he’s just throwing harder in response. Not sure I see a fundamental change.

Comment From L. Scott
What’s a bigger surprise: Mets winning NL East or the Astros battling the Rangers for the AL West?

Eno Sarris: For me? The Rangers and Astros, and not only because of the Astros.

Comment From Ryan
McHugh looking better lately, any reason to believe it? Just regression in HRs?

Eno Sarris: We talked about him finding his cutter a while back, but I don’t see a big change in the pitch since. He did talk about being aggressive more than trying to guide the ball, so I’d say his strikeouts going up is the best sign.

Comment From Raindog
Eno! Can you ask the powers that be to get us an option on the sortable leaderboards for in/out of the HoF? It’d be fun to play with!

Eno Sarris: that’s fun and seems possible

Comment From L. Scott
AL Comeback Player of the Year: Price Fielder or Alex Rodriguez?

Eno Sarris: Who’s more likely to win? Prince? Who’s mine? Needs more than a glance, IMO.

Comment From HolySmokes!
Trillium Vicinity / Heady Topper / Pliny E / Jai Alai (white oak) / 3f War Mullet / Great Lake Eerie……blind taste tomorrow………any bets on who wins?

Eno Sarris: Trillium. It’ll be so different, it’ll automatically get some first place votes.

Comment From Guest
Is Joey Votto awesome

Eno Sarris: yes

Comment From BB
What’s happened to your “is”s, “are”s, “am”s, “was”s and “were”s? Bring them back please.

Eno Sarris: noted by me

Comment From Limpet
Do ballboys and batboys travel with their teams or are they supplied by the home team? are they volunteer or paid positions?

Eno Sarris: Home team I believe. Judging by age, I think they volunteer. I know that you can bid on charity aucitions to be a ballboy too.

Eno Sarris: I dedicate this one to Votto

Eno Sarris:

Comment From JR
Are Pomeranz and Wilhelmsen closers next year? If not, are they even the 8th inning guy?

Eno Sarris: Carson Smith seems like he got hurt. Doubt they pay for a guy to come in, so I do think it’s Carson or Tom. Doolittle told me some interesting things about his rehab, I think he might be up to 93-94 again next year. Would be weird to have two lefties in the 8th and 9th so I think Pom less likely to be in 8th or 9th.

Comment From JT Smooth (Loveboat Capn)
Eno man, broke up with a longtime girlfriend a couple days ago. Think it’s for the best in the long run but right now it’s tough. This isn’t the right forum but you’re a cool dude and fuck it, any advice man?

Eno Sarris: Damn dude. Been a while for me. I remember some crying and shouting and yelling, lots of basketball, a week at the bar, and a trip with some good dude friends the last time I hit that patch.

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
I pick #7 in fantasy pigskin tonight…who should I take?

Eno Sarris: I’M NOT PLAYING FANTASY FOOTBALL THIS YEAR AND IT FEELS SO GREAT

Comment From Nelson
If velocity only goes down for pitchers from the rookie year, is it the same for K/9? If not, in what year does k/9 start decreasing?

Eno Sarris: http://www.fangraphs.com/bl…

Eno Sarris: Different for starters and relievers. Relievers just go down. Starters find a way to use their arsenal effectively and stave off K/9 decrease for a bit.

Comment From Bruce
I really want to get a Sous Vide, but what about cooking in plastic leeching into my brain tho?

Eno Sarris: You ever microwave? That gets a lot hotter than the sous vide.

Comment From Bruce
Same price, would you keep Encarnacion or Bautista next year?

Eno Sarris: Ed younger, more parrot.

Comment From HolySmokes!
Who is more baseball: Kershaw or Trout?

Eno Sarris: Trout’s daily.

Comment From Thomas
Thoughts on Aaron Nola’s ceiling? Do you see him more as a potential ace or middle of the rotation type?

Eno Sarris: Number two, with that velocity. I do like his mix though. And command.

Comment From ctw
Grabbed yelich off the wire in a 10-team keep 8 (triple slash). How excited should I be? Will I be able to keep him over guys like Archer/Betances/W.Davis? (it’s a saves&holds league)

Eno Sarris: No, not yet.

Comment From Merv Throneberry
The fact that Snell and Berrios (and Urias) aren’t up is partially a function of how great they might be, as in saving $ by bringing them to the majors in June?

Eno Sarris: I guess. Maybe the teams would talk about readiness, but Berrios is ready. That sucks for Twins fans. Should have been up a while back.

Comment From Guest
Would you ever ask me why my heart is so disguised? I just can’t live a lie anymore; I would rather hurt myself than to ever make you cry. Is there anything left to say but “goodbye”?

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
BUT IT DO GO DOWN!

Comment From L. Scott
Yeah in 2007 Tom Glavine gave up 7 runs in the 1st inning to a bad Marlins team in the last game of the season where the Mets just had to win to get in.

Comment From Spuds MacKenzie
Who are the starters for AZ next year at 2b and 3b?

Eno Sarris: Long term I like Drury (2b), Lamb (3b), Owings (ss), and I actually think a healthy Owings will make this happen next spring. Hill and Ahmed backups until they drop Hill.

Comment From JR
How many leagues are you in and how many are you going to win?

Eno Sarris: 15. Not my best year but I should win three or four, if lucky, five.

Comment From Farva
If Stroman is up and I have to move him out of the DL slot…drop Leake/Corbin? Keeper league…I could keep any of the 3 as well but this year is what matters….. in 1st place.

Eno Sarris: Wait as long as possible, but Corbin is the dropper if your hand is forced.

Comment From Bruce
Adam Jones and Carlos Gomez both fall to 4th round next year?

Eno Sarris: Yes. Wouldn’t you rather have Pollock, for example? Puig versus those guys will be a fun debate.

Comment From Shawn
What is your favorite condiment? Please don’t say mayo…

Eno Sarris: Thick dirty mustard with the seeds in it.

Comment From Kent
Does Trumbo slot in at 1B next year for the Mariners? He’s hitting the tit$ off the ball.

Eno Sarris: Depends on what their new GM is looking for. He’s also sitting against a lot of righties.

Comment From Miggy Azalea
How is 15 baseball leagues enjoyable!? I get pissed off when I’m in more than 1 football league

Eno Sarris: Gonna have to dial it down. Was part of my job description.

Comment From Guest
What’s a good way to get stated in baseball analysis? Posting in the community research section? Has that ever lead to a more involved role in the baseball field?

Eno Sarris: Plenty of our writers have started in Community section, and some of our writers work in baseball. Trick is probably showing enough to get people interested and having more in case you get an interview.

Comment From Sam Adams
Pumpking or Warlock?

Eno Sarris: Neither

Comment From Dr. Hoist
Is McCullers worth keeping at $5? $10? (10 teamer)

Eno Sarris: For sure at five. I’d need to know more about the league to go to ten.

Comment From Luke
Conforto has to be the starting left fielder next year right? Cuddyer platoons with Duda, maybe?

Eno Sarris: I can’t see dialing his playing time back down, no.

Comment From Guest
MAYO

Eno Sarris: I don’t hate on Mayo, but no.

Comment From Jack
CSeager of Javy Baez rest of year?

Eno Sarris: Seager because is Baez really any more sure for playing time?

Comment From Guest
Toey Vottoe

Comment From Jelly Jeans
Is there any reason you can think of that the Mariners have been able to develop three serviceable shortstops recently but no outfielders?

Eno Sarris: Seem to be bad at developing power, may have something to do with the park.

Comment From Kris
you should win an auction to be a batboy and get into players heads talking about spin rate and such

Eno Sarris: Wait I do that already.

Comment From Zonk
Has any team or GM hit on the right philosophy in building a bullpen? What do you think is the best way to do it, given the performance volatility?

Eno Sarris: Here’s something weird. I still like the Dodgers bullpen, at least how it was built — convert position guys, find guys with interesting pitches, move starters in to the bullpen, don’t spend much. Sabean has done a good job identifying guys worth multi-year deals, but I’ve still looked at some of those deals and been surprised. I like what the Astros did, it’s like a mini Sabean — buy a couple steady vets for $15/3years, then fill in with big velocity youngsters like Fields.

Comment From marc
Some PA IPA recommendations??

Eno Sarris: Is that Pennsylvania? Other than Nugget Nectar, I love DirtWolf and HopRanch from Victory. I think you need to have a Tired Hands IPA too. Voodoo maybe?

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
If you had to work for another Graphs (after Fan & Beer), what would it be? For me? StockGraphs, NachoGraphs, & PizzaGraphs

Eno Sarris: SandwichGraphs for sure

Comment From Kris
Do you find it surprising that so many players don’t know the figures you ask them about? Especially when they express interest

Eno Sarris: Heaney was surprising but not. He stopped me from leaving and asked about shit. that means it’s not available to him through work. And he needs to do it on his own. I know guys like Bauer do that on their own too. If I was the pitching coach, I’d be finding a way to talk to these guys to see if they were interested, and then start talking to them. I’d have all that information at my fingertips, I’d be plugged in, and it would inform the way I talk to them anyway.

Comment From Bruce
I dont microwave in plastic.

Eno Sarris: Not even the hard plastic that says microwave safe? Well, I don’t know what to tell you. I sous vide, but do so rarely, and it’s TASTY. Eggs, flank steak, they’re amazing.

Comment From Guest
Neshaminy Creek near Philly makes some good hoppy beers as well!

Comment From Batboys are definitely contributed by the home team. Brad Penny got in trouble once for playing a prank on one from his former team when he was visiting.
Milk challenge for the batboy, he puked all over the place.

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
I can feel your energy from two planets away

Comment From Kris
But not in the middle of a game! Like as they’re walking into the box. “Man does that dude have a nuts slider” as you hand him the bat

Eno Sarris: Hah.

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
Could I team feasibly build a ballpark that had 500′ fences? Conversely, could they build one that had 150′ fences? Which would be a bigger home field advantage for a team: load up on pitching, fielding, or mashers?

Eno Sarris: Man. With the way teams are f’ing with their fences, I think it would be allowable at first, but then the commish office would do something about it. Or they’d find a way to stop it right away. This is one big old boy’s network, that would make too many waves.

Eno Sarris:

Comment From Person
Is jackie bradley for real?

Eno Sarris: Empty OBP with a glove if you ask me.

Comment From kevinthecomic
stroman or nola, ros, 6×6 redraft?

Eno Sarris: Nola probably gets one more start than Stroman, so I’ll take Stroman.

Comment From Miggy Azalea
I just want to point out that ESPN projected Carlos Gomez for 40 SB pre-season lololololol

Eno Sarris: Could have gotten close without injury, but man do stolen bases age terribly. Buy your speed young!

Comment From Person
So Bradley not worth a pick up in a deep dynasty league?

Eno Sarris: Deep OBP Dynasty? then yes

Comment From DDSP
Any chance in heck mlb makes carter capps change his delivery next year?

Eno Sarris: Doubt it’s on their radar.

Comment From R. Rheichenberger
Better slider: Gray or Archer?

Eno Sarris: Archer. Gray’s wouldn’t be as good if he threw it as much as Archer does.

Comment From Neal
With the information not being available to players, is this more of coaching staffs generally being more “old school”? Or is it the idea that if players know the information it will get into their head too much?

Eno Sarris: Lots of coaches are former players, which firmly makes them old school. The second thing is also a concern. But if you’re practicing, why not practice correctly? You don’t have to think about spin rates when you’re on the mound. You shouldn’t. If you are, you need to do some relaxation and breathing exercises.

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
My father-in-law has been in this fantasy baseball league for]years and I joined for the first time this year. I’m in 2nd and he’s shuffling along in last (he’s won it most years.) It feels GREAT!

Comment From Joe
Argument against your separation argument for Kershaw on the podcast: How many of those guys are bankable?

Eno Sarris: That is worth something. How much is it worth? The bats in the first round have that same bankable argument and less injury concern, too.

Comment From HolySmokes!
GraphGraphs. More Meta the LeoDecap could ever dream of inside his dreams.

Eno Sarris: mind blown

Eno Sarris: “The rate at which graphs are being used in blogs postings is through the roof! Here’s a graph”

Comment From L. Scott
I’m crossing my fingers hoping Kyle Schwarber’s MRI results are clean today.

Eno Sarris: Yes it would suck if the doctor dropped ketchup on them.

Eno Sarris: GOD WHAT A DAD JOKE

Comment From Robbie Ray
Hmm… maybe I DO suck…. Oh… God…

Eno Sarris: LIsten I don’t want to tell you I told you so, especially in case we talk some day.

Comment From Eddie Brock
Fences- 250ft is the minimum

Eno Sarris: Valuable Information. That’s super low still.

Comment From Weekly Eovaldi Question
Weekly Eovaldi Question

Eno Sarris: I’m beginning to believe. He’s using the splitter like Richards uses his slider, and that’s great.

Comment From Ehhh
At least the doc won’t drop mayo.

Comment From A Garbonzo
Damn I thought Robbie Ray was gonna turn into a werewolf

Comment From STEHPNE PICSOTYT
HEYE I WANT TO 2 SSTANFROD ENO…LOL HOW AM I 2 U

Eno Sarris: up and down interluder, but I sense some anger

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
Do you think we ever see a stats-oriented person in a coaches uniform? Not a player, I mean a guy that’s NOT a former player, works in the front office, and gets a shot to be a bench coach, manager, etc.? Obviously not a GM; wears a uni

Eno Sarris: Would love it. Would be great if they were skinny as heck too. Oh how delicious the visuals would be, how narrow the players’ eyes. I think you’d need a player first. A Sam Fuld or John Baker type. There are smart ex-players that can do it and be first.

Comment From Bruce
Did Ventura fix something, or is it just a recent sample size issue

Eno Sarris: Well hello, the stuff is a little harder… and he’s using the four-seam less since he came up. I think the hardest thing for a hard thrower to learn sometimes is that even the hardest fastball is better if it’s a surprise, especially if it’s straight and lacks deception.

Comment From marc
You interviewed Kang Right? What would a couple encore questions to him look like?

Eno Sarris: I dunno man, the interpreter ruins everything, gives him too much of a chance to smile and not really answer the question. He didn’t seem to really want to talk about the leg kick, or the pull/oppo splits… I’ll give it another shot of course, but unsure how much better I’ll do.

Comment From tom
personally if we’re talking wacky fences i won’t be satisfied until some crazy team tries to recreate the polo grounds

Eno Sarris: The inside the park home runs would be fun to watch. Would we have people sitting out there too?

Comment From Johnny5Alive
If Clint hurdle actually played kang all season, would they be in first place?

Eno Sarris: Unsure at shortstop, but at third? Maybe.

Comment From Bart
Would you drop Bauer for Kelly or Medlien?

Eno Sarris: Medlen

Comment From Dad
Hi, Eno. This question was posed to Paul yesterday and he didn’t know the answer. I am curious as well:
Would a hitter who gets a doink single through the right side off a bad pitcher that scores two runs because the RF has a weak arm see more of an uptick in his WAR than a hitter who hits a line drive single off the top of the wall to score one run?

Eno Sarris: No, WAR is not controlled for quality of opposition or defender.

Comment From "Young Man" auf Deutsch
The recent piece on Jungmann was pretty wet-blankety. I’m not sure I care about his prospect pedigree comps. What’s your take?

Eno Sarris: The curve is legit, he lacks another non-fastball, his command departs at times, but the fastball-curve combo is a heck of a place to start, especially with a sinker to go to for grounders in certain situations. I think he’s a major league starter. I doubt he’s a 1/2, maybe not even a three.

Comment From Johnny5Alive
Velasquez get back in rotation next year?

Eno Sarris: I love his stuff. By movement and velocity, all of his pitches have the chance to be elite. He’s the guy where I would ignore comps and age and projections. I believe in him.

Comment From Daniel
Could more balls in play explain a higher BABIP? Saw somebody talking about this with this idea: BABIP is somewhat related to luck. More BIP means more luck can be introduced. This was in mention about Cueto striking out less guys and allowing more contact since going to KC (agnostic of KC’s defense).

Eno Sarris: Dunno if this idea works in a large sample size — theoretically, more sample means more regression to the mean as well.

Comment From Joe
Medlen, AWood, Matz, or Stroman ROS?

Eno Sarris: Matz and Medlen and Stroman ahead of Wood. Each limited innings for one reason or another, so details about schedule probably matter.

Eno Sarris:

Eno Sarris: (I’m predisposed to picking up Matz there though)

Comment From BB
Pick one or two to stream tomorrow: Roark vATL, Hutchison vBAL, Kelly vPHI, Olmos @OAK

Eno Sarris: Roark if one. Kelly if two. Opponents matter there.

Comment From Tazmaniac
Tazawa’s second half swoon has my finger itchy on the drop. Exercise patience?

Eno Sarris: I keep him.

Comment From Johnny5Alive
Kyle Davies any upside?

Eno Sarris: Didn’t really like what I saw in the PFx, haven’t watched start yet. Looked like a one-pitch (change) pitcher with bad velo.

Comment From Joe
I recall that this year’s first round hitters were especially risky: McCutchen lower body discomfort, Goldy return from injury, Edwin back issues, Rendon injury, Miggy coming off injury, Stanton always injured, Abreu never done it before, Rizzo ditto, …. This year, I slotted Kershaw behind Trout because I didn’t feel like those hitters were a guarantee.

Eno Sarris: Could be true. Doubt that I feel that way about next year’s first round hitters, since so much youth just blew up the game.

Comment From Dr. Zizmor
Hey Eno — how about the timeliness of that Moss piece right after a walk-off. Lol, amazing. Anyhow, his points on pitch-guessing were really intriguing. In this age of x-mov, z-mov and what have you, how can we quanitifyyfyb oh OHIH oHGOd GOdOH NONOOGUBIGbiudfbfbk I”M A WEHREEFWORLF njfjks

Comment From Duuuuuuuuuuddaaaaaaa
Do you think Duda will be his normal self when he comes off the DL?

Eno Sarris: sure

Comment From Reginald Denton III
Who’s your NL Cy Young winner right now, and who do you think wins it?

Eno Sarris: Greinke and Greinke. Kershaw has his arguments but the things that actually happened, and didn’t happen theoretically, favor Greinke. (This also makes the Dodgers my favorite for all of the postseason because wow that’s a 1-2).

Comment From Matt Fox
With perkins out for the twins upcoming road trip, do you expect him to pitch again this season?

Eno Sarris: Man he keeps talking about feeling better, but the team keeps falling further. I think he pitches still. Twins one game out of the playoff race and Berrios is going home at the end of the season SHAKING MY DAMN HEAD

Comment From Gordo
Dilson Herrera: post-hype sleeper next year or a guy that needs more seasoning? He’s been absolutely crushing AAA, but hasn’t been very impressive in his MLB stints. Do you think he takes the 2B job if Murphy walks?

Eno Sarris: Flores to second IMO. Dilson as backup, and not out of the picture completely, but Flores is no shortstop on my team.

Comment From Beldar
Cut Chen or Joe Ross in a points league?

Eno Sarris: Chen

Comment From Haymaker
Kris Bryant has to have thrust himself back to the top of the class for NL ROY, right? Also, I’m going to GABF…have a few newish brewery recs to look for while I’m there?

Eno Sarris: Gotta have Rare Barrel, Sainte Adairius, Cellarmaker, Fieldwork if you can. Those are the ones from my neck uv da woods.

Comment From Joe
Correa is a first rounder next year?

Eno Sarris: Haven’t made the list, but he’s my number one shortstop so yeah.

Comment From Ehhh
Which player would benefit the most from being a werewolf?

Eno Sarris: A slugger with decent plate discipline but lacking in power? Like if Michael Brantley could turn into a werewolf, maybe he could be Troutian.

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
If Bumgarner went into FA this offseason, how much extra money does he make because of his bat? AL team offers X, NL team offers X+

Eno Sarris: Been worth three wins over six years, which covers the fact that he’s been worth 2.4 the last two and .6 the rest. I might be comfortable offering him another three mill a year for his bat. The samples are so tiny, and it’s all about home runs…

Comment From DoomTreeBangerang
Did you have Fieldworks IIIPA…. it is the first beer by them that I have been disappointed with, but that is only because IIIPA is such a finicky style– soo sweet to make sooo strong….also, Live to Dude, but Love to Lude.

Eno Sarris: I had a coconut one I didn’t like, don’t know if that’s the same one. But almost everything else has been bang on.

Comment From Eric Weinstein
I completely understand teams holding down position players for service time reasons, but don’t you think it’s a little too cute for pitchers? It seems like a month of Berrios/Urias/Glasnow in a playoff race should be worth the service time/arb costs given the uncertainty surrounding pitching health. What say you?

Eno Sarris: Said so on the podcast recently. You can manipulate a pitcher’s service time without anyone noticing. “we have to limit his innings so he’s going to go down around the all star game” and a phantom DL stint could make up for an entire September…

Comment From Joe
Yahoo player rater (overall): Greinke (1), Kershaw (3), Arrieta (5). Was 1 4, 5 with the last two flipped yesterday.

Eno Sarris: There’s no question that pitchers are as valuable as hitters by the end of the day, they control half the stats. The question is about projectability (hitter stats are stickier year to year, pitchers more volatile) and injury (pitchers get injured more and stay injured longer).

Comment From The Cincinnati Kid
FanFanGraphs. My Votto love would grade 80 PV

Comment From Don
Traded Correa for Richards a week after he was called up. Obvs mistake in hindsight, but what lesson should I learn for the future? People tend to overvalue prospects and rookies tend to disappoint.

Eno Sarris: Treat top ten prospects differently.

Eno Sarris: They are a completely different breed, especially hitters. Not saying you should treat them as sure things, but when they do hit, they are stars, and stars run fantasy.

Comment From dave
rate the callus! would you take Olivera or Baez ros and future? Any others you like more?

Eno Sarris: Olivera because playing time.

Comment From Sal
Eno! Rough year finds me just missing playoffs and instead competing for the #1 pick in next year’s draft via winning the loser’s bracket.

14 team, keep 4 with keeper value based on last year’s draft round plus inflation. If I can grab #1 pick I don’t need to keep Miggy bc I can redraft him and would instead keep Dickerson (15th), Soler (15th), Stroman (20th) and likely one of deGrom (5th), D. Peralta (20th) or Vogt (20th). Of those 3 who do you prefer?

Eno Sarris: deGrom is so tempting, and Peralta and Vogt ceilings not that exciting. I know ti’s the fifth round but deGrom is so sexy.

Comment From President Trump
FanGraphsFanGraphs – graphs of how my productivity collapses every Thursday afternoon

Comment From oh, I dont eno…
Would you rather have Carlos Gonzalez or Johnathan Lucroy in a dynasty?

Eno Sarris: CarGo but for trade value, and quickly

Comment From Ehhh
Which pitcher would benefit the most from being a werewolf?

Eno Sarris: Aaron Nola. Imagine him with 96 mph gas.

Comment From Joe
First round hitters in top 25: Trout (10), Altuve (20)

Eno Sarris: Wait but it’s not like you drafted Arrieta or Greinke in the first round either.

Comment From Joe
And Goldy (4)

Eno Sarris: So we have three first round hitters that ended up in the top 20. And two first round pitchers, one did, one didnt’?

Comment From Joe
Just sayin Kershaw is valuable in first and hitters are not always stable.

Eno Sarris: There are lots of people that agree with you. I find pitchers in the middle and bottom all the time that close the gap quickly and would rather spend on hitters.

Comment From This Guy Eno
Hey This Guy Eno have you gotten a look at the Braves’ Vizcaino? I like him because his name makes him sound like a knock-off Aroldis Chapman.

Eno Sarris: Got great stuff if he can keep the arm on.

Comment From Johnny5Alive
Does degrom condition between innings? His hair always looks good, never gets sweaty. How is this possible?

Eno Sarris: These things we can ponder. He doesn’t seem very sweaty. Does that mean his velocity is low effort?

Comment From Joe
There were 2 first round pitchers that are still first round by value: Kershaw (3), Scherzer (13).

Eno Sarris: And the guys I picked as my aces are first rounders by value and didn’t cost first round prices.

Comment From Ehhh
Is degrom the anti buchholz with the hair?

Eno Sarris: Crawford in the conversation.

Eno Sarris: Okay, I put off some… morning things… that I normally do before the chat lol. So I have to go! It’s been fun!

Comment From Joe
Thanks Eno!