Typical arrogant responses from Dave. There are rational defenses of the Wells trade from the Angels’ perspective, but when you’ve already made up your mind, you dismiss them as not rational. Kind of a self-fulfilling declaration there.
*typical arrogant responses from dave*- If you feel that Dave is always arrogant and unwilling to change his stubborn mind (you are entitled to your own opinion), why come to a Dave Cameron chat? Seems like a recipe for disappointment.
Dave is not always wrong, but when he is, he tends to get very arrogant and condescending to those who disagree. Remember the organization ranking fiasco?
I enjoy reading anything I can about baseball even if it’s written by arrogent condescending people who are sometimes wrong.
Dave may be right about this trade. We’ll find out over the next 4 years. To say that there is no rational defense of the trade is wrong, arrogant and condescending.
I have to agree with DrGiants. Dave can be extremely stubborn, and seems to have an inferiority complex or something, that prevents him from really connecting in healthy discussions.
Google run scoring matrix. Should find it. It varies very slightly, so you’ll see different versions that have different year spans.
Matt C
15 years ago
I have a question that I’ve been meaning to ask but I always seem to miss the chats. Say player A and Player B both finish the year with a .350 wOBA but player A got there by hitting the exact same at home as he did on the road but player B got there by hitting .375 at home and .325 at home. Assuming defense and everything else is the exact same are they both equally valuable to their teams since they ended up with the same numbers or is Player A more valuable because their is no drastic split?
The general rule is that the more volatile player is slightly more valuable, given the same rates. However, you’re citing Home/Road splits over the course of 1 season. Whenever you have a stat that you know doesn’t have enough sample size, you have to regress it. The question is… by how much?
If you have a guy who bats .600 on Wednesdays, and .100 on Fridays FOR AN ENTIRE YEAR, you still can’t assume anything about his true talent on Wednesdays and Fridays, because frankly, it’s ridiculous to think he is better or worse depending on the day of the week.
Home/Road is something that has (I am guessing) a decent correlation in hitters, so you’d have to regress his home .375 wOBA with something like 1000-1500 PA. (Go to thebookblog and ask Tango. He’s is the jedi master of that stuff.) This just simply means you average them together. 1500 PAs of average wOBA with his 700 PAs of .375 wOBA. Then you have your best guess at what his true home wOBA is.
I realize now this doesn’t really have much to do with your original question… Basically they are the same player.
Typical arrogant responses from Dave. There are rational defenses of the Wells trade from the Angels’ perspective, but when you’ve already made up your mind, you dismiss them as not rational. Kind of a self-fulfilling declaration there.
Please enlighten us on these “rational defenses”? We’re all waiting
*typical arrogant responses from dave*- If you feel that Dave is always arrogant and unwilling to change his stubborn mind (you are entitled to your own opinion), why come to a Dave Cameron chat? Seems like a recipe for disappointment.
Dave is not always wrong, but when he is, he tends to get very arrogant and condescending to those who disagree. Remember the organization ranking fiasco?
I enjoy reading anything I can about baseball even if it’s written by arrogent condescending people who are sometimes wrong.
Dave may be right about this trade. We’ll find out over the next 4 years. To say that there is no rational defense of the trade is wrong, arrogant and condescending.
“Remember the organization ranking fiasco?”
No, and I think I speak for all of us when I say that. What organization ranking fiasco? Could you please jog our collective memory?
Hahahaha. Um, google #6org.
I have to agree with DrGiants. Dave can be extremely stubborn, and seems to have an inferiority complex or something, that prevents him from really connecting in healthy discussions.
Hahaha that must be nice for Dave though, that there are people that don’t know about 6org! A new generation of sabreametricicicians.
Pujols is not the best player that the Cardinals franchise has ever had. I’m guessing that’s not what you meant though.
He isn’t?
http://www.fangraphs.com/graphsw.aspx?playerid2=1177&playerid3=1009405&playerid4=&playerid5=
Also see: http://www.fangraphs.com/graphsw.aspx?playerid2=1177&playerid3=1009405&playerid4=1006030&playerid5=
I would like info on what website to go to to find out the national league avg for scoring runner from 3rd less 2 outs
Google run scoring matrix. Should find it. It varies very slightly, so you’ll see different versions that have different year spans.
I have a question that I’ve been meaning to ask but I always seem to miss the chats. Say player A and Player B both finish the year with a .350 wOBA but player A got there by hitting the exact same at home as he did on the road but player B got there by hitting .375 at home and .325 at home. Assuming defense and everything else is the exact same are they both equally valuable to their teams since they ended up with the same numbers or is Player A more valuable because their is no drastic split?
The general rule is that the more volatile player is slightly more valuable, given the same rates. However, you’re citing Home/Road splits over the course of 1 season. Whenever you have a stat that you know doesn’t have enough sample size, you have to regress it. The question is… by how much?
If you have a guy who bats .600 on Wednesdays, and .100 on Fridays FOR AN ENTIRE YEAR, you still can’t assume anything about his true talent on Wednesdays and Fridays, because frankly, it’s ridiculous to think he is better or worse depending on the day of the week.
Home/Road is something that has (I am guessing) a decent correlation in hitters, so you’d have to regress his home .375 wOBA with something like 1000-1500 PA. (Go to thebookblog and ask Tango. He’s is the jedi master of that stuff.) This just simply means you average them together. 1500 PAs of average wOBA with his 700 PAs of .375 wOBA. Then you have your best guess at what his true home wOBA is.
I realize now this doesn’t really have much to do with your original question… Basically they are the same player.