FanGraphs Crowd: The Top 55 Free Agents

October 29, 2014

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series — which competition, barring some unforeseen circumstance, is likely to end today. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs once again facilitated this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2014-15 free-agent market.

Below are the results of same. For each player, respondents provided estimates of the years and dollars he’s likely to receive. Also, in such cases as a player is a candidate to receive a qualifying offer from his club, readers predicted whether he would or not — and whether, having received a qualifying offer, that player would accept it. Answers to other questions — regarding options, for example — also appear below.

In terms of how the projected contract values below are likely to relate to reality, a comparison between last year’s crowdsourced estimates and the actual contracts received reveals that the crowd typically missed by 37% on overall contract value and is most likely to underestimate the overall contract figures of the most high-profile free agents. It’s not unreasonable, in other words, to expect that Hanley Ramirez will receive more than the 5 years and $90 million he’s projected to receive. Of note, however, is that most of last year’s top free agents were hitters, while Max Scherzer and Jon Lester are the most formidable names among this year’s free-agent class. Whether this same principle of underestimating the contracts received by top free agents applies to pitchers, as well — for whom length of contract is an issue, given the possibility of injury — is a question that remains.

Note that players are ranked in terms of total median projected contract value. A spreadsheet containing the results is available here. Statistics are from 2014. Offensive and defensive value (denoted as Off and Def, respectively) are expressed relative to league average. Defensive value accounts both for defensive runs and positional adjustment. One can read more about both metrics here.

#1 Max Scherzer (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
29	220.1	10.29	2.57	36.7 %	3.15	2.85	3.12	5.3	5.6

Median Years: 7
Median AAV: $24 million
Total: 7 years, $168 million

Average Years: 6.5
Average AAV: $23.6 million
Total: 6.5 years, $153.8 million

Will the Tigers extend Scherzer a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 99%. No: 1%.

Will Scherzer accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 99%. Yes: 1%.

#2 Jon Lester (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
30	219.2	9.01	1.97	42.4 %	2.46	2.80	3.10	5.8	6.1

Median Years: 6
Median AAV: $22 million
Total: 6 years, $132 million

Average Years: 6.0
Average AAV: $21.5 million
Total: 6.0 years, $128.1 million

What are the chances Lester is re-signed by the Red Sox, with which franchise he spent the majority of his career, do you think?
Median guess: 30%.

#3 Hanley Ramirez (SS)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
30	512	10.9 %	16.4 %	.283	.369	.448	.362	135	21.8	-6.1	3.4

Median Years: 5
Median AAV: $18 million
Total: 5 years, $90 million

Average Years: 5.0
Average AAV: $17.5 million
Total: 5.0 years, $86.9 million

Will the Dodgers extend Ramirez a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 97%. No: 3%.

Will Ramirez accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 98%. Yes: 2%.

#4 James Shields (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
32	227.0	7.14	1.74	45.2 %	3.21	3.59	3.56	3.9	3.7

Median Years: 5
Median AAV: $18 million
Total: 5 years, $90 million

Average Years: 4.7
Average AAV: $18.3 million
Total: 4.7 years,$86.0 million

Will the Royals extend Shields a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 98%. No: 2%.

Will Shields accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 99%. Yes: 1%.

#5 Pablo Sandoval (3B)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
27	638	6.1 %	13.3 %	.279	.324	.415	.323	111	3.3	5.3	3.0

Median Years: 5
Median AAV: $16 million
Total: 5 years, $80 million

Average Years: 5.0
Average AAV: $15.9 million
Total: 5.0 years, $79.0 million

Will the Giants extend Sandoval a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 96%. No: 4%.

Will Sandoval accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 96%. Yes: 4%.

There are multiple third-base free-agent options this offseason. Which of the following will record the highest WAR between now and his retirement?
Pablo Sandoval: 48%.
Hanley Ramirez: 34%.
Chase Headley: 18%.

#6 Russell Martin (C)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
31	460	12.8 %	17.0 %	.290	.402	.430	.370	140	19.4	14.9	5.3

Median Years: 4
Median AAV: $14 million
Total: 4 years, $56 million

Average Years: 3.6
Average AAV: $14.0 million
Total: 3.6 years, $51.0 million

Will Pittsburgh extend Martin a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 86%. No: 14%.

Will Martin accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 92%. Yes: 8%.

#7 Chase Headley (3B)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
30	531	9.6 %	23.0 %	.243	.328	.372	.316	103	2.1	21.6	4.4

Median Years: 4
Median AAV: $14 million
Total: 4 years, $56 million

Average Years: 3.7
Average AAV: $13.8 million
Total: 3.7 years, $50.8 million

Headley is the same age as Hanley Ramirez and plays (mostly) the same position and projected to record a better WAR per 600 plate appearance than Ramirez in 2015. What’s the probability he receives a larger contract than Ramirez?
Median Guess: 10%.

#8 Melky Cabrera (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
29	621	6.9 %	10.8 %	.301	.351	.458	.354	125	16.0	-12.1	2.6

Median Years: 4
Median AAV: $13 million
Total: 4 years, $52 million

Average Years: 3.5
Average AAV: $13.4 million
Total: 3.5 years, $47.3 million

It’s been reported that the Blue Jays plan to extend a qualifying offer (worth about $15.3M) to Cabrera. Will he accept it?
No: 76%. Yes: 24%.

#9 Victor Martinez (C/DH)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
35	641	10.9 %	6.6 %	.335	.409	.565	.411	166	40.7	-21.2	4.4

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $15 million
Total: 3 years, $45 million

Average Years: 3.2
Average AAV: $15.7 million
Total: 3.2 years, $49.4 million

Will the Tigers extend Martinez a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 98%. No: 2%.

Will Martinez accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 90%. Yes: 10%.

#10 Nelson Cruz (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
33	678	8.1 %	20.6 %	.271	.333	.525	.370	137	24.6	-11.2	3.9

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $15 million
Total: 3 years, $45 million

Average Years: 3.0
Average AAV: $14.8 million
Total: 3.0 years, $44.9 million

Will the Orioles extend Cruz a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 92%. No: 8%.

Will Cruz accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 87%. Yes: 13%.

#11 Ervin Santana (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
31	196.0	8.22	2.89	42.7 %	3.95	3.39	3.47	1.8	2.8

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $13 million
Total: 3 years, $39 million

Average Years: 3.2
Average AAV: $13.5 million
Total: 3.2 years, $43.6 million

Will the Atlanta Baseball Club extend Santana a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 70%. No: 30%.

Will Santana accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 78%. Yes: 22%.

#12 Francisco Liriano (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
30	162.1	9.70	4.49	54.4 %	3.38	3.59	3.40	2.0	1.6

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $12 million
Total: 3 years, $36 million

Average Years: 3.2
Average AAV: $12.9 million
Total: 3.2 years, $40.8 million

Will the Pirates extend Liriano a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
No: 61%. Yes: 39%.

Will Liriano accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
No: 67%. Yes: 33%.

#13 Brandon McCarthy (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
30	200.0	7.88	1.49	52.6 %	4.05	3.55	2.87	1.7	3.0

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $12 million
Total: 3 years, $36 million

Average Years: 3.1
Average AAV: $12.5 million
Total: 3.1 years, $38.3 million

#14 Nick Markakis (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
30	710	8.7 %	11.8 %	.276	.342	.386	.325	106	2.1	-2.5	2.5

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $11 million
Total: 3 years, $33 million

Average Years: 3.4
Average AAV: $11.8 million
Total: 3.4 years, $39.8 million

Markakis and the Orioles have a $17.5M mutual option for 2015 with a $2.0M buyout. What will happen?
Markakis Exercises, Orioles Decline: 73%.
Both Decline: 18%.
Orioles Exercise, Markakis Declines: 5%.
Both Exercise: 4%.

#15 Asdrubal Cabrera (SS)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
28	616	8.0 %	17.5 %	.241	.307	.387	.308	97	0.7	-4.1	1.8

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $11 million
Total: 3 years, $33 million

Average Years: 3.2
Average AAV: $11.2 million
Total: 3.2 years, $35.2 million

At what position will Cabrera be utilized?
Predominantly SS: 40%.
Both SS and 2B: 31%.
Predominantly 2B: 29%.

#16 Colby Rasmus (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
27	376	7.7 %	33.0 %	.225	.287	.448	.321	103	2.2	-8.8	0.6

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 3 years, $30 million

Average Years: 2.6
Average AAV: $10.0 million
Total: 2.6 years, $25.6 million

#17 David Robertson (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
29	64.1	13.43	3.22	44.2 %	3.08	2.68	2.13	1.5	1.7

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 3 years, $30 million

Average Years: 3.2
Average AAV: $10.7 million
Total: 3.2 years, $34.1 million

#18 Jed Lowrie (SS)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
30	566	9.0 %	14.0 %	.249	.321	.355	.300	93	-7.5	6.0	1.9

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 3 years, $30 million

Average Years: 2.7
Average AAV: $9.6 million
Total: 2.7 years, $25.6 million

#19 Jason Hammel (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
31	176.1	8.06	2.25	39.7 %	3.47	3.92	3.57	3.1	1.7

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $9 million
Total: 3 years, $27 million

Average Years: 2.6
Average AAV: $9.6 million
Total: 2.6 years, $24.8 million

#20 Jake Peavy (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
33	202.2	7.02	2.80	38.5 %	3.73	4.11	4.18	2.7	1.9

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $12 million
Total: 2 years, $24 million

Average Years: 2.4
Average AAV: $12.5 million
Total: 2.4 years, $29.4 million

#21 Andrew Miller (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
29	62.1	14.87	2.45	46.9 %	2.02	1.51	1.58	2.0	2.3

Median Years: 3
Median AAV: $8 million
Total: 3 years, $24 million

Average Years: 3.1
Average AAV: $8.4 million
Total: 3.1 years, $26.0 million

Not for nothing, will Andrew Miller be signed as a closer?
No: 62%. Yes: 38%.

#22 Aramis Ramirez (3B)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
36	531	4.0 %	14.1 %	.285	.330	.427	.334	109	2.3	1.3	2.1

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 2 years, $20 million

Average Years: 2.0
Average AAV: $12.4 million
Total: 2.0 years, $24.6 million

Ramirez and the Brewers have a $14.0M mutual option for 2015 with a $4.0M buyout. What will happen?
Both Decline, But Ramirez Signs Two-Year Deal: 31%.
Brewers Exercise, Ramirez Declines: 28%.
Both Exercise: 22%.
Ramirez Exercises, Brewers Decline: 16%.
Both Decline: 3%.

#23 Adam LaRoche (1B)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
34	586	14.0 %	18.4 %	.259	.362	.455	.356	127	12.5	-15.4	1.6

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 2 years, $20 million

Average Years: 2.1
Average AAV: $10.8 million
Total: 2.1 years, $22.8 million

#24 Alex Rios (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
33	521	4.4 %	17.9 %	.280	.311	.398	.309	92	-4.4	-10.9	0.2

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 2 years, $20 million

Average Years: 2.0
Average AAV: $9.6 million
Total: 2.0 years, $18.9 million

The Rangers hold a $13.5M option (with a $1M buyout) on Rios’s contract. Will they exercise it?
No: 91%. Yes: 9%.

#25 Billy Butler (1B/DH)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
28	603	6.8 %	15.9 %	.271	.323	.379	.311	97	-7.5	-14.5	-0.3

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $9 million
Total: 2 years, $18 million

Average Years: 2.5
Average AAV: $9.4 million
Total: 2.5 years, $23.3 million

The Royals hold a $12.5M option (with a $1M buyout) on Butler for 2015. Will they exercise it?
No: 67%. Yes: 33%.

#26 Michael Cuddyer (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
35	205	6.8 %	14.6 %	.332	.376	.579	.414	151	12.9	-5.2	1.5

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $9 million
Total: 2 years, $18 million

Average Years: 1.8
Average AAV: $9.3 million
Total: 1.8 years, $16.5 million

#27 Edinson Volquez (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
30	192.2	6.54	3.32	50.4 %	3.04	4.15	4.20	3.0	0.7

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $8 million
Total: 2 years, $16 million

Average Years: 2.0
Average AAV: $8.4 million
Total: 2.0 years, $16.8 million

#28 Hiroki Kuroda (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
39	199.0	6.60	1.58	46.9 %	3.71	3.60	3.54	2.8	3.5

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $15 million
Total: 1 year, $15 million

Average Years: 1.2
Average AAV: $14.6 million
Total: 1.2 years, $17.6 million

Will the Yankees extend Kuroda a qualifying offer (about $15.3M)?
Yes: 82%. No: 18%.

Will Kuroda accept the qualifying offer, if extended one?
Yes: 60%. No: 40%.

#29 Nori Aoki (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
32	549	7.8 %	8.9 %	.285	.349	.360	.320	104	-7.7	0.2	1.1

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $7 million
Total: 2 years, $14 million

Average Years: 2.5
Average AAV: $7.4 million
Total: 2.5 years, $18.3 million

Were you aware that Aoki made so little (just $4.0M plus incentives over three years) from his first MLB contract?
Yes: 35%. No: 38%. No, that’s shocking: 27%.

#30 Rafael Soriano (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
34	62.0	8.56	2.76	31.6 %	3.19	3.08	3.92	0.7	0.7

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $7 million
Total: 2 years, $14 million

Average Years: 1.8
Average AAV: $7.5 million
Total: 1.8 years, $13.8 million

The Nationals hold a $14M option on Soriano’s contract for 2015. Will they exercise it?
No: 95%. Yes: 5%.

#31 Sergio Romo (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
31	58.0	9.16	1.86	36.8 %	3.72	3.94	3.40	0.1	-0.3

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $6 million
Total: 2 years, $12 million

Average Years: 1.9
Average AAV: $5.9 million
Total: 1.9 years, $11.2 million

#32 Rickie Weeks (2B)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
31	286	8.7 %	25.5 %	.274	.357	.452	.359	127	9.1	-7.0	1.2

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $6 million
Total: 2 years, $12 million

Average Years: 1.7
Average AAV: $6.3 million
Total: 1.7 years, $10.9 million

Milwaukee holds an $11.5M option (no buyout) on Weeks’ contract for 2015. Will they exercise it?
No: 95%. Yes: 5%.

#33 A.J. Burnett (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
37	213.2	8.00	4.04	50.9 %	4.59	4.14	3.95	-0.5	1.0

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 1 year, $10 million

Average Years: 1.1
Average AAV: $10.7 million
Total: 1.1 years, $12.3 million

Burnett’s contract features a mutual option for $15M (with a $1M buyout) and/or player option for $12.8M. What will happen?
The Phillies decline the mutual option, but Burnett exercises the player option: 66%.
Burnett opts out entirely, choosing to become a free agent: 21%.
Both the Phillies and Burnett exercise the mutual option: 13%.

#34 Torii Hunter (OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
38	586	3.9 %	15.2 %	.286	.319	.446	.335	113	8.9	-24.7	0.3

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $10 million
Total: 1 year, $10 million

Average Years: 1.2
Average AAV: $9.7 million
Total: 1.2 years, $11.7 million

#35 Emilio Bonifacio (2B/OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
29	426	6.1 %	20.0 %	.259	.305	.345	.289	81	-4.3	10.8	2.1

Median Years: 2
Median AAV: $5 million
Total: 2 years, $10 million

Average Years: 2.0
Average AAV: $5.3 million
Total: 2.0 years, $10.7 million

#36 Justin Masterson (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
29	128.2	8.11	4.83	58.2 %	5.88	4.50	4.08	-1.8	0.3

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $9 million
Total: 1 year, $9 million

Average Years: 1.8
Average AAV: $9.5 million
Total: 1.8 years, $17.2 million

#37 Dan Haren (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
33	186.0	7.02	1.74	41.5 %	4.02	4.09	3.70	-0.3	1.0

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $8 million
Total: 1 year, $8 million

Average Years: 1.5
Average AAV: $8.6 million
Total: 1.5 years, $12.8 million

For pitching 180 innings in 2014, Haren earned a player option for 2015 worth $10M. Will he exercise it?
Yes: 83%. No: 17%.

#38 Koji Uehara (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
39	64.1	11.19	1.12	32.3 %	2.52	3.09	2.41	2.2	1.4

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $8 million
Total: 1 year, $8 million

Average Years: 1.4
Average AAV: $8.5 million
Total: 1.4 years, $11.9 million

#39 Stephen Drew (SS)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
31	300	9.0 %	25.0 %	.162	.237	.299	.238	44	-21.6	1.5	-1.1

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $7 million
Total: 1 year, $7 million

Average Years: 1.5
Average AAV: $7.2 million
Total: 1.5 years, $10.4 million

#40 Michael Morse (1B/OF)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
32	482	6.4 %	25.1 %	.279	.336	.475	.355	133	12.8	-18.0	1.0

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $7 million
Total: 1 year, $7 million

Average Years: 1.4
Average AAV: $7.0 million
Total: 1.4 years, $10.0 million

#41 Brett Anderson (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
26	43.1	6.02	2.70	61.0 %	2.91	2.99	3.55	0.9	1.1

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $7 million
Total: 1 year, $7 million

Average Years: 1.4
Average AAV: $7.1 million
Total: 1.4 years, $10.0 million

The Rockies hold a $12.0M option (with a $1.5M buyout) on Anderson for 2015. Will they exercise it?
No: 85%. Yes: 15%.

#42 Ryan Vogelsong (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
36	184.2	7.36	2.83	38.4 %	4.00	3.85	3.96	0.9	1.0

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $7 million
Total: 1 year, $7 million

Average Years: 1.4
Average AAV: $6.8 million
Total: 1.4 years, $9.6 million

#43 Aaron Harang (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
36	204.1	7.09	3.13	39.4 %	3.57	3.57	4.03	2.5	2.5

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $6 million
Total: 1 year, $6 million

Average Years: 1.4
Average AAV: $6.6 million
Total: 1.4 years, $9.4 million

#44 Brandon Morrow (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
29	33.1	8.10	4.86	50.5 %	5.67	3.73	4.06	-0.2	0.4

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $6 million
Total: 1 year, $6 million

Average Years: 1.3
Average AAV: $6.7 million
Total: 1.3 years, $9.0 million

Toronto holds a $10M option ($1M buyout) on Morrow’s contract for 2015. Will they exercise it?
No: 77%. Yes: 23%.

#45 Kendrys Morales (1B/DH)

Age	PA	BB%	K%	AVG	OBP	SLG	wOBA	wRC+	Off	Def	WAR
31	401	6.7 %	17.0 %	.218	.274	.338	.271	72	-17.2	-11.5	-1.7

Median Years: 1
Median AAV: $6 million
Total: 1 year, $6 million

Average Years: 1.2
Average AAV: $6.1 million
Total: 1.2 years, $7.1 million

The Seattle front office has exhibited a peculiar fascination with Morales. Will they sign him for 2015 (and perhaps beyond), as well?
Yes: 62%. No: 38%.

#46 Francisco Rodriguez (P)

Age	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	RA9-WAR	WAR
32	68.0	9.66	2.38	43.9 %	3.04	4.50	2.91	1.3	-0.6