Five Things I Liked (Or Didn’t Like) This Week, April 5

Welcome to the triumphant return of Five Things I Liked (Or Didn’t Like) This Week, the longest-named column in baseball. Rogers Hornsby famously stared out his window all winter waiting for baseball to return. I can’t claim to have done the same, but I’m still overjoyed it’s back, and what better way to celebrate than by talking about some weird and delightful things that caught my eye while I soaked in baseball’s opening week? As always, this column is inspired by Zach Lowe’s basketball column of a similar name, which I read religiously.
1. Non-Elite Defenders Making Elite Defensive Plays
Great defenders make great plays. I’m sure you can picture Nolan Arenado making a do-or-die barehanded throw or Kevin Kiermaier tracking down a line drive at a full sprint. That’s why those guys are such storied defenders; they make the exceptional seem expected. There are plenty of other players in baseball, though, and many of them make the exceptional seem, well, exceptional. When someone you wouldn’t expect turns in a web gem, it feels all the better, and this week had a ton of them.
There’s the Juan Soto throw, of course:
That was brilliant, and it came at the perfect time. Plenty has already been written about it, but that doesn’t make it less impressive. Soto is at best an average outfielder and likely worse than that, and his arm is one of the weaker parts of his game. But he’s capable of brilliance out there from time to time, particularly when accuracy matters, and this one delivered.
But there were so many more! How about Brett Baty doing his best Arenado (or Ke’Bryan Hayes, shout out to the real best third base defender) impression on a tough grounder:
That’s phenomenal work. The combination of a weakly hit ball and fast runner meant that Baty had to make every instant count. Any wasted movement on a gather or pivot would’ve made Matt Vierling safe. This wasn’t your normal plant your feet and make a strong throw kind of out; Baty was either going to fire off balance or eat the ball. Check out his footwork, courtesy of the always-excellent SNY camera crew:
That throw came against his momentum and with his left leg completely airborne. As an added bonus, fellow lightly regarded defender Pete Alonso received the throw perfectly. Baty was a top prospect because of his hitting. If he keeps making plays like this, we might have to tear up that old scouting report.
Speaking of prospects who aren’t known for their fielding, Jordan Walker was one of the worst outfield defenders in baseball last year – understandable for a 21-year-old learning a new position in the major leagues. He’s fast and has a powerful throwing arm, so the building blocks are there, but the numbers don’t lie: He was out of his element in the outfield.
Maybe this year is different, though:
Simply put, that’s a great play. Jackson Merrill’s liner was headed toward the gap, which meant that Walker had to come in almost perpendicular to the ball to make a play. A bad step early in the route likely would’ve left him high and dry. But he got it right and turned a double into an out.
These guys won’t always make the right plays. In fact, they often won’t. That only makes it more fun when they nail it. Even bad major league defenders are capable of brilliance. Stars – they’re absolutely nothing like us!
2. Location, Location, Location
Pop ups are death for hitters. Infield pop ups are particularly so. Every other type of hit has some chance of finding a hole, but the combination of short distance and long hangtime mean that if you hit the ball straight up and it doesn’t go far, you’re going to be out. Batters hit .006/.006/.006 on infield fly balls from 2021 through 2023 – 12,583 pop ups led to 74 hits. You generally need some wild wind, a collision, or perhaps an overzealous pitcher trying to field for himself to have any shot at a hit. Mostly, though, it just turns into an out.
So far, 2024 has had other ideas. In the first five days of games, two infield pop ups turned into singles. One even turned into a double. It’s silly season for bad contact, in other words. It all started with Eddie Rosario:
That’s one of the hardest-hit infield pop ups of the year, one of only two hit at 95 mph or harder. That meant that the Reds had all day to camp under it, but unfortunately for them, it was a windy day in Cincinnati on Saturday. Gameday reported 17 mph winds from right to left, and you can see Santiago Espinal and Christian Encarnacion-Strand struggle to track the ball. If your infield pop up is going to drop, that’s a common way for it to happen.
Another unlikely but possible option is to hit the ball extremely softly, as Matt Carpenter demonstrated on April Fool’s Day:
That was a pop up, but it didn’t go very far up. With the infield playing at medium depth and Graham Pauley guarding third base after an earlier bunt single (yeah, Carpenter had quite a day), there was just no time to get to it. Maybe Matt Waldron could have made a play, but pitchers generally stay out of the way on balls like those for good reason. Even then, it would have required going over the mound and making a running basket catch. Sometimes, your pop ups just land in the exact right spot.
But wait, there’s one more. This one was a real doozy by René Pinto, also on April 1:
This one is the last pop up hit archetype: a Trop ball. There’s no wind in Tampa Bay’s domed stadium, but there is a blindingly white roof. White, conveniently enough, is the color of a baseball. So when you really sky one, as the Rays catcher did here, things can get dicey.
How easy of a play was this? In some ways, it was phenomenally easy. After all, five different fielders had time to converge on the ball, and Corey Seager easily could have made it there if he weren’t covering third. That ball hung in the air for more than six seconds, plenty of time for everyone to judge it. It didn’t carry very far, and there was no pitcher’s mound to stumble on.
Leaguewide, hits like this are the least likely of any pop up to land. Even at the Trop, batters are hitting only .011/.011/.011 on them in the Statcast era. But in other ways, it’s not a probability but a binary. This was Jonah Heim’s ball, but he just plain couldn’t see it:

From there, it was academic. And the Rangers’ diligence in heading for the ball meant that no one was covering second, so Pinto got to jog an extra 90 feet with no one stopping him. That might be the slowest home to first time on an in-play double that I’ve ever seen. That screenshot up above was only a few seconds before the ball landed, and Pinto was still near home plate.
In the long run, these things will even out. Most infield fly balls get caught. But sometimes things get really weird – and weirdness can be sublime. Naturally, Yandy Díaz smoked the next pitch for a 331-foot frozen rope – and made the last out of the game. What a sport.
3. Oneil Cruz Is Chaotic, and Good
I watched Saturday’s Pirates-Marlins tilt closely to write about Jared Jones, but my eyes kept straying. Catch a Pittsburgh game, and I’m pretty sure you’ll feel the same way. Oneil Cruz isn’t always the best player on the field. Sometimes, in fact, he’s a hindrance for Pittsburgh’s chances. But one thing you can never say is that he’s boring.
When Cruz is on the basepaths, his speed means trouble. For who? It’s not always clear, because he’s aggressive to a fault. When he’s on third base and the ball is hit on the ground, you better believe he’s going home:
I think that was a good decision, but it’s close. A perfect throw from Josh Bell probably gets him there; Bell had already thrown out Michael A. Taylor at the plate on a similar play earlier in the game, for example. But the throw wasn’t quite perfect, and Christian Bethancourt couldn’t corral it anyway. Cruz would have been safe even if Bethancourt caught it cleanly, but the ball rolled to the backstop to bring in another run.
In the long run, pressure like that tends to pay off, at least in my opinion. Taylor would have been out at first if Cruz didn’t go for it, and the difference between second and third with two outs (Cruz stays) and first and third with two outs (Cruz tries for home and makes an out) isn’t particularly huge. Sure, it’s a chaotic play, but it’s a positive for the Pirates.
Cruz’s defense is a work in progress, but no one can doubt his tools. Sometimes he’ll make a mess of a play that should be easy:
I’m not in love with his decision to stay back on that ball, but Jesús Sánchez is slow enough that it all should have worked out anyway. But staying back meant Cruz had to crow hop and fire a laser to first. He has a huge arm, but it’s not the most accurate, as you can see here. A different setup would have made that play far easier.
On the other hand, sometimes he’ll make a mess out of a play, only to recover because of that cannon arm. This is definitely not how Tom Emanski would teach it:
Cruz handcuffed himself on the initial attempt; instead of being able to make a clean backhanded pick, he got stuck with the ball coming straight at him and flubbed the scoop. For most players, that would be the end of the play, even with a catcher running. But Cruz has a get out of jail free card: He can pick the ball up barehanded and then unleash havoc. The NL Central has a ton of big shortstop arms: Masyn Winn set the tracked record for an infield assist at the Futures Game last summer, and Elly De La Cruz is no slouch. But Cruz might have them both beat when he can set his feet and get into one. Even flat-footed, that throw got on Connor Joe in a hurry.
This game had a ton of Cruz action; not every Pirates game is like that. I watched Monday’s Pirates-Nats tilt hoping for an encore, but Cruz held onto a ball rather than attempt to turn an outrageous double play and was restrained on the basepaths. At the plate, he’s striking out so much that hard contact is barely keeping him on the right side of a 100 wRC+. His trajectory in the majors is still extremely uncertain. Still, I’m going to keep tuning in and hoping for some excitement. You never know what will happen next when Cruz is on the field.
4. The White Sox Get Feisty
It’s going to be a rough season on the south side. The White Sox are a bad team, they don’t have any obvious reinforcements in sight, and they got swept in the season-opening series against the Tigers. The Braves were due up next – after treating the White Sox like a de facto farm system over the winter – and Atlanta romped to a 9-0 rain-shortened victory Monday.
Tuesday promised more of the same. The temperature at game time was a miserable 44 degrees. Remarkably, 12,300 courageous fans showed up, but not all of them were there for the home team. After all, rooting for a club that seems likely to get battered by the best team in baseball on a frigid Tuesday night doesn’t sound particularly appealing, so a meaningful percentage of the audience was audibly cheering for Atlanta. Things were looking grim, in other words.
Something funny happened, though. The White Sox and their fans made a game out of it. Garrett Crochet spun an absolute gem in his second start of the season: seven innings, eight strikeouts, one walk, and one lone run on a Marcell Ozuna homer. When pinch hitter Paul DeJong smacked a solo shot of his own, it gave Chicago a 2-1 lead with only two frames left to play.
That set the stage for an explosive finish. Almost immediately, Atlanta threatened again. Jarred Kelenic worked a one-out walk in the top of the eighth, bringing Ronald Acuña Jr. to the plate. “MVP! MVP!” The Atlanta fans in attendance made their presence known as Acuña worked a walk to put the tying run in scoring position.
But Chicago’s fans, few though they might be, weren’t going quietly. They drowned out the MVP chant in a series of boos, then started a “Let’s go White Sox” cheer as a counter. After a sleepy start, the game suddenly had some juice.
Michael Kopech came in to relieve John Brebbia after that walk, and he promptly walked Ozzie Albies to load the bases. But Yoán Moncada turned a slick double play to keep the Pale Hose out in front. The dugout loved it:
The Sox tacked on an insurance run in the bottom of the eighth, and it turned out they needed it. Kopech had a tough time closing things out. Ozuna smashed his second solo shot to cut the lead to 3-2 before Kopech walked Michael Harris II after an extended plate appearance in which Harris fouled off a string of high fastballs and spit on a low slider. Orlando Arcia wouldn’t go down quietly, either. Kopech again missed with the one slider he threw, and Arcia eventually slapped a cutter through the infield to put the tying run in scoring position for the second inning in a row.
Was this fated to be a crushing loss? Kopech couldn’t find the zone against Travis d’Arnaud, falling behind 3-1 with four straight elevated fastballs. The slider was totally gone; perhaps the adrenaline that came with the potential for his first big league save was too much. The crowd and players were rowdy now, treating this early April game like one with huge implications. Boos rained down after not particularly close pitches got called balls. Braves fans tried to start their own cheers but got repeatedly drowned out by the Sox faithful.
With Acuña on deck, walking d’Arnaud was unacceptable. Kopech tickled the strike zone on 3-1, which brought it all down to a full count pitch. He hit his spot perfectly, and d’Arnaud could only pop it up:
The crowd roared. The lights dimmed as fireworks went off. Kopech looked relieved more than excited as the team celebrated around him. For a day, at least, Chicago’s best was enough to hold off the best team in baseball.
This isn’t how the year will go for the White Sox. They’re headed straight into a rebuild with an unpopular ownership and front office group. I’m not sure that the fans will be able to muster up the same excitement for a July tilt against the Pirates. For a day, though, the atmosphere felt electric and the underdogs came up big. What a magical sport that lets us find moments of excitement even in seasons of despair.
5. Nolan Jones Tries To Do Too Much
Nolan Jones is one of my favorite young players to watch. He’s what you’d get if you took a garden variety power hitting outfielder and stapled a bazooka to his right arm. His outfield defense is below average if you ignore his throws, but you can’t ignore throws. Statcast has him in the 100th percentile for arm strength and runs saved with his arm; in other words, he’s a highlight reel waiting to happen when he picks the ball up. He had 19 outfield assists last year in less than 800 innings, leading baseball while playing 500 fewer innings than second place Lane Thomas.
This year, things haven’t gone quite so well. Jones already has more errors than he did in all of last season. One sequence against the Cubs summed up what I think is going wrong. Everyone knows Jones has a cannon, and so when Christopher Morel singled to left, Ian Happ wasn’t thinking about trying to score from second base:
That’s just smart baserunning. There’s no point in testing the best arm in the game when he’s running toward the ball from a shallow starting position. Only, did you see what happened out in left? Let’s zoom in:
Jones planned to come up firing. He absolutely didn’t need to; as we saw, Happ had already slammed on the brakes. But if you have the best arm in the game, every play probably feels like a chance to throw someone out, the old “every problem looks like a nail to a hammer” issue. He tried to make an infield-style scoop on the run and paid for it. That’s a particularly big error given the game state and location on the field; there’s no one backing Jones up there, and with only one out, it’s not *that* valuable to keep the runner at third anyway.
The ball rolled all the way to the wall, which was bad enough. Happ and trail runner Seiya Suzuki both scored easily. But Jones compounded the error. Let’s see what happened next from Morel’s perspective:
Like Happ, Morel slammed on the brakes as he got to third. After all, Jones has a huge arm and there’s still only one out, so trying to squeeze in the last 90 feet doesn’t make that much sense. Even with his eyes on the play the whole time, he decelerated to a stop. But Jones overcooked his relay throw:
I’m not quite clear about what happened there. That was a situation for a lollipop; the play was over, and all he had to do was return the ball to the infield. Maybe he got a bad grip on the ball, maybe he slipped as he was throwing it, but he just spiked it into the ground and Ryan McMahon couldn’t handle the wild carom.
This feels to me like a clear case of Jones trying to do too much. He appears to be pressing, trying to throw the world out after last year’s phenomenal performance. But part of having a huge arm is knowing when you don’t need to use it. That experience comes with time, and I’m confident that he’ll figure it out, but his aggression has hurt the Rockies so far. Oh, and those other errors? Sometimes you just miss one:
Ben is a writer at FanGraphs. He can be found on Bluesky @benclemens.
Thank you Ben! Please keep this one up.
This column is always a highlight of my week. Thanks Ben.
Just a quick check in on the not-brothers (de la) Cruz.
Cruz: wRC+ 88, K-rate 40%, fWAR -0.1
de la Cruz: wRC+ 79, K-rate 48%, fWAR -0.1
Aside from the high K-rates (which they probably need to cut by a third), I think the most disappointing thing has been the defense. de la Cruz has posted a disturbing -3 OAA in only 54 innings thanks to making an error every other game. Oneil Cruz only has one error but also has -3 OAA in 57 innings. I wonder if they will eventually wind up at third base or center field.
I’ve always thought Ke’Bryan Hayes should have given SS a go and that move would have opened a lane for Cruz at 3B where he’d likely be pretty good.
I have wondered the same thing for quite some time. The fact that it hasn’t been tried yet probably means there is something we haven’t considered. But it’s possible they want to exhaust the possibility that Cruz can play shortstop before moving guys around.
Reports were that Cruz loathed playing OF when they made him try in the minors, and he did it badly. I wonder if his preference for SS is part of why he has not tried third, but I also assume that the potential risk of moving all-world Hayes off his natural position wasn’t seen as worthwhile.
Oneil has played some OF in the minors only about 80 innings though so an extremely small sample. The Pirates are amazing at selling hope & prospects. As a lifelong fan we buy it most of the time too. I mean, who doesn’t want to believe in a 6’7 SS with gaudy raw stuff can be the long term answer at a crucial position?
That was always the scouting consensus. Only in this era do they get to play MLB SS. In reality CF is a huge stretch for an infielder and they should have to earn that after learning in a corner but in this era you can just throw a guy out there.
Bobby Witt Jr: wRC+ 297, K-rate 25%, fWAR 0.9. It’s possible that he may not be able to sustain the .556 BABIP, but the .553 xwOBA suggests he’ll be OK anyway.
He was my AL MVP pick. I’m feeling pretty good about that one, even if it is small sample-size theatre. Eighty percent hard hit rate so far. Probably not going to finish with 15 WAR or whatever but every little bit helps.
8 XBH against 4 singles. He’s already projected to finish at 6 WAR. Dude is fun to watch.
My favorite part of Pinto’s double is that Heim came out from behind the plate and looped in front of him. So Pinto came to a full stop to let him go by after he left the batter’s box and still walked into second with a double.
The radio guys locally here (in Texas) said they asked Heim the next day whether that double had hit a catwalk or something (they thought it had at the time), and he said, maybe but he didn’t know, he just couldn’t see it at all. The Trop for you indeed.
It’s only two starts, but I am cautiously optimistic that Garrett Crochet might be a thing. 11.08 K/9, 0.69 BB/9, vFA 97.1 as a starter in a cold Chicago spring. This isn’t really out of nowhere since he was a high first round pick, but he has been in the bullpen or recovering from TJS since then, so it’s not not out of nowhere either. It would be nice to have a reason to watch White Sox baseball occasionally.
Soroka on the other hand…ugh. 1.64 K/9 is not going to cut it in MLB in 2024.
Unfortunately for the White Sox, Crochet might be the only thing.
Robert. But that’s only two. Still, two is more than one!
Aaand back down to one.
At this point I think the main question is health. It’s hard to dispute that he has the stuff and command to start at this point.
Agreed. I am a bit concerned that he doesn’t have an actual change of pace pitch, but the way he’s using that new cutter is hard to fault.
Some starters seem to be able to get away with not having a changeup / splitter and still start. Kershaw is the most obvious example, but Rich Hill also comes to mind.
Corey Kluber and Blake Snell have also had success that way. My (very mild) skepticism is mostly that Crochet is young, returning from injury, starting for the first time in MLB, and has a limited arsenal. Usually not a recipe for long-term success.
That’s my thought. He only pitched 25 innings last year & 93 over the previous 4..a lot of that is due to TJ Surgery, but, he only started about 1/3 of his appearances in college..with the last start being in 2019!
I have a hard time believing he’ll hold up to even 120 innings..much less 150-160.
What era does 1.64 K/9 cut it?
It would have been elite in the 1870’s.
Baty has looked much better the last few games in the field after that embarrassing way he played a line drive to him last Sunday. Now all we need is for his manager to let him hit instead of asking him to bunt with a runner in scoring position in extra innings that was maddening.
One day the Mets will have a modern manager that actually knows how to play to their player’s strengths… but it is not this day
Ah yes… the modern manager that fixes everything. It couldn’t have anything to do with the flawed roster that the Mets have.
Both manager and roster are obviously problems, but Mendoza’s start to the season has been reminding me far more than I’d like of the Art Howe/Ricardo Rincón story in Moneyball. Filling out a lineup card containing the names Zack Short or Joey Wendle while your team struggles to score at all is a pretty classic case of “Why’d you put him on the roster if you didn’t want me to play him?”
Zack Short playing over Baty vs a lefty had me pulling out what’s left of my hair as did Taylor hitting 4th and Alvarez 7th vs a lefty.
Baty actually looking like a major-league 3B is one of the very few bright spots for the Mets so far. The play in this article was the best one, but he’s made three or four plays almost as difficult already.
I have serious doubt that there are ever any signs for anything. I think they do most things on their own.
In the post game presser Mendoza said he called for the bunt because “we needed just one run”
Glad to see this column back this season!
Matt Carpenter’s popup hit: I wish a hitter could control that and reliably make something like that happen. A changeup is a pitch which is thrown like a fastball, but slower. I wonder if a batter could have a changeup swing which results in little bloops like that. Probably not.
Probably more likely that they could if it was “soft liner over the second baseman/shortstop”. One of the hardest things to get to. Tweener hits like that annoy the hell out of everyone on defense and make the hitter’s bench laugh.
Aka, the Arraez special!
And before him, that was what Yadier Molina was an expert in. Astonishing how many bloops he got- his Savant page showed that some years he basically only hit flares and burners, which is pretty good if you can actually do it.
That’s one of my favorite things about baseball: there are these things we know work, but that we also know, at the population level, aren’t repeatable- like hitting bloopers over the second baseman. But some guys manage to repeat it for literally decades. And it makes me wonder: are we just seeing someone ride the best luck of a lifetime, the far right tail of a bell curve of randomness? Or does that person, somehow, have an actual, repeatable skill? From looking at the data, there’s no way to tell. Which is so much fun!
A less reliable but fun one is the Baltimore chop, like this one from Ke’Bryan Hayes. Statcast still has this miscoded as launch angle 63 and EV 43.9, but he hit it straight into the ground hard enough for it to bounce up like a pop-up. By the time it reaches the infielder everyone’s at the next base.
That’s how my softball professor (at NC State, huzzah for PE electives) finally taught me how to hit. Aim for the pitcher’s head, soft liner over second enough to hit like .500.
Arguably pretty weak sauce for softball, but as a wiry guy it sure beat grounding out to SS over and over.
Frank Thomas was really good at flipping low and away pitches that fooled him into short right field. Of course, he also hit 521 HR. So there’s that.
Yeah, Frank Thomas’ bat control should really be remembered more. Dude could mash, but he was also just so good at staying in at-bats and making pitchers tear out their hair. His career strikeout rate was south of 14% while hitting over .300 with the aforementioned Home Runs. He was a truly complete hitter.
Pujols was like that. Ran a 10.8 career K% that was significantly lower during his prime, and managed to hit 700 home runs as well. Just a pure hitter
RE: pop ups turning into hits: you basically need help from an official scorer for that slash line to be any better than .000 / .000 / .000
Had a similar thought of how are some of those plays being ruled a hit.
If the defense can’t see the ball because of the white ceiling at the Trop, can’t the official scorer justify that as a difficult ball to catch?
I also think that Matt Carpenter’s little bloop over the pitcher looked difficult to catch.
I wonder how much official scorers get paid.
Absolutely. These guys are professionals, not an 8U team with a mom as a scorekeeper. The Carpenter hit was super ugly but clean.
The Carpenter one deserved to be called a hit, but yeah, it’s maddening at times that the official scorers usually seem to think a missed catch on a fly ball can only be an error if it actually touches the fielder or his glove before the ball hits the ground. It’s an even worse defensive generalization than the one where it is always called a wild pitch and never a passed ball if the ball hits the ground first.
Wind matters – it’s hard to give someone an error who is playing in a windstorm.
Heard an in-field announcer note this week on how she appreciated this after a pop up twenty rows deep…landed next to her in the dugout.
Wind is an invisible variable. The wind may be blowing 20 mph due east on the ground, blowing 20 mph due north 200’ up at the ball’s apex, and gusting at 40 mph in an unknown direction at some random height while the ball is on its way down.
There was chatter in here a few weeks ago about the Padres’ player’s glove malfunction, and pop ups lost in the sun, and a ground ball taking a bad hop after hitting a base or pebble. Seems unfair to give the batter a hit, and unfair to give the defense an error, and unfair to give the pitcher an earned run. I wouldn’t be opposed to a new classification being created for those events – NQE (Not Quite an Error) or something like that.
It is not hard… it is really easy. God forbid that these grown men get a scoring decision that damages their self-esteem.
Jake Cronenworth deserved the error when the ball went through his glove as he is responsible for his own equipment. What if an outfielder trips because his shoelace was untied? Give him an error and a butt chewing for not having his shoelaces tied!
Yes. And the guys who forget to put on their sunglasses and lose fly balls in the sun.
This guy gets it.
Did the official scorers really classify all those infield flies as hits?! The Carpenter one was a hit, but the other two were clearly errors.
It comes down to the idea of “ordinary effort”:
A ball getting lost in the lights (or the dome) should (IMO) be considered “conditions of the playing field”. A wind-blown popup clearly fits into the weather part of that statement.
I’ll give you that heavy wind counts as weather conditions, but can you really blame the playing field if it’s how it normally works? It seems like losing the ball only to abnormal conditions on the playing field should be given consideration for a hit
Things like the lights and the roof of the Trop are normal playing conditions, so it’s the fielder’s fault that he wasn’t careful or good enough at dealing with them. At the very least on an infield pop-up, he can shout to the other infielders that he can’t see it.
For Pirates fans, another way of looking at #3 is “Thank Jobu, Oneil Cruz learned how to slide into home.” He also scored the go-ahead run in extra innings on Monday on a beautiful safety squeeze from Jason Delay. Not sure how long the shortsop experiment can last though!
This is why I love baseball. These vignettes get to the heart of the game. Yes indeed, poor defenders make lots of outstanding plays and do not misplay every ball and great defenders butcher easy plays. I will admit to being somewhat unenthusiastic with the belief that somehow baseball can be thrown into a computer and the results will be predictable. That does not mean that I do not value information but I do believe that the true believers think that their analysis impacts the results much more than the small percentage that it actually does, which leads me to bring up a striking example of an event that shouldn’t have happened, but did. Pete Alonso’s amazing HR in the 9th inning of yesterday’s 2nd game. With the Mets looking at 6 straight defeats he hit a pitch from Alex Faedo that was only a few inches above the ground, with good movement, and hit it over the fence. My question to those who know more about how these events are evaluated is how is this event scored. It appears to me that Faedo threw an excellent pitch. A changeup that was well out of the zone and induced a chase by the hitter yet it was hit for a home run. What more could he have done? Is Faedo penalized for this in the statistical analysis? Then what about Alonso? He chased a pitch well out of the zone, sounds bad to me, but hit a game changing HR, sounds good to me. Does he get docked for chasing or double value for what he did? It is clear that everything that occurred is a complete repudiation of what would seem to be the logical result of Faedo throwing an excellent pitch and Alonso chasing well outside the zone. There was hit song from long, long ago named “It Ain’t What’cha Do, It’s The Way What’cha Do It” and that seems to be the motto of the analytical community. I guess I will continue to read boxscores and make determinations based on what actually happens
I think I have a rough analogy to your post:
Two ways of winning at blackjack:
Winning via method #1 gives you the best possible score for skill. Winning via method #2, however, gives the highest possible entertainment value. And, since baseball is both a game of skill and a source of paid entertainment, there’s something good to be said about both methods.
Those infield fly singles are errors. In previous eras these guys practiced together and somebody would just take charge and catch those balls. You are watching people stand around waiting for someone else to catch the ball.That baserunning by Cruz was definitely a terrible decision -infield in means don’t go… never mind the headfirst slide into home. On that hideous error by Jones the “smart base runner” should be looking at his third base coach not stopping and looking back over his shoulder to see the ball roll to the wall. I think it is pretty clear that there is no coaching or accountability that goes on in MLB. The players work on what they feel like working on. I imagine that coaches who have anything other than positives to say don’t last. You can see these guys paying zero attention to the base coaches and I guarantee nobody says anything to the players about their bone-headed plays. You are telling me that these guys just finished up with weeks of spring training and drills because you know they don’t practice as a team during the season lol. This is not a quality era of baseball. These are not things that should be happening on an MLB field with much frequency.
Infield in means don’t go, but if you’re up by one you can take that risk, especially with another runner right behind you, and have it payoff even more like with what happened, when the fielder is pressured to get the ball out quick and causes an error. It’s definitely not a terrible decisions because of the circumstances, maybe not the best decision, but not terrible. Especially when if it doesn’t work the only difference is first and third with two outs rather than second and third with two outs.
The difference in Run Expectancy between 2nd and 3rd with two outs (.570) and 1st and 3rd with two outs (.471) is about a tenth of a run. So that’s what you save by playing it safe.
Run Expectancy for 1st and 3rd with one out is 1.14 runs, plus you have already scored a run if you go. Obviously it doesn’t have to work a huge percentage of the time to make going on contact pencil out.
And the Pirates surely had the contact play called. The runner on second goes as soon as the ball is hit, without checking the coach or Cruz, which would really be a bonehead play if it wasn’t a called contact play.
Which means OP is complaining about “no coaching” on a play where the runners executed the play that was called, and scored two runs.
Fielders have been letting pop ups drop between them and baserunners have been running into outs since the early days of baseball.
This “back in my day” shtick is tired
““smart base runner” should be looking at his third base coach”. I’m not sure what you were watching, but that’s exactly what happened.
Such a terrible decision that he scored as did the guy behind him.
These single fliers and homestead dylans are by mistake. In previous eras, these guys trained together, and someone was simply brave enough to show off and catch these balls. You look at everyone standing around waiting for someone else to catch the ball. You, Tzruz, left the base, soulless, it was terrible for Solven – don’t step on your own… Don’t be afraid to jump into yourself, you’re going to jump into Buddhism. That abominable mistake of Jones’ “clever base runner” should dive to his third base coach without stopping to look back over his shoulder to see if he’s hitting the wall. And think, it’s completely clear, there are no new coaches or prospects in the MLB. The players practiced what they wanted. We think that the coach, what can he say, except for the positive, will not last. You see, these guys are a monster on the basis of a coach, and we guarantee you that no one shows anything to the Counts about their head game. You’re telling me that you guys just finished weeks of spring training, because you know you’re not training like season 3, laugh out loud. This is the current era of baseball. If not, then what is happening in MLB.
lolwut
Great column thank you!
Paul Skenes: 2 GS in AAA and 6IP. 1 hit (single) 1 walk 11ks and 0 runs allowed. I have seen the splinker and it should be helpful.
Any NL Central game is worth watching for the SS play. Adames and Swanson are as good as it gets and Winn might join their company. Cruz and de la Cruz are entertaining for other reasons at this point in their careers.
I really thought that #5 was going to be about Gunnar blowing the game by trying to make the showboaty, impossible play.