Here’s Who’s (Maybe) Going To Win the 2023 World Series

Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports

After a thrilling final week of the season that saw the AL West decided on the last day and the race for a Wild Card spot come down to the wire in both leagues, the postseason is here. The field features returning powerhouses, upstart challengers, and a healthy dose of “Dancing On My Own.” And though the playoff bracket boasts three 100-plus-win clubs that could be poised for deep runs, a lot can happen in a short series. That makes it difficult to predict how October will unfold, but 27 of our writers from FanGraphs and RotoGraphs did their best.

Below are our predictions by league and round, as well as each writer’s full forecast (those tables are sortable). You can find our playoff odds here and the ZiPS postseason game-by-game odds here. Happy playoffs!

American League

Wild Card Series

Blue Jays vs. Twins Wild Card Series
Winner Votes
Minnesota Twins 18
Toronto Blue Jays 9

Rangers vs. Rays Wild Card Series
Winner Votes
Tampa Bay Rays 21
Texas Rangers 6

Division Series

Astros vs. Blue Jays/Twins WC Winner Division Series
Winner Votes
Houston Astros 15
Minnesota Twins 11
Toronto Blue Jays 1

Orioles vs. Rangers/Rays WC Winner Division Series
Winner Votes
Baltimore Orioles 18
Tampa Bay Rays 7
Texas Rangers 2

League Championship Series

American League Championship Series Matchups
Matchup Votes
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles 10
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles 7
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins 4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros 3
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros 2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles 1

American League Championship Series
Winner Votes
Baltimore Orioles 7
Houston Astros 7
Minnesota Twins 5
Tampa Bay Rays 5
Texas Rangers 2
Toronto Blue Jays 1

National League

Wild Card Series

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Wild Card Series
Winner Votes
Milwaukee Brewers 19
Arizona Diamondbacks 8

Marlins vs. Phillies Wild Card Series
Winner Votes
Philadelphia Phillies 22
Miami Marlins 5

Division Series

Dodgers vs. D-backs/Brewers WC Winner Division Series
Winner Votes
Los Angeles Dodgers 23
Milwaukee Brewers 4

Braves vs. Marlins/Phillies WC Winner Division Series
Winner Votes
Atlanta Braves 23
Philadelphia Phillies 4

League Championship Series

National League Championship Series Matchups
Matchup Votes
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves 19
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves 4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 4

National League Championship Series
Winner Votes
Atlanta Braves 17
Los Angeles Dodgers 4
Milwaukee Brewers 3
Philadelphia Phillies 3

World Series

World Series Matchups
Matchup Votes
Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves 6
Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves 5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves 3
Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves 1
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 1
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves 1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies 1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 1
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers 1
Minnesota Twins vs. Atlanta Braves 1
Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers 1
Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies 1
Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers 1

World Series Champion
Winner Votes
Atlanta Braves 11
Baltimore Orioles 4
Minnesota Twins 3
Los Angeles Dodgers 2
Philadelphia Phillies 2
Tampa Bay Rays 2
Houston Astros 1
Milwaukee Brewers 1
Toronto Blue Jays 1

Writer Predictions

American League Wild Card and Division Series Predictions
Writer TOR/MIN WC TEX/TBR WC HOU/WC DS BAL/WC DS
Alex Chamberlain MIN TBR MIN TBR
Alex Eisert MIN TBR MIN BAL
Ariel Cohen MIN TBR MIN BAL
Ben Clemens MIN TBR MIN BAL
Chad Young MIN TBR HOU BAL
Chris Gilligan MIN TBR MIN BAL
Dan Szymborski TOR TBR HOU BAL
David Laurila MIN TBR MIN BAL
Davy Andrews MIN TBR MIN TBR
Eric Longenhagen MIN TBR HOU TBR
Esteban Rivera MIN TEX HOU TEX
Jake Mailhot MIN TBR MIN TBR
Jason Martinez TOR TBR TOR BAL
Jay Jaffe TOR TBR HOU BAL
Jeff Zimmerman MIN TEX MIN BAL
Jon Becker MIN TBR MIN BAL
Jon Tayler MIN TEX HOU BAL
Justin Mason TOR TEX HOU TEX
Kiri Oler TOR TBR HOU BAL
Kyle Kishimoto MIN TBR HOU TBR
Leo Morgenstern TOR TBR HOU TBR
Lucas Kelly TOR TBR HOU BAL
Meg Rowley MIN TBR HOU BAL
Michael Baumann TOR TEX HOU BAL
Nicklaus Gaut TOR TBR HOU BAL
Paul Sporer MIN TBR MIN TBR
Tess Taruskin MIN TEX HOU BAL

National League Wild Card and Division Series Predictions
Writer ARI/MIL WC PHI/MIA WC LAD/WC DS ATL/WC DS
Alex Chamberlain MIL PHI LAD ATL
Alex Eisert MIL PHI MIL ATL
Ariel Cohen MIL PHI LAD ATL
Ben Clemens MIL PHI LAD ATL
Chad Young MIL PHI MIL ATL
Chris Gilligan ARI PHI LAD PHI
Dan Szymborski MIL PHI LAD ATL
David Laurila ARI MIA LAD ATL
Davy Andrews ARI PHI LAD PHI
Eric Longenhagen ARI PHI LAD ATL
Esteban Rivera MIL PHI LAD PHI
Jake Mailhot MIL PHI LAD PHI
Jason Martinez MIL PHI LAD ATL
Jay Jaffe MIL PHI LAD ATL
Jeff Zimmerman MIL PHI MIL ATL
Jon Becker MIL PHI LAD ATL
Jon Tayler MIL PHI LAD ATL
Justin Mason ARI PHI LAD ATL
Kiri Oler MIL MIA LAD ATL
Kyle Kishimoto MIL PHI LAD ATL
Leo Morgenstern ARI PHI LAD ATL
Lucas Kelly MIL PHI LAD ATL
Meg Rowley ARI PHI LAD ATL
Michael Baumann ARI PHI LAD ATL
Nicklaus Gaut MIL MIA LAD ATL
Paul Sporer MIL MIA LAD ATL
Tess Taruskin MIL MIA MIL ATL

League Championship Series and World Series
Writer ALCS NLCS World Series
Alex Chamberlain TBR ATL ATL
Alex Eisert BAL ATL ATL
Ariel Cohen BAL ATL ATL
Ben Clemens MIN LAD LAD
Chad Young HOU MIL MIL
Chris Gilligan BAL PHI BAL
Dan Szymborski HOU ATL ATL
David Laurila MIN LAD LAD
Davy Andrews TBR LAD TBR
Eric Longenhagen HOU ATL HOU
Esteban Rivera TEX PHI PHI
Jake Mailhot TBR PHI PHI
Jason Martinez TOR ATL TOR
Jay Jaffe HOU ATL ATL
Jeff Zimmerman MIN MIL MIN
Jon Becker MIN ATL MIN
Jon Tayler BAL ATL BAL
Justin Mason TEX ATL ATL
Kiri Oler BAL ATL ATL
Kyle Kishimoto TBR ATL TBR
Leo Morgenstern TBR ATL ATL
Lucas Kelly BAL ATL BAL
Meg Rowley HOU ATL ATL
Michael Baumann HOU ATL ATL
Nicklaus Gaut HOU ATL ATL
Paul Sporer MIN LAD MIN
Tess Taruskin BAL MIL BAL





Meg is the managing editor of FanGraphs and the co-host of Effectively Wild. Prior to joining FanGraphs, her work appeared at Baseball Prospectus, Lookout Landing, and Just A Bit Outside. You can follow her on twitter @megrowler.

31 Comments
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Old Washington Senators Fanmember
6 months ago

MLB’s dream World Series:

Rangers or Astros vs. Dodgers or Phillies

Low payroll rocks Series:

Orioles/Rays vs. D-Backs/Marlins – any combo of these

Advertisers’ Nightmare Series:

Twins/Rays vs. Brewers/Marlins

Florida Man Series:

Rays vs. Marlins

MAGA Dream Series:

Rangers/Astros vs. Braves

Canadian Delight Series:

Blue Jays vs. Anyone

Southwest Special:

Texas/Houston vs. D-Backs

East Coast Special:

Orioles vs. Phillies

Bandwagon Fan Special:

Astros vs. Dodgers/Braves

achidestermember
6 months ago

I’ll throw in a subcategory of “Let’s Remember Some World Series” Rematches:

1965 (Dodgers/Twins)1966 (Dodgers/Orioles)1983 (Orioles/Phillies)1991 (Twins/Braves)2008 (Phillies/Rays)2020 (Dodgers/Rays)2021 (Braves/Astros)2022 (Astros/Phillies)

Last edited 6 months ago by achidester
hglmanmember
6 months ago
Reply to  achidester

Dodgers/Astros 2017, Trash Can Revenge

TKDCmember
6 months ago
Reply to  achidester

Jays and Braves (1992) and Phillies (1993)

bglick4
6 months ago
Reply to  achidester

The 2008 series is absolutely one in need of a redo. That was an awful WS what with the lousy weather and lousy play.

oregonianredbird
6 months ago

Going for 1st WS Title:
Brewers vs. Rangers/Rays/Blue Jays

Mr. Jones
6 months ago

Joe Carter does not approve of this message.

dodgerbleu
6 months ago
Reply to  Mr. Jones

Mitch Williams does

Jason Bmember
6 months ago

Maybe “3” in Canada converts to “1” in imperial units. I’ll never understand the metric system

Last edited 6 months ago by Jason B
Lanidrac
6 months ago

Not counting the incorrect inclusion of the Blue Jays, at least the Rangers are still in the running for their first championship despite the Brewers and Rays both getting knocked out in the first round.

Just remember to play No Doubles (or Triples) Defense properly this time when you’re one out away from clinching the World Series.

hglmanmember
6 months ago

deleted

Last edited 6 months ago by hglman