If KATOH Had a Team in the Draft

Now that I’ve projected all of the college players taken (and not taken), I thought it would be fun to see what would have happened if a team picked straight from the KATOH rankings. In practice, this would be a terrible strategy, as KATOH would be picking from a talent pool less than half the size of everyone else’s. Since I only have projections for guys who played regularly in Division 1 this year, a lot of talent would not even be considered. All high-school, junior-college, Division II, and Division III players — plus Division I players who were injured or benched — would not be eligible.

It also doesn’t account for the fact that many of KATOH’s top guys were near certain to fall to the middle or late rounds. Or that some had likely informed teams they were going back to school next year. A competent front office would have drafted accordingly, rather than blindly picking names off of a list. In an effort to compensate for these disadvantages, I gave KATOH the No. 1 pick in the draft and the top pick in the two supplemental rounds, as well. I excluded registered sex offender Luke Heimlich from KATOH’s draft board, as all 30 MLB teams did the same with their own boards.

Right now, this is nothing more than a list of names, consisting mostly of non-prospects. But it will be fun to look back in a few years to see how these guys fare. Most of these picks will probably look silly in hindsight, but most draft picks look silly anyway, especially once you get past the first few rounds.

KATOH’s 2017 Draft Class
Rd Name Pos School Actual Result KATOH
1 Brendan McKay LHP/1B Louisville 4th Overall to Tampa 8.0
1s Griffin Canning RHP UCLA 2nd Round to Los Angeles (AL) 6.6
2 Brian Howard RHP TCU 8th Round to Oakland 2.5
2s Darren McCaughan RHP Cal State Long Beach 12th Round to Seattle 2.3
3 Connor Seabold RHP Cal State Fullerton 3rd Round to Philadelphia 2.2
4 Devon Perez RHP U Oklahoma 21st Round to Los Angeles (AL) 2.1
5 Bailey Ober RHP College of Charleston 12th Round to Minnesota 1.9
6 Noah Bremer RHP Washington 6th Round to Texas 1.9
7 Tyler Holton LHP Florida State 35th Round to Miami 1.6
8 Jimmy Herron CF Duke U 31st Round to New York (AL) 1.5
9 J.J. Schwarz C Florida 38th Round to Tampa 1.5
10 Deacon Liput 2B/SS Florida 29th Round to Los Angeles (NL) 1.4
11 Robert Garcia LHP UC – Davis 15th Rouns to Kansas City 1.3
12 Tyler Stevens RHP U New Mexico 18th Round to Los Angeles (AL) 1.0
13 Mike Gretler 3B Oregon State 39th Round to Pittsburgh 0.9
14 Cody Anderson LHP Washington State Undrafted 0.9
15 Jared Janczak RHP Texas Christian Undrafted 0.9
16 Brock Fulkerson RHP SIU-Edwardsville Undrafted 0.8
17 Brooks Wilson RHP Stetson U 24th Round to Texas 0.7
18 Luke Lind RHP North Dakota State Undrafted 0.7
19 B.J. Myers RHP West Virginia Undrafted 0.7
20 Jake Mangum CF Mississippi State 30th Round to New York (AL) 0.6
21 Devin Hemmerich LHP Norfolk St U 26th Round to Los Angeles (NL) 0.6
22 Matt Brown RHP San Jose St U 27th Round to San Francisco 0.6
23 John Sheaks RHP Long Beach State Undrafted 0.6
24 Brendan Burns RHP Ball State Undrafted 0.6
25 Josh Rojas 2B Hawaii 26th Round to Houston 0.5
26 Cody Roberts C/RHP North Carolina 38th Round to Miami 0.5
27 Brendan Hornung RHP Hawaii Undrafted 0.5
28 L.T. Tolbert IF South Carolina Undrafted 0.5
29 Steven Ledesma RHP UC Santa Barbara Undrafted 0.5
30 J.J. Hancock C Washington State Undrafted 0.5
31 Cal Stevenson OF Arizona Undrafted 0.5
32 Taylor Schwaner IF SE Louisiana Undrafted 0.5
33 Ryan Anderson IF UC Davis Undrafted 0.5
34 Hunter Simmons IF Utah Undrafted 0.5
35 A.J. Jones RHP Long Beach State Undrafted 0.5
36 Nelson Mompierre C Missouri Undrafted 0.4
37 Ryan Simpler RHP East Tennessee State Undrafted 0.4
38 Conner Dotson RHP West Virginia Undrafted 0.4
39 Nelson Martz RHP SIU-Edwardsville Undrafted 0.4
40 Andrew Weston RHP Cal State Northeridge Undrafted 0.4
UD Luke Heimlich RHP Oregon State Undrafted 6.4





Chris works in economic development by day, but spends most of his nights thinking about baseball. He writes for Pinstripe Pundits, FanGraphs and The Hardball Times. He's also on the twitter machine: @_chris_mitchell None of the views expressed in his articles reflect those of his daytime employer.

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Joe Joemember
6 years ago

Have you ever tried to see which team is KATOH most like by comparing their prospects/college picks scouting grades to their KATOH grade?

Max Power
6 years ago
Reply to  Joe Joe

Brewers farm has been written about.