Indians Win-Streak Facts

While we at FanGraphs have tried to supply you with plenty of Indians-related content during their historic torrid streak — Cleveland matched the 2002 Oakland A’s for the American League record with a 20th straight win Monday night — it seems like the club’s run might be failing to receive the recognition, nationally, that it’s due.
Perhaps one reason is Major League Baseball’s criteria for what constitutes a “winning streak.” The 1916 New York Giants are credited with baseball’s longest winning streak, at 26 games. But that Giants club didn’t actually win 26 consecutive games. Over a 27-game span in September of that year, they sandwiched a 12- and 14-game winning streak around a tie.

A 26-game winning streak? Fake news!
To this author, it’s nonsensical that a “winning streak” would not feature an actual, uninterrupted, consecutive series of wins. A better way to characterize the Giants’ feat would to define it as baseball’s record non-losing streak. The “real” mark ought to belong to the 1935 Cubs, who won 21 straight and whose achievement Cleveland has the opportunity to match this afternoon against the Tigers.
So the significance of Cleveland’s game today is perhaps in the eye of the beholder. What’s undisputed, however, is that the Indians have matched the A’s for the AL record of consecutive wins and are just the third team to record a stretch of 20 straight wins.
Winning streaks of at least 20 games in baseball history:
2017 Indians (20)
2002 Athletics (20)
1935 Cubs (21)**longest streak in history
— Ryan M. Spaeder (@theaceofspaeder) September 13, 2017
Whatever happens Wednesday afternoon, one could argue that this is the most dominant stretch of play in baseball history. It’s certainly a more dominant run than the Moneyball A’s of 2002 produced — at least as judged by run differential.
2017 Indians 2002 Athletics
20-0 20-0
134-32 141-65
+102 +76— Richard Justice (@richardjustice) September 13, 2017
Let’s consider some winning-streak facts, many of which have been supplied by the helpful Indians media relations department:
Fact: The Indians have outscored their opponents 134-32.
The quick math yields a run differential of 102. The Dodgers, the club which Sports Illustrated asserted on a recent cover was perhaps the “Best. Team. Ever?” (note the wiggle-room-creating question mark), had led baseball in run differential for much of the season and as a recently as Sept. 5. The Indians overtook the Dodgers in run differential on Sept. 6 (190-187). Less than 10 days later, the Indians have built their run differential lead to 220-168 over the second-ranked Dodgers, entering play Wednesday.
Fact: The Indians have trailed in just four innings.
Four! In 180 innings!
Fact: Cleveland has more home runs than opponents have total runs.
It’s 38 to 32 in favor of Cleveland.
Fact: Indians starting pitchers have gone 18-0 with a 1.71 ERA.
The streak has been fueled by starting pitching. It’s a group that I noted was distancing itself from the pack earlier this summer, a group which Jeff Sullivan — without hyperbole — found was closing in the status as the best in MLB history.
The staff has been dominant from top to bottom and is on pace to become the first to strike out better than 10 batters per nine inning in MLB history.
It’s a staff that positions the club well for October. Remember, this was a team that advanced to Game 7 of the World Series last year down its No. 2 and No. 3 starters in Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar. The Indians’ run last fall was a MacGyver-like formula of Kluber, Andrew Miller, and duct tape.
Fact: Cleveland pitchers have combined for seven shutouts.
The latest came courtesy Corey Kluber on Monday night versus Detroit. Kluber has gone 9-1 in his last 11 starts with a 1.93 ERA and leads the AL with a 2.44 ERA. He has perhaps emerged as a frontrunner in the AL Cy Young race.
Klubot, photographed below from my living room couch after recording the final out Monday night, does not seem to be caught up in the emotion of the streak.
Klubot getting caught up in the emotion of the moment per usual pic.twitter.com/z2bEf0Gp5f
— Travis Sawchik (@Travis_Sawchik) September 13, 2017
Said Kluber to reporters afterward.
โI donโt want to dumb it down, but we went through something similar to this just last season,โ Kluber said. โSo weโve got a little bit of that experience as well. To me, last year we embraced the winning streak more than we are this time. This time I think weโre just going about our business.โ
Just as the Indians have reached another level, so too remarkably has Kluber, who is spinning the ball better than ever, and more often than ever, and might have baseball’s best pitch.
Fact: The Indians are 13-0 to begin September.
It’s the best start to any month since the 1991 Twins went 15-0 to open June.
Fact: Yandy Diaz is batting .377.
A Fringe Five alum, Diaz has been so good during the streak that Cleveland has discussed using Jason Kipnis in center field when he returns from the DL to avoid disrupting the infield. It’s a position Kipnis last played at Arizona State.
Overall, members of the Indians bench have been playing like stars, as Dave wrote earlier this week. Their stars are playing like superstars. That makes a team that’s awfully tough to beat. That allows for one of the best runs in MLB history — if not the best stretch in MLB history.
Put this one in the Did Not Age Well Hall of Fame, @athletics. https://t.co/GjOrqUACfN
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) September 13, 2017
Indeed.
And on Wednesday, the Indians have a chance to pass the A’s and match the Cubs for the longest winning streak in history — depending upon how to define winning. That’s the most impressive fact.
A Cleveland native, FanGraphs writer Travis Sawchik is the author of the New York Times bestselling book, Big Data Baseball. He also contributes to The Athletic Cleveland, and has written for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, among other outlets. Follow him on Twitter @Travis_Sawchik.
Up, Up, Down, Down, Left, Right, Left, Right, B, A, Play Ball
Controlling the strike zone may be the most salient point about both the streak and their year overall. Consider:
For the year, Cleveland pitchers have an all-time record 3.85 SO/BB ratio. Their 10.04 SO/9 would be another record, and their 2.61 BB/9 is best of this year or last. They have the most SO and the fewest BB this year.
Their batters have a 1.90 SO/BB ratio, best of the last 3 years. They have the 2nd-best SO/G and BB/G. So…
Combining both sides, they’re netting +4.01 SO plus BB per game. (Thatโs pitcher SO minus batter SO, plus batter BB minus pitcher BB.)
That would be the best rate ever, by a HUGE margin. Their bulge over #2 (3.14) is bigger than from #2 to #22.
During the streak, theyโre netting +5.25 SO+BB per game, the most among all streaks of 13+ wins.
Travis, there’s an error in your final paragraph. Today is Wednesday.
No doubt the Indians have had an easy schedule during the streak. At the same time, they’ve done this without Miller, Brantley, and Kipnis. And with Bruce, Santana, Ramirez, and Zimmer all missing multiple games due to injuries.
Eh, it hasn’t been THAT easy. Certainly the Tigers and White Sox are awful. But the other half of the streak has been NYY, Royals and Orioles, who are good to average teams in the AL. And one against Boston and Chris Sale. Probably a fairly average strength of schedule for an AL central team at the moment, and next year
Orioles have been outscored by 42 runs this year, Royals by 72. Neither is quite as good as their record.
Baseball Reference Simple Rating System has them as the 10th and 11th best teams in the AL, respecitively. Five Thirty Eight’s ELO rankings put them at 10th and 12th in the AL. So defintiely both below average teams.
The injuries make up for some of the strength of schedule argument (and they have faced teams like the Red Sox with Chris Sale and the Yankees on the road so it’s not like it was all against rebuilding teams). But I’d say not only winning one doubleheader but two in three days (!), both on the road, makes up for even more of that disparity. The sweep of the Yankees in New York was the first time they did it since like 1989; the four game sweep of the Tigers in Detroit was the first time they’ve done it *ever* in their history. This was not an easy stretch of games; there absolutely were pretty big hurdles to clear.
Another way to think about it: let’s say the Indians were 65% favorites to win every game. A 10 game win streak would be around 1.3% chance. A 21 game streak is a .012% chance.
You know how impressive the Indians win streak is? They’re so good now, they even flipped history’s greatest front-runner to their side!
One point barely mentioned is that Cleveland swept an 11-game road trip.
The last to win 11 straight on one trip were the 1957 Reds, who swept a 12-game trip, and ran their road streak to 15 wins before falling 1-0 to Warren Spahn.
The last to win even 10 straight on one trip, or to sweep a trip of 10+, were the 2002 Aโs (10 games in August, the exact middle of their 20-win streak), and the Mariners that same year (10 in April).
The longest road win streaks in one year were 17, by the 1984 Tigers (5 separate trips) and 1916 Giants (one trip).
Cleveland’s next road trip starts next Tuesday, 3 each at the Angels and Mariners.
Cleveland Indians have won 20 straight games. Cleveland Browns won 20 games total from 2012-2016.
That Clevelands Twitter account is impossibly small time.
Ryan Merritt is a LEGEND. Not nice to call him “Duct Tape”
Now that it’s 21, here’s their “record” in net TTO events each game:
Net SO: 16-5
Net BB: 18-0, 3 ties
Net SO+BB: 17-3, 1 tie
Net HR: 16-0, 5 ties
Also, by my count, they’ve only trailed at the end of 4 complete innings, always by 1 run.
I can’t get over the “more HR than runs allowed”. That’s just . . . . .staggering.
BTW, after today’s game it’s now 40 HR to 35 runs allowed over 21 games since they hit 2 dingers but allowed 3 runs today so the opposition is closing the gap.
BTW, the “unsung hero” in the streak is the bullpen. They’ve thrown 57 innings (including today) and given up a grand total of 8 runs (1.26 RA/9).
And at least 5 of those runs were completely meaningless. Red Sox scoring 2 runs off of Nick Goody to cut the score to 13-6 and Yankees scoring 3 runs off of Zach McAllister to cut the score to 9-4.
Yes, lots of the games have been blowouts. And the starters have been amazing. But you don’t win 21 in a row without some great bullpen work as well.
Not really related to your main points, but FWIW, the third baseman Tito is making room for is more likely Gio Urshela, not Yandy Diaz. Tito is quite enamored of the impact of having something a lot like three shortstops on the field, and the organization will be well aware of Yandy’s shortcomings both at bat and in the field โย what a .377 average over a month does mean and doesn’t mean.
Diaz seems locked in as starter based on recent games https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-cleveland-indians/
anyone care to list the position of the starting pitching they have faced over this 20 game period?
I know the Orioles threw Hellickson and Miley who are in the top 5 of worst SIERA in the league, the Royals threw Hammel and Vargas who are in the top 20 of worst SIERA in the league.
Very good ball club, but 15 of these games were against pitiful competition.
Don’t you think most record feats happen in some kind of favorable context? For instance:
— The 21-win streak by the 1935 Cubs began with 18 home games.
— The 20-gamer by the 2002 A’s had only 3 games against winning teams, and 8 against teams that lost 100+.
— The 19-gamer by the ’47 Yanks had just 1 game against a team that finished above 4th place.
Easy enough to look up:
Sale
Vargas
Hammel
Skoglund
Severino
Jaime Garcia
Jordan Montgomery
Boyd
Farmer
Zimmermann
Bell
Shields
Holmberg
Reynaldo Lopez
Pelfrey
Miley
Ynoa
Hellickson
Jaye
Boyd
https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/tgl.cgi?team=CLE&t=b&year=2017
It helps when they don’t have to face their own pitching staff ๐
I feel sorry for anybody who looks at a 21 game winning streak in baseball and feels the need to throw shade.
I was also completely shocked that the 26-game streak was sandwiched around a tie. I have since discovered that the standard for playing at the time forced teams who tied to replay the game, which in this case was done the following day and resulted in a ‘W’. Since this streak happened 19 years before the first night game with lights, I can see how it makes sense to call it a 26 game streak. And, Elias has always viewed the streak as 26.
So if a guy with a hitting streak goes oh-fer in a tie, would you recognize his streak as still alive?
22! And now we need a more serious talk about ties and win streaks.
I say 26 should stand. First, it would be strange to just change the standard after decades because a team has taken sole possession of second place. But I think it is also the fair thing to do, especially in this case. I think you have a better argument for not counting the tie if it goes deep into extra innings, but it seems that the only reason the game wasn’t finished was because it got dark. They didn’t even get 9 innings to get the lead.
I can guaran-damn-tee that if the roles were reversed, and the Indians had a tie thrown in one of their games, no one would be trying to rewrite the standard.
Ties in baseball don’t count. They don’t mean anything. You don’t win or lose a division race because you have a tie. They have zero effect on any part of the standings that matter. They are the same as if the game were simply not played.
Also, the Giants won 26 straight games, since baseball doesn’t have ties and this has always been recognized as the record, and Fangraphs should not retrospectively try to rewrite it because it makes this narrative slightly more exciting. Maybe we should discount the Indians’ record too, since they were not all properly won in 9 innings.
I’m not a (NY) Giants fans and have generally been enjoying the Indians’ historic streak. I’m just a fan of accuracy and integrity.
Yeah it does seem a bit odd with the whole tie thing. The game was replayed the next day, so seems like since it was not recorded as a tie in the team’s win-loss records since it was replayed, the only thing that matters from that game is individual stats. So if a hitting streak record was set or something for an individual player, it would make sense to count that. But since the game was re-played then that seems to erase the tie having occurred. A game can’t have been both a tie and a win, right? It’s in the books as a win to my understanding.
Anyway hopefully they just get to 27 so we can stop quibbling over this. It’s been an incredible thing to witness. I think it also puts pressure on them to at least make it to the World Series, as anything less would seem pretty disappointing.
Baseball does still have ties. The Cubs tied with Pittsburgh last Sept. 29 — there was no opportunity to resume it during that final week, and it made no difference to the standings, but it went at least 5 innings, so it’s a game. Ivan Nova got a CG for 5.1 IP.
I’m not saying that alone should settle the question. But it’s a fact that ties still exist, and all stats in tie games do count.
I respect the view that a baseball tie doesn’t disrupt a team win streak. But I’ve yet to hear anyone on that side explain how they’d apply the same logic to individual streaks that intersect a tie. If a guy with a hitting streak goes 0-for-4 but the game ends tied and is never completed, is his streak still alive?
The analogy is one of fair opportunity to get a result. In the case of the 0-for-4, he had as much opportunity as most hitters get in a game. In the case of that Giants tie, they had 8 times at bat, which is what most home winners get, I believe. And in both cases, there is no inherent guarantee of a certain amount of opportunity. Had the Giants been trailing when rain stopped the game, it would have been just a loss and tough luck to the streak.
It’s not a perfect analogy, but it could fuel the conversation. The question of tie games in win streaks can’t be settled with complete disregard of related matters.