Astros Lose Carlos Correa For Two Months
Last Friday, the best player in the American League West returned after a nearly two month absence due to a broken left thumb. Today, the Astros announced that maybe the second best player in the AL West is going to miss the next two months due to a broken left thumb.
Astros have placed Carlos Correa on the 10-day disabled list with a torn ligament in his left thumb. He is expected to miss 6 to 8 weeks.
— Houston Astros (@astros) July 18, 2017
Trout had the UCL in his thumb repaired, going on the DL on May 29th, and then he returned on July 14th. Assuming Correa’s injury is of similar nature and requires a similar amount of time away, Correa would be looking at a return in early-to-mid September. That would give him a few weeks to get back up to speed before the postseason begins.
While this is a blow to the Astros, the enormous early lead they’ve built allows them to absorb this better than most contenders. With a 15 1/2 game lead over the second place Mariners, their chances of winning the division, even without Correa, are still quite high. The real concern here is whether this is something that might linger and affect him in October.
In Correa’s absence, we’d expect either Alex Bregman or Marwin Gonzalez to take over as the everyday shortstop, with the other manning third base. Both have played the position previously, so it will depend on whether the team prefers to move Bregman back to the position he played in college and the minors, or whether they prefer to keep him at third base, since that’s where he’ll play when Correa returns. Gonzalez’s offensive explosion this year means the team has a reasonable fill-in, regardless of how they line up the defense.
I do wonder if this will nudge the Astros towards adding a corner outfielder at the deadline, however. Gonzalez had drawn 23 starts in left field, his most at any position, and if he’s an everyday infielder now, the team will have to lean more heavily on Nori Aoki or Jake Marisnick. You probably don’t want either of those guys as an everyday player in October, so adding an LF upgrade could provide some insurance for the team’s offense in case Correa’s return doesn’t go as well as hoped, or if the injury saps him of any power after he returns.
The Astros have the benefit of not needing to overreact to this news, but this does add some uncertainty to the mix. Depending on what is available, it’s probably not a bad idea for the Astros to look around for some corner outfielders now, especially if they can find a solid bat who swings from the left side.
Dave is the Managing Editor of FanGraphs.
they need to make sure he’s 100% by the playoffs, even if it means holding him out until the last week of the season
Actually they probably want to get him into a few real games before the playoffs, since there’s no minor league rehab in late September.
The pickings are slim… Melky, Bruce, Granderson… I’m sure I’m forgetting a few others.
LF? uhh Derek Fisher
Will be interesting to see how playing time works out, because Moran got called up and he’s limited to 3B (and also deserves a shot at playing time with the season he’s having in AAA). Wouldn’t the optimal thing be to institute about the same time share at SS between Marwin/Bregman as they had at 3B, and then maybe, just maybe, it’s time to jettison Aoki and bring up Fisher for good?
This is exactly what I was thinking. Derek Fisher in left, and they’ve got so many possible players to play third and short (Bregman, Marwin, Gurriel, Moran) that I think they can make do with some combination of those. Unless the Reds are willing to sell low on Cozart, I don’t think they can improve the infield much with a trade anyway and they’ve got a replacement in left in Fisher.
Do you think there’s any chance this could nudge the Astros towards swinging a big trade for someone like Machado?
They have the pieces to swing it without trashing the farm system.
A lineup with Springer/Altuve/Correa/Machado at the top, in whatever order, would be devastating in the playoffs.
Not to get too technical, but does a torn ligament equal a broken thumb?
I’m sure if it’s your thumb, it feels like it.
I don’t see this making the Astros go after a corner outfielder. Maybe they will, but I don’t see this as a factor. It seems extremely unlikely that Correa won’t be back by October, and even if he doesn’t play a single rehab game, you have to think the Astros will play him everyday in the playoffs, and try to win with him, even if he struggles. I just can’t see the Astros deciding to go it without Correa just because he might not be totally recovered. So whether or not they go after more help for the offense should revolve around what they think of the other players on the team, not Correa.
Cutch would be a good fit for Houston if he is willing to play a corner OF. The Astros system is deep enough to have a fit for a trade with the Pirates too.
I guess a lot of Astros fans are now going to pay close attention to Trout’s return, to make sure it goes smoothly.
Sometimes baseball can be not fun. Be always fun, baseball.
Daniel Nava would seem to make all sorts of sense – won’t cost much, good defense at both corners and can fill in at 1B in a pinch, and playoff experience.
They could always recall Derek Fisher to help out in LF if no good trade materializes for them.