Draft Results: The 2017 Over/Under Prospect Game
This very minute, the author has published an episode of FanGraphs Audio in which lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen and that same dumb author play the first inaugural edition of the Over/Under Prospect Game. The rules of the game are discussed in greater detail within the pod episode. In short, though, this is how it’s played:
- Contestant A nominates a rookie-eligible player.
- Contestant A also sets an over/under figure for that player’s WAR in 2017.
- Contestant B chooses the over or under.
For sake of simplicity, we limited the game to 10 nominations total, five by Longenhagen and five by me. The only criterion for a nominee was that he retained his rookie eligibility entering the 2017 campaign.
Here’s the outcome of our draft in the order in which it happened:
Round | Contestant A | Player | Team | WAR | Contestant B | O/U |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Longenhagen | Manuel Margot | Padres | 1.5 | Cistulli | Over |
2 | Cistulli | Jose De Leon | Rays | 2.0 | Longenhagen | Under |
3 | Longenhagen | Senzel + Burdi | CIN + CWS | 0.7 | Cistulli | Under |
4 | Cistulli | Charlie Tilson | White Sox | 0.9 | Longenhagen | Over |
5 | Longenhagen | Mitch Haniger | Mariners | 1.7 | Cistulli | Under |
6 | Cistulli | Jharel Cotton | Athletics | 2.2 | Longenhagen | Over |
7 | Longenhagen | Albert Almora | Cubs | 2.4 | Cistulli | Under |
8 | Cistulli | Gavin Cecchini | Mets | 0.4 | Longenhagen | Under |
9 | Longenhagen | Stephen Gonsalves | Twins | 1.0 | Cistulli | Under |
10 | Cistulli | German Marquez | Rockies | 0.7 | Longenhagen | Over |
Contestant B chooses over or under for that player.
With his third selection, Longnehagen annoyingly submitted the combined WAR of Nick Senzel and Zack Burdi — which is why those two players are listed together in the third row. Otherwise, the results should be pretty self-explanatory.
Over the course of the season, I’ll revisit the selections here and maybe annotate it with some light commentary. Unless it’s clear I’m losing badly, I mean, in which case I’ll ignore this post and forget it ever happened.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Why don’t you set up a poll so the listeners at home can play too?