Is Baseball’s Most Improved Hitter…Taylor Motter?
Statcast! Who doesn’t love playing with Statcast? Baseball Savant makes it all possible, so let’s take a quick look at a 2017 vs. 2016 comparison. I looked at every hitter with at least 30 batted balls in each of the last two seasons. Here’s a plot of all of their changes in average exit velocity and average launch angle. One data point is highlighted.
The point I highlighted belongs to Taylor Motter. There’s a pretty great chance you’ve never even heard of Taylor Motter. He was a quiet acquisition, and he might not even be playing in the majors were it not for health issues with Shawn O’Malley and Jean Segura. But there’s Motter, a utility type with a 179 wRC+. Last season, in exit velocity, he ranked in the 25th percentile, by names like Eduardo Escobar and Chris Stewart. So far this season, he ranks in the 97th percentile. In fact, here’s the whole top 10!
- Miguel Sano
- Joey Gallo
- Miguel Cabrera
- Nick Castellanos
- Khris Davis
- Freddie Freeman
- Taylor Motter
- Yandy Diaz
- Manny Machado
- Aaron Judge
Very strong, dangerous hitters. Also Yandy Diaz and Taylor Motter. Diaz is interesting, but he’s also hit a bunch of grounders. Motter’s been elevating, and when you look at that plot, his launch angle is up four degrees, and his exit velocity is up nine ticks. Sano has the next-biggest exit-velocity gain, at +6.7. Then it’s Castellanos, at +5.3. No one else has reached +4. Obviously, the samples are small, too small to arrive at certain conclusions, but Motter might’ve seen this as his best shot at building a career. Here he is, and with the Mariners having dropped Leonys Martin yesterday, Motter could stick around, playing all over semi-regularly.
If you watch Taylor Motter go deep, he looks like a home-run hitter. Like, everything about this seems perfectly natural.
Yet here’s the real trick. What’s driving Motter’s early success? Why couldn’t he do this in a brief stint last season? Motter is trying to hit literally everything to left field. He’s trying to make the most of the bat speed he has.
Nobody has a higher pull rate than Motter’s 72%. Only Trevor Plouffe has a lower opposite-field rate than Motter’s 5%. Motter’s been hunting pitches he can elevate and pull, and he’s gotten enough of them to accomplish what he’s accomplished. If you’re curious, since 2002, the highest single-season pull rate for a qualified hitter has been 64%, by 2003 Tony Batista. If you drop the minimum to 250 plate appearances, then the highest pull rate is 66%, by 2002 Greg Vaughn. Pull hitters like Vaughn, Batista, Marcus Thames, and Gary Sheffield don’t really work for me as potential Motter comps.
No, I think there’s an obvious one, here. There’s a decent chance Motter will be exposed over a greater period of time. It might even be a good chance. Motter, after all, struggled just last season. But if he holds to this approach, and if it works for him, you could see him as someone in the Brian Dozier mold. Dozier became a quality everyday player when he started to pull the ball aggressively in the air. Pitchers haven’t been able to solve him yet, after a handful of years. Given a good-enough eye and quick-enough hands, a hitter can survive like this, essentially eliminating half of the field. It’s no way to be *great*, but one can be good. Or even just useful.
Taylor Motter isn’t Brian Dozier, officially. But he’s channeled Dozier in getting to this point, where he’s currently the most-searched player on FanGraphs.com. Sometimes baseball makes me write the weirdest damn sentences.
Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

Who’s that to Motter’s left in the graph?
Sano!
This should be about the easiest possible adjustment for pitchers to make. At the point they decide that he is not a flash in the pan with no scouting reports, they should be able to punish him with soft stuff down and away – not the toughest location to pound. Perhaps he will be able to feast on mistakes, but he has only recently gained the respect that he is going to need to deal with to keep this up.
While in theory I agree with you, pitchers aren’t that good. They haven’t turned Dozier bad. They haven’t — until now! — turned Jose Bautista bad. It’s much easier in theory than it is in reality.
I agree that pitchers don’t execute. Dozier is usually terrible for half a season, so there is that! He flirts with being washed up every year. I am mostly saying that there is a difference between guys who have demonstrated a sustained ability to do this and a guy who has done it for two weeks.
Did you notice they just updated the Statcast search? You can now return a player’s xBA (based on launch angle and exit velocity) as a result (and even xBA – BA to see who’s theoretically under/overperforming!). Rad as hell.
Will Taylor Motter become the best baseball player to come out of Palm Beach Gardens High School? His competition is Chris Volstad, career 3.1 WAR.
He’s been killing the ball by waiting for a fastball on the inner half. There will come a time very, very soon when pitchers just stop throwing there (intentionally).
Who are the two anti-Motters on the left side of the graph? My guess for the bottom left is Joey Bats, maybe Buxton for the top left?
I know he’s putting the ball in the air, but if he’s pulling that much then wouldn’t we expect teams to start shifting and completely kill his BABIP?
Good point. With his approach you might as well shift the right fielder as well!
His swing looks a lil’ like Jason Werth.
Where do you get the spray chart from? Is it from Baseball Savant as well, like that EV/LA chart?
Who is up at the very top of the graph?