Top Weekend College Games by (Maybe) Predictive Stats

Earlier this week, the author published a post claiming to include the top players by (maybe) predictive stats from college baseball’s most competitive conferences.

What follows are the three weekend series likely to feature the greatest number of players whose names appeared within that post. MPS+ and MPS- are index metrics based on those (maybe) predictive stats and designed for batters and pitchers, respectively. In each case, 100 is average, while above 100 is better for batters and below 100 is better for pitchers. Read more about the author’s questionable methodology here.

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Arkansas at Texas A&M
Who It Features
One of the best players in all the SEC. Draft-eligible sophomore and Arkansas center fielder Andrew Benintendi (160 PA, 151 MPS+) leads not merely the conference but all of Division 1 with 14 home runs. He’s also recorded a strikeout rate (12.5%) about a standard deviation better than conference average and occupies (one notes) a place on the more challenging end of the defensive spectrum. All five of the following also appear among the conference’s top-20 batters: junior right fielder Tyler Spoon (148 PA, 123 MPS+) and junior third baseman Bobby Wernes (151 PA, 115 MPS+) on Arkansas; plus sophomore right fielder Nick Banks (148 PA, 114 MPS+), sophomore third baseman Ronnie Gideon (107 PA, 118 MPS+), and junior left fielder Logan Taylor (132 PA, 128 MPS+) for Texas A&M. Among pitchers, Arkansas’ Friday night starter Grayson Long (51.0 IP, 86 MPS-) has produced the best numbers. Long features a fastball that sits in the low-90s and peaks at 93 mph, according to Perfect Game.

When It’s On (ET)
Friday at 7:30pm
Saturday at 8:30pm
Sunday at 4:00pm

How to Watch It
SEC Network and Watch ESPN (link).

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California at UCLA
Who It Features
UCLA senior third baseman Chris Keck (144 PA, 128 MPS+)! Keck has climbed out of relative anonymity to produce the fourth-best batting line among Pac-12 hitters. Indeed, to say that he’s climbed out of anonymity might be a misnomer. The author has inquired about Keck with multiple real baseball people and the general response is something along the lines either of “I’m unfamiliar with that name” and/or “How did you get this number?” It isn’t a foregone conclusion that Keck will develop into a useful major leaguer, but there’s a higher probability, it would seem, than what his lack of press would suggest. This series actually features 10 of the top-20 players in the entire conference, per the (maybe) predictive stats utilized by the author.

When It’s On (ET)
Thursday at 10:00pm
Friday at 7:00pm
Saturday at 10:30pm

How to Watch It
Pac-12 Network (link).

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Wake Forest at Louisville
Who It Features
No fewer than three of the ACC’s most compelling pitchers, all on Louisville. Freshman left-hander Brendan McKay (47.0 IP, 69 MPS-) has been serving as Louisville’s Saturday starter of late while other left-hander, sophomore Drew Harrington (28.1 IP, 72 MPS-), has worked almost exclusively in relief. They’ve produced the second- and third-best pitching marks, respectively, in the conference. Junior right-hander Kyle Funkhouser (59.2 IP, 91 MPS-) has been less effective than his teammates, but has exhibited enough in the way of arm speed and command to get drafted among this year’s top-five selections according to Jesse Burkhart. Wake Forest, meanwhile, features two of the league’s top-three hitters: sophomore first baseman Will Craig (173 PA, 161 MPS+) and sophomore second baseman Nate Mondou (181 PA, 142 MPS+).

When It’s On (ET)
Friday at 5:00pm
Saturday at 1:00pm
Sunday at 1:00pm

How to Watch It
College Sports Live for Friday’s game (link).
Watch ESPN for Saturday and Sunday’s game (link).





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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