After Giancarlo Stanton rejected deals to the Cardinals and Giants, the Yankees sensed opportunity and have reportedly reached an agreement to acquire the NL MVP. While the Shohei Ohtani decision Friday was the most anticipated news item of the offseason, this is a stunning and fascinating development.
sources: yankees and marlins have a deal for giancarlo stanton
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) December 9, 2017
— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) December 9, 2017
The stove is piping hot.
Already in possession of the only player to rival and exceed Stanton’s power and frame in Aaron Judge, the Yankees now have each of the game’s Statcast Gods — if Stanton approves the deal. Complete details are not known regarding the return for the Marlins.
Stanton wanted to play for a winner and he would join a Yankees team that advanced to the ALCS last year and is loaded with young talent and set up to enjoy a long window of contention.
Judge and Stanton each filled highlight shows with mammoth home runs last season as each eclipsed 50 home runs. They finished 1-2 in average exit velocity on line drives and flyballs
While Ohtani has a chance to be a historic figure as a two-way player, the only MLB team to ever have two 50-plus home run hitters in the same lineup in the same season was the 1961 Yankees with Mickey Mantle and Roger Maris.
The ramifications of the deal are fascinating.
The Yankees (89 wins) trailed the Red Sox (91), Astros (97) and Indians (93) in the AL in projected wins before the deal. Stanton could swing the AL East race in favor of the Yankees.
I assume Stanton and Judge would slot in corner outfield spots and occasionally fill the DH role for a respite. Does Stanton eliminate the Yankees as Bryce Harper favorites or even contenders next offseason, or would the Yankees still be willing to court Harper and place him in center field?
sounds like yanks are planning on keeping gardner. if they get stanton, they'd likely rotate those two plus judge in the 2 corner OF spots plus dh.
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) December 9, 2017
If the deal goes through, it’s going to be interesting to see how Stanton’s power fits as Yankee Stadium II and its absurdly close right-field wall. Mike Petriello examined the Statcast data and found there might be as large of a change as we might expect.
If Stanton had called Yankee Stadium home in 2017, the home run difference would have been… maybe nothing at all!
RF is shorter, but he hits everything so far anyway that he had nothing in the "maybe" zone there. pic.twitter.com/umT8AmlYQf
— Mike Petriello (@mike_petriello) December 9, 2017
Stanton’s line drives and flyballs since 2015 overlayed with Yankee Stadium:
Still, I’d be interested to see if Yankee Stadium II helps Stanton build upon and consolidate the skill gains he made last season, through a closed stance, in reducing his strikeout rate by six percentage points en route to a career-low (23.6%) mark, while still smashing an-MLB best 59 home runs. While Stanton didn’t dramatically change his spray chart and batted-ball profile, he made better contact and 34.3% of his fly balls went for home runs.
We don’t know what the Marlins received yet but the franchise looks to be on the verge of entering a deep down-period and will be without its top drawing card if Stanton accepts.
Jeff polled the crowd in his recent front-office rankings and the Marlins were graded to be by far the worst. It’s fair to wonder what exactly CEO Derek Jeter is doing and why an ownership group that paid $1.2 billion to buy the Marlins in the summer cannot afford its best player, and has been so desperate to move its best player.
A new era begins. pic.twitter.com/WkqL2oyn2O
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) October 3, 2017
If the trade was largely a cash dump as anticipated, then the Marlins are probably not returning cornerstone players in a rebuilding effort.
This is akin to being house poor, to buying a the-top-of-your budget home and not being able to furnish it. The Marlins have already moved Dee Gordon, the NL MVP is perhaps gone, and maybe Christian Yelich and Marcell Ozuna will follow. Marlins Park is going often be an empty house in 2018. Yankee Stadium II is going to be filled and the ball is going to be flying.
It’s going to be interesting to see if Stanton opts out, and how he ages. But those are longer-term concerns. In the shorter-term, we’re going to see Judge and Stanton together against Baltimore pitching. Let’s hold off on de-juicing the ball another year, MLB.