Mike Newman Prospects Chat – 1/17/12
Mike Newman is the Owner/Managing Editor ofROTOscouting, a subscription site focused on baseball scouting, baseball prospects and fantasy baseball. Follow me onTwitter. Likeus on Facebook.Subscribeto my YouTube Channel.
Which is a more reasonable stat line:
Montero- .280 AVG, 25 HR, .5 BB/K, .900 OPS
Pineda- 15 Wins, 200 IP, 3.00 ERA, 9 k/9,
The catch will be the .900 OPS vs. The 3.00 ERA. I don’t think either is attainable. If you said .820 and 3.50, it would be a better conversation starter. In that case I’d say PIneda, but it’s close. Montero will need some time to adjust to MLB a d Pineda has already achieved success.
Great chat, Mike. Thanks!
I would say Montero’s line is more reasonable, because of the AL East.
After next season, Hanley will be a 3b, no longer having ss eligibility. Therefore, would his value still be higher than Kinsler’s value at 2b entering the 2013 season? Assuming Hanley delivers a 300/20/30 line this season with good counting stats, and Kinsler has his usual 30/30 potential.
Hanley may very well keep SS eligibility. I don’t think Reyes will play 140 games with his injury history.
Could you give us an idea of Leonys Martin’s speed/power potential?
I’m not overly familiar with Martin beyond what you have read elsewhere.
I don’t think Montero can have 900 OPS with 280 AVG. I would expect something like 305/370/530/900.
Hasn’t Mike Trout already made his MLB debut?
$200 Keeper/Auction league. Can keep players for three years. Have Trout in year 2 at $2. Do I keep him with limited production this year, and as a $3 possible starter the next year….which would be the final year I would have him. Or do I free up the roster space for someone that will contribute more now? Thanks!
Trout in that format is tough. He’s just so young that you won’t have him through his prime. Can you trade him and cash in on the name? Prospects always leave somebody dreaming about a breakout.
I will throw it out there. Thanks Mike!
Dynasty question… keep Rex Brothers or Mike Adams? Brothers is only 24, seems to be the Rockies’ future closer, and gets a ton of K’s. However, Adams is the epitome of consistency (low WHIP, ERA, & high Ks). My concern about keeping the better pitcher (Adams) is that he turns 34 in July and just had hernia surgery. Am I foolish for keeping Adams over Brothers in a dynasty league??
I’d keep Brothers…
I’d keep Brothers as well. He just has too many productive years in front of him. The close situation in COL certainly helps his cause as well.
What do you think about Carlos Perez (the LHP in the Braves system)? Did he show any signs of being able to harness his command and tap into his potential, and how great is his potential?
Lastly, if he doesn’t cut it as a starter in the long run, does he have the pitches to become a top flight reliever?
Perez was just okay. He’s definitely a prospect, but is young and awkward. He need an opportunity to grow into his body and develop better coordination. Thats what’s causing the poor control more than command or feel. He actually has good feel for his changeup and curveball at his age.
Thanks. You’re the best.
Dynasty League Hot Corner: Just what is a top prospect worth?
http://www.rantsports.com/fantasy/2012/01/18/dynasty-league-hot-corner-just-what-is-a-top-prospect-worth/
Fangraphs is probably not the best place to post links like this in the comments area, but I did give it a quick read. One of the things I’ve done this off-season in leagues is loosen up the purse strings in terms of prospects to the benefit of my big league roster. In one league, I’ve acquired Hanley Ramirez and Elvis Andrus for Eovaldi, Christian Villanueva, Adrian Salcedo and Anthony Rizzo, along with a couple of my own big league pieces.
Vizcaino a set-up guy? He’s got closer stuff…
Viz has closer stuff, but he’s 3rd in line behind Kimbrel and Venters. My mentioning he could wind up a setup man was alluding to the fact the vast majority of prospects do not reach their ceilings and Viz falling short of closer is fully in the realm of possibility over the long haul.