Mike Newman Prospects Chat – 11/8/11
Mike Newman is the Owner/Managing Editor ofROTOscouting, a subscription site focused on baseball scouting, baseball prospects and fantasy baseball. Follow me onTwitter. Likeus on Facebook.Subscribeto my YouTube Channel.
Callis at BA has ranked the Big 3 righty draftees in order as Bundy, Bauer, and Cole. What is your ranking? And given the O’s historical pitching prospect development curve, when do you see Bundy in the bigs, assuming of course that the mythical Orioles pitching prospect curse does not strike him…
Bauer is more safe of a play than Cole and I can see it. Bundy’s combination of stuff, polish and baseball IQ is pretty impressive. I imagine he’ll move quite quickly for a HS righty. I might be tempted to rank the same way Callis did right now.
Why would any team want Lowrie/Reddick
a guy who cant stay healthy and a AAAA player that every teams has
Josh Reddick had a higher WAR this season than Jurrjens. So, there’s that.
Jurrjens now has a pretty solid track record as a solid, mid-rotation starter. Not sure comparing the WAR of Reddick to JJ is fair, but neither is labeling the combination of Lowrie/Reddick what he did.
Lowrie and Reddick would definitely fill holes for the Braves. As a utility guy, Lowrie has value kind of like Omar Infante or Martin Prado does to a lesser extent. The Braves have exactly 0 outfield prospects worth having on a big league roster come opening day. Reddick would be a great add as a guy who can play all three outfield spots, play most days and allow Prado to move around more and become even more valuable.
The sum of Reddick-Lowrie-Teheran into the rotation far outweighs JJ and makes the Braves a much better team overall.
Don’t you think you are being a bit harsh on the Giants organization? I understand that performance is not the same as prospect status, but Brown and Panik were both named MVP’s or their respective age and development appropriate leagues by MILB. The Giants drafted 7 pitchers who have hit 97 on the radar gun so they are reloading their pitching depth. I don’t see the downside to having 3 catching prospects in their top 10. Good catchers are as scarce as hen’s teeth and the Giants have at least 3 and that doesn’t count Monell who is also a legitimate catching prospect.
No, I don’t think so. Brown was old for a league that’s considered a hitter’s haven. Check to see how Francisco Peguero did at the same level….
I’ve scouted Panik in person and see him as more of a 2B in the end. He’s a solid regular for me, but not and impact guy and I wonder how well he will hit good lefties as I’ve watched Jed Bradley own him a couple of times now.
It’s nice to see them drafting arms because they dealt the only arm (Wheeler) who was worth a flip that I’ve ever really scouted at the Sally level. Augusta is known for a staff full of 22-24 year old organizational pitchers.
I’m a big fan of Sanchez and haven’t had the chance to see Susac, but I wasn’t a fan of Tommy Joseph and he wouldn’t rank in the top-15 of most organizations.
You mention a guy like Monell in double-A, but he’s 25 already. That’s simply not a catching “prospect” at this point. Heck, Jackson Williams was a great defender when I saw him, but he’s not a catching prospect either.
1. This was Brown’s first full pro season. High A is both age and developmentally appropriate for him.
2. Yes, I am fully aware of what Peguro did in San Jose. I am also aware that he did pretty darn well in the strongly pitcher friendly Eastern League.
3. Other analysts who know a thing or two about scouting say Panik can stay as SS.
4. Tommy Joseph made great strides on defense this year and mashed as the second youngest player in the Cal League. He is easily a top 15 if not top 10 in most organizations.
5. The Giants organizational pitching has thinned out a lot in the last 2 years. Since John Barr took over as Scouting Director, their drafts have leaned more toward hitting. I would have preferred to see Brown traded for Beltran, but the Giants brass didn’t see it that way, plus I am sure Sandy Alderson knew what he was doing and insisted on Wheels. The Giants are already taking steps to re-stock the pitching though.
6. Monell has been a slower developer due to injuries early in his pro career. I think he will make MLB as a backup catcher which isn’t nothing. Left-handed hitting catchers can have long careers as backups. Not saying he should have been listed in the top 15, but he is a prospect at a position of extreme scarcity.
Have you had a chance to scout Martin Perez? I’ve heard talks of him, at times, having a plus verging on plus plus changeup, plus fastball and above-average/plus curveball. People seem to get hungout on his lack of success given his stuff but just turning twenty. Thoughts?