NERD Game Scores: A Brief Exercise in Human Fallibility
Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
Washington at Pittsburgh | 19:05 ET
Scherzer (138.0 IP, 76 xFIP-) vs. Locke (103.1 IP, 103 xFIP-)
One finds, not infrequently — within the help-wanted section of his local daily — one finds calls from area employers for a sort of job applicant who possesses what is best described as an “attention to detail.” Indeed, as of Thursday night in America, no fewer than 51 of the classified ads in the Concord Monitor — i.e. the newspaper published most closely to the author’s birth home — no fewer than 51 ads featured that precise arrangement of words.
Of note with regard to the sort of jobs that require an “attention to detail” is that the present author has never, ever been offered one of them. Indeed, rather than detail, the author’s attention is turned much frequently in the direction of things like wine in a box, for example, or like internet comedy videos.
It was probably in the author’s haste to direct his attention towards those latter things that I neglected yesterday, while preparing to introduce a slight alteration to the NERD team-score algorithm, that I neglected to include the proper cell range in a VLOOKUP function which returned each club’s divisional-series playoff odds. As a result, a number of clubs were assessed playoff odds of 0%. As a result of that, their NERD scores were distorted badly.
What I’ve done in the meantime, then, is to correct the great cell-range debacle and to update the team scores duly. Here, by way of illustration, are all the clubs to receive a a NERD of 7 or greater either by the distorted version published yesterday or the corrected one today:
| # | Club | Real Old NERD | Fake New NERD | Real New Nerd |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Astros | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Blue Jays | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Giants | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 4 | Pirates | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 5 | Yankees | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Dodgers | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | Angels | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Nationals | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Cubs | 7 | 7 | 6 |
One notes that a number of the scores for American League clubs have increased by two or three points. Unsurprisingly, these were the same clubs accidentally omitted from the aforementioned cell range. What one notes beyond that is the substantial volume of energy invested by the author in this overwhelmingly unimportant endeavor — an endeavor monitored by only a handful of people, it should be said, each of whom is also probably marveling at the curious use of his or her finite time among the living. And yet, what one thirdly notes is that the alternatives aren’t manifestly better and that diverting oneself briefly from the spectre of mortality perhaps actually does represent a rational use of one’s resources.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Washington Radio.
One Other Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Atlanta at St. Louis, starts at 20:15 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.
Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those changes here, if you’re the sort of person accustomed to making poor life decisions.
| Away | SP | Tm. | Gm. | Tm. | SP | Home | Time | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Williams | PHI | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | CHN | Jon Lester | 16:05 |
| Max Scherzer | WAS | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | PIT | Jeff Locke | 19:05 |
| Chris Tillman | BAL | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 10 | TB | Chris Archer | 19:10 |
| Jose Quintana | CHA | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 | CLE | Corey Kluber | 19:10 |
| Justin Verlander | DET | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | BOS | Rick Porcello | 19:10 |
| Ian Thomas* | LAN | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | NYN | Jon Niese | 19:10 |
| Scott Kazmir | HOU | 6 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | KC | Jeremy Guthrie | 20:10 |
| Michael Pineda | NYA | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | MIN | Phil Hughes | 20:10 |
| Manny Banuelos | ATL | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | STL | Tim Cooney | 20:15 |
| Ant. DeSclafani | CIN | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | COL | Eddie Butler | 20:40 |
| Jimmy Nelson | MIL | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | AZ | Patrick Corbin | 21:40 |
| Colby Lewis | TEX | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | LAA | Undecided | 22:05 |
| Dan Haren | MIA | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | SD | Andrew Cashner | 22:10 |
| Drew Hutchison | TOR | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | SEA | Felix Hernandez | 22:10 |
| Jesse Chavez | OAK | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | SF | Jake Peavy | 22:15 |
* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
Fake New Nerd seems like an excellent choice for the name of a band.
As I was clicking the link to get to this page, my first thought was, “Don’t do it, you should definitely use the next two minutes on any number of pending tasks.” However, I did it, and I read it, and I (as expected) thoroughly enjoyed it.
No way I’ll accept either Giants and Yankees as 8’s.
“Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Washington Television.”
I’m almost positive you mean Washington Radio.
Correct, yes. Duly edited. Thanks.
I wonder if there’s a certain frisson about a starting pitcher who may or may not actually pitch depending on the vagaries of the trading market. So, for instance, Scott Kazmir yesterday and Andrew Cashner tonight. NERD adjustment sounds like a chiropractic maneuver for carpal tunnel, so how about some “tinkering” instead?
Ya’ll did OK yesterday 🙂
I’m surprised that Kazmir didn’t rate a higher rating, what with the trade going down and all. Interest in this first start, against a team like KC, on the road… should be really high.
There is no modifier in the NERD algorithm for trades/general interest (outside of the knuckleball rate).
Cistulli, in the unlikely event that you already have a list of pre-orders for your as-yet-unpublished book, please add me to it. I could do with a nicely bound volume of Spirited Ejaculations.
The person who counts the number of ads in the Concord Monitor would not lose out on jobs because of an insufficient attention to detail. He would be be denied such jobs because he counts ads in the Concord Monitor. And drinks wine from a box.
This is a masterpiece.
Hutchison is scratched. Estrada will start against Felix instead.