NERD Game Scores for July 25, 2017

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.

How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.


Most Highly Rated Game
Cincinnati at New York AL | 19:05 ET
Castillo (35.0 IP, 85 xFIP-) vs. Montgomery (101.1 IP, 105 xFIP-)
The author’s haphazardly constructed algorithm appears to have selected this evening’s Reds-Yankees game as the day’s most appealing. Of particular note, it seems, is the participation of young Cincinnati right-hander Luis Castillo. Among the 203 pitchers who’ve recorded 20-plus innings as a starter this season, the 24-year-old rookie has produced the second-highest average fastball velocity — behind only Noah Syndergaard by that measure. His swinging-strike rate (13.3%), meanwhile, places in the 93rd percentile among that same group.

The involvement of the Yankees is also responsible for the game’s high score. The American’s League New York franchise currently possesses almost precisely a 50% chance of qualifying for the postseason according to the coin-flip methodology of this site’s playoff odds. The coin-flip methodology, while actually less accurate than the projection-based model, does appear to better reflect the dumb human mind’s sense of the league’s various postseason races.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Cincinnati Radio or New York AL TV.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
No free game had been announced at publication, but it can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text when it become available.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and also sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from and the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for July 25, 2017
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Carlos Rodon CHA 4 3 5 7 5 CHN John Lackey 14:20
Luis Castillo CIN 10 5 7 8 6 NYA J. Montgomery 19:05
Charlie Morton HOU 8 5 6 4 6 PHI Nick Pivetta 19:05
Zach Davies MIL 4 7 5 4 3 WAS Edwin Jackson* 19:05
Sonny Gray OAK 7 4 4 3 4 TOR Cesar Valdez* 19:07
Wade Miley BAL 4 4 5 7 6 TB Jacob Faria 19:10
Danny Duffy KC 5 6 5 3 8 DET Michael Fulmer 19:10
Jesse Chavez LAA 4 4 6 8 6 CLE Mike Clevinger 19:10
Dan Straily MIA 6 4 4 5 2 TEX Cole Hamels 20:05
Jon Gray COL 7 5 5 5 3 STL Lance Lynn 20:15
Mike Foltynewicz ATL 6 3 5 6 7 AZ Taijuan Walker 21:40
Drew Pomeranz BOS 5 8 6 4 6 SEA Felix Hernandez 22:10
Jose Berrios MIN 6 5 5 5 6 LAN Kenta Maeda 22:10
Seth Lugo NYN 4 4 4 4 5 SD Jhoulys Chacin 22:10
Jameson Taillon PIT 9 4 5 3 6 SF M. Bumgarner 22:15
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of doomed author.

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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