NERD Game Scores for July 3, 2017

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.

How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Toronto at New York AL | 19:05 ET
Stroman (100.1 IP, 79 xFIP-) vs. Tanaka (90.2 IP, 88 xFIP-)
The major-league season has just passed its midpoint in terms of total games played, which is significant to the author’s haphazardly constructed algorithm insofar as now team NERD scores are weighted slightly more heavily than pitcher scores in the calculation of the game scores one finds below. This also represents the point in the season at which a club’s postseason odds slightly outweigh other variables in the calculation of the team score. In either case, this Blue Jays-Yankees contest is the most promising of today’s games and everything remains meaningless.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Toronto Radio.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Baltimore at Milwaukee, starts at 14:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and also sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for July 3, 2017
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Wade Miley BAL 4 3 5 8 4 MIL Brent Suter* 14:10
Steven Matz NYN 4 5 6 6 9 WAS Stephen Strasburg 18:05
Ivan Nova PIT 5 3 4 3 7 PHI Aaron Nola 19:05
Marcus Stroman TOR 8 4 7 8 7 NYA Masahiro Tanaka 19:05
Jeff Locke MIA 5 4 4 4 5 STL Adam Wainwright 19:15
Rick Porcello BOS 6 6 5 5 4 TEX Martin Perez 20:05
Luis Castillo CIN 8 6 6 5 7 COL Jeff Hoffman 20:10
Alex Meyer LAA 5 3 4 5 2 MIN Adalberto Mejia 20:10
Carlos Rodon* CHA 5 4 4 4 3 OAK Jharel Cotton 21:05
Ian Kennedy KC 1 4 4 3 6 SEA Andrew Moore* 22:10
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of doomed author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Doug Lampertmember
6 years ago

Are you using the linked fangraphs projection postseason odds or the coin flip postseason odds?

I claim coin flip is better for this sort of thing, as emotional reactions have little to do with projections. A Brewers fan this year is likely to consider his team to have an excellent shot (true in coin flip) rather than to think that the division lead means little.