NERD Game Scores for May 20, 2017

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.

How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Arizona at San Diego | 22:10 ET
Ray (45.1 IP, 86 xFIP-) vs. Perdomo (34.1 IP, 70 xFIP-)
Among starters who’ve recorded 30 or more innings so far this season, San Diego’s Luis Perdomo has produced the very best ground-ball rate (70.5%). What else he’s done — and what represents a departure from his rookie campaign last year — is also to miss bats at an above-average rate. Pairing those two results with such frequency is rare. By way of illustrating how rare, please consider the following handcrafted chart, which identifies not only Perdomo but also other who’ve recorded a similar combo pacakge of outcomes so far this season.

Dallas Keuchel, Lance McCullers, and Alex Wood are objectively effective pitchers. Perdomo’s teammate Trevor Cahill hasn’t previously been so effective, but is now effective. Shall one conclude that Perdomo is likely to be effective, as well? One shall, probably.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Arizona or San Diego Radio.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Cleveland at Houston, starts at 18:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and also sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for May 20, 2017
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Ian Kennedy KC 2 2 4 6 5 MIN Adalberto Mejia* 14:10
Chase Anderson MIL 3 9 5 5 6 CHN Jake Arrieta 14:20
Drew Pomeranz BOS 5 3 5 6 7 OAK Sean Manaea 16:05
Vince Velasquez PHI 7 5 5 2 6 PIT Ivan Nova 16:05
Mike Clevinger CLE 2 5 4 6 5 HOU Mike Fiers 16:10
Antonio Senzatela COL 5 6 5 7 4 CIN Tim Adleman 16:10
Masahiro Tanaka NYA 6 8 6 8 4 TB Matt Andriese 16:10
Max Scherzer WAS 8 7 5 3 3 ATL Bartolo Colon 16:10
Alex Meyer LAA 4 3 5 5 6 NYN Zack Wheeler 19:15
Jeff Samardzija SF 10 2 7 4 10 STL Carlos Martinez 19:15
A.J. Griffin TEX 4 5 3 3 2 DET Justin Verlander 19:15
Mike Bolsinger TOR 0 3 2 4 3 BAL Kevin Gausman 19:35
Robbie Ray AZ 8 9 8 5 10 SD Luis Perdomo 22:10
Mike Pelfrey CHA 0 4 2 2 3 SEA Yovani Gallardo 22:10
Dan Straily MIA 4 4 4 5 3 LAN Julio Urias 22:10
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of doomed author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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superhtown
7 years ago

Is the 5 for Fiers adding in the ~5 homers he’ll allow today?