Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.
How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.
Most Highly Rated Game
Arizona at San Diego | 22:10 ET
Ray (45.1 IP, 86 xFIP-) vs. Perdomo (34.1 IP, 70 xFIP-)
Among starters who’ve recorded 30 or more innings so far this season, San Diego’s Luis Perdomo has produced the very best ground-ball rate (70.5%). What else he’s done — and what represents a departure from his rookie campaign last year — is also to miss bats at an above-average rate. Pairing those two results with such frequency is rare. By way of illustrating how rare, please consider the following handcrafted chart, which identifies not only Perdomo but also other who’ve recorded a similar combo pacakge of outcomes so far this season.
Dallas Keuchel, Lance McCullers, and Alex Wood are objectively effective pitchers. Perdomo’s teammate Trevor Cahill hasn’t previously been so effective, but is now effective. Shall one conclude that Perdomo is likely to be effective, as well? One shall, probably.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Arizona or San Diego Radio.
Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Cleveland at Houston, starts at 18:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.
Here’s the complete and also sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.
|Ian Kennedy||KC||2||2||4||6||5||MIN||Adalberto Mejia*||14:10|
|Chase Anderson||MIL||3||9||5||5||6||CHN||Jake Arrieta||14:20|
|Drew Pomeranz||BOS||5||3||5||6||7||OAK||Sean Manaea||16:05|
|Vince Velasquez||PHI||7||5||5||2||6||PIT||Ivan Nova||16:05|
|Mike Clevinger||CLE||2||5||4||6||5||HOU||Mike Fiers||16:10|
|Antonio Senzatela||COL||5||6||5||7||4||CIN||Tim Adleman||16:10|
|Masahiro Tanaka||NYA||6||8||6||8||4||TB||Matt Andriese||16:10|
|Max Scherzer||WAS||8||7||5||3||3||ATL||Bartolo Colon||16:10|
|Alex Meyer||LAA||4||3||5||5||6||NYN||Zack Wheeler||19:15|
|Jeff Samardzija||SF||10||2||7||4||10||STL||Carlos Martinez||19:15|
|A.J. Griffin||TEX||4||5||3||3||2||DET||Justin Verlander||19:15|
|Mike Bolsinger||TOR||0||3||2||4||3||BAL||Kevin Gausman||19:35|
|Robbie Ray||AZ||8||9||8||5||10||SD||Luis Perdomo||22:10|
|Mike Pelfrey||CHA||0||4||2||2||3||SEA||Yovani Gallardo||22:10|
|Dan Straily||MIA||4||4||4||5||3||LAN||Julio Urias||22:10|
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.
* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of doomed author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.