Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
Cleveland at Chicago NL | 14:05 ET
Kluber (186.2 IP, 74 xFIP-) vs. Lester (148.1 IP, 81 xFIP-)
With hardly any pomp and even less circumstance, what the author has done for this edition of the daily NERD game scores is — instead of the season-to-date-stats playoff odds — is to use the coin-flip playoffs odds as the playoff-type input for the team NERD scores below. The logic behind the move: the coin-flip mode probably reflects more accurately how the human brain perceives the drama of the playoff race. The actual difference produced by the change: hardly any. In either case, the Cubs are among those clubs which feature divisional-series odds closest to 50% — which is to say, furthest from certainty. As of Sunday night, the probability of the Cubs reaching the divisional series, according to the season-to-date-stats model, was 44.8%; by the coin-flip model, 51.3%.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Chicago NL Television.
Two Brief Notes
Kris Medlen to Return
Kansas City right-hander and recipient of two Tommy John procedures, right-hander Kris Medlen, is expected to record his first major-league start tonight since September 27, 2013 (after making a handful of relief appearances for the Royals). For reference, here are three notable events which have occurred since his last start:
- Strom Thurmond born.
- Toilet paper invented.
- Strom Thurmond dead.
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Detroit at Cincinnati, starts at 19:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those adjustments here and here.
|Corey Kluber||CLE||10||4||8||10||7||CHN||Jon Lester||14:05|
|Scott Feldman||HOU||3||7||7||9||8||NYA||Nathan Eovaldi||19:05|
|Jacob deGrom||NYN||10||5||4||2||1||PHI||Adam Morgan||19:05|
|J. de la Rosa||COL||4||3||3||2||5||ATL||Julio Teheran||19:10|
|Buck Farmer||DET||5||3||3||3||2||CIN||Keyvius Sampson||19:10|
|J.A. Happ||PIT||4||9||5||3||3||MIA||Tom Koehler||19:10|
|Ubaldo Jimenez||BAL||6||5||6||3||10||KC||Kris Medlen*||20:10|
|Joe Kelly||BOS||6||3||4||3||7||CHA||Jeff Samardzija||20:10|
|Felix Doubront||OAK||3||3||4||3||8||SEA||Hisashi Iwakuma||22:10|
|Lance Lynn||STL||5||5||5||5||5||AZ||Robbie Ray||22:10|
* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.