NERD Game Scores for Monday, September 28, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Houston at Seattle | 22:10 ET
McCullers (114.2 IP, 88 xFIP-) vs. Elias (107.1 IP, 106 xFIP-)
There are probably reasons to continue following the outcomes of National League games over this final week of the season, but nearly zero of them concern the influence of those same games on what might be called the “postseason landscape.” Indeed, so far as postseason landscapes are concerned, the American League has developed a monopoly on them. The Western division, in particular, is not unlike a mountain road populated almost exclusively by scenic vistas of postseason landscapes.

Regard, the current playoff odds of the three relevant clubs, rendered into a handsome table:

The American League West, Currently
Team W L GB EXPW EXPL DIV WC POFF
1 Rangers 84 71 0.0 87.5 74.5 81.4% 12.7% 94.1%
2 Astros 82 74 2.5 85.4 76.6 8.9% 56.6% 65.5%
3 Angels 81 74 3.0 84.7 77.3 9.7% 25.0% 34.7%

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Houston Television.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features St. Louis at Pittsburgh, starts at 19:05 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Image 4

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Brand. Finnegan CIN 10 4 6 5 10 WAS Max Scherzer 15:05
Ed. Rodriguez BOS 7 4 5 5 2 NYA Ivan Nova 19:05
Lance Lynn STL 4 6 6 6 6 PIT J.A. Happ 19:05
Marco Estrada TOR 2 5 4 4 3 BAL Chris Tillman 19:05
Phil Hughes MIN 4 5 6 5 10 CLE Corey Kluber 19:10
Justin Verlander DET 4 4 5 7 3 TEX Colby Lewis 20:05
Yordano Ventura KC 9 4 6 5 8 CHN Kyle Hendricks 20:05
Felix Doubront OAK 4 4 5 8 2 LAA Hector Santiago 22:05
Lance McCullers HOU 8 10 7 4 5 SEA Roenis Elias 22:10
Zack Greinke LAN 7 5 5 5 2 SF Jake Peavy 22:15

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.

We hoped you liked reading NERD Game Scores for Monday, September 28, 2015 by Carson Cistulli!

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Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Jeff
Guest
Jeff

I don’t quite understand how NERD came up with this one. St. Louis and Pittsburgh are separated by three games and they are playing each other. Houston is 2.5 out but Seattle is eliminated… I would have thought the Cardinals game would be the one to watch.

also jeff
Guest
also jeff

Agreed… looking at the abbreviated slate of games today, STL/PIT seemed like the ONLY game. Of course a sweep is unlikely, and both teams make the playoffs anyway, but yeah.

Well-Beered Englishman
Guest
Well-Beered Englishman

So am I the only person who thought, “Ooooh! Cubs vs. Royals!”?

johne
Guest
johne

would have been a cool matchup a few weeks ago, but neither of those teams has much to play for at this point.

Evan
Guest
Evan

Some may think that NERD is worthless if it spits out a different result from what they think they already know, but it would truly be worthless if always recommended what we expected it to.

A now more Enlightened Jeff
Guest
A now more Enlightened Jeff

Upon further review, the original poster (me) now sees that the Angels are a mere half-game behind the Astros. Considering the consequences of a loss for Houston, I am now able to understand why NERD recommended the Houston game.

dilettante
Guest
dilettante

Lance McNasty is also a factor