NERD Game Scores for September 17, 2016
Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
New York AL at Boston | 13:05 ET
Mitchell (7.1 IP, 99 xFIP-) vs. Price (205.2 IP, 79 xFIP-)
Two days ago, with a Cy Young candidate in Masahiro Tanaka scheduled to face the struggling Eduardo Rodriguez, it seemed reasonable to think that the Yankees had some cause for optimism with regard to the short-term fate of their postseason odds. A ninth-inning loss on Thursday, however — followed by a more pedestrian sort of defeat last night — has rendered their improbable claim to the division something more like impossible.
Event | Boston DIV% | Diff | New York DIV% | Diff |
Start of Series | 61.4% | — | 8.1% | — |
After Game 1 | 68.1% | +6.7 | 5.9% | -2.2 |
After Game 2 | 69.6% | +1.5 | 3.8% | -2.1 |
Nor is the prognosis for this afternoon particularly good for New York: the Red Sox feature nearly a 70% probability of winning that contest according to this site’s methodology.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Boston Radio.
One Other Brief Notes
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Oakland at Texas, starts at 20:05 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.
Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.
Away | SP | TM | GM | TM | SP | Home | Time | ||
Jameson Taillon | PIT | 9 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 7 | CIN | Anthony DeSclafani | 12:10 |
Trevor Williams* | PIT | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | CIN | Brandon Finnegan | 18:10 |
Bryan Mitchell* | NYA | 7 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 8 | BOS | David Price | 13:05 |
Gio Gonzalez | WAS | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | ATL | Josh Collmenter* | 13:05 |
Zach Davies | MIL | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | CHN | Jake Arrieta | 16:05 |
Justin Verlander | DET | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 8 | CLE | Carlos Carrasco | 16:10 |
Jose Urena | MIA | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | PHI | Jeremy Hellickson | 19:05 |
Matt Andriese | TB | 7 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | BAL | Chris Tillman | 19:05 |
Ervin Santana | MIN | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | NYN | Seth Lugo | 19:10 |
Miguel Gonzalez | CHA | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | KC | Jason Vargas* | 19:15 |
Raul Alcantara* | OAK | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 7 | TEX | Yu Darvish | 20:05 |
Brock Stewart | LAN | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | AZ | Shelby Miller | 20:10 |
Edwin Jackson | SD | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | COL | Jon Gray | 20:10 |
Mike Leake | STL | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | SF | Jeff Samardzija | 21:05 |
Francisco Liriano | TOR | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 5 | LAA | Ricky Nolasco | 21:05 |
Mike Fiers | HOU | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 10 | SEA | James Paxton | 21:10 |
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.
* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.