NERD Game Scores for September 17, 2016

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
New York AL at Boston | 13:05 ET
Mitchell (7.1 IP, 99 xFIP-) vs. Price (205.2 IP, 79 xFIP-)
Two days ago, with a Cy Young candidate in Masahiro Tanaka scheduled to face the struggling Eduardo Rodriguez, it seemed reasonable to think that the Yankees had some cause for optimism with regard to the short-term fate of their postseason odds. A ninth-inning loss on Thursday, however — followed by a more pedestrian sort of defeat last night — has rendered their improbable claim to the division something more like impossible.

Postseason Odds, Red Sox and Yankees
Event Boston DIV% Diff New York DIV% Diff
Start of Series 61.4% 8.1%
After Game 1 68.1% +6.7 5.9% -2.2
After Game 2 69.6% +1.5 3.8% -2.1

Nor is the prognosis for this afternoon particularly good for New York: the Red Sox feature nearly a 70% probability of winning that contest according to this site’s methodology.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Boston Radio.

One Other Brief Notes
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Oakland at Texas, starts at 20:05 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for September 17, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Jameson Taillon PIT 9 4 5 4 7 CIN Anthony DeSclafani 12:10
Trevor Williams* PIT 5 4 4 4 3 CIN Brandon Finnegan 18:10
Bryan Mitchell* NYA 7 5 8 10 8 BOS David Price 13:05
Gio Gonzalez WAS 6 4 4 4 4 ATL Josh Collmenter* 13:05
Zach Davies MIL 6 4 5 4 6 CHN Jake Arrieta 16:05
Justin Verlander DET 7 5 5 4 8 CLE Carlos Carrasco 16:10
Jose Urena MIA 6 4 4 4 5 PHI Jeremy Hellickson 19:05
Matt Andriese TB 7 4 6 10 3 BAL Chris Tillman 19:05
Ervin Santana MIN 5 4 5 6 5 NYN Seth Lugo 19:10
Miguel Gonzalez CHA 3 4 4 4 6 KC Jason Vargas* 19:15
Raul Alcantara* OAK 5 4 5 4 7 TEX Yu Darvish 20:05
Brock Stewart LAN 7 6 5 4 3 AZ Shelby Miller 20:10
Edwin Jackson SD 1 4 4 4 9 COL Jon Gray 20:10
Mike Leake STL 7 7 7 7 6 SF Jeff Samardzija 21:05
Francisco Liriano TOR 5 10 6 4 5 LAA Ricky Nolasco 21:05
Mike Fiers HOU 4 5 6 5 10 SEA James Paxton 21:10
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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