NERD Game Scores for September 22, 2016

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Boston at Baltimore | 19:05 ET
Price (211.2 IP, 79 xFIP-) vs. Tillman (164.2 IP, 105 xFIP-)
Owing to their recent form, the Red Sox have unceremoniously resolved whatever mystery might have surrounded the likely outcome of the American League’s easternmost division. They’ve now recorded as many wins as the Orioles are projected to record before the end of the season — and one more than the Blue Jays are — which information is conveyed here in visual form, as well.

al-east

That’s not to say this particular game is without consequence, however. For, while the Bostons have more or less settled their affairs for the moment, the Baltimores’ world is full both of shadows and fog. Indeed, they possess roughly a 50% chance of qualifying for a wild-card berth — which is also to say they possess roughly a 50% chance of fulfilling or failing to reach their dearest professional ambitions.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Baltimore Television.

One Other Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Kansas City at Cleveland, starts at 19:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for September 22, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Anibal Sanchez DET 4 7 5 4 2 MIN Pat Dean 14:10
Justin Verlander DET 7 7 6 4 5 MIN Ervin Santana 20:10
David Price BOS 8 5 7 9 3 BAL Chris Tillman 19:05
Josh Collmenter* ATL 6 4 5 4 6 MIA Jose Urena 19:10
Jason Vargas* KC 4 4 4 4 3 CLE Mike Clevinger 19:10
Luis Cessa NYA 8 5 5 4 6 TB Blake Snell 19:10
Adam Morgan PHI 6 4 5 7 4 NYN Seth Lugo 19:10
Ricky Nolasco LAA 5 4 5 7 5 HOU Mike Fiers 20:10
Ryan Vogelsong PIT 1 5 4 4 2 MIL Chase Anderson 20:10
Tyler Chatwood COL 4 4 4 4 6 LAN Brett Anderson* 22:10
Jeff Samardzija SF 6 8 6 4 3 SD Christian Friedrich 22:10
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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kbn
6 years ago

I think you mean “one more than the Orioles are”. The Blue Jays are projected for the same wins, the Orioles one less.