NERD Game Scores for Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.


Most Highly Rated Game
New York AL at Toronto | 19:07 ET
Severino (43.1 IP, 92 xFIP-) vs. Estrada (160.1 IP, 123 xFIP-)
By the methodology typically employed by the author to produce these dumb NERD scores, tonight’s Yankees-Blue Jays game is not the most highly rated. That largely fictional distinction belongs to the Angels-Astros encounter in Houston. And, indeed, that game could very possibly offer a relentless barrage of thrill and delight. One variable omitted from the haphazardly derived algorithm, however — and perhaps especially relevant during the postseason stretch drive — is the influence of the crowd on the game-as-spectacle. For while fan involvement during last night’s Houston game was relatively subdued, that was very much the opposite case in Toronto. Indeed, the numbers support that observation.

Attendance Relative to Capacity, 9/21/2015
Game Stadium Capacity Attendance % of Capacity
NYA @ TOR Rogers Centre 54,000* 47,648 88.2%
LAA @ HOU Minute Maid Park 41,574 25,318 60.9%

The Rogers Centre, which is capable of holding about 12,000 more people than Minute Maid Park, was also nearly 30 percentage points closer to capacity last night. The result: a greater sense of urgency for the observer. Reason dictates that tonight’s games will offer a similar set of conditions.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Toronto Radio.

*As multiple concerned internet citizens note, Rogers Centre capacity has actually decreased in recent years. The website for the venue itself now reports capacities of 47,000-49,000.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Pittsburgh at Colorado, starts at 20:40 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Image 4

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Ubaldo Jimenez BAL 6 4 5 5 6 WAS Gio Gonzalez 19:05
Luis Severino NYA 9 6 6 6 2 TOR Marco Estrada 19:07
Jose Quintana CHA 6 4 4 4 4 DET Daniel Norris 19:08
Matthew Wisler ATL 3 4 4 4 8 NYN Logan Verrett 19:10
Undecided* PHI 5 4 4 4 3 MIA Tom Koehler 19:10
Matt Moore TB 3 4 4 4 3 BOS Henry Owens 19:10
Undecided* MIL 5 4 5 5 9 CHN Jake Arrieta 20:05
Danny Salazar CLE 10 5 6 5 4 MIN Ervin Santana 20:10
Hector Santiago LAA 2 5 7 10 8 HOU Lance McCullers 20:10
Hisashi Iwakuma SEA 8 4 4 4 2 KC Jeremy Guthrie 20:10
Keyvius Sampson CIN 3 4 5 6 5 STL John Lackey 20:15
J.A. Happ PIT 5 6 5 4 5 COL Chris Rusin 20:40
Martin Perez TEX 6 10 6 4 0 OAK Sean Nolin 22:05
Robbie Ray AZ 5 5 5 4 5 LAN Alex Wood 22:10
Chris Heston SF 4 4 5 4 8 SD Tyson Ross 22:10

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.

Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Pirates Hurdles
Pirates Hurdles

Gotta feel a little bit bad for All-Star Hector, who’s NERD score is more than doubled by “undecided”, ouch.


Can’t decide whether to laugh or cry at this.