NERD Game Scores: Noah Syndergaard Thought Experiment
Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
Kansas City at New York NL | 13:10 ET
Duffy (54.0 IP, 84 xFIP-) vs. Syndergaard (85.0 IP, 53 xFIP-)
During Dave Cameron’s most recent appearance on FanGraphs Audio, he and the host discuss the difficulties inherent to manual pitch classification when the pitch classifier lacks the benefit of velocity readings. The Mets’ Noah Syndergaard illustrates the point. For example, consider: his average changeup velocity sits somewhere between 90 and 91 mph, the hardest among any starter who throws the pitch. Now consider more: that changeup velocity approaches the median average velocity of all the sinkers thrown by major-league starters this season. Changeups and sinkers generally feature more pronounced arm-side and downward movement than four-seam fastballs. So Syndergaard’s changeup, one finds, likely bears greater resemblance to the average sinker than it does a changeup. “How would I classify it?” the reader might ask while observing Syndergaard’s start. “What is the precise depth of my sadness?” is another popular question for any living person, too.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: New York NL Television.
Two Other Brief Notes
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game hadn’t been announced as of press time, but can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text if and when it is.
Broadcaster Rankings
Recently, the present author facilitated a crowdsourcing effort to reproduce the broadcaster rankings which appeared on this site roughly four years ago. The results from that effort are published here in one easily digestible post.
Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

Away | SP | TM | GM | TM | SP | Home | Time | ||
John Gant | ATL | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | MIA | Adam Conley | 12:10 |
Jon Gray | COL | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | NYA | CC Sabathia | 13:05 |
Danny Duffy | KC | 9 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 10 | NYN | Noah Syndergaard | 13:10 |
Matt Shoemaker | LAA | 9 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 | HOU | Lance McCullers | 14:10 |
Michael Wacha | STL | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | CHN | Jake Arrieta | 14:20 |
Junior Guerra | MIL | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 7 | OAK | Daniel Mengden | 15:35 |
Robbie Ray | AZ | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | TOR | J.A. Happ | 16:07 |
Erik Johnson | SD | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 | BAL | Ubaldo Jimenez | 19:05 |
Jeff Samardzija | SF | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | PIT | Francisco Liriano | 19:05 |
Jose Quintana | CHA | 6 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | BOS | Eduardo Rodriguez | 19:10 |
Hisashi Iwakuma | SEA | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | DET | Michael Fulmer | 19:10 |
Chris Archer | TB | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | CLE | Trevor Bauer | 19:10 |
Dan Straily | CIN | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | TEX | Cole Hamels | 20:05 |
Adam Morgan | PHI | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | MIN | Kyle Gibson | 20:10 |
Joe Ross | WAS | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LAN | Julio Urias | 22:10 |
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.
* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of wretched author.
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.
CC Sabathia only a two on the interest level? He is a lot of fun to watch right now! A former HOF caliber power pitcher has reinvented himself as a guy throwing primarily 89mph cutters to the tune of a 2.20 ERA. What is not to like?
theres really no component of the formula that he excels at
When Bartolo Colon and current Sabathia are deemed unwatchable by the formula, it is time to revisit the formula. I think Carson revised it once to fix the injustice done to knuckleballers. Why not a fix for old fat men?