NERD Game Scores: Noah Syndergaard Thought Experiment

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Kansas City at New York NL | 13:10 ET
Duffy (54.0 IP, 84 xFIP-) vs. Syndergaard (85.0 IP, 53 xFIP-)
During Dave Cameron’s most recent appearance on FanGraphs Audio, he and the host discuss the difficulties inherent to manual pitch classification when the pitch classifier lacks the benefit of velocity readings. The Mets’ Noah Syndergaard illustrates the point. For example, consider: his average changeup velocity sits somewhere between 90 and 91 mph, the hardest among any starter who throws the pitch. Now consider more: that changeup velocity approaches the median average velocity of all the sinkers thrown by major-league starters this season. Changeups and sinkers generally feature more pronounced arm-side and downward movement than four-seam fastballs. So Syndergaard’s changeup, one finds, likely bears greater resemblance to the average sinker than it does a changeup. “How would I classify it?” the reader might ask while observing Syndergaard’s start. “What is the precise depth of my sadness?” is another popular question for any living person, too.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: New York NL Television.

Two Other Brief Notes
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game hadn’t been announced as of press time, but can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text if and when it is.

Broadcaster Rankings
Recently, the present author facilitated a crowdsourcing effort to reproduce the broadcaster rankings which appeared on this site roughly four years ago. The results from that effort are published here in one easily digestible post.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for June 22, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
John Gant ATL 5 1 4 6 4 MIA Adam Conley 12:10
Jon Gray COL 10 4 5 4 2 NYA CC Sabathia 13:05
Danny Duffy KC 9 5 8 6 10 NYN Noah Syndergaard 13:10
Matt Shoemaker LAA 9 3 7 6 9 HOU Lance McCullers 14:10
Michael Wacha STL 7 6 7 6 8 CHN Jake Arrieta 14:20
Junior Guerra MIL 4 4 5 4 7 OAK Daniel Mengden 15:35
Robbie Ray AZ 7 6 5 6 3 TOR J.A. Happ 16:07
Erik Johnson SD 2 4 4 7 5 BAL Ubaldo Jimenez 19:05
Jeff Samardzija SF 6 5 5 5 4 PIT Francisco Liriano 19:05
Jose Quintana CHA 6 3 4 8 1 BOS Eduardo Rodriguez 19:10
Hisashi Iwakuma SEA 3 5 5 5 8 DET Michael Fulmer 19:10
Chris Archer TB 8 7 7 8 6 CLE Trevor Bauer 19:10
Dan Straily CIN 3 3 4 5 6 TEX Cole Hamels 20:05
Adam Morgan PHI 5 2 3 4 2 MIN Kyle Gibson 20:10
Joe Ross WAS 6 7 7 6 10 LAN Julio Urias 22:10
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of wretched author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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London Yank
7 years ago

CC Sabathia only a two on the interest level? He is a lot of fun to watch right now! A former HOF caliber power pitcher has reinvented himself as a guy throwing primarily 89mph cutters to the tune of a 2.20 ERA. What is not to like?

KJL
7 years ago
Reply to  London Yank

theres really no component of the formula that he excels at

London Yank
7 years ago
Reply to  KJL

When Bartolo Colon and current Sabathia are deemed unwatchable by the formula, it is time to revisit the formula. I think Carson revised it once to fix the injustice done to knuckleballers. Why not a fix for old fat men?