Noble Failures: 2014’s Best Pitching Performances in a Loss

I’m always curious about what goes on inside a player’s head, post-game, when they’ve delivered a monster performance — but then their team ends up losing. Yeah, yeah: half-naked at the locker most every ballplayer will preach that none of it matters without that W. But, I mean, some of these individual performances are really good, and it takes some significant unraveling on the part of the other 24 players for the team to still end up with the L.

Here are profiles of the 10 best individual games in 2014, by WPA, that ended up in a loss. This time I’ll look at the five best pitching performances in a loss and next time I’ll look at the five best position player performances in a loss.

For pitchers, there’s basically one way — one very precise way — to end up on this list. First, pitch eight innings of shutout or one-run ball while your own offense scuffles along. Then hand things off to your closer for the deadlocked ninth, and watch, with a single tear trickling down your stubbly cheek, while said closer makes a mess of the whole situation. (In the majors, is this cause for the closer to purchase the starter a nice dinner? Another gift? Are there apologies? Consoling hugs?)

5. Johnny Cueto / April 27 / WPA: .490 / Braves 1, Reds 0 (Box)
On this day, Cueto locked horns with Julio Teheran, both of them throwing bagels on the board through eight innings. Cueto struck out 11 batters — not his season high, mind you — and bestowed Dan Uggla with a golden sombrero. The bullpens held the game scoreless until the bottom of the tenth, when Freddy Freeman sent everybody home with a deep single off of Manny Parra.

Also, a dog shared a hot dog with its human at this game, an activity that appears to be truly delightful for all parties. (Click on picture to gloriously embiggen.)
Screen Shot 2015-03-12 at 8.13.05 PM

4. A.J. Burnett / July 23 / WPA: .506 / Giants 3, Phillies 1 / Box
The Phillies managed their one meager run in this game only after the Giants put up their three runs in the top of the ninth, lifting Philadelphia’s Win Expectancy from 1.7% to a robust 4.9%. With a double and a single, Carlos Ruiz was the Phillies’ best offensive performer this day, contributing a whole .08 of WPA.

And so Burnett was all alone on a day when Madison Bumgarner brought his A-game, both starters pitching shutouts through eight. Thus set the stage for the game’s highest-paid closer, Mr. Jonathan Papelbon. After loading the bases, Papelbon gave up the softest of doubles to Hunter Pence, a ball that was an opportune gust of wind away from landing foul. But it landed fair. Papelbon had not one but two other performances in 2014 with a worse WPA.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed. We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member. 1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other. 2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off. 3. Dark mode and Classic mode! 4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them. 5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects. 6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.) 7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only. 8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO. 9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members. 10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features! We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it. In case you didn't read all that, here's the short version. Membership includes:
✓Ad-free browsing
✓Unlimited FanGraphs & RotoGraphs articles
✓Historical & platoon projections
✓Leaderboard & player-page stat heatmaps
✓One-click data exports
✓Customizable player-page dashboards
✓Dark & Classic site modes
✓Weekly Members-only mailbag
✓FanGraphs Walk-Off, your year in review
✓Optional homepage photo removal
✓Gift articles to non-Members
✓Full postseason coverage

3. Anibal Sanchez / May 28 / WPA: .523 / A’s 3, Tigers 1 / Box
Sanchez is credited with an earned run in this game, but only because Joe Nathan allowed that runner to score in an outing that included more walk-off hits (1) than outs (0). Sanchez and Kazmir went toe-to-toe in a brilliant duel — only two runs, one walk, and 17 strikeouts between the two starters. Sanchez also helped his case with his glove, finishing off a nifty 3-6-1 double play in the third.

Kazmir made it through all nine innings, while Sanchez had to be relieved with one out in the ninth and a runner on second. Still, when Nathan received the ball, the Tigers were holding on to a one-run lead and had a 73.5% chance of winning the game. And then the bringer of rain, well, brought some rain.

2. Hisashi Iwakuma / May 13 / WPA: .518 / Rays 2, Mariners 1 / Box
Since Tampa Bay starter David Price gave up a lone first-inning run — on an RBI groundout — in the first inning, his WPA in this game was .304, a considerable ways behind Iwakuma’s sterling no-walk performance. (Iwakuma also showed off some positively feline reflexes.) Would-be archer Fernando Rodney saw the first batter he faced, David DeJesus, deposit a souvenir in the right-field bleachers, wiping away Iwakuma’s evening of work rather quickly. Rodney would not make it out of the inning, filling up the bases and then giving up a game-winning single to Matt Joyce before the shepherd’s crook mercifully emerged from behind the curtain.

1. Jeff Samardzija / September 17 / WPA: .554 / Rangers 6, Mariners 1
Of course it would be the hard-luck Samardzija to top this list. A quick recap of Samardzija’s last three seasons: 608 innings, 3.50 FIP, 24-39 record. This game — just like the instant classic Wild Card Game that would follow a few weeks later — ends up being a perfect microcosm of the A’s season: smart, sharp, winning baseball for the first 90% of the way, followed by relentless and inexplicable catastrophe.

After Samardzija struck out ten and gave up no walks or runs through eight, the game was entrusted in the sure hands of Sean Doolittle, with the A’s at a 91.7% Win Expectancy after Doolittle started the inning with an out. Doolittle was then undone by replacement-level rookie Rougned Odor, who slapped a double to the gap, and then by below-replacement-level J.P. Arencibia, who cranked a no-doubt homer to left. Doolittle collapsed into sad-shuffle Charlie Brown mode before Arencibia even left the batter’s box:
Screen Shot 2015-03-13 at 9.54.25 AM
That’s what it feels like to turn your starter’s gem into the noblest of failures.





Miles Wray contributes sports commentary to McSweeney's Internet Tendency, Ploughshares, The Classical and Hardwood Paroxysm. Follow him on Twitter @mileswray or email him here.

27 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Bob
11 years ago

“1. Jeff Samardzija / September 17 / WPA: .554 / Rangers 6, Mariners 1”

Should probably say A’s there.

TKDC
11 years ago
Reply to  Bob

The noblest of losses, taken for a team for which the Shark did not even play. A true gentleman.

geo
11 years ago
Reply to  Bob

I thought I was going nuts, wondering how Samardzija pitched in a Rangers / Mariners game last year when he played for neither team.

Phantom Stranger
11 years ago

Someone should go through each pitching great’s career and tally up these kinds of tough-luck losses. Didn’t Walter Johnson lose 1-0 dozens of times in his career?

swiekerMember since 2016
11 years ago

Was the list supposed to be sorted by WPA? If so, Anibal is #2 and Iwakuma is #3, right? Apologies if I can’t read.

clevelander
11 years ago

The Klubot would like a word with you (and Ryan Raburn):

http://www.fangraphs.com/wins.aspx?date=2014-07-24&team=Indians&dh=0

Neil S
11 years ago

Why would you use WPA? It’s no wonder these nearly all come in games that were 0-0 through most of the game – you effectively constrained it in such a way that those are the games you would find. I know you need some way to measure what you want to find, but this is an awfully odd way to do it.

I’d also suggest that WPA does a bad job of rating “performance” – all other things being equal, it would rate a 6 IP outing with 0 Ks as equivalent to 6 IP with 12 Ks – but that’s something else entirely.

Captain Tenneal
11 years ago
Reply to  Neil S

By game score, it’s

91 Kluber – 7/24 v. KC
87 Price – 8/21 v. TB
84 Cueto from the article
84 Samardzija from the article
84 Samardzija – 5/5 v. CHW

Bomok
11 years ago

What about Jacob deGrom and his 13K loss?

Wes
11 years ago

Nobody should ever be proud of giving Dan Uggla the Golden Sombrero. I’d be more surprised if he didn’t strike out more than twice a game

Wally
11 years ago

I’d go with Jordan Zimmermann in the NLDS, but that’s just me.

Dan Ugglas Forearm
11 years ago

I went to a Marlins/Braves game last season where Jose Fernandez faced Alex Wood.

Wood went 8 innings giving up 1 run (Giancarlo Stanton scored from 2nd on a Casey McGehee single; Stanton’s double was the only XBH) 4 hits, 0 walks, and had 11 K’s.

However, Fernandez went 8 scoreless, only allowing 3 hits (all singles), no walks, and had 14 K’s.

The game lasted 2 hours and 8 minutes. Who says we need more offense?

Capt Geech & The Shrimp Shack Shooters
11 years ago

Scrolled down just to see if this game was mentioned, I still have Zimmerman’s article saved about the beauty that was this game.

BDF
11 years ago

Dude, Kerry Wood is retired. At least be accurate when you lie.

bobbybonilla
11 years ago
Reply to  BDF

Alex Wood you dingus.

Sam
11 years ago

When I read the article title, I instantly thought of this game. I was watching because Fernandez is appointment television and Wood is a personal favorite. Wood was phenomenal and just had the misfortune to run into the buzzsaw that was Jose Fernandez. When he got hurt a few weeks later I watched again in mourning.

Jeters Never Prosper
11 years ago

Hope that at the Cueto game had fun with his dog having the squirts all of the floor. Processed meat for dogs is a no-no.

Jeters Never Prosper
11 years ago

*that guy at…

Stuck in a Slump
11 years ago

Almost everything will give my dog horrible diarrhea, but every time I’ve taken him to a dog friendly game, he gets a couple bites of my hot dog and he’s never had trouble because of it. As long as you keep the amount reasonable, the dog will be fine.

bobbybonilla
11 years ago

I have never had a dog have a problem with a hotdog. Ever. Stop getting little wimpy dogs.

RichW
11 years ago

Fergie Jenkins in 1968 went 20-15. He lost 5 1-0 games. Lost another 4 where the Cubs were shut out. In the remaining 6 losses the Cubs scored 1, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 runs. Of his 5 no decisions 2 were 10 inning efforts including one where he allowed no runs and the Cubs lost 1-0.

Paul M
11 years ago
Reply to  RichW

But clearly he’s not a winner because he didn’t gut out that W the way you’re supposed to…

Blow
11 years ago
Reply to  Paul M

dudes in the hall of fame – relax

Who is Zorbist?
11 years ago

Didn’t Price throw a complete game 1 hitter with 1 unearned run against the Rays in his first start against them?

Ol Jim
11 years ago

Didn’t david price throw a 1 hitter through 8 (tigers were away) and still take the loss?

Joe Butler
11 years ago

Umm, Corey Kluber’s 9 IP no ER loss to the Royals on the Raburn spike??

matt w
11 years ago
Reply to  Joe Butler

Fielding errors count against a pitcher’s WPA.