Pitching, Dingers, and Nick Markakis Put the Braves on the Doorstep, and the Marlins in Deep Water

This time there wasn’t much offense. On the heels of a Game 1 that finished 9-5, the Atlanta Braves took a commanding two-games-to-none lead in the NLDS by pushing past the Miami Marlins by a score of 2-0. Ian Anderson and four relievers combined for the shutout, with a pair of solo home runs providing just enough run-support for a suddenly-stellar pitching staff.

What scoring there was came early. Dansby Swanson took Pablo López deep in the second inning with what was his second home run in his last two at-bats. In Game 1, the 26-year-old shortstop — given name James Dansby Swanson — had homered his final time up to cap a six-run Atlanta seventh.

Travis d’Arnaud, who’d preceded Swanson’s Game 1 blast with one of his own, then went yard against López in the fourth. Seven plate appearances into the NLDS, 31-year-old backstop — given name Travis E. d’Arnaud — now had a single, a double, and a pair of walks to go along with his two dingers.

Anderson wasn’t giving up anything. A suddenly-feeble Marlins lineup managed just three hits off him in five-and-two thirds innings — a near copy-cat of his no-runs-on-two-hits, six-inning performance last week in the Wild Card round.

The three-batter rule came into play after Anderson departed in the sixth following a long at-bat by Jesús Aguilar. Darren O’Day promptly put the tying runs on base with a HBP and a walk, meaning he had to face the left-handed Matt Joyce. No worries. The side-slinging righty retired Joyce on a harmless roller to end the inning to keep it 2-0.

The numbers suggested that he’d do just that. Left-handed hitters went 1-for-10 against O’Day this year, and they’ve slashed a paltry .228/.299/.411 against him over his 13 seasons. Any fretting by strategic second-guessers was wholly unnecessary.

The pitcher who came out of the Braves bullpen in the seventh qualifies as a southpaw success story. Pitching in the big-leagues for the first time in five years, Tyler Matzek fashioned a 1.92 FIP and fanned 43 batters in 29 innings during the regular season. O’Day was asked about him before the game.

“I’ve nicknamed him ‘The Death Star,’” O’Day said of Matzek. “I’m a Star Wars fan — I grew up in that era — and the empire built this secret weapon that came in and could destroy anything. Right-handed, left-handed, you could put guys in both boxes and Matzek can throw a fastball and a curveball by both of them.”

Matzek set down the Marlins in order, then ceded reliever duties to fellow southpaw Will Smith for the eighth. What was arguably the game’s biggest play followed.

Corey Dickerson began Miami’s penultimate offensive frame by reaching on a Swanson error, bringing the tying run to the plate. Meanwhile, standing in right field was a three-time Gold Glove winner with 15 big-league seasons under his belt.

Jon Berti looped a ball that dropped in front of Nick Markakis down the right field line, but the result wasn’t the expected two on with none out. Instead, caught in no-man’s land with Markakis charging hard, Dickerson got a late start toward second and was nipped at the bag by a strong-and-accurate throw. What looked like a single became a 9-6 force out.

“The biggest thing with that play was [Markakis’s] wherewithal to not dive and try to make the catch,” Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said after the game. “He does that and we’re probably second and third. That was a huge play.”

Smith proceeded to fan Aguilar and induce an inning-ending come-backer by Brian Anderson; the score remained 2-0. Mark Melancon then breezed through the Marlins in the ninth, and the Braves had their third shutout in four postseason games. More importantly, they’re not only in the catbird seat against their division rivals, they’re one step closer to erasing two-plus decades of October frustration.

Freddie Freeman expressed that sentiment well following a Game 1 win in Atlanta’s wildcard series versus the Cincinnati Reds:

“I think some of these guys are too young to really understand the history of the Braves in the postseason,” the Brave’s longest-tenured player told reporters. “But I’m not one of [them]. I know what’s going on.”

Eight days after those words were spoken, what’s going on is that the Braves are one win away from a berth in the National League Championship Series. They’ll get a chance to punch that ticket tomorrow afternoon with Kyle Wright on the mound. Miami will counter with flame-throwing rookie Sixto Sánchez.





David Laurila grew up in Michigan's Upper Peninsula and now writes about baseball from his home in Cambridge, Mass. He authored the Prospectus Q&A series at Baseball Prospectus from December 2006-May 2011 before being claimed off waivers by FanGraphs. He can be followed on Twitter @DavidLaurilaQA.

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Southi
3 years ago

After all the questions about the Braves pitching, so far they have looked very good. I hope to see Wright continue his recent success tomorrow. The bats have lived up to expectations without Freeman and Duvall doing much of anything with the stick yet.

sadtrombonemember
3 years ago
Reply to  Southi

I don’t think there were many questions about Max Fried and Ian Anderson. It’s Wright, and then whatever comes after him, that everyone is wondering about.

TKDCmember
3 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I don’t see a path to this becoming a factor this series. There are still a few extremely well rested quality bullpen arms that have hardly been used.

I think it will be interesting to see if the Braves go to the pen tomorrow with a quick trigger. That has not really been Snitker’s MO unless a pitcher isn’t getting results, but I’ll be cursing at the TV if Wright throws a pitch the third time through, barring a big lead.

dukewinslowmember
3 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

but what if he switches where he stands on the mound for the third time through the order?!?

hughduffy
3 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

Looking through the game logs of Wright’s previous 6+ inning starts, and his splits, the only way he’s making pitches 3rd time through the order is if he’s been effective. Wright’s allowed BA/OBP/SLG:
1TTO: .185/.264/.338 OPS .602
2TTO: .345/.463/.636 OPS 1.099
3TTO: .167/.310/.208 OPS .519
If Wright gives up a walk third time through the order, that’s when I’d pull him, because that’s a sign he’s losing command.

TKDCmember
3 years ago
Reply to  hughduffy

The sample size there is too small. You shouldn’t wait on failure when you can avoid it.

bosoxforlifemember
3 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I heard a lot of doubters concerning Anderson. He only had 5 starts in AAA last year and 6 this season. Anderson has never been given enough credit for what he has accomplished. Give the Braves credit for not choking because he came from upstate New York. The bias against cold weather prospects is so strong that even though he was taken #3 overall he had to overcome this type of thinking. From the 2020 BP Annual, “Huh, that seems like a reach. I don’t know about that one Braves”. Now the person who made that comment admitted his mistake but the bias remains. Mike Trout was acknowledged to be one of, if not the, best prospects in 2009 but fell to #25 because of this. Even top players, such as George Springer and Matt Harvey, do not get drafted out of high school in Connecticut but have to go to college to get recognition.

TRad
3 years ago
Reply to  bosoxforlife

Anderson – upstate NY.
Soroka – Canada

Do I see an emerging pattern here?

cartermember
3 years ago
Reply to  TRad

To a lesser extent it happens in Oregon and Washington as well. Most those guys get seen more, since they play more travel ball in warm weather places, but it does seem like a California guy gets the benefit of the doubt more than someone from other places. I would say it has a lot to do with confirmation bias. A scout thinks a guy is good, but then he also sees him more than he sees someone from a cold weather state (and so do his crosscheckers/colleagues) , so the opinion is confirmed more. Not sure I said that right exactly, but basically just simply seeing a guy more I feel is huge.

bosoxforlifemember
3 years ago
Reply to  TRad

You certainly do! Most teams take the easy route, don’t even look at anybody north of the 30 degree North latitude, and only pick players from the warmer climates. Many of these teenagers who play year-round have developed their skills almost to their maximum level and have little room for improvement while cold climate players, with greater talent are limited in what they can show. I must admit to being shocked at how many 1st round picks never even come close to the majors. A good example is the Phillies. Of the Phillies 1st selections from 2004 through 2017, only Aaron Nola managed to accumulate even 1 WAR for the team.