Postseason Managerial Report Card: Alex Cora

For the first two installments of this feature, I graded the postseason performance of two managers per article. This time, I’m sure you were expecting the same: the losing managers for the ALCS and NLCS lined up for some random internet writer to opine on their faults. That’s still basically the idea here, but I’ll be honest: I didn’t feel like fitting a chance to enumerate Dave Roberts’ strange decision-making into only half an article. That main course is still to come; for now, you’ll just have to settle for an accounting of Alex Cora’s playoff acumen.

Lineups/Pinch Hitting

Grade: A-
The Red Sox aren’t built for versatility. By the end of the season, they mostly plugged in their best hitters and let them go to work. An injury to J.D. Martinez meant even less flexibility in several early games. Even so, I liked some of the small moves Cora made to extract a tiny bit of extra value from his lineup.

When Boston faced a lefty pitcher, Enrique Hernández led off, with Kyle Schwarber batting second. Against righties, that order was flipped. That might seem like a small thing, but I like that it always keeps a starter from having a (relatively) easy matchup when the order turns over for a third time. If you’re trying to get extra outs from your starter, you’ll be doing it at a disadvantage. And if you pull your starter, the second batter your reliever faces will have the platoon edge anyway.

One place I thought Cora went too far: he kept that lefty/righty alternation all the way down the lineup. Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers batted third and fourth in some order, but they alternated along with Schwarber and Hernández. That’s totally fine — in addition to being excellent hitters, they’re very similar hitters, so getting lefty/righty staggering for reliever matchups is a small boost. But batting Martinez sixth, behind Alex Verdugo, was very strange to me. Martinez is clearly a better hitter, and you can tolerate one righty/righty pocket in your lineup — particularly given another righty always hit after Martinez.

It’s not a huge problem, but I would have done it differently. Heck, by the last game of the ALCS, Cora was doing it differently, batting Martinez fifth behind Bogaerts against a righty. Perhaps we can chalk it up to a mix of easing Martinez back into the lineup (sixth until the team got more information) and then superstition (We’re unstoppable when J.D. is hitting sixth! Why mess with it?).

There’s really nothing else to critique. The team had one lefty pinch hitter, Travis Shaw. Cora used him almost exclusively to replace light-hitting righties against right-handed pitching, a perfect use of limited resources. I wouldn’t say this was the hardest lineup-setting job in the playoffs, but it’s been one of the best-executed.

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Pitching

Grade: B+
Unlike his mostly cookie-cutter batting decisions, Cora faced a string of tough choices in optimizing Boston’s limited pitching. In their first playoff game, a do-or-die contest against the Yankees, he showed a quick hook in taking Nathan Eovaldi out when the stakes of the game got high. I thought it was a marginally bad decision at the time, and I stand by it, but it was really close: reasonable people can disagree about which way to go on this one.

Against the Rays, Cora pulled off a delightful gambit. In Game 1 of the series, he sent Eduardo Rodriguez out for nine batters, then used Nick Pivetta to fill in the bulk behind him. It got the Rays into some bad platoon matchups — but the Red Sox didn’t score at all, and Tampa Bay won 5-0. The same thing ended up happening, though by happenstance rather than design, when Chris Sale got shelled in the next game, facing eight batters in a five-run first inning. Tanner Houck provided five innings of solid relief, and the Sox won by putting 14 runs on the board. Scoring 14 is better than scoring zero, as it turns out.

That early deke with Rodriguez had an extra benefit: he returned for Game 4, on short rest but after having thrown only 41 pitches in his last start. He was efficient in five innings of work, and though Ryan Brasier blew a save (more on him in a minute), I liked the way Cora got Rodriguez into the series for a full start despite using him as a decoy in an earlier game. The whole strategy dovetailed nicely with the pitchers Boston was working with and the way the Rays approach lineup construction.

There was less starter subterfuge in the ALCS, but Cora made up for it with bullpen action. The game that featured the strangest decision-making was Game 4, which was locked at two runs apiece going into the ninth inning. Having already used two solid options, Josh Taylor and Garrett Whitlock, Cora turned to Eovaldi out of the bullpen on two days rest. Eovaldi had been great in relief in the 2018 World Series — why not run it back?

It didn’t pan out. Down 3-2 and with Eovaldi tiring, Cora turned to Martín Pérez in an attempt to put out the fire against lefty Michael Brantley. That worked about as well as you’d think in reading that sentence — Brantley cleared the bases with a double, and the rest was academic. But before that, Eovaldi hardly looked overmatched. He also looked passable in his next start, though with less than his normal stamina. If things had gone differently, you could imagine this move looking like a masterstroke. Mike Petriello found that using starters in relief historically has mainly reduced future innings pitched, not effectiveness.

I wonder whether that finding, which looks at all of baseball history, is slightly misleading in a season where most pitchers doubled (or more than doubled) their previous year’s innings totals. Either way, it wasn’t a make-or-break decision, though I probably would have gone with someone other than Eovaldi, particularly given that it was a tie game. If the Sox didn’t score in the bottom of the ninth, Eovaldi surely wasn’t coming out for another inning. If I’m risking the future to bring my ace in, I want a huge payoff if they do well.

The reason I’d be mostly okay with using Eovaldi is that Cora didn’t trust most of his bullpen. Houck and Whitlock each put in yeoman’s work. Taylor and Adam Ottavino were effective platoon pieces. That was kind of it! Aside from that, Cora was turning to Brasier, Hansel Robles, or a break-glass-in-case-of-emergency reliever chosen at random. Hirokazu Sawamura, the aforementioned Pérez, Darwinzon Hernandez, Austin Davis, Matt Barnes, and Garrett Richards all had brief and mostly-uninspiring appearances in these playoffs.

That meant a lot of work for Brasier (seven appearances, four innings) and Robles (six appearances, 5.1 innings). That’s really not where you want to be. Both are basically average middle relievers, not the high-leverage workhorses that they were cast as on this team. They allowed a combined eight runs in their 9.1 innings of work, which cost the team dearly. I’m not sure there’s anything Cora could do about that — he simply didn’t have much bullpen to work with, and he gave his two best relievers huge workloads — but it was strange to see two journeymen coming into the game in big spots (Brasier more so than Robles).

This was likely a problem without a solution. The Red Sox simply don’t have a great bullpen. Barnes caught a breakthrough case of COVID-19 in August, when he was already struggling after a spectacular first half. He then cut a part of his thumb off while making an omelet (always order your omelets if you’re a professional athlete, kids), and was only added to the ALDS roster as an injury replacement for Richards. Richards, too, would have been a nice option out of the bullpen, but he sprained his hamstring while running in the outfield in pregame warmups. At some point, you just don’t have enough pitching, regardless of the levers you pull.

Would I have liked to see more of Houck and Whitlock? I think so, though Cora did use them aggressively. I also wish he didn’t treat Brasier as a stopper, though again: what else are you doing given this roster makeup? This is a good reminder that good decisions and success aren’t always correlated; Cora did an excellent job across his whole roster, but the Astros are the best offense in baseball, and they showed it.





Ben is a writer at FanGraphs. He can be found on Bluesky @benclemens.

12 Comments
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booondMember since 2019
4 years ago

Shaw hasn’t hit well against RHP in three years. Poor roster construction if the one guy who has the job can’t do the job.

darren
4 years ago
Reply to  booond

It really seemed like they were stressing depth early in the season, so it was really strange to look up and see Danny Santana and Travis Shaw as the two big bats coming off the bench.

johndarc
4 years ago
Reply to  darren

I don’t think of the red Sox as a particularly deep team. Their rotation isn’t deep, their lineup isn’t deep, the bullpen isn’t deep. And yet, a pretty flawed Red Sox team still made it pretty deep into the playoffs. Nobody really expected them to be this good but here they were.

Manco
4 years ago

These grades are a bit rich. How is there no reluctance to praise popular managers when they do an average job at best? Cora did nothing special.

D-WizMember since 2019
4 years ago
Reply to  Manco

“Nothing special” is probably exactly where you want a manager to be. The alternative is Dave Roberts getting cute and blowing out his ace’s arm in the process. The Red Sox had an extremely limited roster, especially in the ‘pen, and Cora really did do a great job of maximizing that roster throughout their playoff run. I think these grades are basically spot on.

JohnThackerMember since 2020
4 years ago
Reply to  D-Wiz

Unfortunately, “really special” means making a correct decision on the basis of some accurate material nonpublic team or personnel knowledge, and is close to indistinguishable, even when successful, from “made what looked like a ok or even bad decision but it worked out well.” Regardless of how skeptical or not you are about special team knowledge, how would you really prove it in a small sample size?

I don’t see practically how you’re going to give better grades than doing the nothing special option.

darren
4 years ago

I agreed with using Eovaldi (but was very glad it wasn’t my decision to make!), but it did put them in a bind. Ahead in the series they took a risk, used their best starter, and still lost anyway. Hard to say exactly how much this affected Eovaldi in the next start, but he was pulled after only 4.1 IP. At that time, he sure felt like the team’s best option on the mound.

rhswanzey
4 years ago

I think Cora is a very good tactical manager who plays up because he has total buy in from the clubhouse. But it seems strange to posit that there was basically no choice but to use Eovaldi. Houck was on three days rest after throwing only an inning in game 1. There was an alternative besides the alright righties you’re trying to squint into a relief ace type spot.

I’m not saying Eovaldi wasn’t nonetheless the right call there, or that it didn’t make sense to save Houck for either extras (or multiple innings in a close game later in the series), but that’s a missing piece of information.

Another reason that Perez/Brantley was an odd choice for literally every reason but handedness, is that that was likely the first back-to-back of his career, no? He actually threw three games in a row in the series, which was probably not in plan A. That said, basically every choice was bad at that point.

jrothMember since 2026
4 years ago

“Scoring 14 is better than scoring zero, as it turns out.”

Anecdata! I’m going to need a deeper dive on this theory.

bosoxforlifeMember since 2016
4 years ago

The season must get an A+ from any honest Red Sox fan. Cora had some cards to play with. Bogaerts, Devers and Martinez are a pretty good foundation on which to build a lineup and there were a couple of positive surprises. Much has been written about Hernandez because of his post-season performance but he was tremendous on both offense during the second half and on defense all year. Renfroe was more than adequate and Verdugo was also. Schwarber was exceptional while Dalbec tantalized. Arroyo wasn’t bad but was injured and the catching was OK by today’s low standards. The less said about the bench the better. Franchy proved he is a classic 4-A player while Gonzalez, Santana, Chavis, and the rest left a lot to be desired. Eovaldi was the starting pitching and that was it. Cora showed his stuff by somehow getting just enough out of a group of guys all of whom had ERA’s between 4.5 and 5. That should not be good enough to reach the ALCS but the bullpen was better than it was given credit for. All of the key members of the pen, with the exception of Whitlock, who was a bulwark all season, had long periods of effectiveness. Ottavino who carried much of the load, had a FIP under 3 as late as 9/3 when he finally showed some fatigue. Taylor was terrific and had a 25 game unscored on streak. Even the maligned Robles did not give up a run in 15 appearances in September and Brasier put together an 11 game scoreless streak. That doesn’t even mention the All-Star, Barnes, who simply was an All-Star until he was asked to pitch in both ends of a DH on 8/7 then come back the next day. Something went wrong then but, as is often the case, excuses were made for why he lost it when the answer is all too clear. The playoffs were a microcosm of the season. When the bats mashed the Sox won and when they went silent the season ended. Much of the credit has to go to Cora who kept the good players in the lineup and handled the bullpen with tremendous acumen. I can’t wait to see what Bloom can put together for 2022. Schwarber almost pleaded to return but where does he play?. Casas is knocking the door down. Can Dalbec or Devers play 2nd? Let the games return!

dnicholas9Member since 2021
4 years ago

Ben, I think you miss the boat in discussing Cora’s handling of the ALCS Game 4 pitching by only looking at the 9th inning. The problem with that game was really the 6th inning, when Cora pulled a cruising Pivetta.
Over his previous three innings, Pivetta had given up one walk, no hits, and no hard contact. He was at 65 pitches. The Red Sox hadn’t let Pivetta go a third time through the line-up often this season, but at that point of that game, he was the best pitcher they had available. Cora could have had him on a short leash with relievers ready, but he should have kept him in the game.
Instead, Cora went to the reliable (by Sox bullpen standards) Josh Taylor. Taylor got two outs but gave up a hit to the lefty Alvarez (the guy he’s supposed to get out). Then Cora goes to Ottovino to face the righty Correa. Ottovino does his job, striking out Correa.
Then Cora brings Whitlock in for the 7th.
So in the course of the 6th inning, Cora burned three pitchers — Pivetta, Taylor and Ottovino. In the situation, pulling Taylor makes sense. But I’d ding Cora for both pulling Pivetta and then not sending Ottovino back out for the 7th. Cora had limited arms to work with, and he wasted too many of them in that inning.

JimmieFoxxalorianMember since 2020
4 years ago

I really think the 3rd-time-through-the-lineup issue is one that gets overanalyzed by managers in the playoffs.

Although no one wants to have their starter face hitters a third time (or even a second time in some cases), there is definitely value in having a horse that can pitch deep into a game, especially in the first game or two of a best-of-seven series. That horse prevents the bullpen from being overused and thus more options are freshly available to a manager for the remaining games that follow.

Yet we are routinely seeing very capable pitchers systematically pulled before that 3rd time through the lineup, even when it seems plenty is left in the tank.

Cora was quicker with the hook than I’d like to see, several times this postseason, and his decisions to go to a rotation piece out of the bullpen (over available traditional bullpen arms) didn’t always work out well. I think grading him a B+ for pitching management is generous. Should be more like a C-