Ronald Acuña Is Making History

Braves rookie Ronald Acuña has been on a tear lately. On Monday against the Marlins in Atlanta, the 20-year-old phenom did something that only three other players have done in over a century: lead off both games of a doubleheader with a home run. In the opener on Monday afternoon, the makeup of an August 1 rainout, Acuña clubbed Miami starter Pablo López’s fifth pitch of the game, a center-cut 93 mph four-seamer, an estimated 414 feet to center field:

Acuña later added a two-run double in that contest, which Braves went on to win, 9-1. In the nightcap, he hit the first pitch of Merandy Gonzalez’s first start, also a well-centered 93 mph four-seamer (jeez, kid, watch the tapes) an estimated 441 feet to center:

The Braves took that one as well, 6-1. With that pair of homers, Acuna etched himself in the record books:

Leadoff Homers in Both Games of Doubleheader
Player Team Opponent Date
Harry Hooper Red Sox Senators 5/30/1913
Rickey Henderson A’s Indians 7/5/1993
Brady Anderson Orioles White Sox 8/21/1999
Ronald Acuña Braves Marlins 8/13/2018
SOURCE: STATS

Note that Baseball-Reference defines only visiting team players who homer in the first plate appearance of a game as leadoff homers, a definition that fits only Hooper above. Other stat services include home team leadoff hitters in their counts. Via that definition, Henderson is the record-holder for leadoff homers, with 81 of his 297 homers kicking off the festivities. He’s in the Hall of Fame, as is Hooper, a speedy right fielder and table-setter for four World Series-winning Red Sox teams (1912, 1915, 1916, and 1918). Anderson, a three-time All-Star in 15 seasons with the Orioles, Red Sox, and Indians, is best remembered for his 50 homers in 1996, 35 of which came from the top spot in the lineup (formerly a record); 44 of his career 210 homers led off games.

Acuña is in impressive company there, but in the words of the Cat in the Hat, “That is not all! Oh, no. That is not all.” Including his home runs against the Brewers on Saturday and Sunday, he became the youngest player ever to homer in four straight games according to the Elias Sports Bureau. What’s more, he has five homers in his last six games, seven in his last 14 games, 10 in his last 22 games, and 17 in his 66-game MLB career. Among this year’s crop of rookies, he’s fifth in dingers behind the Padres’ Christian Villanueva (20), the Yankees’ Miguel Andujar and Gleyber Torres, and the White Sox’ Daniel Palka (18 apiece). Those players have anywhere from 14 to 146 more plate appearances thus far, as does the 19-year-old NL rookie who has stolen some of Acuña’s thunder, namely the Nationals’ Juan Soto.

Acuña’s numbers don’t pop quite like those of Soto, who is about 10 months younger and debuted 25 days after Acuña’s April 25 debut. The big difference is in the two players’ plate discipline:

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NL East Phenoms
Player PA HR SB BB% K% AVG OBP SLG wRC+ WAR
Acuña 284 17 8 7.4% 28.5% .282 .342 .552 138 2.0
Soto 310 15 2 17.1% 18.4% .301 .421 .547 157 2.6

Soto’s plate discipline is elite regardless of his age; what he’s doing is just unreal, as Jeff Sullivan illustrated recently. That may mean he walks home with the Rookie of the Year hardware, but it shouldn’t detract from appreciating what Acuña’s doing, particularly for a team that’s running seven games ahead of Soto and the Nats in the NL East standings.

What’s more, it’s worth noting that Acuña, who missed a month due to an ACL sprain in his left knee, appears to be gaining some discipline. Before the All-Star break, he hit .249/.304/.438 for a 99 wRC+ with a 6.5% walk rate and a 30.4% strikeout rate; since then, he’s hit .344/.410/.767 for a 210 wRC+ — he’s fourth in the majors in the last two of those numbers since the break — with a 9.0% walk rate and 25.0% strikeout rate. His K-BB% has dropped from 23.9% to 16.0%, his outside-the-zone swing rate from 32.2% to 24.4%, and his swinging strike rate from 12.4% to 9.9%. The kid is locked in right now.

With his WAR now at 2.0, Acuña and 21-year-old teammate Ozzie Albies — who’s in the midst of a very solid season himself (.280/.315/.493, 115 wRC+, 3.5 WAR) — have already joined an impressive list. It’s quite rare for a team to get at least 1.5 WAR from two players 21 or younger in the same season:

Teammates 21 and Under With at Least 1.5 WAR
Year Team Player Age WAR Player Age WAR
1939 Red Sox Ted Williams* 20 7.1 Bobby Doerr* 21 2.5
1959 Giants Orlando Cepeda* 21 3.5 Willie McCovey* 21 3.1
1965 Astros Joe Morgan* 21 5.1 Rusty Staub 21 1.6
1973 Brewers Darrell Porter 21 3.6 Bob Coluccio 21 2.1
1975 Expos Gary Carter* 21 3.2 Larry Parrish 21 1.6
1978 Tigers Lou Whitaker 21 3.4 Alan Trammell* 20 2.7
2003 Devil Rays Carl Crawford 21 1.9 Rocco Baldelli 21 1.8
2018 Braves Ozzie Albies 21 3.4 Ronald Acuña 20 2.0
* = Hall of Fame

Seven players from among the seven pairs preceding Acuña and Albies are in the Hall of Fame, and I’m a huge advocate for an eighth (Whitaker), but then if you read what I wrote about the frequency with which such young players wind up in Cooperstown, you won’t be surprised. Williams and Doerr are inextricably linked; they spent their entire careers together (save for military service) with the Red Sox, leading them to the 1946 AL pennant. While Williams was elected by the writers on the first ballot in 1966, Doerr didn’t gain entry until the Veterans Committee smiled upon him in 1986 — a Veterans Committee that had just been graced by the presence of one Theodore Samuel Williams, ahem.

Cepeda and McCovey, both natural first basemen and back-to-back Rookies of the Year in 1958 and 1959, respectively, created all sorts of headaches for the Giants with their awkward forays to the outfield in an attempt to fit both into the lineup. They helped the Giants to the 1962 NL pennant and each went on to win MVP awards. Morgan and Staub both debuted for the 1963 Colt .45s and had matured into solid regulars by 1965; the former needs little introduction, but the latter racked up 2,716 hits and 292 homers as a larger-than-life icon and philanthropist at every stop. Carter actually spent more of his rookie season playing right field (92 games) instead of catching (66 games), while 23-year-old backstop Barry Foote, who had been solid the year before, slipped below the Mendoza Line, while Parrish made two All-Star teams and bopped 256 homers in his 15-year career. Trammell and Whitaker set a record as the longest-running double play combo in major-league history (1,918 games); the former was just inducted into Cooperstown last month. Baldelli and Crawford gave Devil Rays fans something to cheer about.

There’s only one truly obscure player on this list — namely Coluccio, a right fielder whose MLB career lasted just five seasons and 370 games. After hitting .224/.311/.411 (102 wRC+) with 15 homers as a rookie, he hit just .218/.300/.315 (78 wRC+) thereafter, and blamed hitting coach Harvey Kuenn for curbing his aggressive approach in an effort to turn him into a prototypical leadoff hitter. His partner in youth, Porter, was a four-time All-Star who served as the backstop for three pennant-winners, and won both NLCS and World Series MVP honors for the Cardinals in 1982.

Interestingly enough, none of those young duos made the playoffs in the above seasons. While the expanded playoff format certainly gives Acuña and Albies a leg up in that department — the 66-51 Braves have a 59.6% chance of making it, according to our odds — it would be yet another cool slice of history for the pair to claim.





Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011, and a Hall of Fame voter since 2021. Follow him on BlueSky @jayjaffe.bsky.social.

55 Comments
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carterMember since 2020
7 years ago

If Acuna continues his tear he very well could end up being the ROY, I don’t think it is a given that it goes to Soto.

TKDCMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  carter

If he literally continues playing this way, he will probably win the MVP.

dukewinslowMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

Extrapolating from the last 4 games, he will be voted into the Hall of Fame on the strength of this season alone.

DBA455
7 years ago
Reply to  dukewinslow

I hadn’t thought of Acuna as a slugger (eg, more of an all-around player, with some plate discipline, speed, etc) – but looking back over the past few decades, it seems like the best comp for his rookie/age-20 season is … Giancarlo Stanton?

RA: 7%BB/28%K/.288 ISO/.345 BABIP
GS: 9%/31%/.248/.330

There are obviously some league-adjustments to make there (which would make Acuna’s K-rate look less worrisome relative to the current field but his ISO perhaps more in line with Stanton’s) but it’s a pretty good comp. And not what I was expecting as recently as a few months ago.

The list of players who hit this well, this young, and didn’t develop into sustained offensive superstars is basically: Jason Heyward.

TKDCMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  DBA455

That last part is quite an “ouch” for Braves fans. Acuna does seem to have elite speed, but so far he is not at all maximizing it defensively or on the bases. Also, the 70 grade that was given to his arm is definitely too high. It has been suggested with the number of elite defensive outfielders that are in the Braves system (mostly Inciarte now and Pache in the future, but also maybe Waters), that Acuna would be best served bulking up slightly into more of a power hitter. Well, I guess he doesn’t really need to bulk up for that, given what we’ve seen.

Sn0wman
7 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

For just a moment ignoring the stats and reverting to the eyes, the player Acuna most reminds me of (as a hitter) is Gary Sheffield., Remember that elite bat speed, hard hit balls left and right, and third base coaches leaving their box and hiding near the dugout to avoid screaming liners? That’s the kind of slugger Acuna is. Numbers-wise he may comp to Stanton, but he’s not the muscled up strongman slugger.

TimBrownUMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  carter

Acuna leads Soto in bWAR 2.5-2.0 compared to Soto over Acuna in fWAR 2.6-2.0 FWIW. In fewer games also.

carterMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  TimBrownU

Now what, 2.5 WAR? Sweet mother of god.

Rahul Kumar
7 years ago
Reply to  carter

As a Giants fan, while Dereck Rodriguez might not be the front-runner for ROY, or even the most deserving candidate, it’s criminal that he’s not even in the conversation. He’s got 2.5 bWAR, and even fWAR’s got him at 1.8

undue
7 years ago

Acuna will have more HR, RBI’s than Soto…play better defense as well. I like Acuna’s power speed and defense more than Soto. And he don’t stare at pitchers. Soto’s going to get hit if he continues this ploy. Though i do like Soto’s confidence or is it arrogance? I think Soto is acutally older (go Joe Simpson!)…….

Ozzie Albies
7 years ago
Reply to  undue

Aker will have more staff, more pages than Soto … Play a better defense. I like Akuna’s power and defense of Villa de Soto. And do not look at Bacaia. Soto will get worse if he continues with this trick. I like Soto’s trust or arrogance? I think Soto is very old (Edie Joe Simpson) ……

Aduhey
7 years ago

Could Soto go into a slump and lose the award?

CousinNicky
7 years ago
Reply to  Aduhey

before yesterday Soto had a 108 WRC+ carried entirely by his high walk rate over his past 15 games. Not a bad slump but he has slowed down a little. soto is also graded as one of the worst defensive outfielders in baseball so that is dragging his total value down a ton.

TimEsquitMember since 2025
7 years ago
Reply to  CousinNicky

It was the past 13 games before yesterday actually, and I’m only correcting you because they’re arbitrary endpoints. Soto hit a home run in each of the 3 games before that 13 game streak.

Anon21Member since 2018
7 years ago
Reply to  Aduhey

I think it’s more a question of whether Acuna or Bader or someone can turn on the afterburners and blast past him. It’s Soto’s to lose and his advanced approach seems to suggest he’s not just going to collapse, but there’s certainly room for another rookie to overtake him.

dcweber99
7 years ago
Reply to  Aduhey

Sure

EasyenoughMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  Aduhey

Soto’s skill is the least prone to slumpiness. On the other hand he’s having a really rough time with breaking balls.

JEdwardMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  Aduhey

Soto undoubtedly has the better plate discipline, but Acuna’s batted ball profile is nicer. He hits it harder than Soto (91.0 mph AVE to 88.9), and he hits it in the air more than Soto. Soto hits it on the ground 52.8% of the time. That’s 15th worst of any player with at least 250 PA (even more problematic with his speed, or lack thereof). Acuna’s launch angle is 13.4 degrees, while Soto’s is only 5.4 (that’s low!). Soto make soft contact 21.5% of the time, Acuna only 12.9%.

I would not be surprised to see Soto’s power regress while Acuna’s should not (though he clearly won’t keep up the pace from the past week), and it could lead to an interesting ROY debate at the end, e.g., OBP v. SLG. If Acuna keeps stealing bases at a decent rate, it could tilt in his favor.

dustin0224
7 years ago
Reply to  Aduhey

Interesting thought, think it could happen if Acuna stays hot. But Joe Simpson for one doesn’t think so, he already said last week you might as well write Soto’s name in for ROY right then. Probably a coincidence but Acuna has been on an absolute tear since then.

Johnny Coconuts
7 years ago

Has there ever been quite an outlier like Brady Anderson’s 50 home run campaign in 1996 at age 32?

Latch-Key Kid
7 years ago

Davey Johnson hitting 43 at age 30 in 1973?

whiptydojoe
7 years ago
Reply to  Latch-Key Kid

Those 1973 Braves had SOMETHING going on.

It wasn’t just Davey Johnson. Aaron had 40 as a 39 year old in 465 PAs (a pace that even he never displayed before.) And Darrell Evans went from 19 in ’72, then 41, and then 25 in ’74.

1973 in Atlanta must’a had something in the water.

Fun fact: any guess who was Brady Anderson’s manager in 1996? It’s one of the three guys listed above…

mbs2001
7 years ago
Reply to  whiptydojoe

Maybe they were working out with the Falcons that year…

TomahawkChopperMember since 2020
7 years ago

How about Bret Boone in 2001? The five prior years he had wRC+ of 62, 64, 101, 83, 92 and compiled a combined 0.3 WAR in those years. Then in 2001 he had a 149 wRC+, 37 home runs, 141 RBIs and 8 WAR.

mbs2001
7 years ago

Brett Boone turning into Bane from Batman raised flags but the man got a large contract based off his performance in 2001.

v2miccaMember since 2016
7 years ago

I’m going to give the snarky reply and say Barry Bond’s 73 home run campaign in 2001 at age 37 sticks out a bit. But we kind of know why.

dl80Member since 2026
7 years ago
Reply to  v2micca

I think we also know why with Boone and Anderson

dcweber99
7 years ago

I’ll throw three names out there that are likely not impacted by PEDs:

Jacoby Ellsbury- 32 homers at age 27 in 2011. Next highest single season total was 16. OPS was .928 in 2011, but he’s never topped .800 in any other meaningful sample size.

Oliver Perez- possibly PED because it was 2004, but he was a good prospect. Easiest way to put it is that over half of his career value came in ~7% of his career innings pitched.

Walt Dropo’s rookie year- 1950. OPS was .161 higher than in any other season in his career. He accounted for 3.3 fWAR in 136 games. WRC+ was 132. In the remaining 1141 games of his career, his WRC+ was 98. In terms of bWar, he barely produced 1 WAR in the next decade. Nowadays, he wouldn’t get consistent playing time.

From the steroid era- Jay Bell’s 38 homers at age 33 in 1999 are a great example of what happens one year after joining a team with Steve Finley and Luis Gonzalez. In fact, if you trace the career paths of Ken Caminiti, Jose Canseco, Rafael Palmeiro, and Steve Finley, you’ll see random homerun spikes for all kinds of players, usually the year after the guy came into contact with one of them. It extends beyond hitting, too- Roger Clemens’ rebirth in Toronto came one year after he spent a season with Canseco.

There are plenty of WTF-happened seasons. I’m not naive enough to think that Ellsbury and Perez absolutely had crazy seasons without some form of assistance, but I prefer those types of outlier seasons to the obvious-to-explain types.

Chill
7 years ago
Reply to  dcweber99

This has always been a promising way to finesse out who may have played “enhanced” during the height of the PED era. Interaction diagrams help shed light on this issue.

Max.Miceli
7 years ago
Reply to  Chill

I would love to see this visualized somewhere!

TKDCMember since 2016
7 years ago

Acuna raised his wRC+ from 127 to 138 yesterday, and added 0.5 WAR to get to 2.0. Thus illustrating how well he can destroy AAA competition.

v2miccaMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

It must be hard to be a Marlins fan.

southie
7 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

Sheesh you’re right does wRC not capture or normalize this?

Jon L.Member since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  southie

Yes, it doesn’t.

calebwMember since 2016
7 years ago

It is only because of recency bias that Rocco Baldelli isn’t counted as an obscure player. He was a career 98 wRC+ hitter in about 2000 PA, 1250 of which came in his age-21 and age-22 seasons. That is very obscure.

LHPSU
7 years ago
Reply to  calebw

Baldelli was a very talented young player whose struggles with injury were well known. He’s not obscure by any means.

dcweber99
7 years ago
Reply to  calebw

Completely disagree. In both Rays and Rhode Island circles, which are admittedly small, Rocco is a symbol of what-could-have-been. In New England baseball mythology, Tony Conigliaro is at the pantheon of a promising career ended too soon. Baldelli is right there with him.

Rocco’s condition was obscure. His play was not.

HarryLives
7 years ago
Reply to  calebw

But that “obscurity” was due to an incredibly rare metabolic/muscular disorder, not to a lack of talent. Baldelli may one day join the “who’s that guy” ranks with Coluccio, but the fact that his career was somewhat tragically cut short by rare disease and his continued presence in the game as a coach make it less likely. I feel confident that Baldelli would have had a long and solid MLB career absent his disease. He was a great athlete who could impact the game in every dimension. In 2003, if you had asked Rays fans who would have a better career between Crawford and Baldelli, every one of them would have picked The Woonsocket Rocket.

zmo
7 years ago
Reply to  HarryLives

Baldelli had a rare disease that caused extreme muscle fatigue, if I remember correctly. He was talented enough that he played through it for years. If not for that, he was on his way to being a perennial All-Star.

OTMHeartBBCMember since 2025
7 years ago

And noone was there to witness it apparently.

v2miccaMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  OTMHeartBBC

Suntrust Park deserves its ranking as the least accessible stadium. Public transit is still considered a dirty word in the suburbs of Georgia.

CousinNicky
7 years ago
Reply to  OTMHeartBBC

They are drawing better than Washington and Philadelphia.

Walk-off balk
7 years ago

Great stuff Jay, I think Acuna’s WAR should be updated to 2.0 in the chart you shared though.

If they continue playing this kind of baseball, it’s possible they could end the season with the 2nd or 3rd highest combined WAR among teammates 21 and younger.

JV19
7 years ago

Why does Acuña have 2.0 WAR in the table comparing him to Soto and 1.4 in the table with him and Albies?

Pachoo9Member since 2021
7 years ago
Reply to  JV19

The table is outdated. Acuna gained 0.6 WAR in just the past two days.

Bronnt
7 years ago

He just led off yet another game with a home run. What even is this kid.

TRad
7 years ago
Reply to  Bronnt

Ridiculous 🙂
He can’t literally continue it, right?

TRad
7 years ago

What you need to qualify for HoF in one season?
162 games against ’18 Marlins.

This is RIDICULOUS squared.

CindyJNCMember since 2021
7 years ago

One day later and Acuña has 19 homers and 2.3 WAR. Don’t look back Juan, Ronald is gaining on ya’.

PC1970Member since 2024
7 years ago

That is, IF he’s really 20 years old, right Joe Simpson?

Daniel
7 years ago

This article has aged nicely.

OTMHeartBBCMember since 2025
7 years ago

Pablo Lopez Merandy Garcia

call me when he hits actual pitching

majnun
7 years ago
Reply to  OTMHeartBBC

Fun fact: Acuna has only played the Marlins this season, and is the only player in baseball that has ever faced them!

TKDCMember since 2016
7 years ago
Reply to  OTMHeartBBC

I’ll let you know when he hits a home run off Blake Snell in a 1-0 victory.