Steven Matz to Cardinals Puts Steve Cohen on Tilt
There are two narratives to consider with Steven Matz, who signed with the Cardinals last Wednesday. There’s the straight-up baseball story of a solid pitcher joining the rotation of a good team. Then there’s the seemingly never-ending soap opera that is the Mets, whom he spurned in the final moments of his free agency for St. Louis.
Let’s start with the baseball side of things. Matz immediately fills a rotation spot for a Cardinals team that will likely be in the thick of things in the NL Central in 2022. At four years and $11 million per, with the chance to earn an additional $4 million over the life of the contract via performance bonuses, he topped the length and total value, though not AAV, predicted by Ben Clemens in our top 50 free agents list, on which he ranked no. 31, and beat the crowd-sourced numbers in each category.
The lefty will slot somewhere in the middle of the St. Louis starter group, certainly following Adam Wainwright and Jack Flaherty, and if there’s anyone on the market who fits the definition of middle-rotation starter, it’s Matz. As 2020 gets further away in our collective rear-view mirrors, we’ve learned how much data from that season is an outlier, and an extreme one at times, as was the case with him; he was northing short of miserable in his nine appearances that season. And while he had his share of health issues in his earlier years, if you take his three most recent full seasons, he’s been the roughly the same player in terms of both consistent performance and availability.
He doesn’t have the kind of high-spin, bat-missing stuff that teams tend to look for in the modern game, but Matz keeps the ball on the ground at roughly a 50% rate and should benefit greatly from a Cardinals defense that represents a significant upgrade from what was behind him in Toronto. He leans primarily on his 93–96-mph sinker and throws a pair of breaking balls roughly a quarter of the time, preferring his curve over his slider, and for good reason, considering the quality of the pitch. Changeups are rare but shouldn’t be, as he’s added a few inches of drop on the pitch over the past few years, leading to an offering that performs quite well.
During those previously mentioned three full seasons, Matz averaged 30 starts and 155 innings per, so he’s been taking the bump every five days, but going deep into games is not something he brings to the table, as he got more than 18 outs just three times in 2021. He can throw a strike when he has to but needs to play around the edges in order to succeed with his arsenal, leading to deeper counts, more than 100 pitches per six innings, and the need for multiple relievers to finish the job.
This isn’t the kind of signing that usually makes headlines, but headlines were made nonetheless, and by the team that didn’t sign him. As Matz’s deal broke early Wednesday, Mets owner Steven Cohen angrily tweeted, “I’m not happy this morning. I’ve never seen such unprofessional behavior exhibited by a player’s agent. I guess words and promises don’t matter.” This is seemingly based on Matz — or more likely his representatives, who were speaking to multiple teams during the week — not circling back to the Mets to check in before he agreed to terms with the Cardinals.
Hey, it happens. As a basic rule in nearly every front office, no deal gets celebrated until the physical is complete and the signature is on the contract; before those two things happen, the player is not a part of your club. Every team with concrete interest in a free agent will request that agents check in before a final decision is made to give the team a chance to up the offer or bow out with the knowledge that the player is getting more — either in terms of money, opportunity, or quality of life aspects — than it can offer. Sometimes teams get that call, and sometimes they don’t, and it’s a 50/50 shot at best. When the call doesn’t happen, it’s understandable to get frustrated a bit. But making a story out of it, as opposed to just moving on to the next target (which to the Mets’ credit they did in droves later in the week), isn’t the best use of anyone’s time.
Prior to the 2019 season, the Astros identified a free-agent pitcher they were interested in. He wasn’t a big name, but he would require a major league deal, though it wouldn’t have any big numbers in terms of either length or AAV. He did have a big-name agent, though, and I was assigned the negotiation. After a couple of initial discussions, I informed the agent that we were preparing an offer and I would be in touch with him soon. The front office got back to work on the player, an initial offer was agreed upon by the end of the day, and I planned on calling the agent the next morning to push our offer across the transom.
Instead, I woke up to Twitter reports of the player agreeing to terms with another team. To be fair, the player signed a deal that far surpassed what the Astros were going to offer or any number they’d even push to. Still, I was a bit perturbed. This was more than a circle back request; this was the promise of an impending offer to the player that was ignored, as the player signed elsewhere before I could even put the offer in front of him.
I decided to call the agent the next day, knowing that he’d be awfully busy the day of the signing crossing T’s and dotting I’s on the contract while putting together a schedule for a physical and actual signing. When I finally connected with him, I discussed the situation, and there were clearly some miscommunications that occurred on both ends of the phone during our conversations. The conversation never got heated, but it was rather open and honest, and in the end, it made me a better communicator and gave me a better understanding of free-agent dynamics. I hope for the sake of the Mets that Cohen and Matz’ agent, Rob Martin, will or already have had a similar conversation, and I hope Cohen learns from it. He certainly did not learn anything immediately; less than an hour after his angry tweet surfaced, the New York Post’s Joel Sherman took to Twitter to relay a conversation with Cohen in which the owner said he was upset that Matz and his representative pursued the Mets, as opposed to vice-versa.
Of course they did; that’s what good agents do. They are proactive in pursuing the best deals for their clients, and that pursuit involves actively marketing the services of their clients to potential suitors. That’s why agents go to the GM Meetings. That’s why they make books about the players they represent to distribute to teams. That’s why they blow up executives’ phones during the Winter Meetings looking for some face-to-face interaction. That’s absolutely their job, and it’s what Martin did, and it’s standard business practice in one that Cohen, despite his considerable monetary success elsewhere, knows precious little about.
So while Cohen’s tweets and post-tweet comments can seem like sour grapes, they mostly come off as someone without much experience in the baseball world. From interns to players signed to nine-figure contracts, nothing about working or conducting business within the world of Major League Baseball is like any other business, and his considerable experience and business acumen don’t apply neatly to his new venture, leaving plenty of lessons to be learned that can only be taught within this industry. There is also an onus on Sandy Alderson and the three GMs that have served under Cohen during his brief 13-month tenure to educate him on the ways of this world, because it’s a damn unique one.
Kevin Goldstein is a National Writer at FanGraphs.
Interesting inside view.
This is so funny. It was just August that this guy was criticizing his team for not being sufficiently disciplined. Nothing more predictable than this guy turning out to be softer than a baby’s butt.
He is a bit of a blowhard, but since then he’s opened his checkbook wide, and has improved the team with the Marte, Canha and Escobar signings and might sign Scherzer, which is much more than previous ownership would do.
I’ll given Cohen a mulligan this time. Hopefully he listens to his guys and stops nonsense like this. Maybe he should just stay off Twitter. Maybe everyone should stay off Twitter.
I guess I’m not surprised he got a fourth year at that AAV, given what we’ve seen elsewhere. But it is one more data point that this pitching market has rebounded back to where it was in its previous highs in 2014-2016.
In the context of a market where Jon Gray is getting $56M and Michael Wacha not only gets a guaranteed contract but also a raise, this deal looks like approximate market value. But I think the conventional wisdom of over-drafting on position players and then signing free agent starters is perhaps not correct anymore. Woe to you if you have to spend $11M per year for a guy who wouldn’t be a Top 3 starter for most playoff teams.
That was never the case. The Cubs only made it seem that way for a while, and it eventually caught up to them big time.
The conventional wisdom has always been to develop pitching over position players if you can’t strike a more even balance. After all, you can never have too much pitching.
When you get the offer you want, or the team you want, or both, you don’t say ‘hey, I’m waiting for another offer from XYZ team’. If that offer is too good to pass up, you take it and sign it immediately because if you say ‘i’m waiting for another offer from XYZ team’ then the team offering you the too good to sign contract may find another use for that $$ too and pull the offer. I would think this is understandable to all sides. As Kevin aptly pointed out, in his case the Astros were never going near to the offer his player got. I’m sure the agent for said player knew this, and knew the offer he was getting was as good as it gets thus…no hesitation to sign.
I got a rare laugh when hearing about poow, poow Stevey’s ultra relatable tweet bashing an agent for being unfaiw and unethekewl. These baby boy owners, has there ever in the history of humanity been a more entitled class of people? Imagine if these scum were held to the same standards they hold anyone not in their little cabal to. Gutter trash like this guy will outlive most of the planet too, so gross…Just wait until NYC basically gifts him the land around Citi Field in due time, bet he won’t be crying about unethical behavior then
There are also so many other reasons to take a team’s offer than just the contract details. Some adults like to raise families or live in certain places and when they get to choose *those* details, it’s incredibly personal and we’ll never understand all of that.
It wouldn’t surprise me that anyone might choose St Louis over New York for those reasons, or Denver over Chicago, or…
During their hunt for the new GM, most of the candidates the Mets asked to interview said no. One quote was “no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. Never.”
It’s hard to shake off a “dyfunctional organization” reputation.
It usually takes a massive overpay plus an escape clause.
Cohen cost himself a lot of money with that tweet.
They seemed to get great deals on Marte and Canha, so not sure that he did..
$43M on Scherzer?
There were two problems. The first was that there were a lot of people they wanted to interview who were already the top decision-makers at their org (Stearns) or who had everything they wanted (Epstein). But the second problem was that here were a lot of rumors that the Mets were just waiting for David Stearns and then they were going to hire him to supervise whoever they brought in this year. I don’t know if it’s true but who wants to leave a good gig for that?
ESPN says Epstein turned them down.
What’s his current job, again?
“or who had everything they wanted (Epstein).”
I like the article and the inside view it gives us on agent-team dynamics. I do wish, however, more than a paragraph was given on what this means for the Cardinals. I can guess the gist of it and perhaps that paragraph was more than enough on the topic (groundball pitcher goes to team with great defense and pitcher-friendly ballpark, news at 11!), but as a fan, it’s a little annoying that more than half of the article is dedicated to what a crybaby dipwit Cohen was being instead of what it means for the acquiring team, either immediately or in the future.
Do note that tbe subject of tbe headline is actually Cohen.
Well Kevin, I hope you feel better after that vent. It must have really bothered you for you to publish this piece five days after it happened. The whole world knows that Cohen overreacted and that he showed his inexperience in the industry. Further, he acted like a fan on a team blog. But, this is FanGraphs where articles are written for their analytical content; not just a very long comment/opinion on news.
Further, while you look to reprimand Cohen you let the whole world know that you had a job to do, and your employer worked hard on an offer, but rather than presenting it as soon as it was done, you sat on it until the next morning. How do you know that the agent even had the other offer and if he gave yours to his client the client wouldn’t have agreed on the spot? Sounds like you take your responsibilities for granted. If that’s the approach you had to your job, it could be why you aren’t working there anymore but writing for FanGraphs? Grow up Kevin!
lol
As stats-ridden as this site tends to be, there have been many articles that are more about commentaries and/or opinions. David Laurila’s articles come to mind, as they are mostly commentary about or conversations with baseball players. The Birchwood Brothers, when they wrote articles here not too long ago, were just paragraphs and paragraphs of mostly commentary with some stats sprinkled in. Thus, more articles by Kevin Goldstein are fine by me and I would look forward to reading them.
I must know who the mystery pitcher was! I’m guessing … Oliver Perez?
One of the best takes I’ve read on a transaction. Hard hitting but professional. Cohen should send you a bottle of champagne or at least a fruit basket.
It was clear that Cohen had not followed up with a conversation with Rob Martin, Matz’s agent, before leveling public accusations of unprofessionalism against him. Now THAT is unprofessional. For all Cohen knew, Matz specifically instructed Martin to accept the Cardinals offer without informing the Mets. And an agent is, of course, just that — an agent for the player’s wishes … when the client says “do X”, an agent does X, barring it being illegal.
I’m a Mets fan and was dismayed by Cohen’s conduct here. Petulance is not an attractive trait in an owner.
I enjoyed this article and getting your perspective. From a fan’s point of view I felt his hurt feelings were an over-reaction.
C’mon dude, drop the superiority complex. You think Steven Cohen naive? He’s worked in finance for his entire life, the epitome of ‘shopping the bid;’ there is likely more than meets the eye to this story.
Rather than celebrate your self professed professionalism from a previous life, why don’t you do a better job in your current role and dig a bit, rather than polish your own (old) bona fides? Either an article about Matz as an interesting pick up, or a more indepth piece on what really ticked Stevie off would be preferred….