The Rarest of Gems for Syndergaard
NEW YORK — “It’s probably more rare than a perfect game, I’d guess,” said Mets manager Mickey Callaway on Thursday afternoon. “To hit a homer and win 1-0 with a shutout, that’s got to be one of the rarest things in baseball.”
Callaway was speaking of Noah Syndergaard’s two-way tour de force against the Reds at Citi Field, and he was correct. Dating back to the 19th century, major league pitchers have thrown 23 perfect games, the most recent on August 15, 2012, by the Mariners’ Felix Hernandez against the Rays. By the most generous count, just nine other pitchers have accomplished what Syndergaard did, the last of them the Dodgers’ Bob Welch on June 17, 1983, also against the Reds.
You don’t see that every day.
“Awesome,” said the 26-year-old Syndergaard when informed that he’d accomplished something that hadn’t been done in 36 years.
Awesome is a good description for Syndergaard’s complete performance on Thursday. In an afternoon game that might have benefited from a getaway day mindset for both teams as well as home plate umpire Marty Foster, the fireballing righty summoned his dominant form for the first time this season, striking out 10 while yielding just four hits and a walk. He augmented that with his second home run of the season, a 105.2 mph, 407-foot opposite field shot off the Reds’ Tyler Mahle in the third inning. Roll the highlight reel:
“He was a one-man wrecking crew out there today. That was a really awesome outing for him,” said first baseman Pete Alonso, who watched from the bench until pinch-hitting in the bottom of the sixth inning. The rookie, who leads the team with nine homers, said of Syndergaard’s shot, “He absolutely demolished that ball.”
Via the Baseball-Reference Play Index, YES Network researcher James Smyth, and Retrosheet, here’s a look at Syndergaard, Welch, and company:
| Player | Date | Tm | Opp | IP | H | BB | SO | GScV2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry McCormick | 7/26/1879 | Syracuse Stars | Boston Red Stockings | 9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Tom Hughes | 8/3/1906 | Senators | Browns | 10 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 80 |
| Gene Packard | 9/29/1915 | KC Packers (Fed Lg) | STL Terriers | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 88 |
| Red Ruffing | 8/13/1932 | Yankees | Senators | 10 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 102 |
| Spud Chandler | 5/21/1938 | Yankees | White Sox | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 80 |
| Early Wynn | 5/1/1959 | White Sox | Red Sox | 9 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 92 |
| Jim Bunning | 5/5/1965 | Phillies | Mets | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 89 |
| Juan Pizarro | 9/16/1971 | Cubs | Mets | 9 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 86 |
| Bob Welch | 6/17/1983 | Dodgers | Reds | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 76 |
| Noah Syndergaard | 5/2/2019 | Mets | Reds | 9 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 94 |
The two performances outside the range of the Play Index, which goes back to 1908, are both noteworthy, in that McCormick is the only pitcher who hit his homer in the first inning, and Hughes the first to hit his in the 10th, a feat later matched by Ruffing; both were in the top half of the inning, so alas, no walk-offs. Packard’s came in the short-lived Federal League. Bunning’s outing was less than a year after he no-hit the Mets, who had been on the wrong end of two such games, while Pizarro, the other pitcher to thwart them, is the only pitcher on this list besides Syndergaard who’s still alive (he’s 82). According to Tom Tango’s Game Score 2.0, which credits or debits a pitcher based upon the various items in his line score, Syndergaard’s performance rates as the best of the nine-inning ones, surpassing Wynn’s dominant but rather ugly one-hitter.
His outing could hardly have come at a more opportune time for the slumping Mets, who entered having lost five out of seven to fall to 15-15, tied with the Braves for second in the NL East, two games behind the Phillies. Through Wednesday, their vaunted rotation ranked 13th in the NL in ERA (4.86) and just seventh in FIP (4.13) and WAR (2.4). Their shaky bullpen (14th with a 5.53 ERA, 13th with a 4.88 FIP, 11th with 0.1 WAR), had lost Jeurys Familia to the injured list due to a sore shoulder after he blew a save on Tuesday night; on Wednesday, closer Edwin Diaz surrendered a ninth-inning homer to Jose Iglesias for the game’s only run. “We don’t know how we get through the rest of the game if [Syndergaard] doesn’t complete it,” said Callaway, later adding, “The lack of relief was a relief today.”
Syndergaard felt his own sense of relief with his 104-pitch performance, saying, “I felt like I was pretty close to rock bottom. I feel like a weight has been lifted off my shoulders.” He had entered carrying a 6.35 ERA, having allowed fewer than four runs only once in six previous turns this year. His 3.71 FIP was certainly more presentable, though nearly a run higher than his career mark; underlying it were career-worst walk and home run rates (6.8% and 1.3 per nine, respectively), offset somewhat by a 26.4% strikeout rate, which was at least better than last year’s career-low 24.1%.
After his previous start, in which he’d been cuffed for 10 hits (two homers) and five runs in five innings by the Brewers on a 50-degree evening at Citi Field featuring 24 mph winds, he’d struggled to get a feel for his pitches; allegations that he had used a foreign substance, based upon a video of him digging his right index and middle fingers into the heel of his glove, circulated. “You felt those baseballs, they felt like ice cubes,” Syndergaard told reporters in response while refusing to answer the charge. “Watch a video of a dog trying to pick up an ice cube, that’s what it was like.”
On a sunny 66-degree afternoon, Syndergaard didn’t struggle for feel, and he tore through a lineup that not only entered hitting .210/.284/.376 for a 71 wRC+, with three players carrying a 41 wRC+ or worse, but was without slumping first baseman Joey Votto. The big righty set the tone by striking out the first two hitters he faced, overpowering Jesse Winker on a 99 mph heater right down Broadway and inducing Eugenio Suarez to chase a curveball in the dirt. He got ahead of nine of the first 10 hitters he faced, and 24 out of 31 for the afternoon. Only once, on his third-inning walk of Suarez, did he even reach a three-ball count, and he never needed more than 13 pitches in an inning. The four hits he surrendered were all singles, to Derek Dietrich in the first and ninth innings, Jose Peraza (an infield single) in the second, and Suarez in the sixth; Dietrich’s second single was the only hit he allowed on the five balls with an exit velocity of 95 mph or higher.
The Reds never had two men on base at the same time, and only in the second inning, after Peraza had been erased via a double play, did a second batter reach in any inning; Syndergaard followed the twin killing with an error when a high-bouncing Scott Schebler comebacker glanced off his glove. Not until pinch-runner Michael Lorenzen, running for Dietrich in the ninth, stole his first career base did a Red reach second base. Syndergaard reached two-strike counts 15 times, and converted those into outs all but once, on Peraza’s hit. It was an utterly stifling performance.
Stuff-wise, Syndergaard generated 14 whiffs, six of them with a four-seamer that averaged 98.9 mph according to Brooks Baseball, a velo matching his season high. He touched 100 with both his four-seamer and his sinker (100.4 with the latter, his high for the day). Of his 10 strikeouts, eight were swinging, three via four-seamers, two apiece via changeups and sinkers, and one via a curve. Additionally, he froze two batters looking at high-velocity sinkers — a pinch-hitting Votto in the eighth and then Yasiel Puig for the final out of the ninth.
The ninth inning featured some additional drama, when Winker was ejected for arguing about whether a 97.2 mph sinker on the high outer corner of the plate was legitimately strike two (the Brooks map says it was); manager David Bell was tossed, too. Kyle Farmer was brought in to finish the business of striking out, though the K was charged to Winker.
Mets 1 – Reds 0
The Headline: Just Smile and Wave Boys…Smile and Wave
1?? Thor became the 1st pitcher to toss a 1-0 shutout via his own home run since LAD's Bob Welch in '83
2?? Inject Jesse Winker's ejection into our veins ???The GIF: pic.twitter.com/4STT1PFrVv
— Justin Birnbaum (@JustBirny) May 3, 2019
For what it’s worth, the Brooks strike zone map says it was the Reds who benefited more from Foster’s zone, though Syndergaard did his part to expand the outside edge against both lefties and righties.
Syndergaard attributed his return to dominance on cleaner mechanics and a simple plan of attack: “Just putting trust and conviction in every pitch, trying to win every pitch.” As overpowering as his fastball was, the key to his afternoon may have been the renewed use of his curveball instead of his slider. He threw 16 curves, his highest total since last September 2; he had thrown just 40 in his previous six starts, accounting for a career-low 6.8% of his repertoire. While the pitch, which averaged 79.2 mph, generated just two swings and misses, he used it to get five called strikes and a foul ball as well. His seven sliders was his lowest total in any outing of longer than five innings since April 20, 2017. Callaway, the former pitching coach, couldn’t stop talking about the value of the curve:
I’d like to see all of our pitchers incorporate [the curve] more, especially with the power stuff we have. Anytime you can change speeds and have a differential that these guys can have with their curveballs, it makes things so much harder and the thing that happens is that you become more efficient with your pitches and you’re able to throw a complete game… because they don’t foul off as many pitches. When everything is 90 to 97, you’re talking about everything coming in hard and guys can time that up a little better, even if it’s just to foul it off. So I think it adds a whole new challenge for the batter. You’re able to maximize your pitch count and go deeper into games and that’s what we want from our starters.
The shutout — as in the complete game variety, a comparative rarity itself — was just the second of Syndergaard’s career; he threw his first on September 30 last year against the Marlins, the final day of the season. It was just the third shutout in the entire majors this year; the Rockies’ German Marquez blanked the Giants on April 14, while the Rangers’ Mike Minor did the same against the Angels two days later. In an era of pitch counts and times-through-the-order concerns, the event has nearly gone extinct:

The majors are on pace for just 16 complete game shutouts this year, less than a quarter of the total of 65 from just five years ago. Even more rare than such outings are nine-inning games played in two hours and 10 minutes or less; Thursday’s was just the second of the season, after an April 24 game between the Padres and Mariners, while last year there were just four such games (including Syndergaard’s first shutout), with two in 2017 and seven in 2016.
All of which is to say that those of us who witnessed what transpired on Thursday afternoon at Citi Field — a crowd that looked far more sparse than the official attendance of 21,445, with a similarly scant showing in the press box — saw something incredibly rare and special, perhaps even better than perfect.
Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011, and a Hall of Fame voter since 2021. Follow him on BlueSky @jayjaffe.bsky.social.
So with the exception of the fielders, he won the game by himself. That, my friends, is pretty cool. 10 strikeouts, 1 walk, 4 hits, no runs, 9 innings, 1 homer.
Backtest for the WAR checks out. He was worth 0.7 fWAR yesterday. We assume the WP for a replacement level player to be around .294.
I believe Pizarro actually makes the list twice, if you count shut outs in which the pitcher drove in all his team’s runs. The other time was not a 1-0 game. There have been a few of those, but not a lot, I think.
Bob Welch is also still alive.
False
Not unless he un-broke his neck.
I didn’t know he died which is weird since he died in such a freak accident kind of way.
Sorry, but no. (Best to check before you “correct” someone.)
Given that I wrote about his death for SI.com in 2014, I’m pretty sure I have my facts straight on that one. https://www.si.com/mlb/strike-zone/2014/06/10/bob-welch-dies-oakland-athletics-los-angeles-dodgers
My apologies.
RoyalsFan#14321 may have been fooled by looking at Bob Welch’s player page here on Fangraphs, which does not list a date of death for Welch and indicates that Welch is now 62 years old.
Checking some other names, one can see that this is not an isolated issue on the player pages here. Players like Frank Robinson, Gary Carter, and Stan Musial are also still alive on Fangraphs—Stan the Man is nearing 100 years old! In more ways than one (at least in some cases), the legends of baseball never die on Fangraphs!
Alas, I’m told that our data provider is not very reliable in this area.
I love how a false statement lead to…
a) a humorous retort from the author
b) an apology from the original poster
c) a discovery of a data bug
Seriously, only on Fangraphs. It’s why I ALWAYS read the comments. Thanks everyone for building such an amazing community.
It’s pretty cool that you (Jay) can post URLs. Whenever I have tried including a link the comment goes into “moderation” which seems to be a euphemism for never being posted.
Oish. I uh, might be like under the influence or something.
“In an afternoon game that might have benefited from a getaway day mindset for both teams as well as home plate umpire Marty Foster…”
I’ve often wondered: Has anyone ever looked at whether getaway-day games are shorter on average than other games?
I’ve been slowly coming around to accepting bringing the DH to the NL, but it would be kind of sad not to have the potential for games like this.
But, as the article pointed out, the potential for this is already almost completely gone. And the reason is not due to the pitchers not hitting enough, it is due to pitchers not pitching enough.
In 2018 there were 23 HR by pitchers and 13 shutouts. In 1983 when Welch did it, there were 17 HR by pitchers and 139 shutouts.
NEW YORK — “It’s probably more rare than a perfect game, I’d guess,” said Mets manager Mickey Callaway on Thursday afternoon. Yes it is but that doesnt make it a better accomplishment. Do u know how many times theres been a complete game with the pitcher hitting since 1983…… So all that means is the mets hitters were lousy today not sure why we celebrate that but hey…. its the Mets.
This is a bit confusing but I think I know where you are going. If you are measuring the pitcher’s performance, it should just be Shutout + home run. How many times has that happened?
yes
http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/26656510/what-noah-syndergaard-did-rare-deserves-own-name
Supposedly 208 times in the Play Index era, minus a couple if you want to discount cases where the pitcher actually let in a run but hit *two* HR of his own to compensate.
What does that mean? “It’s the Mets”? They have scored around 5 runs per game this season. They had a couple of off days against a very good pitching team.
I may be getting a bit slow and long in the tooth (for as many as I still have left…), but in the back of mind I keep thinking that Kershaw did it on Opening Day back a few years. Threw a complete game shut-out and hit a home run for the only run of the game. So going to that interweb thing……The article I found says he did this in 2013. Am I missing something? Someone please check for my sanity’s sake!
Now get off my lawn!
It was a 4-0 Dodgers win over the Giants – Kershaw hit the a HR (his only to date, I believe) to give the Dodgers the lead, but they did then score 3 more runs.
Many thanks for the re-setting of my memory.
Rick Wise hit 2 home runs while pitching a no-hitter.
Tony Cloninger hit 2 grand-slams in one game. First national leaguer to do so, and I think he still holds the record for most RBIs by a pitcher in a game.
So, Jim Bunning not only beat the Mets with a home run while shutting them out, a rarer feat than a perfect game, he ALSO pitched a perfect game against the Mets prior to that, in 1963.
Bunning is also the last AL pitcher to homer and triple in one game, in 1959. He went 4-2-4-5, with a sac bunt, in a CG 14-2 win at Fenway: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/BOS/BOS195905180.shtml
Three NLers have done that since: Drysdale (same year), Burdette (’64) and Dick Ruthven in ’77.
Does this translate to exactly 1 WAR?
🙂
In theory, a replacement pitcher would do this a non zero percentage of times. So I’d want all-knowing-WAR to value it ever so slightly less than 1.
0.7 fWAR, and since we say that a replacement level team would win .294 pct of the time, I’d say the math checks out
Very peak Bumgarner vibe to it.
https://www.fangraphs.com/wins.aspx?date=2015-08-16&team=Giants&dh=0
https://www.mlb.com/giants/video/bumgarner-goes-yard/c-377311583
Excellent article, but it would have been enhanced with a GIF of a dog trying to pick up an ice cube.
Hooray for National League baseball!
My 2019 brain cannot comprehend a pitcher batting for himself in the 10th inning of a game where he issues 8 BB.
It’s because he shaved that sh!tty “beard”.
The world is turned upside down. In an unbelievable turn of events this afternoon, Friday May 3, fire-balling Kyle Hendricks was allowed to complete a 9 inning, 4 hit, shutout. That is the second complete game in two days!!!! What is happening? Nothing more than mangers realizing that their top of the rotation pitchers are better than the stiffs they have in their bullpen. The fact that starters ERA this year is lower than relievers ERA despite the fact that the relievers pitch briefly in comparison to the starters, and can let it go on every pitch, says a lot about who is good and who should not be trusted at any time. Still early but this trend may become more common.
Wake me up the next time a SP gets thru 8 IP on 71 pitches AND with a lead of 4+ runs. I don’t want to miss the trend unfolding.
If you want to say that Kyle Hendricks in the 6th inning is likely better than the RP who might replace him THEN, fine. But in the 8th or 9th, no. There IS a case for letting starters go a bit deeper, but it doesn’t reach the CG issue.
I agree that Hendricks performance was unusual but my real point is that starters are being pulled automatically at certain points in the game, maybe after 6 or 7 or a certain pitch count, despite no supported evidence that this is helping the team win or keeping the pitcher healthy. Let me go into some detail on this. Earlier this year, April 21, James Paxton went 6, allowed 3 hits and fanned 12 with 104 pitches. He was then taken out with a 5-0 lead and the vaunted Yankee bullpen gave up 6 in the 8th. That did Paxton no good as then last night he left the game after 3. Just last night Sonny Gray was yanked with a 10-3 lead after 5 when he had thrown only 82 pitches. Of course the Reds pen blew the lead and the game. I wish Bob Gibson was still pitching so all could see his reaction to being lifted when he was cruising with a lead. The manager would have had to bring armed protection with him when he approached the mound. In May of 1968 he pitched 3 extra innings complete games in a span of 17 days with a fourth start mixed in. How do these exponents of coddling starters explain him, or Ryan, or Carlton, or Marichal, or Gaylord Perry, or Seaver? But we don’t have to go back that far. Most here have watched Curt Schilling. In 1998 he made 35 starts and in those starts he threw over 100 pitches 33 times, never threw less than 94 and maxed out at 146, then in 2004 at the age of 37 carried the Red Sox to their first WS title in , I think it was 86 years. These men threw very hard with max effort and pitched forever. That is my beef with the modern game. The teams just do not know what to do about pitchers arms and have taken an approach that approaches a psychotic fear of injury but it has been shown consistently, I think proven, that coddling doesn’t do anything to prevent injury or extend careers. Teams would be better if they let their top three starters go until they show signs of losing it instead of bringing in the stiffs.
I agree with this in regards to what you’re saying about the starters who are getting the hook with 80-90 pitches but haven’t shown any signs of losing effectiveness… just because it’s the 6th inning and that’s ‘when you’re supposed to go the pen’.
I actually agree with some of your themes, like “we don’t really KNOW how workload correlates with injury.”
But when you start citing the 300-inning guys from the ’70s and before, you’re just ignoring too many changes in context.
Shall we call Jack Morris a weakling for never reaching 300 IP?
Randy Johnson and Dave Stieb never reached 280 IP. Pikers!
Greg Maddux and Roy Halladay, get off my lawn — you never reached 270 IP.
Tom Glavine never reached 250, nor Mike Mussina, nor Pedro Martinez. Delicate flowers!
Jamie Moyer, how the hell did you top 4,000 IP without ever throwing 240 a year?
Once you set up Carlton and Co. as the paragons, every subsequent generation looks like shrinking violets. It’s tired.
As for Schilling, here are his annual IP totals starting with his first full year as a starter:
226, 235, 82, 116, 183, 254, 269, 180, 210, 257, 259, 168, 227, 93, 204, 151.
So, yeah, his workload helped the 1993 Phils win a pennant, and the 2001 D’backs and 2004 Red Sox win championships — but you can’t say those years didn’t cost him some part of his future.
I could have sworn that Yovani Gallardo did this against the Pirates a few years back. I remember him absolutely dominating the Pirates offense in a complete game shutout, and tacking on a homerun to boot, driving in the only run(s) for the Brewers on that day. Perhaps it was a two run shot, thus not making the list? Or maybe my memory is failing me, and he didn’t go the distance. Perhaps someone who is savvy searching game logs can check.
Regardless, fantastic article! It’s always a pleasure to read about historical performances.
April 29,2009. He hit a HR but only went 8 innings. Carlos Villanueva closed the game.
much obliged, good sir!
I couldn’t resist a WPA check, despite its flaws. The highest known batting WPA by a SP:
Any score:
— .805, Wes Ferrell, 1934
In a 10-inning 3-2 CG, Ferrell hit a tying HR in the 8th and a walk-off HR in the 10th.
(Pitching WPA .563; total 1.368)
Shutout:
— .452, Gary Nolan, 1968
Broke a 0-0 tie in the 7th with a 2-out, 3-run shot. His only career HR followed an IBB to the light-hitting Woody Woodward. Added a 2-out hit in the 9th (after ANOTHER IBB to Woodward), helping Reds pad the lead to 5-0.
(Pitching WPA .396; total .848)
1-0 shutout:
— .451, Red Ruffing, 1932
Homered with 2 out in the top of the 10th, in Griffith Stadium, his 3rd hit of the Yanks’ 7. Then worked a 1-2-3 inning, with his 11th and 12th strikeouts.
One of 47 HRs at cavernous Griffith Stadium that year, and the only one by a pitcher. Ruffing’s 3 career HRs there trails only Walter Johnson among pitchers, and Barney had 7 times the chances.
(Pitching WPA .960; total 1.411)
I don’t know the record for 2-way WPA, but Ruffing’s 1.411 must be high up there. Syndergaard earned a mere .755, as his early HR affected both tallies.
Wes Ferrell is a candidate for the most underrated player of all-time. He was an outstanding pitcher and widely considered the best hitting pitcher ever.
32 fWAR as a pitcher, 12 fWAR as a hitter. He had two seasons of over 2 WAR as a hitter in less than 200 ABs, with a wRC+ over 140 in each of those. That’s a pitcher who rakes.